suncorp group ltd...suncorp group limited release date: 11 february 2016 financial results for the...
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Suncorp Group Limited Release date: 11 February 2016
Financial results for the half year ended 31 December 2015
“Creating value for our customers”
2 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Suncorp Debt Investor Update
2 Suncorp Group
6 Group Financial Results & Capital
16 Suncorp Bank
26 Funding & Liquidity
30 Appendix - Capital
Agenda
33 Appendix – Economy
40 Appendix – General Insurance
3 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Leading financial services brands in Australia and New Zealand
Suncorp Group
Top 20 ASX listed company
$14 billion market capitalisation at 11 February 2016
$94 billion in group assets
13,400 employees in Australia and New Zealand
9 million customers
End to end ownership of brands
4 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Group Capital Structure
Ordinary dividend – 60-80% of cash earnings
100% of distributable earnings
Maintain capital targets Surplus assets
Suncorp Group
GI Life Bank
General
Insurance Bank
(Suncorp Metway Ltd) Life
Shareholders Surplus returned
to shareholders
• Suncorp Metway Ltd is the entity that issues senior debt instruments on behalf of the Bank
• AAI Limited and SIF Limited are the entities that typically issue sub-debt instruments on behalf of General Insurance
• Suncorp Group Limited is typically the entity that issues Basel III compliant CPS and T2 sub-debt
Priorities
11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
1. Maintain stability
and momentum
2. Elevate the customer
3. Recalibrate costs
Key Targets
• Broadening of customer relationships
• Improving underlying NPAT
• Sustainable ROE of at least 10%, which implies an underlying ITR of at least 12%
• Maintaining a dividend payout ratio of 60% to 80% of cash earnings
• Returning excess capital
5
Strategic refinements
Group Financial Results and Capital
“Creating value for our customers”
7 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Natural hazards and investment income impact on the GI NPAT
HY16 results overview ($m)
HY16 HY15 % change
General Insurance 297 419 (29)
Bank 194 176 10
Suncorp Life 53 86 (39)
Business lines NPAT 544 681 (20)
Other 12 (21) -
Cash earnings 556 660 (16)
Acquisition amortisation (26) (29) -
Reported NPAT 530 631 (16)
External impacts: Pre-tax Post-tax Pre-tax Post-tax
Investment returns 133 93 348 244
Natural hazards (362) (253) (470) (329)
Reserve releases 137 96 214 150
Suncorp Life market adjustments - (5) - 34
8 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Diversification of earnings
Suncorp Group business line NPAT ($m)
64 -10
-19
34
-5
162 564 470 419
297
156 144
105 176 194
69 61
41 52 58
-54 -140
1H12 1H13 1H14 1H15 1H16
■ Life underlying NPAT ■ Life market adjustments ■ General Insurance
■ Bank ■ Non-core Bank
397
597 681 544
619
9 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Stable over time
Cost - operating expenses ($m)
899 877 902 881 892
305 319 322 324 326
150 153 142 139 142
1,354 1,349 1,366 1,344 1,360
1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
General Insurance Bank Life
HY16 HY15 %change
GWP 4,417 4,357 1.4
Net earned premium 3,992 3,947 1.1
Net incurred claims (2,822) (2,805) 0.6
Operating expenses (892) (902) (1.1)
Underwriting result 278 240 15.8
Investment income – insurance funds 99 266 (62.8)
Insurance trading result 377 506 (25.5)
Investment income –shareholder funds 34 82 (58.5)
Managed schemes, JVs and funding costs 1 6 (83.3)
Income tax (115) (175) (34.3)
NPAT 297 419 (29.1)
10 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Claims inflation and lower investment returns reducing profitability
General Insurance
Key highlights
• GWP up 1.4%
• Return to top-line growth across all portfolios
• Claims inflation challenges reducing underlying margin
• Underlying ITR 10.1%
• Lower investment returns and MTM adjustments
• Reserve releases of $137 million or 3.4% of NEP
11 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Improving credit quality driving improved profit
Suncorp Bank
HY16 HY15 %change
Net interest income 566 553 2.4
Net non-interest income 49 64 (23.4)
Total income 615 617 (0.3)
Total operating expenses (326) (322) 1.2
Profit before impairment losses 289 295 (2.0)
Impairment losses on loans and
advances (11) (43) (74.4)
Bank profit before tax 278 252 10.3
Income tax (84) (76) 10.5
Suncorp Bank NPAT 194 176 10.2
Key highlights
• 5.1% lending growth
• Ongoing improvement in credit quality with non-performing loans down 15.1%
• NIM of 1.85% at the top end of the target range
• Cost to income reducing to 53%
• Good progress with key projects, Ignite and Advanced accreditation
12 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Underlying profit increase of 11.5%
Suncorp Life Insurance
HY16 HY15 %change
Planned profit margin release 22 17 29.4
Claims experience 3 6 (50.0)
Lapse experience 5 1 400.0
Other experience (6) (5) 20.0
Underlying investment income 16 15 6.7
Superannuation 18 18 -
Suncorp Life underlying profit after tax 58 52 11.5
Market adjustments (5) 34 n/a
Suncorp Life NPAT 53 86 (38.4)
Key highlights
• In-force premium growth of 5.2%
• Direct growth via GI brands up 20%
• Embedded Value of $1,936 million up 4.9%
• Value of One Year Sales up 28% to $23 million
• Third successive half of positive claims and lapse experience
1.25x 1.14x 1.25x
1.73x 1.70x 1.67x
SUN Peer 1 Peer 2
CET1 AT1 Tier 2
* Ratios listed relate to Prescribed Capital Amount (PCA). Source: Latest published company reports.
General Insurance capital ratios* Bank capital ratios*
13 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Strong General Insurance and Bank capital ratios against peers
Suncorp Capital Ratios
Additional $243 million capital held at Suncorp Group level
Advanced basis Standardised
9.45% 8.91% 8.17% 10.24% 10.24% 9.59% 9.50%
13.97% 12.72% 12.57%
14.15% 14.08% 13.29% 13.26%
SUN Regional 1 Regional 2 Major 1 Major 2 Major 3 Major 4
CET1 AT1 Tier 2
* Peer bank ratios exclude impacts of post balance date capital raisings and transactions. Source: Latest published company reports.
14 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Impacted by lower GI margins
CET1 Capital Base – HY16 movements ($m)
570 506
530
47 22
153
53 71 386
Excess CET1 FY15
HY16 NPAT GI excess technical provisions
Bank Project Ignite
Bank ERCL release
Life impact from lower yields
Growth and other
movements
Dividend Excess CET1 HY16
15 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Outstanding at 31 December 2015
Capital instruments
* Additional information is available in appendix 3 of the Analyst Pack
Semi-annual coupon rate /
margin above 90 day BBSW
Optional Call /
Exchange Date Issue Date
31 DECEMBER 2015 Total
Balance
Regulatory
Capital GI Bank Life SGL
$M $M $M $M $M $M
AAIL Subordinated Debt 330 bps Nov 2020 Nov 2015 225 - - - 225 225
AAIL Subordinated Debt 6.75% Oct 2016 Oct 2006 101 - - - 101 108
AAIL Subordinated Debt - June 2017 Oct 2007 265 - - - 265 220
SGL Subordinated Debt 285 bps Nov 2018 May 2013 - 670 100 - 770 770
SML FRCN 75 bps Perpetual Dec 1998 - 72 - - 72 72
Total subordinated debt 591 742 100 - 1,433 1,395
SGL CPS2 465 bps Dec 2017 Nov 2012 110 450 - - 560 560
SGL CPS3 340 bps June 2020 May 2014 400 - - - 400 400
Total Additional Tier 1
Capital 510 450 - - 960 960
Total 1,101 1,192 100 - 2,393 2,355
Suncorp Bank
“Creating value for our customers”
17 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Key ratios
Suncorp Bank
4.06% 3.17%
1.37%
6.49%
3.58%
1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Lending growth (annualised)
1.66%
1.78%
1.86% 1.83% 1.85%
1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Net interest margin (interest-earning assets)
59.57%
55.48%
52.19%
54.64% 53.01%
1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Cost to income ratio
0.18%
0.32%
0.17%
0.06% 0.04%
1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Impairment losses to gross loans and advances
(annualised)
7.59% 8.78%
12.13% 12.21% 13.11%
1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Return on Common Equity Tier 1
65.70% 65.80%
66.10%
65.30%
65.60%
1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Deposit to loan ratio
0.3%
18 11 February 2016 Suncorp Group Limited
Total lending assets $52.9 billion Retail banking market share
Suncorp Bank
10.0%
0.8%
0.8%
1.8%
0.3%
Source: Roy Morgan
11
1
151
ATM
Branch
Business centre
19 122
9
524
40
3
414 9
1
545
1
1
245
1
48
0.5%
81%
10%
8%
1% Portfolio
54% 25%
10%
7%
4%
Geography
■ Commercial (SME) ■ Housing ■ Agribusiness ■ Consumer
■ NSW ■ QLD ■ VIC ■ SA & Other ■ WA
19 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Home lending assets $43 billion
Suncorp Bank
■ New South Wales and ACT
■ Queensland
■ Victoria, South Australia and Other
■ Western Australia
■ Investor ■ Owner occupied
■ Intermediary ■ Direct
51%
28%
13%
8%
Geography
70%
30%
Borrower type
37%
63%
Channel
20 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Commercial (SME) assets $5.2 billion
Suncorp Bank
■ New South Wales ■ Queensland ■ Other
54%
14%
20%
10%
2% Exposure size
■ Hospitality and accommodation
■ Property investment
■ Construction and development
■ Retail ■ Services ■ Manufacturing and
mining ■ Other
■ < $5 million ■ $5-$10 million ■ $10-$25 million ■ $25-$50 million ■ $50-$100 million
35%
16% 8%
17%
8%
5%
11%
Industry
74%
13%
13%
Geography
21 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Agri assets $4.3 billion
Suncorp Bank
■ Beef ■ Grain and mixed
farming ■ Sheep and mixed
livestock
■ Sugar ■ Cotton ■ Fruit ■ Other
49%
21%
24%
6%
Exposure size
■ < $5 million ■ $5-$10 million
■ $10-$25 million ■ $25-$50 million
■ Queensland ■ New South Wales ■ Other
30%
30%
10%
8%
3% 3%
16%
Industry
62%
29%
9%
Geography
22 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Credit quality – gross impaired and past due loans
Suncorp Bank
Gross impaired loans by segment ($m)
34 28 26 33 31 25
139 182
208 162
125 109
51
206
99
67
62
42
2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Commercial/SME lending Agribusiness lending Retail lending
Past due home loans (% gross home loans)
0.79%
0.98% 0.93%
0.74% 0.78%
0.69%
0.05%
-0.01%
2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Total home lending Home lending impaired HL Loss Rate
23 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Credit quality - impairments
Suncorp Bank
Impairment losses to gross loans Net impaired loans to gross loans
Source: Latest peer financial reports
0.22%
0.27%
0.38%
0.28%
0.16%
0.24%
0.29%
SUN Regional 1
Regional 2
Major 1 Major 2 Major 3 Major 4
0.04%
0.18%
0.14%
0.17%
0.13% 0.13%
0.24%
SUN Regional 1
Regional 2
Major 1 Major 2 Major 3 Major 4
24 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Asset growth and credit quality ($m)
Suncorp Bank
Commercial (SME) portfolio Agribusiness portfolio
4,039
4,311
4,484 4,624
4,534 4,400
4,258
2.4
6%
3.2
2%
4.0
6%
4.5
0%
3.5
8%
2.8
3%
2.5
6%
1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Agribusiness portfolio ($m) Gross impaired assets/Total portfolio (%)
5,297
5,531 5,666
5,772 5,593
5,353 5,203
1.5
6%
0.8
8%
1.0
0%
0.8
8%
1.2
0%
1.1
6%
0.8
1%
1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15* 2H15* 1H16*
Commercial portfolio ($m) Impaired assets/Total portfolio (%)
61% 62% 64% 66% 69%
22% 23% 24% 23% 22%
17% 15% 12% 12% 9%
1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Home Lending Assets by LVR
25 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Home lending assets $43 billion
Suncorp Bank
■ 0 - 80% ■ 80.01 % - 90% ■ 90.01% +
66% 71%
84% 87% 88%
8% 13%
12% 9% 9% 26%
17% 5%
3% 2%
1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Home Lending New Business by LVR
Funding & Liquidity
“Creating value for our customers”
27 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Liquidity
Suncorp Bank
LT funding profile ($m)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Mar 15 Apr 16 May 16 Aug 16 Sep 16 Dec 16 Jan 17 Feb 17 Mar 17 Apr 17 Oct 17 Nov 17 Dec 17 Apr 19 Aug 19 Nov 19 Apr 20 Oct 20
Covered Senior Unsecured (Domestic) Senior Unsecured (Offshore)
28 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Liquid Assets
Components of Liquid Assets ($bn)
1.2 1.6 1.9 3.6
2.8 3.5
9.7 7.7
6.2
5.3
5.0 3.3
4.2
4.2
4.2 4.0
4.3
4.4
1 2 3 4 5 6
Cash, Govt, Semi-govt
Bank, NCD, Bills, RMBS, Supra, Covered Bonds
Internal RMBS
Dec 15
15.1
13.5 12.3
12.9 12.1
11.2
Jun 13 Dec 13 Jun 14 Dec 14 Jun 15
Components of LCR ($bn)
LCR defined as Liquidity Coverage Ratio CLF defined as Committed Liquidity Facility HQLA defined as High Quality Liquid Assets
30 Jun 15 31 Dec 15
100% LCR 100% LCR
118% LCR 139% LCR
2.8
6.3
3.5
5.9
4.8
1.3
4.8
2.3
1 2 3 4 5
HQLA assets
CLF
3.6
7.1
2.8
6.3
4.8
1.3
4.8
1.3
1 2 3 4 5
Required LCR qualifying liquid assets
Buffer
29 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Investor Reporting
For further information on Treasury Funding please go to http://www.suncorpbank.com.au/financial-services/treasury/wholesale-funding
Contacts
Scot McMullen
Simon Lewis
Adam Parry
Katie Taylor-Groth
Joanne Rains
Treasurer
Head of Funding
Institutional Relationship Manager
Institutional Relationship Manager
Corporate Relationship Manager
07 3362 4042
07 3362 4037
07 3362 4031
07 3362 4049
07 3362 4053
APPENDIX Capital
30
31 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Increased sophistication due to Risk Based Capital modelling
Capital
• Simplification and de-risking have supported capital returns
• Balance sheet strong
• Risk Based Capital embedded
• Enhancing decision making
*Chart not to scale
Group
Total
Group
Total
GI
Bank
Life
Diversification
Potential*
NOHC
Group Surplus
Regulatory minimum Operating target Surplus to operating target
32 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Capital volatility by key risk type
Group Risk Based Capital
Market risk
Counterparty credit risk
Insurance risk
Operational risk
Suncorp Group GI Bank
Life Corporate
73% 3%
21%
3%
65%
27%
8%
36%
57%
7%
14%
86%
62% 11%
24%
3%
APPENDIX Economy
33
Favourable economic fundamentals
34 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
• Australia continues to see moderate economic
growth despite the impact from the resources sector.
• Consensus forecasts expect growth to continue
through 2016 and 2017.
• Fundamentals remain positive for both Australia and
Queensland.
• Australia has also retained its AAA credit rating.
• Population growth continues to support economic
activity while unemployment has declined.
Australia Queensland Data as at:
Population Growth (pa) 1.4% 1.2% Jun-15
Unemployment Rate 5.8% 5.8% Dec-15
Inflation 1.7% 1.7% Dec-15
Budget Position $33bn deficit
(2.0% of GDP)
$1bn deficit
(0.4% of GSP) 2015/16 forecast
Credit Rating
(S&P/Moody’s) AAA / Aaa AA+ / Aa1 Feb-16
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
2011a 2012a 2013a 2014a 2015e 2016f 2017f
Source: Consensus Economics Annual %
Change
Australian economic growth Other key metrics supportive
Monetary policy is supporting activity
35 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
• The RBA’s most recent reduction in the cash rate
was in May 2015. No further changes are
anticipated in the near term with recent RBA
commentary noting the strength of the Australian
economy.
• Credit growth remains stable. The increase in
business loans has been offset with slower growth in
residential investor lending following the
macro-prudential measures taken by APRA in 2015.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
Std Var Mortgage Rate RBA Cash Rate Headline Inflation Rate
Source: ABS, RBA, Bloomberg %
Inflation Target Range
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15
Total Credit Business Total Housing Investor Housing
Source: RBA Annual % Change
Inflation & interest rates Lending growth
Favourable trends in building and labour
36 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
• Dwelling approvals are at long term highs. However
adjusting for population growth, high levels of
residential building activity is likely to continue.
• The non-residential building market continues to
harden albeit gradually.
• Labour market conditions continue to improve, with
employment growth at the strongest levels since 2006.
• The unemployment rate has decreased to 5.8% from
6.0%.
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
200,000
220,000
240,000
Dec-85 Dec-90 Dec-95 Dec-00 Dec-05 Dec-10 Dec-15
Annual approvals per '000
of population (RHS)
Source: ABS, Bloomberg, Suncorp
Annual
approvals (LHS)
Average
Building approvals Labour market
4.9
5.2
5.5
5.8
6.1
6.4
-50
-25
0
25
50
75
100
Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15
Employment Unemployment Rate (%)
Change Per Month ('000) Source: Bloomberg
Other indicators are mixed
37 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
• Business and consumer confidence indicators
improved through 2015 and remain above average
despite continued been volatility.
• Australia’s exports continue to rebalance due to a
more competitive AUD.
• Service exports such as tourism and education
performed well in 2015.
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15
Sources: NAB, Bloomberg Index
Business Conditions
Business Confidence
Confidence indicators Shifting export trends
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
14,000
15,000
16,000
17,000
18,000
Nov-10 Nov-11 Nov-12 Nov-13 Nov-14 Nov-15
Service
Exports (RHS)
Mining Exports (LHS)
$m $m
Source: ABS
Household financial conditions
38 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
• Notwithstanding the lift in household borrowing,
interest payments have fallen, savings have been
maintained and unemployment has fallen.
• Meanwhile, the RBA notes that “indicators suggest that
household financial stress remains fairly benign” (Financial Stability Review October 2015).
• Increases in house prices have boosted household
wealth.
• House prices in Brisbane are now showing a clear
affordability advantage.
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
190
200
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Sep-00 Sep-05 Sep-10 Sep-15
Source: RBA
%
Debt to disposable
income (LHS)
Interest payments
to disposable
income (RHS)
%
Household savings
rate (RHS)
Debt and debt servicing House prices
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
Jun-05 Jun-07 Jun-09 Jun-11 Jun-13 Jun-15
Sydney Melbourne Brisbane
Source: Bloomberg, ABS Median House Price ($ '000)
Queensland prospects
39 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
• Queensland is forecast to lead state growth in 2016,
assisted by a diversified economic base.
• The pullback in resources has however had an
impact on measures of real economic growth.
• Queensland saw a buoyant residential building
market over 2015.
• However, population growth of >2% per annum
over the past decade means that building levels
adjusted for population are only back at average
levels.
3.0%
3.0%
0.1%
2.5%
3.7%
1.4%
State economic growth QLD building approvals
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
200,000
220,000
240,000
Dec-85 Dec-00 Dec-15
Annual approvals per '000
of population (RHS)
Source: ABS, Bloomberg, Suncorp
Annual
approvals (LHS)
Average
Gross State Product 2016 forecast
Source: Deloitte Access Economics, Sep-15
APPENDIX General Insurance
40
41 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Top-line positive in a very competitive market
Gross Written Premium
Product HY16 ($m) %change Factors
Motor 1,413 1.7 Increase in average written premium rates partly offset
by a small loss of units
Home 1,287 1.3 Increase in average written premium rates partly offset
by a small loss of units
Commercial 1,115 (1.3) Growth in most commercial lines offset by a 33%
reduction in the Workers Compensation segment
CTP 567 6.8 Growth across NSW, Qld and ACT portfolios
Other 35 (5.4)
Total 4,417 1.4
Australia 3,796 1.2
New Zealand 621 2.6 2.7% in NZ$ terms
42 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Key ratios
General Insurance
9.8% 8.7% 8.6% 8.1% 8.0%
1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Other underwriting expenses ratio
13.5% 14.0% 14.3% 14.4% 14.4%
1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Acquisition expenses ratio
67.5% 68.2%
71.1% 71.0% 70.7%
1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Loss ratio
23.3%
22.7% 22.9%
22.5% 22.4%
1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Total operating expense ratio
43 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
By product
Gross Written Premium
■ Home ■ Motor ■ Commercial
■ Other ■ CTP
23%
30%
43%
4%
New Zealand $1.2b
34%
29%
22%
15%
<1%
Australia $7.6b $8.8b
32%
28%
27%
12%
1%
Total
44 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Total GWP of $8.8 billion
Gross Written Premium
■ New South Wales ■ Queensland ■ Victoria ■ South Australia
■ Western Australia ■ Tasmania ■ New Zealand ■ Other
■ Home ■ Motor ■ Commercial ■ CTP ■ Other
25%
28%
19%
6% 3%
2%
14%
3%
Geography
34%
29%
22%
15%
<1%
Product
45 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Impacted by claims inflation and lower investment yields
Underlying and Reported ITR
8.0%
10.0%
10.5%
11.2% 11.1%
13.1% 13.4% 13.6% 14.0%
14.7%
14.8% 14.6%
10.1% 12.8%
6.4%
10.9%
1.9%
3.8%
11.1%
18.6%
7.8%
13.9%
17.0%
12.8%
9.9% 9.4%
1H10 2H10 1H11 2H11 1H12 2H12 1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
12% 12%
Underlying ITR
Reported ITR
46 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Conservative assumptions and world leading long-tail claims management
Reserve releases
1.1%
1.7% 1.4% 1.4%
5.4% 5.4%
3.4%
1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
1.5%
47 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Six months to 31 December 2015
General Insurance – Natural hazards
Date Event Net costs ($m)
Aug 2015 South Coast NSW and Sydney Storms 29
Sep 2015 NSW Central Coast Hail 21
Oct 2015 Fernvale Chinchilla Hail 44
Nov 2015 Sunnybank Hail 16
Nov 2015 Pinery Bushfire 15
Nov 2015 Darling Downs Storms 25
Dec 2015 Kurnell Tornado 63
Dec 2015 Great Ocean Road Bushfire 31
Other natural hazards attritional claims (Australia) 114
Other natural hazards attritional claims (New Zealand) 4
Total 362
Less: allowance for natural hazards (334)
Natural hazards costs above allowance 28
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
NZ AUS Long run average
48 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
45 years of natural hazards*
General Insurance – Natural hazards
Retention
Christchurch earthquakes, Brisbane floods, Cyclone
Yasi, Melbourne Hailstorm
Newcastle earthquake
Melbourne & Perth Hailstorms,
Christchurch earthquakes Sydney
Hailstorm
Hunter Valley storm
Cyclone Marcia and NSW Low
Storms
Brisbane Hailstorm
* Adjusted for inflation, population growth and market share
Brisbane Hailstorm
Brisbane flood, Cyclone Tracy
49 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Conservative balance sheet protection against catastrophes
General Insurance – FY16 reinsurance program
6.9b
6.1b
2.5b
500m
Original cover Reinstatement Reinstatement Reinstatement
250m
200m Dropdown aggregate
Dropdown aggregate
50m
Retention
50 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
Drop-down aggregate program fully placed
General Insurance – FY16 reinsurance program
250m 50m xs
200m xs 50m 100m xs
150m xs 200m
100m xs
150m xs 300m
200m
150m
100m xs
50m xs 200m
100m xs
50m xs 300m
50m Retention
Important disclaimer
51 11 February 2016
Suncorp Group Limited
This report contains general information which is current as at 11 February 2016. It is information given in summary form and does not purport to be complete.
It is not a recommendation or advice in relation to the Group or any product or service offered by Suncorp or any of its subsidiaries. It is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors, and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. These should be considered, with or without professional advice, when deciding if an investment is appropriate.
This report should be read in conjunction with all other information concerning Suncorp filed with the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX).
The information in this report is for general information only. To the extent that the information may constitute forward-looking statements, the information reflects Suncorp’s intent, belief or current expectations with respect to our business and operations, market conditions, results of operations and financial condition, capital adequacy, specific provisions and risk management practices at the date of this report. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond Suncorp’s control, which may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied.
Suncorp undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this report (subject to ASX disclosure requirements)