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Sustaining Saskatchewan’s GrowthAttitude is Everything

Institute of Certified Management Consultants of Saskatchewan

In Cooperation with the Johnson Shoyama Graduate School of Public Policy

The World’s PremierManagement Consulting Certification

Contributing Firms & Consultants b Creative Group Conroy Ross Partners Deloitte Mandate Consulting McNair Business Development Paradigm Perspect Management Consulting Praxis Saskatchewan CMC Institute Johnson Shoyama Graduate School of Public

Policy

Study Objective: How to Sustain our Growth

State of the Economy

(Statistical Analysis)

Challenges andOpportunities

(Business Leaders)

SustainSaskatchewan’s

Growth

AttitudesSurvey

(Public Opinion)

Residents believe the Future is Bright

Thinking about the next four years, how do you expect Saskatchewan’s economy will perform? Do you think it will …

Source: Praxis Analytics 2013 household survey

+ = 85%

Most Think They Will Be Doing As Well or Better in Four Years

And are Largely Pro-Business

Economic Conditions Shape Attitudes

Building Together.

Land of Opportunity

Outward looking,Confidence in the future.

Innovative.

Welcoming immigration.

Abundance of potential

Population growth.

Create a better life.

Risk averse, cautious,

Success is envied; not applauded

Adversarial: winners & losersRedistribution

Dependent on Government

Tolerate our hardship, Inward looking, better next

year.

Rural vs. Urban Shrinking & Stagnating

Opportunity is elsewhereOut-migration.

Pioneers Post Great Depression

2006: A Return to Pioneering Values

Regional interdependency.Community is the region.Partnerships for win/win.

World needs what we have

Global opportunities.within our reach.

Entrepreneurial.

International Immigration driving population growth.

The place to invest

Population growth resumed.

A prosperous future.

Building Together.

Land of Opportunity

Outward looking,Confidence in the future.

Innovative.

Welcoming immigration.

Outlook of abundance

Population growth.

Create a better life.

Why the Change in Attitudes in Sask?

Buoyant Economic Conditions = Optimism

Income Levels Have Also Grown

Economic Growth Driving Employment Growth

Why all the Economic Growth?

Source: Statistics Canada

Growth of Exports 2003 to 2012

Exports!

Population Gains relate to Global Commodity Super Cycles

80 % of Population Growth is in Sask Cities

Communities Close to Regina & Saskatoon Growing Much Faster

New Canadians are Driving Population Growth—Most Coming to Regina & Saskatoon

2001-02; Regina CMA; 0.2%2002-03; Regina CMA;

0.2%

2003-04; Regina CMA; 0.3%2004-05; Regina CMA;

0.3%2005-06; Regina CMA; 0.2%

2006-07; Regina CMA; 0.5%

2007-08; Regina CMA; 0.6%

2008-09; Regina CMA; 0.9%

2009-10; Regina CMA; 1.2%

2010-11; Regina CMA; 1.3%

2011-12; Regina CMA; 1.9%

2001-02; Saskatoon CMA; 0.3%2002-03; Saskatoon

CMA; 0.3%

2003-04; Saskatoon CMA; 0.4%









2001-02; Saskatchewan; 0.2%











Contribution of International Migration to Annual Population Change

Regina CMA

Saskatoon CMA

Saskatchewan

% of populationat start of year

All of the Job Growth Also in the Cities

Because Employment Intensive Industries are Urban Based

Cities are Critical for Continued Population and Employment Growth

Observations

Saskatchewan’s recent success is due to both rural and urban economies: Exports originate in rural Sask. Most of the main supporting services, employment

and housing growth is in the cities

Sustaining the interdependency between rural and urban Sask is vital to Saskatchewan’s continued growth via: sustaining competitive resource industries, and Growing the cities since cities are the primary

destinations to attract population, employment growth and investments in high value added production.

Higher Value Added Needed—Cities Critical

So Why The Need for Regional Cooperation?

Sustaining Saskatchewan’s Growth and Competitiveness

Sustained Growth is not Guaranteed

Pursuing Opportunities, Addressing Challenges

Cities Have the Ability to Become Globally Competitive at 500,000

Cities of 500,000 or more have avoided outmigration in the Northern Plains region of North America

Cities become regional and national ‘engines of growth’ as they attract economic activity.

Other than Atlantic Canada, Saskatchewan is the only Canadian province without a city of 500,000.

Sustaining Saskatchewan’s growth requires larger cities.

Challenges to Maintaining Growth Business leaders see four major challenges

Increasing access to skilled labour and professionals Improving growth enabling infrastructure Addressing the rising cost of living and doing business Continuing to improve and evolve the policy environment

Addressing these challenges is largely an urban based agenda because of the role of cities in: Attracting skilled trades persons and professionals to

Saskatchewan Providing infrastructure and services to support business

growth Creating local economies with sufficient scale to support

growing business.

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159

160

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Today’s Population 300,000500,000Growth in TownsAdd in RM Growth

Thank You

A higher level of management Consulting

Study Findings – Attitude is EverythingFindings: Unprecedented levels of growth and investment A material shift in public attitudes: ‘positive about the future’ Businesses are planning extensive developments and investments Cities capturing all the growth; larger cities are key to sustaining growth Only larger cities are able to attract and retain new skilled professionalsOpportunities: Add more value to resources: manufacturing, processing, technologies,

services Grow the population: Increase immigration, greater participation of First

Nations Sustain the right policy environment: trade, taxation, training, promotion

Barriers to Continued Growth: Shortages of: infrastructure, skilled labor, value added production, cultural

industries Need more growth of cultural industries Fragmentation of governance, insufficient capacity of institutions

sustaining saskatchewan’s growth attitude is everything institute of certified management...

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