pakistan `s low-grade civil war

2
Pakistan'sow-Grade ivilWa r By Sadanand Dhume f s Sunni-majorityPakistann I the midst of a low-gradewar I against its minority Shiite popu-lation?Scarcely a month by without word of a new atrocity: a car bomb outside a Shiite mosque n Quetta during Ramadan, suicidebombingof a Shiiteprocessionn Lahore, Shiite doctors mysteriously shot in Karachi. In Ju1y, after prosecutors failed to find evidenceof his al- leged nvolvement n the murders of scores of Shiites. Parkistan's SupremeCourt released Malik Ishaq leaderofthe banned Sunni sectarian group Lashkar-e- Jhangvi. He promptly received a hero's welcome from his follow- ers.ThePakistani government has allowed Sunni-ruled Bahrain to openly recrui t Pakistanimerce- put Shiite majority dernanding democratic rights in the oil-rich kingdom. The country's Shiites are wor- ried. In July, hundreds ook to the streetsof Quetta o protestthe killings. In private,someShiites wonder whether over time they will meet the same fate as the heterodox Ahmadiyya community, stripped of their recognition as Muslims and hustled oward the margins of national life. To be sure, compared o Ah- madis,Christiansand Hindus, he Shiiteshaveso far facedno bat- tery of discriminatory aws, and their exposureo violences both relatively recent and somewhat limited. But this positionof com- parativeprivilege s precisely why the Shiites matter so much to Pakistan's uture. the 36-million-strongcommu- nity is a bulwark against th e vio- lent Sunni fundamentalism of Anti-Shiite .IiA vrolenceby bunnl extremists as been spreading. groups such as the Lashkar-e- Jhangvi andPunjab-basedipah- e-Sahaba. nd reverence or Is- lamic shrines and other practices consideredmpure by Sunni ex- tremists make th em among the fiercest opponentsof the intoler- ant Taliban. The country's founding father, MohammedAli to a Shiite sect, he Khoj4 whose followers are famous n the sub- continent or their business cu- men. Many of Jinnaht top lieu- tenants n the Pakistan movement were also Shiites. Unlike much of the Arab world-where Shiites have radi- tionally constituted an under- class-the community n Pakistan began with a seat at the head a- ble of power. n the early decades of independence,Pakistan had two Shiite presidents and at least one Shiiteprime minister.The ist of generals, usiness- me4 ambassadorsndnewspaper editors rom the communitv s too g:.f"ffi*S:l "r .;;'X:._.1.4sn ur. "_ long to recount. Only n the 1980s,under the fundamentalist Suruf dictatorship of Gen.Zia ul-Haq,did the com- pact between Sunnis and Shiites begin to fray. Partly to protect their distinct identity, Shii tespro- tested the general'sclumsy at- tempt in 1980 o impose a uni- form alms tax on all Muslims. Around the same ime, Paki- stan was sucked nto a shadowy proxy war for influence between two rival strains of radical Islam: the messianic Shiitevariety agated by Iran's Ayatollah Khomeini, and Wahhabism, an austere, back-to-basics orm of Sunni slam championed y Saudi Arabia. The explicitly anti-Shiite Sipah-e-Sahaba Soldiers of the Prophet'sCompanions), orn in southern Punjab n 1985, ook up the causeof Sunni peasantsna large landowners. Over the years, a clutch of Shiite rivals, including the banned Sipah-e-Muhammad (Soldiers of Muhammad), aveat- tempted o fight back. Over the past three decades, violencebetweenSunnisand Shi- ites has ebbed and flowed, but two things are clear. First, despite spar,vning anned violent sectar- ian outfits of their own, the Shi- ites have argely been on the re- ceiving endofviolence. n a 2005 report, the International Crisis Group est imated that Shiite vic- tims accounted,for oo/o f sectar- ian deathsover the previous20 years. In recent yea-rs,he vio- lence has spread rom southern Punjaband (sporadically) Karachi to Quetta n Balochistan,and the Federally Admhistered Tribal Ar- eason Pakistan's roubled border with Afghanistan. Second, he space o be licly Shiite n Pakistanhas shrunk dramatically. This s most obvious in the tale of the Bhutto family. Though not overtly pious, Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto,who ruled from 1971o 1977, s described y Vali Nasr of Tufts University as marking "the of Shiite n Paki- stan." But by the late 1980s, Bhutto's daug]rter Benazi4 who herselfbe- cameprime minister, had begun to call herself a Sunni.Her hus- band, current President Asif Ali Zardari, maintains a studied si- lence on the subject, an apparent attempt o attract Shiite support without tempting fundamentalist re. For Pakistan, ounded as a homeland or all Indian Muslims, the Sunni-Shiite divide is an awk- ward subject that many would rather gnore.But the rest ofthe world needs o pay more atten- tion to this conflict. If Pakistan can't evenprotect its numerous andwell-connected hiites, hen the oddsof moderates revailing over extremists n an ongoingbat- tle for the countryS future look exceedingly lim. Mr. Dhume s a resident ellow at the American Enterpise Insti- tute n Washington nd a colum- nist or WSJ.com.

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Page 1: PAKISTAN `S LOW-GRADE CIVIL WAR

8/4/2019 PAKISTAN `S LOW-GRADE CIVIL WAR

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/pakistan-s-low-grade-civil-war 1/1

Pakistan'sow-Grade ivilWarBy Sadanand Dhume

f s Sunni-majorityPakistann

I the midst of a low-gradewarI against its minority Shiitepopu-lation?Scarcely a monthgoesby without word of a newatrocity: a car bomb outside aShiite mosque n QuettaduringRamadan, suicidebombingof aShiiteprocessionn Lahore,Shiitedoctors mysteriously shot inKarachi.

In Ju1y, after prosecutorsfailed to find evidenceof his al-leged nvolvement n the murdersof scoresof Shiites. Parkistan'sSupremeCourt released MalikIshaq leaderofthe bannedSunnisectarian group Lashkar-e-Jhangvi.He promptly receivedahero's welcomefrom his follow-ers.The Pakistanigovernmenthasallowed Sunni-ruledBahrain toopenly recruit Pakistanimerce-naries o put dolm a restiveShiitemajority dernandingdemocraticrights in the oil-rich kingdom.

The country's Shiites arewor-ried. In July, hundreds ook to thestreetsof Quetta o protest thekillings. In private,some Shiiteswonder whether over time theywill meet the samefate as theheterodoxAhmadiyyacommunity,stripped of their recognition as

Muslims and hustled oward themargins of national life.To be sure,compared o Ah-

madis,ChristiansandHindus, heShiiteshaveso far facedno bat-tery of discriminatory aws,andtheir exposureo violences bothrelatively recent and somewhat

limited. But this positionof com-parative privilege s preciselywhythe Shiites matter so much toPakistan's uture.

the 36-million-strongcommu-nity is a bulwark against the vio-lent Sunni fundamentalism of

Anti-Shiite. I i A

vrolenceby bunnl

extremistsasbeenspreading.

groups such as the Lashkar-e-JhangviandPunjab-basedipah-e-Sahaba. nd reverence or Is-lamic shrines and other practicesconsideredmpure by Sunni ex-tremists make them among thefiercest opponentsof the intoler-ant Taliban.

The country's founding father,MohammedAli Jinnah,belongedto a Shiitesect, he Khoj4 whosefollowers are famous n the sub-continent or their business cu-men. Many of Jinnaht top lieu-tenants n the Pakistanmovementwere also Shiites.

Unlike much of the Arabworld-where Shiiteshave radi-tionally constituted an under-class-the community n Pakistan

beganwith a seat at the head a-ble of power. n the early decadesof independence,Pakistan hadtwo Shiitepresidentsand at leastone Shiiteprime minister. The istof prominentgenerals, usiness-me4 ambassadors nd newspapereditors rom the communitv s too

g:.f"ffi*S:l"r .;;'X:._.1.4snur"

long to recount.Only n the 1980s,under the

fundamentalistSuruf dictatorshipof Gen.Zia ul-Haq,did the com-pact between Sunnis and Shiitesbegin to fray. Partly to protecttheir distinct identity, Shiitespro-tested the general'sclumsy at-tempt in 1980 o impose a uni-form alms tax on all Muslims.

Around the same ime, Paki-stan was sucked nto a shadowyproxy war for influence betweentwo rival strains of radical Islam:the messianicShiite variety prop-agated by Iran's AyatollahKhomeini, and Wahhabism, anaustere, back-to-basicsorm ofSunni slam championed y SaudiArabia.

The explicitly anti-ShiiteSipah-e-SahabaSoldiersof theProphet'sCompanions), orn insouthernPunjab n 1985,ook upthe causeof Sunnipeasantsn aregion dominated by large Shiitelandowners. Over the years, aclutch of Shiite rivals, includingthe banned Sipah-e-Muhammad(Soldiersof Muhammad), aveat-tempted o fight back.

Over the past three decades,violencebetweenSunnisand Shi-ites has ebbed and flowed, buttwo things are clear.First, despitespar,vning anned violent sectar-

ian outfits of their own, the Shi-ites have argely been on the re-ceivingend ofviolence. n a 2005report, the International CrisisGroup estimated that Shiite vic-tims accounted,for oo/of sectar-ian deathsover the previous20years.In recent yea-rs,he vio-

lence has spread romPunjaband(sporadicall

to Quetta n BalochistaFederallyAdmhistered Teason Pakistan's roublewith Afghanistan.

Second, he space olicly Shiite n Pakistanhadramatically.This s mosin the tale of the BhuttThoughnot overtlypiousAli Bhutto,who ruled fro1977,s described y VaTufts University as marpinnacleof Shiitepowestan."

But by the late 1980sdaug]rterBenazi4who hcameprime minister, hto call herself a Sunni.band, current PresidenZardari, maintainsa stlenceon the subject,anattempt o attract Shiitwithout tempting fundaSunni re.

For Pakistan, oundhomeland or all Indianthe Sunni-Shiitedivide isward subject that manrather gnore.But the reworld needs o pay motion to this conflict. If can't evenprotect its nandwell-connected hithe oddsof moderates

over extremists n an ongtle for the countryS fuexceedinglylim.

Mr. Dhume s a residat the AmericanEnterptute n Washington ndnist or WSJ.com.