singapore property weekly issue 191
DESCRIPTION
In this issue:- 3 Property Investment Mistakes You Should Avoid In 2015- Singapore Property News This Week- Resale Property Transactions (December 31 – January 6)TRANSCRIPT
Issue 191Copyright © 2011-2014 www.Propwise.sg. All Rights Reserved.
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CONTENTS
p2 3 Property Investment Mistakes You
Should Avoid In 2015
p6 Singapore Property News This Week
p11 Resale Property Transactions
(December 31 – January 6 )
Welcome to the 191st edition of the Singapore Property Weekly.
Hope you like it!
Mr. Propwise
FROM THE
EDITOR
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 191
Page | 2Back to Contents
By Property Soul (Guest Contributor)
No matter what your New Year resolutions
are, it’s time you said goodbye to your bad
habits in property investment. If you are
buying a private home in 2015, avoid making
these three common mistakes.
Mistake #1: Rush in and get burnt
According to the URA, there are 88,627
uncompleted private residential units
(including ECs) in the pipeline. As at 3rd
Quarter 2014, 28,120 units (excluding ECs)
have been launched but remain unsold. For
public flats, the HDB will launch another
16,900 BTO flats this year.
Do the math. Ninety percent of resident
households already own their homes.
Population growth in Singapore is a record-
low 1.3 percent in 2014.
3 Property Investment Mistakes You Should Avoid In 2015
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 191
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For the past five years, the annual increment
in the number of resident households ranges
from 3,000 to 22,500. Assuming there are two
persons in each new household, every year
only 1,500 to 11,250 new homes are needed.
Among the 81.9 percent of HDB dwellers who
have plans to upgrade to condominiums, the
sale of their home is difficult due to falling
HDB resale prices. Furthermore, buyers of
HDB flats and ECs have to pass the 30
percent Mortgage Servicing Ratio, just like
many owners with multiple properties have
their hands tied by the Total Debt Servicing
Ratio.
Foreign buyers have to bite the bullet for a
higher Additional Buyer Stamp Duty and
lower Loan to Value. In 2014, the growth of
foreigners has slowed down to 2.9 percent.
Foreign employment growth also dropped to
3 percent.
Even if you build, they won’t come.
Let developers solve their own problem. But
don’t let their problem become yours. You
don’t want to be left holding a hot potato.
The property market slowdown is just starting.
Patience is key if you are looking for a real
bargain. Sit back and wait for the demand to
dry up.
Mistake #2: Be caught unprepared
We've heard the Fed talking about raising
interest rates too many times. Just when
everyone grows tired of the cry wolf game,
the untamable animal is getting ready to
attack in 2015. It stalks the prey silently in the
dark. And when it finally attacks, it bites
agilely and furiously, pouncing on it
repeatedly in a short period of time.
Take an example from one of my rental
properties.
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 191
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In mid-2005, I was still paying an interest rate
of 1.3 percent. After three to four rounds of
interest rate revisions, with the step-up rate of
a variable-rate loan, the rate had already
been raised to 4 percent by the end of 2006.
If you are contemplating buying a private
home, rather than using the arbitrary 3.5
percent interest rate from TDSR, you are not
being too conservative to use 4 percent for
your calculations.
For those who have an existing home loan,
call the banks now to ask for their latest
housing loan packages. Don't wait till your
bank sends you the letter on an interest rate
revision.
Paying higher interest takes effect the
following month, but repricing and refinancing
will take time to process. Even after approval,
it needs another three months to be effective.
You have no choice but to pay higher interest
before the adjustment takes place.
Mistake #3: Expect to get rich quick with
properties
If someone tells you that you can buy
properties with little money or using other
people’s cash, don’t be too carried away.
They promise to share with you where the
money is. But these ‘profitable investment
opportunities’ and ‘undervalued assets’ are
most likely unsold units of overseas property
projects being marked-up and marketed to
you.
I have received countless proposals from
overseas developers who want to market
these projects to my Property Club Singapore
members. Some even put forward the
commission they will offer right in their first
message.
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 191
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You can close one eye, buy any property and
still make a handsome profit in a growing
market. But prices in many foreign property
markets are currently at their all-time highs.
There are also countries with structural
economic problems but no turnaround in
sight.
Frankly, real property investors will keep quiet
about which projects they are buying. Instead
of buying jointly with complete strangers
without any background checks, they only
invest with people they know very well.
Besides, what make you think that you too
can become a property millionaire, without
the punishing discipline to save, and the
enormous effort to do all the legwork?
The problem of these get-rich-quick property
seminars is that they tend to over-simplify the
strategies. There is no short-cut and no magic
pill in property investment. And you really
don’t have to pay so much for a course and
go around in circles to learn that.
Lastly, don't be distracted by all the noise
around you. Make sure that all the
fundamentals are sound before you make any
decision.
By guest contributor Property Soul, a
successful property investor, blogger, and
author of the No B.S. Guide to Property
Investment.
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 191
Singapore Property This Week
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Residential
230 private homes sold in December 2014
In December 2014, developers sold 230
private homes. This was significantly lower
than the 423 units that were sold in
November last year. According to the
Business Times, the lack of launches and
marketing effort could have affected sales of
private homes in December. Not only so,
weak market sentiments could have affected
demand of private homes, said Alice Tan from
Knight Frank. Nonetheless, the sale of new
homes in December last year was
comparable to the 259 units sold last year,
year-on-year, according to the Urban
Redevelopment Authority. Market experts
predict that there will be fewer units sold this
year, and theyexpect developer sales to
reach 7,000 to 10,000 units this year. Prices
of private homes are expected to fall by 5 to 8
percent, compared to 2014. Nonetheless,
Ong Teck Hui from JLL is optimistic about the
property market in 2015 because he believes
that as the government ease the cooling
measures, buyers will attempt to time their
purchases.
(Source: Business Times)
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SRX: Dec’s non-landed private residential
rent falls by 0.8%
From November to December 2014, rents of
non-landed private residential properties have
fallen by 0.8 percent. According to Singapore
Real Estate Exchange, this is the 10th month
that non-landed private residential rents have
fallen. Ong Kah Seng from R’ST Research
believes that this falling trend will continue
into 2015. He expects rents to fall up to 8
percent by the end of 2015. As foreign labour
supply shrinks, demand for private residential
properties will likely weaken further, said Ong.
Residential rents in the core central region
have fallen by 1.2 percent in December from
November in the last year. On the other hand,
rents in the rest of central region and outside
central region had experienced a smaller fall
of 0.6 percent and 0.3 percent respectively.
(Source: Business Times)
Dec’s private condos resale prices
increase by 0.1%
According to SRX Property, there was a 0.1
percent rise in resale prices of private condos
in December. However, market experts
believe that this was a blip. Resale prices in
December had been driven by transactions in
suburban areas, according to the Business
Times. Resale prices from units in the outside
central region had increased by 0.5 percent in
December. Nonetheless, transactions in the
core central region and rest of central region
had fallen by 1.1 percent and 1.2 percent
respectively. The SRX non-landed private
residential price index has fallen by 4.2
percent in December, year-on-year. Prices
have fallen by 6.1 percent from January to
December 2014. Christine Li from OrangeTee
said that the current total debt servicing ratio
(TDSR) favours the mass market segment,
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 191
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as buyers from that segment have a lower
quantum. Li said that the year-on-year
increase in sales volume could mean that
buyers and sellers are adjusting to the TDSR.
(Source: Business Times)
Property prices expected to fall by 3% per
year in 2015 and 2016
Residential property prices are expected to
fall in 2015 and 2016. According to Fitch
Ratings, private and public home prices are
likely to slip by 3 percent per year. On the
other hand, mortgage rates are expected to
increase from 1.5 percent to 2 percent.
Despite the increase in mortgage costs, debt
burdens are still considered low due to a
strong labour market. Singapore’s macro-
prudential policies are also likely to cool
demand in the property market.
(Source: Business Times)
URA: Geylang will be rezoned for
commercial and institutional use only
Lorong 4 to Lorong 22 at Geylang will
undergo a rezoning exercise, according to the
Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA). The
rezoning exercise will stretch across 14 ha of
land. Under this exercise, residential projects
will no longer be approved for development
within the 14 ha stretch. Instead, the rezoned
section may only be developed for
commercial or institutional use. Nonetheless,
the maximum plot ratio remains at 2.8. Also,
existing residential projects will be allowed to
remain as they are. The rezoning is expected
to boost land values in the locale and
increase collective sales, said market experts.
URA believes that the rezoning exercise will
decrease friction on the ground between
residents and other users of the area.
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Mary Sai from Knight Frank believes that in
the short run, residential value in Geylang will
not improve due to the rezoning. However,
when the commercial developments in the
area matures, residential property value may
increase.
(Source: Business Times)
Units at Marine Blue sold for $1,800-
$2,000 psf
Marine Blue, which is located near the Grand
Mercure Roxy Hotel at Marine Parade Road,
has been put up for sale. Of the 50 units
released, 31 have been sold for an average
price that is between $1,800 and $2,000 psf.
These include one-bedroom-plus-study, two-
bedroom units and a penthouse. According to
the Business Times, the average selling price
is about 10 percent lower than the listed
price. The 120-unit condominium is expected
to attract young professionals and families
due to its proximity to amenities and schools.
(Source: Business Times)
Commercial
JTC: industrial space will be built to meet
demand
To ensure that supply will meet demand, JTC
Corporation will be building a new industrial
space. The site will target niche
semiconductor firms, and will consist of
facilities to cater to corporations from the
aerospace, biomedical and chemical
industries. JTC will work with trade
associations, industrialists and partner
agencies to design a ready-built facility to
cater to the specific needs of such
companies. The industrial building is
expected to be four stories high. It would
comprise of common utilities such as bulk
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 191
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gases and chilled water to help ease upfront
capital costs for companies, according to
JTC. The site will be located at Tampines
High Tech Park. It would have a total gross
floor area of 22,700 sqm and a plot ratio of
1.7. It is expected to be ready for use in 2017.
(Source: Business Times)
3 office floors at Anson Rd sold for $30
million
3 floors on Hub Synergy Point, a 28-storey
freehold office block on Anson Road has
been sold for $30 million. The 26th level was
sold for $9.97 million or $2,400 psf while both
levels 27 and 28 were sold for $20 million or
$1,512 psf. The 26th level had a strata area of
4,155 sq ft and the levels 27 and 28 had a
total strata area of 13,299 sq ft. With the sale
of these three levels, Donald Han said that
the building is now under a single ownership.
This would allow the owner to reposition or
redevelop the building.
(Source: Business Times)
Fewer bids made for site at Yishun
A mixed-use site at Yishun attracted only five
bids. This was lower than expected.
Previously, market experts had predicted that
there would be between six and eighteen
bidders. Market experts also expected the
highest bid to be about $650 psf ppr.
However, the site was won by Northern Resi
and Northern Retail for $185.09 million or
$629.24 psf ppr. The site has a gross floor
area of 27,327 sqm, and uses prefabricated
prefinished volumetric construction (PPVC)
technology. Due to the mandatory use of
PPVC, most of the bidders were developers
with a construction arm, said Desmond Sim
from CBRE.
(Source: Business Times)
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 191
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Non-Landed Residential Resale Property Transactions for the Week of Dec 31 – Jan 6
NOTE: This data only covers non-landed residential resale property
transactions with caveats lodged with the Singapore Land Authority.
Typically, caveats are lodged at least 2-3 weeks after a purchaser
signs an OTP, hence the lagged nature of the data.
Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
1 THE CLIFT 1,076 1,900,000 1,765 99
3 ASCENTIA SKY 1,012 1,620,000 1,601 99
4 THE INTERLACE 1,055 1,608,000 1,524 99
9 THE COSMOPOLITAN 1,679 3,250,000 1,935 FH
9 ASPEN HEIGHTS 1,109 1,650,000 1,488 999
10 THE HORIZON 1,561 2,320,000 1,486 FH
10 THE TESSARINA 1,615 2,250,000 1,394 FH
10 TANGLIN REGENCY 1,292 1,715,000 1,328 99
10 GLENTREES 1,991 2,410,000 1,210 999
11 THE ARCADIA 3,810 3,880,000 1,018 99
12 THE CITRINE 1,141 1,240,000 1,087 FH
14 BLISS VILLE 1,163 1,310,000 1,127 FH
14 THE WATERINA 1,130 1,230,000 1,088 FH
14 THE TRUMPS 1,356 1,439,000 1,061 99
14 CENTRAL MEADOWS 969 950,000 981 FH
15 STILLZ RESIDENCE 1,001 988,000 987 FH
16 EASTWOOD REGENCY 452 635,000 1,405 FH
16 THE BAYSHORE 969 900,000 929 99
18 TROPICAL SPRING 1,528 1,350,000 883 99
21 PARC PALAIS 990 1,050,000 1,060 FH
Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
23 HILLVIEW REGENCY 1,119 995,000 889 99
23 PARKVIEW APARTMENTS 1,119 900,000 804 99
23 NORTHVALE 1,087 860,000 791 99
25 ROSEWOOD 1,173 950,000 810 99
27 ORCHID PARK CONDOMINIUM 893 712,000 797 99