rahm emanuel polling
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Polling numbers going into the 2015 Chicago mayoral election.TRANSCRIPT
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December 19, 2014
Emanuel record, vision garners increased support across Chicago Rahm Emanuel for Mayor
To: Interested Parties
From: Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
Mayor Rahm Emanuel enters the mayoral election with the city in an improving mood, with more positive feelings in the neighborhoods, and in a strong position in the first round. While the country remains pessimistic about our direction as a nation, in Chicago a striking 58 percent of voters see their neighborhood headed in the right direction.
Figure 1: Neighborhood Direction
The Mayor’s personal image is now a net positive 14 points, with 48 percent giving him
Mayor Emanuel Poised to Win in First Round
2014 All Rights Reserved Greenberg Quinlan Rosner December, 2014
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a favorable rating, compared to only 34 percent who rate him unfavorably. His standing dwarfs his opponents’.
Figure 2: Candidate Favorability
As a result, the Mayor holds a commanding lead over his opponents, receiving 48 percent of the vote in the February ballot. With 5 percent undecided, the Mayor is poised to win on the first round. He gets broad support in all communities.
Table 3: Initial Vote
Initial Vote White Black Hispanic
Emanuel 48 54 43 41
Garcia 21 17 19 35
Fioretti 13 15 14 6
Wilson 0 -- 1 --
Shaw 0 0 0 --
Walls 0 -- 0 --
Patterson -- -- -- --
Other 9 6 13 8
Undecided 5 5 5 4
Should the race progress to a run-off, the Mayor wins handily against either opponent.
Mayor Emanuel Poised to Win in First Round
2014 All Rights Reserved Greenberg Quinlan Rosner December, 2014
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Table 4: Run-off Ballots
Total White Black Hispanic
Emanuel 52 57 52 37
Garcia 37 35 37 48
Undecided 4 2 6 5
Emanuel 57 57 55 61
Fioretti 35 37 35 30
Undecided 5 3 8 7