republic hydrometeorological service of serbia hidmet.rs meteoalarm.rs

RHMS OF SERBIA

HYDRO-METEOROLOGICAL WARNING SYSTEM

Republic hydrometeorological service of Serbia

www.hidmet.gov.rs www.meteoalarm.rs

Slobodan [email protected]

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• Law on meteorological and hydrological activities (“Official Gazette of RS”, No. 88/10),• Law on Emergency Situations (“Official Gazette of RS”, No. 111/09),• Water Law (“Official Gazette of RS”, No. 30/10).

RHMSS – Center for hyd-met early warning and alerts is primary national authority and official source for issuing warning and alerts

Responsibility: early warning and alerts on the hydro-meteorological hazards

Legislative framework


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Basic components of hydrometeorological early warning system

• Meteorological and Hydrological observing system

• Analytical – forecasting system

• Computing - telecommunication system

Computer and Telecommunication system of the NMS of Serbia

Internet

Router

Router

Router

NisNovi Sad

Regional observatory

Terminalserver

Modems

ECMWF

Domestic Subscribers

Civil aviation

Army

Pilot Met Briefing

Airport 2Airport 1

Special User access toIntra Web server

Receiver

AWS Upper-airstation

Radarnetwork

Lightningdetector

Surface observations

SADIS DWD SatMETEOSATEUMETCast,

LAN

VPN

NMC data servers

GTS Message Switching

TV / Press

Offenbach DWD FTP Server backup connection

Montenegro

RouterFirewall

Satellite Imagery

Climatological Database

Alerts RSS feeds

Satellite modem

Router

SADIS 2G Receiver

LNB

Meteo Web Server

Intra Web Server

RMDCN512 kbps

NWP HPC Cluster

Forecaster Workstation

FTP Server Mail Server

DNS Servers

Proxy Server

RMDCN Server

VMWare ESX Virtual Cluster

WiennaBudapest

NowcastingWarning Editor

Router

RMDCN data servers

Leased linesWirelles,VPN

Government

Data Storage


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• Main met stations• AMS

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• Climatological program 66

• Precipitation program 650

• Air quality and precipitation chemistry program

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• Radioactivity program 8

• Upper air observations 1

• Phenological program 52

• Soil Moisture Measurement AT Delta-T (Profile probe type PR2)

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Meteorological Observing System


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Numerical Operational Models in use


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Criteria and thresholds:

Climatological extremes

Impacts on activities and propertiesDamages caused by severe event

Warning degree:

No serious event

Potentially serious event

Serious event

Extreme event

WARNING

Hydrometeorological support after the event

Advices concerning the event (before, during, after)

The example for wind speed

No serious event < 17 m/s

Potentially serious event<24 m/s

Serious event < 28 m/s

Extreme event >28 m/s

The process of forming announcements and warnings


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MeteoAlarm and HydroAlarm are the core of Hydro-Meteorological Warning System.

Colour coded map in combination with special symbols for dangerous meteorological elements and phenomena provides a quick overview forecast of dangerous meteorological elements and phenomena.

For the universality of weather warning system we use the logic of European MeteoAlarm with the same graphic and colour symbols.

Four levels of risk are identified. Each colour represents one level of the risk.

Green - no risk, Yellow - the weather is potentially dangerous, Orange - the weather is dangerous andRed - the weather is very dangerous.


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Warnings and forecasts on the WEB

Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia: www.hidmet.gov.rsMeteoalarm: www.meteoalarm.rs and www.meteoalarm.euRegional Climate Change Center: www.seevccc.rs


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Extremely (in the cases of severe weather event) - warnings for:

Emergency services (services for monitoring and notification) Ministry of Internal Affairs, Department for Protection and Rescue Serbian Government, Media (radio and TV stations) Local authority and public utilities Ways of notification: on briefing, by fax (special bulletins), by phone, by E-male,

Website, FTP, SMS.

Phenomena and dissemination

Extreme low Extreme low temperaturetemperature

ForestfireForestfireThunderstorThunderstormsms

RainRain

Extreme high Extreme high temperaturetemperature

FogFogSnow/ IceSnow/ IceWindWind



RainRain





RainRain





RainRain




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Bulletin for Sector for emergency management

• Operational Bulletin - early warning and forecast for next 5 days & general forecast for D+6 to D+10 - Country level;

• Bulletin of warning - warning for currently day and tomorrow – Regions\Districts level and

• Warning - warning for next 2-6 hours - Districts level

Serbia = 11 Regions or 29 Districts

The meteorological warning system is compatible with Meteoalarm – phenomena and level of awareness (www.meteoalarm.rs, www.meteoalarm.eu )


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• Meteorological data from main meteorological stations

• Weather forecast and alerts for five days ahead and general forecast for ten days ahead.

• Monthly weather forecast

• Seasonal weather forecast

• Observed hydrological data

• Hydrological forecast and warnings

www.hidmet.gov.rswww.hidmet.gov.rs

Operational hydrometeorological bulletin


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Weather forecast with warning and level of awareness Date Forecast Warning/Probability of weather

phenomena

13.02.2012.Monday

Cloudy with snow. Becoming mostly cloudy and dry in western and southwestern part at first from the middle of the day. Northwesterly wind light to moderate. Minimum temperatures between -11°С and -7°С, maximum from -7°С to -2°С.

Minimum temperature less than -10°C. The weather is dangerous.

80%

14.02.2012.Tuesday

Very cold and mostly dry. Light snow on hills. Minimum temperatures from -16°С to -10°С, locally -20°С, maximum between -8°С and -4°С.

Minimum temperature less than -15°C. The weather is very dangerous.

80%

15.02.2012.Wednesday

Becoming increasingly cloudy and windy with snow in the north at first. Over others part of country during the day. Blizzard and snow causes in southeastern part and on hills and mountains. Minimum temperatures between -12°С and -5°С, locally -15°С, maximum temperatures from -3°С to +2°С.

Minimum temperature less than -15°C. The weather is very dangerous.

80%

16.02.2012.Thursday

Cloudy and windy with snow, especially on hills and mountains with blizzard and snow causes. Northwest wind moderate to strong. Minimum temperatures from -11°С to -5°С, maximum temperatures between -3°С and +1°С.


70%

Gust wind ≥ 17 m/s (≥60 km/h).The weather may be hazardous.

70%

17.02.2012.Friday

Cloudy and windy with snow, especially on hills and mountains with blizzard and snow causes. Northwest wind moderate to strong, becoming light to moderate by evening. Minimum temperatures between -10°С and -5°С, maximum temperatures from -5°С to 0°С.


70%

Gust wind ≥ 17 m/s (≥60 km/h).The weather may be hazardous.

70%

Forecast for next five days (from 18.02. 2012. to 22.02.2012)

Remaining with light snow at times in the north and on hills and mountains on Saturday. Otherwise dry with morning frost and possibility of fog mainly in a valley. Daytime temperatures slightly increasing and becoming above zero. Wind light to moderate backing South to Southeast. Snow cover will start to melt, particularly in western part of Serbia.


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Impacts according of warning and level of awareness


Minimum temperature less than -10°C: A very dangerous weather situation when continues for several consecutive days. Endangered lives of people and animals, problems in thermal and electric power supply, road and river traffic problems, forestry damages, problems in civil engineering construction works and damages of other weather dependent sectors of economy.

Minimum temperature less than -15°C: Extreme dangerous weather situation when continues for several consecutive days. Endangered lives of people and animals (high risk of body cooling, frostbites or even death), problems in thermal and electric power supply, road and river traffic problems, forestry damages and damages of other weather dependent sectors of economy.

Gust wind ≥ 17 m/s (≥60 km/h): Possible damage of properties, problems in transportation (cars veer on road), forest damage, damage of trees in parks and individual trees (some twigs broken from trees, some branches break off trees), problems in civil engineering construction works - especially works with cranes, indirect impact on the safety of people and animals, makes already existing dangerous security situations more complicated (forest and other fires, environmental disasters, disturbance of rescue actions). Impacts apply to facilities built of hard materials, facilities that are well maintained on healthy trees and the like.

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Water level forecast warningRiver Hydrological forecast Warning

Dunav Danube water level will be in stagnation to the end of the period Currently no warnings

Tisa Tisa water level will be in stagnation to the end of the period Currently no warnings

Banatski vodotoci Water level on the Banat streams will be in stagnation until the end of the second decade of February and than in slight increase

Currently no warnings

Sava Sava water level will be in stagnation and small increase until the end of the second decade of February and than in slight increase


Drina Drina water level will be in stagnation until the end of the second decade of February and than in slight increase



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Ice forecast with ice defense levelRiver Sum of negative daily mean air temperature for the period until

17. February 2012. Ice defense level

Dunav On Danube from Bezdan to Prahovo will be in range from -1520С to -1600С

Extraordinary ice defense

Tisa On Tisa to -1880С Extraordinary ice defense

Velika Morava On Velika Morava to -1980С Extraordinary ice defense

Banatski vodotoci On Banat streams to -1840С Extraordinary ice defense

Sava On Sava to -1950С Extraordinary ice defense

Ice forecast until 17. February 2012. Retain the existing appearance of the ice with an increase of the ice thickness and density of floating and stationary ice .

Ice forecast from 18. to 22. February 2012.During that period we will have retain of the existing ice conditions.

WARNING: The following ten days ice phenomena on rivers will be retained, with the increase in the percentage of coverage of water ice and mirrors with increasing thickness of the ice. This phenomenon can be dangerous for the hydro facilities. Boating on the river was stopped. In the next seven days there are no conditions for floods in Serbia. From 20 February 2012 it is expected slight water levels rise due to the gradual melting of snow.


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Bulletin of warning

Region District Level of awareness Phenomena

Backa Severno BackiThe weather is

potentially dangerousWind gusts over 17 m/sZapadno Backi

Juzno BackiBanat Severno Banatski

The weather is very dangerous

Wind gusts over 28 m/sSrednje BanatskiЈужно Банатски

Srem Sremski The weather is potentially dangerous

Wind gusts over 17 m/s

Belgrade Belgrade city The weather is dangerous


West Serbia MacvanskiNo awareness

No phenomenaKolubarski

Sumadia Sumadijski The weather is potentially dangerous


Pomoravlje PodunavskiNo awareness

No phenomenaBranicevskiPomoravski

East Serbia BorskiNo awareness

No phenomenaZajecarski

Southeast Serbia Rasinski

No awarenessNo phenomena

NisavskiToplickiPirotski

Jablanicki

Republic Hydrometeorological Service of SerbiaCenter for hydrometeorological system of early warning and alerts

WARNING OF IMPACTS EXTRAORDINARY OR HAZARD PHENOMENAFor Sector of emergency management

Date issuing: May 03. 2013. Validity period from: 00:00 May 04. 2013 to: 00:00 May 05. 2013.


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Warning massagesWARNINGTime of issuing: DD.MM.YYYY hh:mmPeriod of duration phenomena, Region/District and PhenomenaFor more information visit www.meteoalarm.rs Forecaster: Name and Surnamephone: +381 11 2542 184WarningTime of issuing May 22, 2013 14:50

In the next hour hailstorm with gusty winds in Sumadija district will move toward the west, in Pomoravski district, and then becomes weak.

For more information visit www.meteoalarm.rs Forecaster: Slobodan SoviljPhone: +381 11 2542 184


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FWI index on www.hidmet.gov.rs

Forecast weather conditions for forest firewww.meteoalarm.rs/ciril/fwi_p.php

Bulletin for forecast weather conditions • For forest fires• For Serbia and Balkan peninsula

Extraordinary Bulletin for forecast weather conditions • Area affected by fire• Every day during forest fires

Weather forecast by SMS • Area affected by fire• Every day during forest fires

Activities of RHMSS during forest fires


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Extreme meteorological and hydrological events during 2012.Cold wave, snow cover and ice river on February 2012.

Heat wave, fires forest and drought


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Emergence situation in Serbia, February 2012Ice on rivers


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Emergence situation in Serbia, February 2012

In Belgrade woman was killed by Icicles.

Icicle of 300 kg weight was fallen from the roof into apartment.


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In the eastern and central parts of the continent in the period from 5th to 11th February temperature was in average 9°C lower than multi annual average, and maximum daily temperature did not exceed -15°C

Snow cover in Serbia was from 60 cm (lowland landscapes) to 150 cm (Mountain regions).Snowdrift was from 2 m to 3 m.

Cold wave from 29. January to 15. February 2012.


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The Serbian government declared an emergency situation

Official Gazette of the Republic of Serbia No 9 from February 5th 2012

The meeting of the Republican Headquarters for Emergency Situations


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Summer 2012. – One of the warmestHeat waves: 16. - 24.June, 29.June – 15.July and 19.- 26. AugustAt some stations exceeded the historical max. number of tropical days and nights.Consequences: high to extreme (agro-meteorological and hydrological) drought, numerous forest fires (July-August)

Summer 2012. - Heat waves Republic hydrometeorological service of Serbia

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The RCM model from RHMSS/SEEVCCC signalled a very warm summer and precipitation deficit as early as in April. Therefore, climate watch and heat waves and drought warnings were issued by RHMSS MHEWS services timely.

SEEVCCC seasonal forecast of mean temperature and precipitation anomalies for the Jun-July-August 2012 season, published on April 1, 2012

Summer 2012. - Heat waves and drought Republic hydrometeorological service of Serbia

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Moisture conditions in Serbia estimated on the basis of the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI).

29.07.2012. 16.09.2012.Summer 2012. – Drought


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In 2012. observed 18.115 fires.Number of fires in the open from year to year increases in 2007. there were eight major forest fire in 2011. age 14, in 2012. The 20 large wildfires.

In the open fires this year killed 16 and injured 79 people.In firefighting daily approximately 700 firefighters participated, out of 3000 as there are in Serbia.

Summer 2012. – Forest fires Republic hydrometeorological service of Serbia

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THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION!


www.hidmet.gov.rs www.meteoalarm.rs

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republic hydrometeorological service of serbia hidmet.rs meteoalarm.rs

Documents

precipitation program

climatological program

dangerous andred

official source

colour symbols

air quality

special symbols

alerts responsibility