raleigh finlayson : managing director€¦ · raleigh finlayson : managing director asx gold...
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Qualification
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This presentation has been prepared by Saracen Mineral Holdings Limited (Saracen or the Company) based on information from its own and third party sources and is not a disclosure document. No party other than the Company has authorised or caused the issue, lodgement, submission, despatch or provision of this presentation, or takes any responsibility for, or makes or purports to make any statements, representations or undertakings in this presentation. You should be aware that as an Australian company with securities listed on the ASX, the Company is required to report reserves and resources in Australia in accordance with the Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves (The JORC Code 2012 Edition ) ("JORC Code"). You should note that while the Company's reserve and resource estimates comply with the JORC Code, they may not comply with the relevant guidelines in other countries. This is a presentation about geology, geoscientific interpretation, geoscientific speculation, gold deposits, gold potential, engineering, infrastructure, potential values, costs, risks, and related matters pertinent to Saracen’s present and future activities as a publicly listed mineral exploration and production company. It includes forecasts, predictions, targets and estimates of future expenditures which may vary over time. It is uncertain if further exploration will result in the determination of a Resource or Reserve. Where exploration, evaluation, operational and feasibility study expenditure estimates and budgets amounts are presented herein, ongoing prioritisation and scaling of expenditures will be subject to results and, where applicable, scheduling changes. Targeted production and other outcomes are subject to change, and may not eventuate, depending on the results of ongoing performance and assessment of data. All Reserves and Resources as referred to herein are in accordance with the JORC Code. Refer to last slide of this presentation for the relevant Competent Person statements. Resources are inclusive of Reserves. Certain statements contained in the Presentation Materials, including information as to the future financial or operating performance of the Company and its projects, are forward looking statements. Such forward looking statements: a) are necessarily based upon a number of estimates and assumptions that, while considered reasonable by the Company, are inherently subject to significant technical, business, economic, competitive, political and
social uncertainties and contingencies; b) involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from estimated or anticipated events or results reflected in such forward looking statements; and c) may include, among other things, statements regarding estimates and assumptions in respect of prices, costs, results and capital expenditure, and are or may be based on assumptions and estimates related to future
technical, economic, market, political, social and other conditions. The Company disclaims any intent or obligation to publicly update any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or results or otherwise. The words “believe”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “indicate”, “contemplate”, “target”, “plan”, “intends”, “continue”, “budget”, “estimate”, “may”, “will”, “schedule” and similar expressions identify forward looking statements. All forward looking statements contained in the Presentation Materials are qualified by the foregoing cautionary statements. Recipients are cautioned that forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and accordingly recipients are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty therein. The Presentation Materials do not purport to be all inclusive or to contain all information about the Company. This presentation is not a prospectus, disclosure document or other offering document under Australian law or under any other law. It is provided for information purposes and is not an invitation nor offer of shares for subscription, purchase or sale in any jurisdiction. Take care to question and carefully evaluate any judgments you might make, on the basis of the Presentation Materials, as to the value of Saracen and its securities. This presentation is not intended to provide the sole or principal basis of any investment or credit decision or any other risk evaluation and may not be considered as a recommendation by Saracen or its officers. Any investor reading the Presentation Materials should determine its interest in acquiring securities in Saracen on the basis of independent investigations that it considers necessary, prudent or desirable. Saracen and its officers do not accept any liability for any loss or damage suffered or incurred by any investor or any other person or entity however caused (including negligence) relating in any way to this presentation including, without limitation, the information contained in it, any errors or omissions however caused by any other person or entity placing any reliance on the Presentation Materials, its accuracy or reliability.
Corporate Overview
Corporate Structure ASX Code SAR
Shares 792.8m
Share Price1 $0.38
Market Cap1 A$301m
Enterprise Value1 A$274m
Cash2 A$27m Debt2 Nil (A$12m prepaid in Feb 15)
Net Cash2 A$27m
Hedging3 186koz @ A$1,539/oz (11% of ore resv)
Mineral Resources4 6.9 Moz
Ore Reserves4 1.7 Moz
Board Non-Executive Chairman Geoff Clifford
Managing Director Raleigh Finlayson
Non-Executive Director Barrie Parker
Non-Executive Director Martin Reed
Non-Executive Director Samantha Tough
Management Chief Financial Officer Gerry Kaczmarek
Chief Operating Officer Craig Bradshaw
Geology & Exploration Daniel Howe
Substantial Shareholders Seven Group/ Wroxby 8.0%
Paradice Investments 6.9%
Van Eck Associates 6.5%
Karara Capital 5.2%
Eley Griffiths Group 5.1%
1. As at 10 March 2015 2. As at 27 February 2015 3. As at 31 December 2014 4. As at 30 June 2014
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Key Assets Thunderbox Operations: • DFS Due March 2015 • 2.5Mtpa CIL plant • Operational 2002 – 2007 • Produced 805koz @ US$290/oz Cash Costs • 2.8Moz Mineral Resources • 783koz Ore Reserves • 5 year mine life already in ore reserve
Carosue Dam Operations: • Developing a 5 year plan • 2.4Mtpa CIL Plant • Whirling Dervish OP +++ cashflow generation • Red October – record gold production • Karari Exploration Decline future upside catalyst
Combined Assets: • Vision + 300koz Producer • Vision < A$1,075/oz AISC • Vision + 5 years LOMP • Vision - 100% from organic growth • Vision - funded from internal cashflows • 6.9Moz Mineral Resources • 1.7Moz Ore Reserves
Carosue Dam Operations (CDO)
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Red October: • 60koz delivered in FY2014 @ 6.4g/t • 60koz guidance in FY2015 @ 6.9g/t • Total UG production – 560kt @ 7.06g/t for 127koz • Record 21,511oz @ 8.43g/t delivered in Dec-14 Qtr • Recent High Grade drilling results:
• 3.1m @ 94.9g/t • 0.3m @ 337g/t • 3.7m @ 120.8g/t • 4.9m @ 104.7g/t
Carosue Dam: • 2.4mtpa CIL Plant • Record gold production of 42.8koz in Dec-14 • Record operational cashflow of A$16.4m in Dec-14 • Whirling Dervish OP - Strip Ratio <2.0:1 (w:o) • Whirling Dervish OP - Grade 1.6g/t rising to +2.0g/t • Karari - 28,000 metre exploration drilling program started • Karari - targeting +4 year UG ore reserve
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Whi
rling
Der
vish
Pro
duct
ion
STO
CK
PILE
ORE STOCKPILE 1.67mt @ 1.05g/t
for 56,400 oz (as at 31 Dec 14)
Existing Deferred Free Cashflow of
~A$35.5m @ <A$900/oz AISC
Stockpile will
continue to grow to > 2.4mt & 100koz by the end of FY2015
@ < A$800/oz AISC = ~A$72m
Deferred FCF S/
PILE
Carosue Dam Operations - Guidance
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FY2015 (Jul-14 to Jun-15) • Guidance of 145,000 to 155,000 ounces (set at start of FY2015) • 79,419 ounces delivered in 1st half… circa 160,000 ounce pa run rate • On track to comfortably exceed full year guidance:
• Grade increases from Whirling Dervish OP • Guidance being exceeded from Red October UG due to higher grades
FY2016 (Jul-15 to Jun-16) • Guidance to be advised in 2H FY2015 • Mill Feed from:
• Red October UG (guidance to be provided 2H FY2015) • Karari UG (guidance to be provided 2H FY2015) • Whirling Dervish Stockpile Ore (approx’ 100koz available for milling)
• Likely similar or better mill production as FY2015 • Lower AISC due to available Ore Stockpile (100koz @ <A$800/oz)
Carosue Dam Operations – Karari Exploration *2m intervals
18m @ 5.8g/t
Bottom benches of the Karari Open Pit completed in early FY2014 with a 95% overcall on grade - 1.72g/t reserve v 3.35g/t actual
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Thun
derb
ox O
pera
tions
Acquisition (21/01/2014): • A$20m cash on Settlement; • A$3m cash upon the sooner of
commencement of commercial production, or if, after a period of 24 months following settlement, the prevailing gold price has exceeded A$1,550/oz for a calendar month;
• 1.5% NSR Royalty on the Thunderbox Operations - capped at A$17 million.
Equates to an acquisition cost of: • A$11 per Resource ounce • A$32 per Reserve ounce • Includes 2.5mtpa mill & facilities
Thunderbox 2.5mtpa CIL Plant
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2.5mtpa gold processing facility. Similar size plant and scope of refurbishment as Saracen’s Carosue Dam 2.4mtpa plant
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Thun
derb
ox –
His
toric
al P
rodu
ctio
n
805koz produced over 4.75 years (170kozpa) during early-mid 2000’s 100% from Thunderbox open pit @ 2.4g/t average grade Grade reconciliation performance excellent – within 1% of resource Excellent Mill Recoveries of 95.1% over life of project Very low Cash Costs of US$290/oz over life of project Remained in Care & Maintenance whilst owned by the World’s largest
Nickel Producer (Norilsk) during the gold bull run (ie) no depletion!
Thunderbox Operations Development Plans
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Acquisition Case Development Plans (Jan-14): • US$45 - $55m Capex • 100% open pit mill feed • 728,000 ounces (431,000 ounces - Thunderbox OP; 297,000 ounces – Bannockburn OP) • Approx’ 140,000 ounces per annum • Approx’ A$1,100/oz AISC
Feasibility Study Development Plans (as at Feb-15): • Final Feasibility study outcomes due to be released in March 2015 • Phase 1 Open Pit Development from Thunderbox – years 1 to 4 • Phase 2 Underground Development from Thunderbox (subject to drilling) – year 3+ • Phase 3 Open Pit Development from Bannockburn, Mangilla, Rainbow & North Well
(subject to feasibility study) – year 5+
Thunderbox Development Timeline
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Settlement
Approvals
Feasibility Study
Thunderbox Extension Drilling
Thunderbox Drilling Results
Bannockburn Infill Drilling
Bannockburn Drilling Results
Development Decision*
Plant Refurbishment
Development
Commissioning
Production
* Subject to positive feasib ility results
Jun QThunderbox Operations FY2016Dec Q Mar Q Jun Q Sep Q Dec Q Mar Q
FY2015
On track
On track
Assays Pending
Assays Pending
Decision Pending
On track to double Saracen’s production to ~300kozpa
On track
On track
News Flow!
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March 2015 Qtr: • ½ Year Accounts • Red October Drilling Results • Karari Exploration Update • Thunderbox Drilling Results • Bannockburn Drilling Results • Thunderbox Feasibility Study
June 2015 Qtr: • Karari Drilling Results • Blue Manna Drilling Results • Red October Ore Reserve Update • Red October Drilling Results • FY2016 Guidance
September 2015 Qtr: • Full Year Accounts • Ore Reserves Update • Whirling Dervish UG Feasibility • Deep South UG Feasibility • Red October Drilling Results • Karari Drilling Results
December 2015 Qtr: • 2015 Annual Report • 2015 Annual General Meeting • Karari Drilling Results • Red October Drilling Results • Guidance Update >FY2017
Vision – Join the Mid Tier Ranks
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Mid Tier Juniors
Join the Mid Tier Ranks – How? • > 300 koz pa • < A$1,075/oz AISC • + 5 years combined LOMP • 100% from organic growth • Funded from cashflows
Source: Macquarie Capital