results ffor the year ended 31 march 2012 · capital to progress its projects. the company is s ......
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FFRESULTS
FOR THE YEAR ENDEDFOR THE YEAR ENDED31 MARCH 2012
P l Mill M i DiPaul Miller, Managing DirectorJacques Rossouw, Finance Director
Wednesday, 30 May 2012
DisclaimerDisclaimer
All t t t i thi t ti th th hAll statements in this presentation, other than h
and mining potential are forward-looking state
expectations expressed in such forward-loo
assumptions, such statements should not in a
performance. Factors that could cause develop
include exploration results, technical analysis andc ude e p o a o esu s, ec ca a a ys s a d
capital to progress its projects. The company is s
and mining business and general economic and b
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 2
hi t i l f t th t dd l ti ti itihistorical facts, that address exploration activities
ements. Although Keaton Energy believes the
oking statements are based on reasonable
any way be construed as guarantees of future
ments to differ materially from those expressed
d lack of availability to the company of necessaryd ac o a a ab y o e co pa y o ecessa y
subject to specific risks inherent in the exploration
business conditions.
Highlights for the yearHighlights for the year
» 2 7Mtpa production platform establis» 2.7Mtpa production platform establis
• 1.2Mt coal produced and sold
• revenue soars to R474m from Rrevenue soars to R474m from R
• 145% rise in HEPS to 25.2cps
• EPS up 783% to 90.9cpsp p
• 31% increase in NAV per share
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 3
shed across two operationsshed across two operations
R35mR35m
e to R4.45
Our marketsOur markets
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 4
Accelerating demand for t ll i l l metallurgical coal
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 5
Metallurgical coal prices Metallurgical coal prices
US$/US$/t
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 6
Source: Bloomberg, Edison Investment research
(US$/t) (US$/t)
Metallurgical anthracite pMetallurgical anthracite p
800
900R/t (12-month moving average across all size fract
600
700
300
400
500
100
200
300
0
Aug
-05
Oct
-05
Dec
-05
Feb-
06A
pr-0
6Ju
n-06
Aug
-06
Oct
-06
Dec
-06
Feb-
07A
pr-0
7Ju
n-07
Aug
-07
Oct
-07
Dec
-07
Feb-
08A
pr-0
8Ju
n-08
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 7
prices (R/t)prices (R/t)
tions and qualities)
Aug
-08
Oct
-08
Dec
-08
Feb-
09A
pr-0
9Ju
n-09
Aug
-09
Oct
-09
Dec
-09
Feb-
10A
pr-1
0Ju
n-10
Aug
-10
Oct
-10
Dec
-10
Feb-
11A
pr-1
1Ju
n-11
Aug
-11
Oct
-11
Dec
-11
Feb-
12
Spot thermal coal price p(US$/t)(US$/t)
US$/tUS$/t
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 8
Source: Bloomberg, Edison Investment Research
performance
South African thermal coSouth African thermal co
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 9
Source: GTIS, Macquarie Research, May 2012
oal exportsoal exports
Eskom coal consumption d tipower production
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 10
Source: Eskom, 1H12 annualised, RMB Morgan Stanley Re
and
search
Results reviewResults review
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 11
Group: production (tpa)Group: production (tpa)
1,200
1,400
600
800
1,000
'000
t
200
400
600
-2009 2010 2011 2012
Kli C lli V tf t i C lli 5 S VKlip Colliery Vanggatfontein Colliery - 5 Seam Va
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 12
700
800
900
400
500
600
'000
t
100
200
300
tf t i C lli E k ** V lk t A th it C lli *
0
100
2011 H1 2011 H2 2012 H1 2012 H2
anggatfontein Colliery - Eskom** Vaalkrantz Anthracite Colliery*
Group: revenue (Rm)Group: revenue (Rm)
500
400
450
500
300
350
400
200
250Rm
100
150
0
50
2008 2009 2010
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 14
Vaalkrantz - anthracite sales
Vanggatfontein - transport
Vanggatfontein - coal sales
Klip Colliery
2011 2012
Group: basic earnings peGroup: basic earnings pe
100
80
100
60
40cps
20
20
02008 2009 20
-20
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 16
er share (cps)er share (cps)
010 2011 2012
Group: headline earningsGroup: headline earnings
30
20
25
30
15
20
5
10
cps
-5
02008 2009 20
-15
-10
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 17
s per share (cps)s per share (cps)
010 2011 2012
LME transactionLME transaction
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 18
LME transaction re-visiteLME transaction re visite
» LME in financial distress» LME in financial distress• anthracite market collapse in 20
collapse post 2008 financial crisi ffi i t h fl t i• insufficient cash flow to service
• R45m in urgent funding from An» Keaton Energy proposed acquiring 7
business• ‘all-or-nothing’ deal on all loans,• R65m KEH advance to LME as
out Anglo (at a discount)» LME enters into offtake agreement w» Gunvor agrees to fund KEH’s acquis» Gunvor agrees to fund KEH s acquis» Refinancing concluded late 2010» Regulatory approval for equity acqui
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 19
eded
009, following ferrochrome market sesd bt d W t Aditdebt and open new West Adit
nglo Coal74%, preceded by refinancing the
, shares sought by Anglorescue funding: KEH agrees to take g g
with Gunvorsitionsition
sition late 2011
Operational reviewOperational review
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 20
Operational review: VangOperational review: Vang
» Approaching steady state» Significant investment made in pre-stripping
in Pit 1, now at steady state» Pit 2 partial steady state» Pit 2 partial steady state» Plant performance and availability continues
to improve• better contamination control from pit
i d bl ti d f t ti• improved blasting and fragmentation• better water system availability
er to
nne
Investing
tio/c
ash
cost
s pe
Free cashflow
Stri
p ra
t
Time
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 22
Time
ggatfonteinggatfontein
FY2012 FY2011 %
Key indicators
Waste m³ 7 293 945 3 202 098 +128%
ROM t 2 151 853 137 025 +1 470%
Strip ratio* 3.39 23.37 -85%
Saleable t 1 125 374 56 886 +1 878%
Reserves t 35 900 000 32 200 000 +11%Reserves t 35 900 000 32 200 000 11%
Capex Rm311 220
Employees and contractors
692 612+13%
Life of pit averageActual
Vanggatfontein: next stepVanggatfontein: next step
» Mine plan and plant optimisation in p» Mine plan and plant optimisation in p
• balanced wash yields
• steady 5 Seam productsteady 5 Seam product
• continuously improve plant avai
» Reach steady statey
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 23
psps
progressprogress
ilability
Operational review: VaalkOperational review: Vaalk
» 3½ months attributable to the group
» Better prices achieved
» Machine availability improved through refurbishment» Machine availability improved through refurbishment and new machines
» Electrical supply to the mine was problematic
» Investment in equipment continuesInvestment in equipment continues
50,000
60,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
Tonn
es
0
10,000
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 24
ROM Saleable Product
krantzkrantz
FY2012 FY2011 %
Key indicators
ROM t 559,725 280,858 +99%
Saleable t 351,331 180,739 +94%
Reserves t 2,535,672 3,096,869 -18%
Capex Rm 25,481,196 30,300,001 -16%Number of employees incl. contractors 723 687 +5%contractors 723 687 +5%
Vaalkrantz: next steps Vaalkrantz: next steps
» Prices are good and demand is high» Prices are good and demand is high
» Initiative under way to extend life of o
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 25
operation through additional resources
Project/prospect updateProject/prospect update
Project/Project/prospect Comment
Braakfontein » Most advanced project » Potential for 1Mtpa ROM underground export
thermal colliery near Newcastle» Reserve statement in preparation for AR
Koudelager » Life extension to Vaalkrantz» Mining right granted
Sterkfontein » 69Mt Samrec compliant resource declaredp» Concept study initiated
Mpati » Agreement to sell project on award and cession of mining right for R12m
Balgray » Mining right submittedBalgray » Mining right submitted
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 26
Group: capital expenditurGroup: capital expenditur
» Vanggatfontein: planned expenditure» Vanggatfontein: planned expenditureimprovements to plant
» Vaalkrantz: R30m in sustaining capi
• including acquisitions of key ma
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 27
rere
e to open Pit 3 and minore to open Pit 3 and minor
ital
achines
Financial reviewFinancial review
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 28
Financial review: incomeFinancial review: income
FY2012 FY2011FY2012 FY2011
Rm Rm
Revenue 474.4 35.2
Other income 25.5 0.4
Net operating costs(443.3) (53.6)
Results from operating activities 56.6 (18)Results from operating activities 56.6 (18)
Gain on business combination 114.4 -
Operating profit/(loss) 171 (18)
Net finance (cost)/income (13.4) 18.7
Net profit before tax 157.6 0.6
Tax (expense)/credit (8.3) 6.6
Net profit 149 7.2
Basic earnings per share (cents) 90.9 10.3
Headline earnings per share (cents) 25.2 10.3
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 29
statement statement
C tComments
Increase from ramp-up at Vanggatfontein and 3½ months of Vaalkrantz(R93 million)
Gain on refinancing LME loans
One year after re-capitalisation and turnaround of LME
Cash now fully invested and project finance drawn
Tax payable – interest earned on loans to LME
+783%
+145%
Financial review: balanceFinancial review: balance
31 Mar 2012 31 M
Rm
Property, plant and equipment 884.4 4
Intangible assets 423.9Intangible assets 423.9
Long-term financial assets - 1
Other non-current assets 22.6
Current assets 134.0
Cash 60.6
Total assets 1 525.5 7
Borrowings 248.8
Provision for environmental rehabilitation 112.9
Deferred tax liability 94.3
Current liabilities 229.0 1
Total liabilities 684.9 7
Shareholders equity 840.5 5
NAV per share (cents) 445
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 30
e sheete sheet
Mar 2011 Comments
Rm
479.5 Completion of Phase 2 Vanggatfontein business combination
65.1 Business combination65.1 Business combination
31.6 Loans to LME, now consolidated
12.9
67.3
27.0
783.4
Mainly Vanggatfontein project finance
46.0
- Business combination
55.8 Includes disputed amounts with DRA
783.4
581.6
339 Increase after dilution
Looking aheadLooking ahead
» Consolidate and extend production a» Consolidate and extend production a
» Initiate development of Braakfontein
» Optimise Vanggatfontein» Optimise Vanggatfontein
• potential expansion on remaind
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 31
at Vaalkrantzat Vaalkrantz
er of property
ConclusionConclusion
» An established coal producer with pr» An established coal producer with pr
» Focus now on growth off established
• organic growth on current operaorganic growth on current opera
• acquisitive growth necessary to
Results for the year ended 31 March 2012 32
roduct diversityroduct diversity
d base
ationsations
o reach 5Mtpa
FFRESULTS
FOR THE YEAR ENDEDFOR THE YEAR ENDED31 MARCH 2012
P l Mill M i DiPaul Miller, Managing DirectorJacques Rossouw, Finance Director
Wednesday, 30 May 2012