storming the cell tower: cable msos move mobile backhaul to the forefront
TRANSCRIPT
© Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
Storming the Cell Tower:
MSOs Move Mobile Backhaul to
the Forefront
2 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
Mobile Backhaul: Towering opportunity for N.A. MSOs
North American Mobile Internet Traffic (Peak Period)
Source: Sandvine, October 2010
More mobile data
volume = more mobile
backhaul capacity
Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast
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Backhaul is Booming!
Number of macro cell sites
increasing – 3.8M globally by 2015
More wireless service providers
connecting to same towers
Carriers deploying small cells to
fill coverage gaps
Smartphones
spurring higher
consumption of
multimedia
services
Wireless
carriers
continuing to
upgrade their
networks
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Mobile backhaul services revenue (North America) Growth projected to accelerate in 2014
Source: Infonetics
Ethernet will account for >80% of all
backhaul services revenue by 2015
Technology
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2013 2014
2015
Other
Satellite
SONET/SDH
Ethernet
PDH
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nu
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Re
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nu
e $
B
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Mobile backhaul still a small subset of MSO revenue About 7 percent of U.S. cell sites under contract
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# o
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)
Early U.S. MSO Mobile Backhaul Activity
Source: Heavy Reading, June 2011
BH = Bright House Networks
CV-OL = Optimum Lightpath (division of Cablevision)
(Estimates)
MSOs served 18K towers
as of June ‘11, generating
$250M+ in ann. revenue.
An
n. R
ev. ($
M)
6 © Ciena Confidential and Proprietary
But, that’s about to change Combined MSO revenue could approach $1 billion by 2015
Projected Growth of U.S. Cable Mobile Backhaul Business
Source: Heavy Reading, June 2011
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# o
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MSO industry will capture as much as15% of the
U.S. mobile backhaul market by 2015
Backh
au
l Rev. ($
M)
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Rapid shift to Ethernet in backhaul domain
Contributing Factors:
• Accelerating migration from
TDM to packet technology
• Fiber and packet radios
replacing copper
• Network operators increasingly
adopting Ethernet
• Swift adoption of small-cell
technology (not counted here)
Outcome:
2010 2015
Total cell sites 289,000 345,000
3G/LTE cell sites 163,000 345,000
Total cell sites served by Ethernet backhaul
39,000 327,000
Ethernet-served cell sites – copper 1,200 3,000
Ethernet-served cell sites – microwave
8,000 80,000
Ethernet-served cell sites – fiber 20,000 182,000
Ethernet-served cell sites – HFC 10,000 62,000
Source: Heavy Reading, July 2011
Mobile Backhaul Connections: North America 2010 & 2015
95% of cell sites will be served
by Ethernet by 2015
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The Emergence of Small-Cell Technologies Going where macro-cells can’t go
Fifty-eight percent of operators
plan to deploy 3G small cells by the
end of 2011 (Infonetics Research).
• 42 operators intend to deploy LTE
micro/pico cells
• About 40,000 4G small cells will
be deployed in the U.S. by 2015
(Heavy Reading)
• Vendors will ship 4 million base
stations each year by 2015 (ABI
Research)
Why? Small cells can fill coverage
gaps and boost capacity for voice,
data, and video traffic
Trend toward higher cell site density
creates a natural opportunity for MSOs
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MSOs face challenges in serving backhaul market But, they aren’t insurmountable
Challenge How MSOs Overcome
Competitive • Incumbent providers remain
formidable players in the
backhaul market
• Better reach (res. footprint)
• Local market knowledge
• Fiber closer to cell towers
Financial • Cable operators must install
even more fiber to meet the
backhaul bandwidth demand
• Reducing cost of bandwidth
• Wider microwave radio adoption
• High-cap transport = lower cost/bit
• Fiber/tower proximity
Technical &
Operational
• Cable providers must meet
mobile carriers' growing
bandwidth, reliability, and
performance demands
• Faster Ethernet adoption
• MEF standards/certifications
• CableLabs collaboration
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The Changing Face of Mobile Backhaul Technology Steady migration to packet services
MSC
PDH/SONET/SDH TDM
MSC
PDH/SONET/SDH
Packet Network
HYBRID
MSC
Packet Network PACKET
2011 2007 2015
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The Case for Carrier Ethernet Lower TCO for Mobile Backhaul
More efficient any-to-any connectivity
• Fewer protocol layers provisioning, management, restoration
• Lower: equipment cost, people cost, complexity risk, reroute complexity / time
• Smooth migration path from legacy backhaul to LTE
• Compatible with metro transport (e.g. P-OTS)
User-IP
Transport-IP
S-GW
MME eNB
L2 CE/MPLS-TP Backhaul Network
(User IP hidden from backhaul network)
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The Case for Carrier Ethernet De-Costing LTE
Complex protocol stack
MNO user IP
Transport IP backhaul
Application enablement
Mobile broadband, cloud
Service turn-up speed
Simple protocol stack
Full suite of sync choices
<10 msec latency
Provisions and restores faster
30% incremental savings
LTE Backhaul Issues LTE Backhaul Solutions
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Ethernet OAM* Superior visibility, manageability, and control vs. Layer 3 solutions
Layer 2 solutions enjoy more
sophisticated and field-proven
OAM; more deterministic behavior
Layer 2 OAM standards have been
available longer
Proven Ethernet OAM Tools:
• Turn-up Acceptance and SLA
Conformance Testing
• SLA Monitoring & Metrics
• Service Heartbeats
• Enhanced troubleshooting, rapid
network discovery
FaultDetection
FaultRecovery
FaultNotification
FaultVerification
FaultIsolation
FaultDetection
FaultRecovery
FaultNotification
FaultVerification
FaultIsolation
Packet/Frame Loss Packet/Frame Delay
Packet/Frame Delay Variation
Continuity Check
Link Trace
Loopback
Packet/Frame Sequence
Synchronization
Alarm Indication (AIS)
Remote Configuration
Status Monitoring
Availability Remote Defect Indication (RDI)
Connectivity Verification
Link Error Threshold
Remote Loopback
Remote Failure Indication (dying gasp)
Lock
Test
Link Fault Signaling
*Operations, Administration, and Maintenance
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Layer 2 or Layer 3 for Mobile Backhaul? The facts speak for themselves
A Layer 2 Carrier Ethernet
solution – whether based on
fiber or packet radio – permits
strong levels of control and
robust functionality, making it
a truly cost-efficient mobile
backhaul solution.
Scale the network quickly
Achieve lowest cost per bit
Match connectivity with data
demands
Avoid costly network over-
provisioning
• Ciena client
• Standard costs – Ciena solution
• Standard costs – L3 solution*
• Ciena solution: 30% lower TCO
Service Provider Example
• Heavy Reading's Quarterly Market Tracker (August 2010)
• SP deployment plan survey
• 2/3 will use L2 in their 4G backhaul access networks
Market Input
*Provided by client
2/3 will use Layer 2 in their 4G
backhaul access networks
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MSO Case Study - U.S. provider of entertainment,
information and communications services
• Mobile backhaul deployment began in 2009
• Approximately 6,000 cell sites connected throughout the U.S.
• Cell sites connected to backhaul network using Ciena's CESD portfolio
Technical Criteria
•QoS supports
differentiated services
•Policy Enforcement
•Line-Rate Throughput
•Integrated enhanced
OAM capabilities
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Conclusion
Number of cell sites will continue to increase to keep pace with mobile
voice, data, and video service growth
Wireless service providers will continue upgrading their networks
Cable operators can help wireless providers meet these urgent needs
Mobile backhaul is a strategic entry point into the larger Ethernet
business services market
Leading MSOs rely on Ciena’s True Carrier Ethernet to capitalize on the
growing demand for mobile backhaul and Ethernet Business Services