presentation to the investment analysts society€¦ · 1. audited results for the year ended 31...
TRANSCRIPT
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Audited Results for the year ended 31 December 2008
Presentation to the Investment Analysts Society
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Introduction
Sustainable Business
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Premium quality shopping centres since 1987
Market capitalisation of R7 billion
Property assets of R9.3 billion
6 shopping centres: ― 79% of revenue ― 77% of portfolio value
263 000m² of retail space 43 000m² of office space
37% interest in Sycom
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Highlights
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Financial
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Distribution 308 cents 14.1%
Property assets R9.3 billion 8%
NAV excl. deferred taxation R 49.51 pu 2%
Continued low gearing 8.9%
Expansion programme (2009) R662 million
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Highlights
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Operational
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Like-for-like net income growth
Rental growth on letting
Maintained high occupancy levels
Maintained good rental escalation rate
Continued demand for retail space
13.1%
14%
96.7%
9.5%
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Financial Results
Financial strength
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Income Statement - extracts
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2008Investment Property Income R658.67m Contractual rental increase - 12.1% Other income increase - 8.7% Includes 3 months from Stoneridge Recovery of utility increases
Listed Property Securities Income R106.9m Full year income from Sycom
Property Expenses R205.2m Property tax increases Electrical cost increases Includes 3 months from Stoneridge
Net Interest Paid (R17.08m) Re-investment of cash surpluses in new developments Net of capitalised interest to new developments
13.5%
311%
15.5%
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Net income growth - Investment Property
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Distributable income 2008R'0002007
R'000Canal Walk (80%) 206 913 179 294
The Glen (75.15%) 65 487 59 176
Hyde Park 71 206 66 731
The Mall of Rosebank 61 206 52 782
Southcoast Mall (50%) 12 567 10 953
Stoneridge (90%) 6 135
Shopping Centres 423 514 368 936
Offices 29 950 33 870
Investment Property 453 464 402 806
15%
11%
7%
16%
15%
15%
13%
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Net income growth - Portfolio
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Distributable income2008
R'0002007
R'000Listed property securities 106 900 26 008Fund management expenses (41 353) (39 651)Net interest (17 080) 3 664Interest received 39 408 85 362Interest paid (56 488) (81 698)Enhancement fees - VPIF 1 871 2 196Share of income from VPIF 8 449 9 070Distributable income 512 251 404 093
Total/weighted units in issue 166 113 169 149 805 183
Total distribution for the year 308.0 270.0 Distribution for 6 months to 31 Dec 158.0 140.0 Distribution for 6 months to 30 June 150.0 130.0
14%13%15%
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Changes to assets
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Investment Property2008
R'0002007
R'000
Opening balance 6 979 219 5 559 558
Developments & refurbishments 516 257 249 451
Depreciation (7 147) (6 632)
TI's & building appurtenances 6 134 10 314
Disposals (4 084) (43)
Held-for-sale (net of cost) (188 390)
Valuation gains 225 563 1 354 961
Closing balance 7 715 942 6 979 219
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Balance Sheet - extracts
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2008R'000
2007R'000
Investment Property 7 715 942 6 979 219Listed Property Securities 1 421 447 1 288 939
Investment in VPIF 178 983 198 186
Investment Property held-for-sale 188 390
Property assets 9 316 372 8 654 734
Combined unitholders funds 6 802 366 6 653 412
Long-term loans 900 000 900 000
Short-term investments (500 000)
Cash (66 090) (83 362)
Net borrowings 833 910 316 638
11%10%
8%
-10%
2%
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Valuations
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Property Size(m²)
Hyprop share(Rm)
Total value per rentable area (R/m²)
Canal Walk (80%) 135 402 3 368 31 093 The Glen (75.15%) 55 729 1 084 25 875 Hyde Park 36 894 1 217 32 986 The Mall of Rosebank 33 774 880 26 056 Southcoast Mall (50%) 29 361 165 11 239 Stoneridge (90%) 50 241 464 10 251
The Grace & The Mall offices 25 078 282 11 229
Average yield 7.2% - up from 6.8% in 2007Yield range 6.9% to 9.9%
1%5%7%7%9%
14%
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Net borrowings
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Gearing 2008R'0002007
R'000
Net borrowings 833 910 316 638
Average interest rate 9.54% 9.54%
Gearing 8.9% 3.60%
Interest Rate Profile
R600m 2012 9.27%
R450m 2013 9.40%
R300m 2015 9.57%
Average interest rate 2009 9.37%
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Debt repayment profile
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31 Dec 2009 R450m
31 Dec 2010 R450m
30 Nov 2013 R500m
R1 400m
R450m drawn down in Feb 2009 Fixed until 2013 at 9.40%
Total debt
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Operational performance
Consistent delivery
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Investments
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By Value By Income
37%
12%13%
10%
5%
16%35%
12%13%
11%
5%
19%Canal Walk Canal Walk
The GlenThe Glen Hyde ParkHyde Park
The Mall of Rosebank
Southcoast Mall 2%
Stoneridge 1%Offices
SycomVPIF 1%
The Mall of Rosebank
Southcoast Mall 2%
StoneridgeOffices 3%
SycomVPIF 2%
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Revenue spread
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Office income 2% Turnover rentCustomer parking
2% Monthly parking1% Storerooms & other
Operating cost recovery
Municipal costrecovery
Retail income
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Vacancies
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% Area
Vacancy at 31 December 2007 0.75% 2 500m²
Vacancy at 31 December 2008 3.30% 12 000m²
Vacancy excl. Stoneridge 1.5% 4 400m²
Canal Walk (3 196m²)
1% The Glen (66m²)
Hyde Park & The Grace offices have no vacancies
The Mall of Rosebank (569m²)
Southcoast Mall (753m²)
Stoneridge (7 577m²)
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Lease expiries
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2009m²
2010m²
2011m²
Canal Walk* 9 817 51 903 18 789 The Glen 4 021 6 043 8 386 Hyde Park* 8 734 4 056 4 748 The Mall of Rosebank 5 738 6 486 5 911 Southcoast Mall 1 360 9 435 2 721 Stoneridge 7 039 Offices # 4 492 4 486 3 777
Total 34 162 82 409 51 371
9% 22% 14%
* Includes offices# The Grace & The Mall offices
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Rent and escalation
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Property Gross retail rent (R/m²)Canal Walk 180
The Glen 153
Hyde Park 214
The Mall of Rosebank 168
Southcoast Mall 88
Office rent 82
12.5%
10.0%
10.0%
12.8%
13.0%
7.0%
Lease activityRenewals and new tenants 49 000m² (14% of portfolio)Average contractual escalation 9.50%Average growth in rental 14.00%
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Trading performance
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Influencing factors: Construction work - The Glen & Hyde Park Slower trade in December save at The Mall & Southcoast Mall Increase in time spend per visitor at centres Improved performance from cash retailers
4%
-3%
8%
3%
Retail spend
Visitors to the centres
Spend per customer - R120
Trading density - R22 500 / m² / year
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Developments
Building on solid foundations
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Expansions - under development
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Additional retail HotelTotalCanal
WalkThe Glen
Hyde Park
Rm Rm Rm Rm
Capital cost (Hyprop share) 206 278 179 663
Spent to Dec 08 (115) (100) (42) (257)
Remaining commitment 91 178 137 406
Additional area added to the portfolio 42 500m²
Additional net income R62 million
12%
11%
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Canal Walk
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Size 15 541m²
Cost R206m (Hyprop share)
Completion date May 2009
Major tenants @ home, Cape Union Mart, Golfers Club
Budget yield 8.9%
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The Glen
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Size 19 400m²
Cost R278m (Hyprop share)
Completion date November 2009
Major tenants Game, Dis-Chem, @home, Mr Price Home
Budget yield 10.90%
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Hyde Park
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Size 132 rooms
Cost R178m
Completion date August 2009
Budget yield 11.4%
Four star Southern Sun hotel
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Investment performance
Proven track record
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Average growth p.a over 21 years 10.5%
Average growth p.a since 2004 17.1%
15 years of consecutive growth
Distribution growth
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Cents per combined unit
Distributions
’88 ’89 ’90 ’91 ’92 ’93 ’94 ’95 ’96 ’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 ’07 ’08
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Unit price growth
5.0 6.5 6.16.8 6.9 6.3 6.5 7.0 5.7 5.7 5.3
7.810.0 10.0 11.5
13.8
19.8
29.9
38.5
45.0
05
101520253035404550
88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
42.0
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Combined Unit Price
Combined Unit Price over 21 years
Average growth p.a over 21 years 13%
Average growth p.a since 2004 27%
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2828
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Unit price performance against indices
Outperformed peer group
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ALSI
Hyprop
PLS
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
-7%
-10%
-26%
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Unitholder profile
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Redefine
Stanlib Funds
Coronation
Old Mutual Funds
Investec
Standard Bank
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Prospects
Long-term sustainability
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Market
Decline in consumer spend
National retailers shown resilience
Construction costs declining
Interest rates reducing
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Hyprop strengths
Defensive qualities in poor economy:
Strong balance sheet and low gearing
Superior retail offering with sustainable lease profile
Expansions will enhance dominance and market differentiation
Quality management with specialist knowledge
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Business strategy
Successfully complete expansion programme in 2009
Let balance of vacancies in Stoneridge and expansions
Begin refurbishment at Hyde Park &The Mall of Rosebank
Savings on utility costs
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Madison contracts
Expire end 2009
Principle decision - internal or external asset management?
New asset management contract requires unitholder approval
Cost savings in 2010
3535
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Future opportunities
Future developments at Canal Walk and The Glen
International expansion
Expansion through acquisition and development
Interest in Sycom
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Benefits of expansions – H2 2009 and 2010 Positive impact of lower fixed interest rates
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Distribution for 2009
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Cautious outlook on income growth Impact of construction work at Hyde
Park & The Glen Vacancies at Stoneridge
Distribution for 2009: 328c - 332c
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Questions & Answers
Slide Number 1IntroductionHighlightsHighlightsSlide Number 5Income Statement - extractsNet income growth - Investment PropertyNet income growth - PortfolioChanges to assetsBalance Sheet - extractsValuationsNet borrowingsDebt repayment profileSlide Number 14InvestmentsRevenue spreadVacanciesLease expiriesRent and escalationTrading performanceSlide Number 21Expansions - under developmentCanal WalkThe GlenHyde ParkSlide Number 26Distribution growthUnit price growthUnit price performance against indicesUnitholder profileSlide Number 31MarketHyprop strengthsBusiness strategyMadison contractsFuture opportunitiesDistribution for 2009Slide Number 38