rate flags - comerc€¦ · initial forecast june/13 1st review may/13 2nd review may/13 3rd review...

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Page 1: Rate Flags - Comerc€¦ · Initial forecast June/13 1st Review May/13 2nd Review May/13 3rd Review May/13. 1 Rate Flags 1 Comerc Sector Index (May 2013) 1 Reservoir Level . 1 Comerc

1

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Page 2: Rate Flags - Comerc€¦ · Initial forecast June/13 1st Review May/13 2nd Review May/13 3rd Review May/13. 1 Rate Flags 1 Comerc Sector Index (May 2013) 1 Reservoir Level . 1 Comerc

1

Short Term Model Price (PLD)

Average Weekly Price – June 2013 – R$/MWh

Monthly

Price R$/MWh Variation R$/MWh Variation R$/MWh Variation

1st

Week

2nd

Week

3rd

Week

4th

Week

5th

Week

June May/13 Jun/May13 Dec/12 Jun13/Dec12 Jun/12 Jun13/Jun12

Southeas

t 323.54 150.39 159.7 137.97 75.20 Southeast

207.62 344.84 -40% 259.57 -20% 118.49 75%

South 323.54 150.39 159.7 137.85 38.98 South 204.10 344.84 -41% 259.57 -21% 118.49 72%

Northeast 323.54 150.39 159.7 137.97 99.38 Northeast 207.94 344.94 -40% 253.24 -18% 118.65 75%

North 323.54 150.39 159.7 137.97 75.71 North 207.67 344.84 -40% 253.24 -18% 118.49 75%

Source: CCEE

Average Weekly Price - June 2013 – US$/MWh

Monthly

Price US$/MWh Variation US$/MWh Variation US$/MWh Variation

1st

Week

2nd

Week

3rd

Week

4th

Week

5th

Week

June May/13 Jun/May13 Dec/12 Jun13/Dec12 Jun/12 Jun13/Jun12

Southeas

t 146.03 67.88 72.08 62.27 33.94 Southeast

93.71 161.75 -42% 127.02 -26% 58.62 60%

South 146.03 67.88 72.08 62.22 17.59 South 92.12 161.75 -43% 127.02 -27% 58.62 57%

Northeast 146.03 67.88 72.08 62.27 44.85 Northeast 93.85 161.80 -42% 123.92 -24% 58.70 60%

North 146.03 67.88 72.08 62.27 34.17 North 93.73 161.75 -42% 123.92 -24% 58.62 60%

Exchange rates: R$ 2.0213/USS in June/12, R$ 2.0435/USS in December/12, R$ 2.1319/USS in May/13, R$ 2.2156/USS in June/13.

Inflow Monitoring June

98%24,659

90%8,683

58%2,286

88%4,021

134%33,769 116%

11,169

68%3,289

84%3,807

134%33,820

88%8,471 63%

3,071

88%4,009

139%35,066 115%

11,119

62%3,026

86%3,920

020406080

100120140160180

Southeast South Northeast North

Monthly Forecast for inflows published by ONS(ENA in % of MLT and average MW)

Initial forecast June/13 1st Review May/13 2nd Review May/13 3rd Review May/13

Page 3: Rate Flags - Comerc€¦ · Initial forecast June/13 1st Review May/13 2nd Review May/13 3rd Review May/13. 1 Rate Flags 1 Comerc Sector Index (May 2013) 1 Reservoir Level . 1 Comerc

1

Rate Flags

Page 4: Rate Flags - Comerc€¦ · Initial forecast June/13 1st Review May/13 2nd Review May/13 3rd Review May/13. 1 Rate Flags 1 Comerc Sector Index (May 2013) 1 Reservoir Level . 1 Comerc

1

Comerc Sector Index (May 2013)

Page 5: Rate Flags - Comerc€¦ · Initial forecast June/13 1st Review May/13 2nd Review May/13 3rd Review May/13. 1 Rate Flags 1 Comerc Sector Index (May 2013) 1 Reservoir Level . 1 Comerc

1

Reservoir Level

Page 6: Rate Flags - Comerc€¦ · Initial forecast June/13 1st Review May/13 2nd Review May/13 3rd Review May/13. 1 Rate Flags 1 Comerc Sector Index (May 2013) 1 Reservoir Level . 1 Comerc

1

Comerc Clipping

Page 7: Rate Flags - Comerc€¦ · Initial forecast June/13 1st Review May/13 2nd Review May/13 3rd Review May/13. 1 Rate Flags 1 Comerc Sector Index (May 2013) 1 Reservoir Level . 1 Comerc

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Glossary