real estate presentation
DESCRIPTION
Project for real estate class, UC BerkeleyTRANSCRIPT
+
Galaxy Park IIInvestment Opportunity
+You should buy this Property.
And here is why.
+
The Building• Built in 1989 at Concord, CA• Reflective Pond• Marble and Glass• Recently Renovated
The property
+ The property
The Floor Plan• 4 Story • 97,000 SF• Flexible• 2 Elevators
+ The property
Transportation• BART• Shuttle• Parking lot
+The location
• Lower rents• Retail centerConcord
• Steady Growth• Household incomePopulation
• High tech, service, finance and real estate
Employment
+The market
Lower unemployment
Demand for space pushes rent upwards
No additional development
Declining vacancy rate
19981999
20002001
20022003
20042005
20062007
20082009
20102011
20120.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
Vacancy Rate in Concord
+The Market
Great Opportunities
Leasing activity
increase 40%
Market rent up to $2,00 sf
Class A building
lower vacancy rate
+ Competition
Competitive advantage
Freeway frontage
Class A
Parking
Flexible design
Amenities
+Appraisals
Method Total Price Price per SF
Replacement cost 24.036.600 248
Comparables 10.650.600 110
Income Growth 11.413.035 118
Income Cap rate 13.387.067 138
We Suggest $110/sf
+Mortgage Options
Wells Fargo
• 75% amount• 4% annual
interest• 25 year
maturity• $42,240 per
month
Bank of America
• 75% amount• 5% annual
interest• 15 year
maturity• $63,283 per
month
Year Interest Amortization Mortgage Outstanding
1 316.637 190.244 7.812.256 2 308.886 197.995 7.614.260 3 300.820 206.062 7.408.199 4 292.425 214.457 7.193.741 5 283.687 223.194 6.970.547 6 274.594 232.288 6.738.259 7 265.130 241.752 6.496.508 8 255.281 251.601 6.244.907 9 245.030 261.851 5.983.055
10 234.362 272.520 5.710.536 11 223.259 283.623 5.426.913 12 211.704 295.178 5.131.735 13 199.678 307.204 4.824.532 14 187.162 319.720 4.504.812 15 174.136 332.746 4.172.066 16 160.580 346.302 3.825.764 17 146.471 360.411 3.465.353 18 131.787 375.095 3.090.258 19 116.505 390.377 2.699.882 20 100.600 406.281 2.293.600 21 84.048 422.834 1.870.767 22 66.821 440.061 1.430.706 23 48.892 457.989 972.717 24 30.233 476.649 496.068 25 10.814 496.068 -
+Financial analysis: Key Facts
Data ValueBase Rent 2.153.400,00 NOI 967.927,60 ATCF 202.291 Operating expenses/sf 8,92 Operating expenses/gross revenue 47%Added Margin 17%Break Even Occupancy 80,36%Loan to Value 75%Debt coverage 2,10
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 and Sale IRR
CF Before Tax -2.667.500 318.826 353.380 389.143 426.154 6.793.960 29%
CF After Tax -2.667.500 178.143 196.760 216.018 235.937 5.849.550 22%
+The Tenants
Suite Tenant Rentable SF Rent SF per Month Lease Start Lease End
100 Vacant 2.548
120 Vacant 3.184
130 Vacant 4.841
140 Tbp Architecture 5.606 $1,90 ago-10 nov-15
150 Barrett Business Services 3.641 $2,00 dic-10 nov-15
200 Inovis 17.112 $1,85 nov-11 ott-16
220 Blackhawk Claims 3.349 $2,00 feb-10 ott-15
250 East Bay Regional Data 3.689 $2,30 feb-09 gen-14
300 Vacant 14.312
320 Vacant 7.067
330 Old Republic Title 3.805 $2,05 feb-07 giu-14
400 Old Republic Title 12.324 $2,05 feb-07 giu-14
435 California Psychiastic Medical 1.657 $2,15 ott-08 set-14
440 Benefitmall 4.937 $2,00 lug-09 lug-14
445 Rimkus Consulting 3.474 $1,90 ago-11 lug-16
450 Mutual of Omaha 2.740 $1,90 giu-11 mag-16
135A Tbp Architecture 419 $1,90 ago-09 nov-14
135B Vacant 2.301
6 in 2014
3 in 2015
1 in 2016
Lease end Average
$2,02 per sf per month
35% vacant
Full Service Gross
Rents
+Problems
High Vacancy rate
High Purchase price
Low Appreciation
+For the Skeptics: Scenario and Sensitivity Analysis
Data Best Base WorstPurchase
price/sq foot 100 115 120
Rent/sq foot 2 1,85 1,75Rent growth 4% 3% 3%
Op Ex 7,5 8,85 9Op ex growth 1% 2% 3%Vacancy rate 10% 15% 17%
Cap rate 7% 8% 8%
BTIRR 65% 23,16% 7,66%ATIRR 51% 16,70% 3,12%
• Sales Cap rate 14%• Vacancy 31%• Rents $1.5 sq per month• Op expenses $14.5 sf• Rent growth -3%• Op ex growth 12%
0% ATIRR
+Who is this property for?
Does not want to be involved in Renovation
Lacks time to manage the property
Prefers small to medium size tenants
Is willing to offer below market rents for the first years
Is looking for a 20% return
Is willing to take same risk
+
So…
Did we convince you?
+Appendix: Replacement Cost Appraisal
Replacement cost Notes sf $/sf Totals
I. LANDTotal Land 121.968 15,00 1.829.520
II. HARD COSTS (1)
Shell & Core 97.000 115,00 11.155.000Site Work 97.000 8,00 776.000
Below Grade Parking 97.000 12,00 1.164.000Tenant Improvements 97.000 30,00 2.910.000
Total Building & Garage 97.000 165,00 16.005.000III. SOFT COSTS
Total Soft Costs 25% of building and garage 97.000 41,25 4.001.250
IV. DEVELOPER OVERHEAD & PROFITTotal Developer Overhead &
Profit 12% of I + II + III 97.000 26,55 2.575.350
V. TOTAL REPLACEMENT COSTS
Total Replacement Costs 97.000 247,80 24.036.600
(1) $/sf for hard costs was based on an analysis that Bovis Construction did on a similar property located in the Concord submarket.
+Appendix: Comparables Appraisal
Property data
Size Price per sf
Tot Sale Price Date Sale Date built Location Weighted Price
per sf
80.000 95 7.600.000 Apr-11 1970 Walnut Creek 8,14
60.000 150 9.000.000 Feb-12 1985 Walnut Creek 25,71
300.000 67 20.100.000 Jun-11 1986 Concord 7,66
80.000 90 7.200.000 Aug-11 1986 Concord 18,00
350.000 100 35.000.000 Sep-11 1988 Concord 14,29
75.000 120 9.000.000 Oct-11 1990 San Ramon 20,57
200.000 70 14.000.000 Jul-11 2009 Walnut Creek 4,00
250.000 200 50.000.000 Jan-12 2009 Walnut Creek 11,43
110
+Appendix: Income Appraisal
AssumptionsTV growth 2%Cap rate 7%
Discount rate 11%
AppraisalYear NOI PV (NOI)
1 967.928 872.0072 1.005.615 816.1803 1.044.606 763.8074 1.084.943 714.6855 1.126.670 668.624
TV growth 12.768.922 7.577.734TOT 11.413.035
Price per sf 117,66TV cap Rate 16.095.280 9.551.765
TOT 13.387.067Price per sf 138,01
+Appendix: Pro Forma
Data per sq foot/average 1 2 3 4 5
Base Rent $ 1,85 2.153.400 2.218.002 2.284.542 2.353.078 2.423.671
Additional Revenue $ 0,01 970 999 1.029 1.060 1.092
Expense Reimbursement $ 0,02 1.940 1.998 2.058 2.120 2.183
Potential Gross Income 2.156.310 2.220.999 2.287.629 2.356.258 2.426.946
Vacancy 15% 323.447 333.150 343.144 353.439 364.042
Effective Gross Income 1.832.864 1.887.849 1.944.485 2.002.819 2.062.904
Property Insurance $ 0,31 30.070 30.671 31.285 31.911 32.549
Management Fees $ 0,57 54.986 56.086 57.207 58.351 59.519
Administrative Fees $ 0,20 19.400 19.788 20.184 20.587 20.999
Utilities $ 2,70 261.900 267.138 272.481 277.930 283.489
Maintenance $ 0,82 79.540 81.131 82.753 84.408 86.097
Cleaning $ 1,40 135.800 138.516 141.286 144.112 146.994
Payroll $ 0,80 77.600 79.152 80.735 82.350 83.997
Security $ 0,60 58.200 59.364 60.551 61.762 62.998
Real Estate Taxes $ 1,22 118.340 120.707 123.121 125.583 128.095
Landscaping $ 0,30 29.100 29.682 30.276 30.881 31.499
Tot Expenses $ 8,92 864.936 882.235 899.879 917.877 936.234
NOI 967.928 1.005.615 1.044.606 1.084.943 1.126.670
Tenant Improvements $ 0,21 20.000 20.000 20.000 20.000 20.000
Leasing Commissions 5% 107.670 110.900 114.227 117.654 121.184
Capital Reserve $ 0,20 19.400 19.400 19.400 19.400 19.400
Debt Service 460.802 460.802 460.802 460.802 460.802
Cash Flow before tax 360.056 394.513 430.177 467.087 505.284
Depreciation 248.718 248.718 248.718 248.718 248.718
Interest 287.852 280.806 273.473 265.841 257.898
Capital reserve 19.400 19.400 19.400 19.400 19.400
Taxable Income 450.758 495.491 541.815 589.784 639.454
Tax 0,35 157.765 173.422 189.635 206.424 223.809
AT CF 202.291 221.091 240.542 260.663 281.476
+Appendix: Sale
Cash from Sale
sale price 12.894.107
selling costs 644.705
mortgage balance 6.336.861
BTCF 5.912.541
net sale price 12.249.402
cost basis 9.700.000
accumulated dep 1.243.590
adjusted basis 8.456.410
capital gains 3.792.992
Price Appreciation 2.549.402
Depreciation 1.243.590
capital gains tax 693.308
ATCF from sale 5.219.233