pushing the boundaries towards commercialisation...©2013 energy technologies institute llp -...

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©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP The information in this document is the property of Energy Technologies Institute LLP and may not be copied or communicated to a third party, or used for any purpose other than that for which it is supplied without the express written consent of Energy Technologies Institute LLP. This information is given in good faith based upon the latest information available to Energy Technologies Institute LLP, no warranty or representation is given concerning such information, which must not be taken as establishing any contractual or other commitment binding upon Energy Technologies Institute LLP or any of its subsidiary or associated companies. Pushing the Boundaries Towards Commercialisation Stewart Swatton (Marine Renewables Project Manager) RenewableUK 2013 - C7 Towards the first arrays

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Page 1: Pushing the Boundaries Towards Commercialisation...©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1 ©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP The information in

©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP The information in this document is the property of Energy Technologies Institute LLP and may not be copied or communicated to a third party, or used for any purpose other than that for which it is supplied without the express written consent of Energy Technologies Institute LLP.This information is given in good faith based upon the latest information available to Energy Technologies Institute LLP, no warranty or representation is given concerning such information, which must not be taken as establishing any contractual or other commitment binding upon Energy Technologies Institute LLP or any of its subsidiary or associated companies.

Pushing the Boundaries Towards Commercialisation

Stewart Swatton (Marine Renewables Project Manager)

RenewableUK 2013 - C7 Towards the first arrays

Page 2: Pushing the Boundaries Towards Commercialisation...©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1 ©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP The information in

©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

What is the ETI?

• The Energy Technologies Institute (ETI) is a public-private partnership between global industries and UK Government

Delivering...

• Targeted development, demonstration and de-risking of new technologies for affordable and secure energy

Page 3: Pushing the Boundaries Towards Commercialisation...©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1 ©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP The information in

©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

ETI headlines

24 projects completed

1stprogramme associate -Hitachi

2equity holdings –supporting business developments

£210mprojects announced

119partner organisations

15 countries -europe, north america, middle east, asia

7commercial product launches

52 projects across the portfolio

£100mPotential revenue from existing project portfolio

Operational from early 2013 at EMEC

ReDAPT - Alstom 1MW Tidal Turbine

Page 4: Pushing the Boundaries Towards Commercialisation...©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1 ©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP The information in

©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

Real progress is being made...

Aquamarine Power (photo from aquamarinepower.com) Courtesy of Marine Current Turbines

Pelamis Wave Power (photo from pelamiswave.com)Atlantis Resources Corporation (photo from renews.biz) Andritz Hydro Hammerfest (photo from sffe.no)

Alstom Ocean Energy (photo from tidalgeneration.co.uk)

Page 5: Pushing the Boundaries Towards Commercialisation...©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1 ©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP The information in

©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

But there have been difficulties...Developing and testing turbines in the marine environment is not easy!

A Big Setback for Tidal PowerBad Weather Strands

Broken Turbine in N.B

“““

Greentechmedia 18th June 2010

Blade fault on giant tide turbine AK1000 in Orkney

BBC NEWS HIGHLANDS & ISLANDS7th October 2010

Energy For Students

““

Delay in commissioning one

Of SeaGen’s rotas

www.marineturbines.com 22nd July 2008

Canada: NSP’s Tidal Turbine Project Faces Deployment Delay“

Energy For Students

Page 6: Pushing the Boundaries Towards Commercialisation...©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1 ©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP The information in

©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

Positives

Good progress is being delivered through sea trials

Major players are starting to enter the market

Government support remains strong in the UK

Page 7: Pushing the Boundaries Towards Commercialisation...©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1 ©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP The information in

©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

But challenges remain...

Performance and deployment improvements are needed

Further investment in innovation is crucial

Through-life cost reduction must be accelerated

Increased industry knowledge sharing is needed

Images 1,2 & 3 taken from Google

Page 8: Pushing the Boundaries Towards Commercialisation...©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1 ©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP The information in

©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

ETI / UKERC Roadmap targets

2010 2020 2030 2040 2050UK Deployment

0 GW

~ 250 - 450 MW pa(200 - 500 units pa)

~ 600 - 1200 MW pa(500 - 1200 units pa)

FULL-SCALE DEMO

SMALL ARRAYS (2-10 MW)

LARGE ARRAYS (10 – 100 MW)

10 - 20 GW

Technology & System Performance

CAPEX

O&M Costs

Array Load Factor

Availability

CURRENT ESTIMATES

4,000 – 7,000 £/kW

1.5 – 4.0 p/kWh

25 – 35 %

75 - 85 %

2,500 – 4,000 £/kW

1.0 – 2.5 p/kWh

35 - 40 %

90 %

1,500 – 2,000 £/kW

0.3 – 1.0 p/kWh

40 - 45 %

95 - 98 %

1st GENERATION SYSTEMS

2nd and 3rd GENERATION SYSTEMS

RAPID BUILDOUT OF NEW PROJECTS

Overall COE 17 – 40 p/kWh 9 – 18 p/kWh 5 – 8 p/kWh

1 – 2 GW

~ 500 - 1200 MW pa(400 - 1500 units pa)

6 – 12 GW

~ 150 - 300 MW pa(100 - 300 units pa)

9 – 18 GW

ASSET REPLACEMENT + REDUCING NUMBER OF NEW PROJECTS

2,000 – 2,500 £/kW

0.5 – 1.5 p/kWh

37 - 42 %

90 - 95 %

7 – 10 p/kWh

House of Commons Energy & Climate Change Committee recommendation (February 2012)

14p/kWh target by 2020

http://eti.co.uk/downloads/related_documents/ETI_UKERC_Roadmap.pdf

Roadmap based on ESME modelling

Targets not predictions

2020 (9 – 18 p/kWh)

2030 (7 – 10 p/kWh)

2050 (5 – 8 p/kWh)

Page 9: Pushing the Boundaries Towards Commercialisation...©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1 ©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP The information in

©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

Sub-systems, devices and arrays

PerAWaT

Developing validated software tools for assessing and optimising array energy yield

ReDAPT

Demonstration of 1MW tidal stream device

Data collection focussed on performance, resource & environmental impacts

Wet-mate connector

Design, assembly and test of a 11kV WMC for renewable energy applications to IEC 60502-4

Page 10: Pushing the Boundaries Towards Commercialisation...©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1 ©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP The information in

©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

Pushing the boundaries towards commercialisation

TEC System Demonstrator

Design, evaluation and demonstration of innovative tidal stream array systems

Pathways to UKERC / ETI Roadmap targets

WEC System Demonstrator

Design, evaluation and demonstration of innovative wave energy array systems

Pathways to UKERC / ETI Roadmap targets

SMARTtide

Modelling tidal resource interactions around the UK Understanding the impacts of tidal deployments on the UK tidal resource

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©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

TITLE ?

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©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

TEC Proposed Cost Reduction is Credible

LCoE

(p/k

Wh)

Foundations

Structure

Rotor Scaling

ADISAt-Sea PC

Elec Opt2-Stage GB Drive Train

Tie Lines +Spares

ETI 2020 target

Multi-pile implementation is required before significant LCOE reduction of First Principles can be realized

Page 13: Pushing the Boundaries Towards Commercialisation...©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1 ©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP The information in

©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

The tide is turning…

Scale-up to arrays is critical

Further investment in innovation is crucial

The industry needs to prove technologies

Investor confidence is essentialPhoto courtesy of Atlantis Resources Corporation

Pentland Firth tidal turbine project given consent

2014/2015

Page 14: Pushing the Boundaries Towards Commercialisation...©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1 ©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP The information in

©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

The tide is turning…

Scale-up to arrays is critical

Further investment in innovation is crucial

The industry needs to prove technologies

Investor confidence is essential

Photo courtesy of Alstom Ocean Energy

Alstom devices deal for Sound of Islay tidal array

2016

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©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

The tide is turning…

Scale-up to arrays is critical

Further investment in innovation is crucial

The industry needs to prove technologies

Investor confidence is essential

Photo courtesy of Marine Current Turbines

Marine Current Turbines kicks off first tidal array for Wales

Page 16: Pushing the Boundaries Towards Commercialisation...©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1 ©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP The information in

©2013 Energy Technologies Institute LLP - Subject to notes on page 1

For more information about the ETI visit www.eti.co.uk

For the latest ETI news and announcements email [email protected]

The ETI can also be followed on Twitter at twitter.com/the_ETI

Energy Technologies InstituteHolywell BuildingHolywell ParkLoughboroughLE11 3UZ

For all general enquiries telephone the ETI on 01509 202020.