thailand energy situation jan -aug 2015. 2012201320142015* consumption1,9822,0022,0522,081...

Thailand Energy SituationThailand Energy Situation

Jan -Aug 2015 Jan -Aug 2015

http://www.eppo.go.th

2012 2013 20142015

*

Consumption 1,982 2,002 2,052 2,081

Production 1,082 1,078 1,073 1,027

Import (Net) 1,085 1,131 1,171 1,278

Import/Consumption (%) 55 56 57 61

Growth Rate (%)

Consumption 6.9 1.0 2.6 1.5

Production 6.3 -0.4 -0.5 -4.7

Import (Net) 6.4 4.2 3.6 8.4

GDP (%) 73. 2.8 0.9 29**

- 2 -

Production, Consumption and Import (Net) of Primary Commercial Energy

Unit : KBD crude oil equivalent

*Jan – Aug**Jan- Jun


2012 2013 2014 2015*

Total Consumption 1982, 2002 2052 2081,

- Oil 710 730 734 766

- Natural Gas 889 909 916 928

- Imported Coal 230 217 261 269

- Domestic Lignite 98 101 97 77

- Hydro/Imported Elec. 55 46 44 40

Total Consumption 69 10. 26. 15.

- Oil 52. 28. 06. 41.

- Natural Gas 98. 23 08. 22.

- Imported Coal 124. -56. 205. 45.

- Domestic Lignite -126. 25. -33. -227.

- Hydro/Imported Elec. 30. -176. -36. -194.

- 3 -

Consumption of Primary Commercial Energy Unit : KBD crude oil equivalent

* Jan - Aug

http://www.eppo.go.th- 4 -- 4 -

Final Commercial Energy Consumption

2012 2013 2014 2015*

Total Consumption 1 ,300 1,317 1,365 1 ,416

- Oil 704 723 727 762

- Natural Gas 169 174 178 178

- Imported Coal 132 119 155 170

- Domestic Lignite 15 17 13 5

- Electricity 280 284 292 302

Growth Rate (%)

Total Consumption 57. 1.3 3.6 4.4

- Oil 53. 2.7 0.5 4.8

- Natural Gas 161. 2.9 2.5 0.9

- Imported Coal 39. -10.0 29.9 15.6

- Domestic Lignite -437. 10.5 -23.6 -63.5

- Electricity 68. 1.6 2.8 3.1

GDP (%) 73. 2.8 0.9 29*

Elasticity 08. 0.5 4.0 1.5

Unit : KBD crude oil equivalent

*Jan – Aug**Jan- Jun


Crude Oil Supply

2012 2013 2014 2015*

Share (%)

2015*

DomesticProduction

149 149 139 145 14

Import 860 868 805 885 86

Total 1,009 1 ,017 944 1 ,030 100

Unit: KBD

* Jan - Aug

http://www.eppo.go.th- 6 -

Crude Oil Supply -- by Source 2012 2013 2014 2015*

Benjamas 25,439 20,652 22,663

19,699

Sirikit 28,423 32,889 27,948 28,641

Tantawan 3,748 2,754 1,645 2,059

Unocal (Big Oil Project) 28,281 29,816 24,051 22,115

Jusmin 10,408 10,478 9,796 9,787

Bualaung 7,200 12,317 12,496 11,984

Songkha 19,883 20,322 14,297 12,183

Lanta 6,671 4,331 6,688 6,547

Others 18,924 15,922 19,174 32,347

Total Domestic Prod. 148,977 149,481 138,758 145,362

Import 860,211 868,040 804,912 885,017

Grand Total 1,009,188 1,017,521

943,670 103,

0 ,3 7 9

Unit: Barrels/Day

* Jan - Aug


Condensate Production

201

1

201

22013 2014

2015

*

Bongkot20,556 27,359 32,480

28,877

28,947

Erawan 10,531 9,025 5,863 6,756 5,693

Pailin 18,048 11,861 11,234 10,525 8,272

Funan & Jakrawan 5,508 7,842 7,671 6,850 5,484

Arthit 15,811 10,548 9,230 9,403 8,676

Others 13,682 23,004 24,681 31,919 40,576

Total 84,136 89,639 91,159 94,330 97,648

Unit: Barrels/Day

* Jan - Aug


RefineryRefining Capacity(BBL/D)

Crude Oil Intake*(BBL/D)

Utilization Rate(%)

Thai Oil 275000, 307526, 112

Bangchak 120000, 113263, 94

ESSO 177000, 141567, 80

IRPC 215000, 192064, 89

PTTAR 280000 194631, 70

SPRC 165000, 180764, 110

RPC 17000, - -

FANG 2 ,500 660 26

Total 1251500, , 1130475, , 90

Refinery Utilization Rate 2014

* Jan - Aug


0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

TOC BCP ESSO IRPC PTTGC SPRC RPC FANG

Capacity Intake

Refinery Utilization Rate 2015 *

* Jan - Aug


Energy Type 2013 2014

Jan - AugGrowth Rate

(%) Share(%)

2014 201520

14

201

5*2015*

GASOLINE 9853, .3

9886, .5

6480, .3

7331, .8

03. 131. 18

Regular 4786, .7

4843, .1

3192, .2

3616, .3

11. 132. 9

Premium 5066, .6

5043, .3

3288, .2

3715, .5

-04. 129. 9

- Gasohol 4135, .5

4430, .4

2880, .4

3311, .3

71. 149. 8

- ULG 95 9311. 6129. 4078. 4042. -341. -08. 1

KEROSENE 6949.1098, .

06775. 9211. 580. 359. 2

DIESEL 2552,49.

2406,81.

1576,73.

1804,13.

-57. 144. 43

JET PETROLEUM

6680, .1

6638, .5

4251, .9

4715, .2

-06. 108. 11

FUEL OIL 5939, .6

5667, .4

3690, .9

3850, .3

-45. 43. 9

LPG 1008,71.

1019,67.

6699, .2

6730, .9

10. 04. 16

TOTAL 5877,98.

5755,50.

3756,70.

4159,06.

-20. 107. 100

Petroleum Product ProductionUnit : Million Litres

* Jan - Aug

http://www.eppo.go.th- 11 -** Including Propane and Butane

Unit : Million Litres

Petroleum Product Consumption

* Jan - Aug


Jan - AugGrowth Rate

(%) Share(%)

2014 201520

14

201

5*2015*

GASOLINE 8194, .9

8506, .1

5549, .8

6311, .8

37. 137. 18

Regular 3445, .8

3594, .8

2340, .9

2669, .0

43. 140. 8

Premium 4749, .1

4911, .3

3208, .9

3642, .8

34. 135. 10

- Gasohol 4132, .9

4413, .1

2871, .0

3306, .5

67. 151. 10

- ULG 95 6162. 4982. 3380. 3363. -191. -04. 1

KEROSENE 110. 108. 73. 74. -19. 15. 002.

DIESEL 2090,74.

2108,39.

1418,21.

1467,94.

08. 35. 42

JET PETROLEUM

5562, .4

5513, .1

3652, .9

4001, .2

-08. 95. 12

FUEL OIL 2175, .1

2092, .8

1433, .1

1337, .9

-37. -66. 4

LPG ** 1393,47.

1391,70.

9196, .4

8435, .1

-01. -82. 24

TOTAL 5078,55.

5112,35.

3402,15.

3477,26.

06. 22. 100

* Jan - Aug


Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecJan-Dec

2012

26

7

27

6

27

9

26

0

27

8

28

0

27

1

28

3

28

4

28

5 29227

8

2 78

201329

0

31

0309 291

31

4

31

0307

31

7310 309 314 303 307

2014 304 32632

7302

31

8317 319

31

9320 316 318 313 317

201530

4

31

9329

29

9316 312 311 298

311

*

∆ (%) from previous

year00.

-2.106. -10. -0.6 -1.6 -2.5 -6.6 -1.8*

∆ (%) from previous month

-2.949. 31. -91. 5.7 -1.3 -0.3 -4.2

- 12 -

NGV ConsumptionUnit: MMSCFD

* Jan - Aug


Energy Type 2013201

4

Jan - Aug Growth Rate (%) Share(%)

2014 2015 2014201

5*

2015

*

GASOLINE 262.

2

884.3

741.1

5 2 5 .4

237.2

-29.0

19

DIESEL 196.

7

348.1

317.7

117.5769.

-63.0

4

JET PETROLEUM 162. 42. 31. 24. -743. -20.

801.

FUEL OIL 268.

4

370.8

286.2

117.2381.

-59.0

4

LPG** 365,12.

388,74.

255,07.

193,61.

64.-24.0

72

TOTAL 439,47.

549,47.

389,87.

269,86.

250.-30.7100

Import of Petroleum ProductsUnit : Million Litres

** Including Propane and Butane

* Jan - Aug


Export of Petroleum ProductsUnit : Million Litres

* Jan - Aug


Jan - Aug Growth Rate (%) Share(%)

2014 201520

14

201

5*2015*

GASOLINE 163,44.

133,97.

915.3

992.3

-18.0

84. 12

Regular 136,95.

120,57.

817.2

927.1

-11.9134. 11

Premium 95

264.9

134.0

981. 653.-49.4

-334. 1

KEROSENE 487,43.

431,69.

242,34.

381,12.

-11.4572. 46

DIESEL 192. 298. 92. 91.55.1

-13. 01.

JET PETROLEUM

153,66.

129,66.

511.5

101,49.

-15.6984. 12

FUEL OIL 377,43.

383,59.

241,75.

249,81.

16. 33. 30

LPG 112. 185. 153. 338.65.2

120.4

04.

TOTAL 118,50.0

108,37.4

629,21.

835,93.

-85. 328. 100


Supply and Demand of LPG, Propane and Butane

2012 2013 2014 2015*

Growth Rate(%)

Share(%)

2014 2015* 2015*

TOTAL SUPPLY741,

6

741,9

760,5

468,0

25. -63. 100.0

- PRODUCTION568,

6

544,7

550,6

363,5

11. 05. 777.

- IMPORT 173,

0

197,2

209,9

104,6

65. -241. 223.

TOTAL DEMAND (CONSUMPTION+EXPORT )

739,6

753,1

752,5

457,3

-01. -81.

- CONSUMPTION 738,

6

752,5

751,5

455,5

-01. -83. 100.0

Household 304,

7

240,9

218,8

138,6

-92. -51. 304.

Industry 614 602 577 394 -42. 40. 87.

Automobile 106,

1

177,5

197,4

118,2112. -98. 260.

Petrochemical Industry

128,5

132,7

154,6638 165. -386. 140.

Own Use 138,

0

141,2

123,1954 -129. 228. 209.

- Feed Stock 127,

0

131,4

112,9854 -141. 207. 188.

- Energy 110 98 102 100 34. 451. 22.

- EXPORT 10 6 10 18 652.120.

4

BALANCE (SUPPLY-DEMAND) 20 -112 80 107

Unit: 1,000 Tons

* Jan - Aug


Crude Oil Import by Source

2012 2013 2014 2015*

Growth Rate(%) Share

(%)

2014 2015* 2015*

Middle East37,460 37,572 31,002 22,400 -17.5 10.7 65

Far East4,022 4,370 4,517 6,721 3.4 147.3 20

Others8,575 8,431 11,192 5,072 32.7 -30.7 15

Total 50,056 50,374 46,710 34,192 -7.3 12.9 100

Unit: Million Litres

* Jan - Aug


Growth Rate (%)

2012 2013 2014 2015* 2013 2014 2015*

QUANTITY (KBD)

860 868 805 885 0.9-7.2

12.9

VALUE (Billion Baht )

1 ,119

1,072 980 422 -4.2-8.6

-38.2

PRICE(US$/Barrel ) 113.94 109.69

102.25

584.0

-3.7-6.8

-46.9

- 17 -

Crude Oil Import Increased by 129. %

* Jan - Aug


Fuel Oil*

Natural Gas*

Import Coal**

Comparison of Energy Prices

* Average retail prices** Average import price of Thailand (CIF)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Baht/

M.B

TU


Natural Gas Supply

2012 2013 2014 2015*Share(%)

2014

DomesticProduction

3 ,996 4,044 4,073 3 ,877 75

Import 950 1,013 1,025 1,289 25

Total 4,946 5,057 5,098 5,165 100

Unit: MMSCFD

* Jan - Aug


MMSCFD

2012 2013 2014 2015*

Total Domestic Product 3 ,996 4,044 4 ,073 3,877

- Bongkot 869 1,008 975 1,009

- Erawan 255 197 219 206

- Pailin 361 363 314 261

- Arthit 268 252 246 235

- JDA 748 735 761 653

- Others 1,495 1,489 1,558 1,513

Total Import 950 1,013 1,025 1,289

- Import (Myanmar) 820 822 843 951

- Import (LNG) 130 191 182 338

Grand Total 4,946 5,057 5,098 5,165

- 20 -

Natural Gas Supply by Source

* Jan - Aug


2012 2013 2014 2015*

MAE-MOH (EGAT) 16,590 17,072 17,140 9 ,698

OTHERS 1,476 1,039 842 400

Total Domestic Prod. 18,066 18,111 17,982 10,098

Imported Coal 18,614 18,030 20,933 14,656

Grand Total 36680, 36141, 38915, 24,754

- 21 -

Lignite/Coal Production

Unit : 1,000 Tons

* Jan - Aug


Lignite/Coal Consumption by Sector

Sector 2012 2013 2014 2015*

Power Gen. 9,005.8 9,048.2 9,521.2 5,685.4

Industry 7,400.8 6,797.5 8,375.7 5,821.2

Total 16,406.6 15,845.7 17,897.0 11,506.6

Consumption ShareSector 2012 2013 2014 2015*

Power Gen. 54.9 57.1 53.2 49.4

Industry 45.1 42.9 46.8 50.6

Total 100 100 100 100

Unit: Ktoe

Unit: %

* Jan - Aug


42%

37%

13%

8%

IPP

EGAT

Import/ExchangeSPP

(2,896MW)(5,013 MW)

(15,518 MW)

(13,966 MW)

Total 37393, MW

Power Generation – Installed Capacity as of Augy 2015


Power Generation by Fuel Type

YearNatural

GasCoal & Lignite

Oil Hydro ImportRenewabl

e Energy

Total

2012 119,368 34,583 1,363 8,431 10,527 5211,1794,84

2013 119,218 35,352 1,418 5,412 12,572 7234,1812,05

2014 120,314 37,572 1,643 5,164 12,260 9071,1860,24

2015* 87,019 22,599 603 2,739 8,569 6956,1284,85

Growth Rate (%)

2012 10.3 9.1 2.4 6.3 -2.3 278 9 .4

2013 -01. 22. 4 .0 -358. 19.4 388. 10.

2014 0.9 6.3 15.9 -4.6 -2.5 254. 27.

2015* 10.3 -11.9 -53.3 -33.9 -1.5 120. 29.

Unit: GWh

* Jan - Aug


Peak Demand and Load FactorYEAR PEAK DEMAND LOAD FACTOR RESERVE AugGIN

(MW) (%) (%)

2005 20,538 749 33.5

2006 21,064 769. 29.4

2007 22,586 743. 32.0

2008 22,568 748 40.1

2009 22,045 750. 36.1

2010 24,010 759. 31.9

2011 23,900 756. 38.8

2012 26,121 752. 27.6

20

1

3 26,598 741. 299.

2014 26,942 75.7 32.9

2015* 27,346 76.8 41.8

* Jan - Aug


Electricity ConsumptionUnit: GWh

2012 2013 2014 2015*Growth Rate (%)

2012 2013 20142015

*

MEA 48,244 47,98448,23

6 33,209 9.2 -0.5 0.5 2.9

PEA111,71

8114,61

9118,63

7 81,818 8.5 2.6 3.5 3.5

EGAT’s Direct Customers

1,817 1,738 1,747 1,196 6.0 -4.4 0.5 1.3

Total161,77

9164,

341168,62

0116,22

48.7 1.6 2.6 3.3

* Jan - Aug


Sector 2012 2013 2014 2015*

Growth rate (%)2015*Share (%)2012 2013 2014

2015*

Residential364,47

376, 57

389, 93

275, 70

11

133. 35. 49. 24

Small General Service170,13

183, 74

188, 07

131, 22

10.1

80. 24. 44. 11

Business270,88

304, 13

313, 62

220, 60

14.5123. 31. 57. 19

Industrial723,36

725, 36

737, 82

496, 4565. 03. 17. 14. 43

Government and Non-Profit Org.

379,9 149 152 116

-22.3

-961. 20.15.1

01.

Agriculture 377 354 414 28227.1

-62. 17.2

-13.9 02.

Free of Charge219,

1

237, 9251,

7180,

4 11. 86. 58. 96 2

Other252,

7

247, 9259,

2162,

452.7

-19. 46. -77. 1

Total161,779

164, 341

168, 620

116, 22487. 16. 26. 33. 100

- 27 -

Electricity Consumption for the Whole Country (Classified by Sector) Unit: GWh

* Jan - Aug


Electricity Consumption for the Whole Country (Classified by TSIC)

Unit: GWh

Type 2012 2013 2014 2015*Growth Rate (%)

2012 2013 2014 2015*

1. Food972

1

96

97

10,281

672,4

85. -02. 60. 10.

2. Iron and steel69,54

70,65

72,52

453,1

49. 16. 27. -68.

3. Textiles60,38

60,40

60,36

392,4

-23. 00. -01. -22.

4. Electronic63,25

65,47

69,60

466,0

-59. 35. 63. 11.

5. Plastics44,58

45,31

45,39

310,8

71. 16. 02. 24.

6. Automotive40,42

40,28

51,25

364,0

68. -03. -18. 82.

7. Cement49,50

52,20

41,37

291,1

27.2

54. 27. 51.

8. Chemicals21,55

21,17

20,98

143,4

-17. -17. -09. 29.

9. Rubber and rubber products

30,12

30,86

30,59

207,5

84. 24. -08. 20.

10. Manufacture of ice26,97

26,51

27,05

193,1

11.5

-17. 21. 50.

* Jan - Aug


Unit: GWh

Electricity Consumption for the Whole Country (Classified by Commercial Cluster)

Type 2012 2013 201420

15

*

Growth Rate (%)

2012 2013 2014201

5*

1. Department Store 44,91

45,95

47,43

325,4

80. 23. 32. 28.

2. Hotel 36,71

38,14

37,97

268,7

9.9 39. -03. 52.

3. Apartment & Guest House

32,91

34,94

36,87

270,9129. 62. 55. 105.

4. Retail sale 29,69

31,41

33,17

236,3144. 58. 56. 67.

5. Real Estate Service 27,89

28,66

28,81

196,3112. 28. 05. 22.

6. Hospital 22,22

23,37

23,88

167,6

97 52. 22. 46.

7. Wholesale 22,42

22,77

24,11

171,6181. 16. 59. 79.

8. Construction 98010,36

13,38

894 32. 56. 05. 01.

9. Financial Institute 950 935 688 506 70. -16. 76. 131.10. Restaurant & Night Club 869 884 893 627101. 18. 09. 50.

* Jan - Aug


Value of Energy Import

Unit : Million Baht

ENERGY TYPE 2012 2013 2014

Jan - Aug Growth Rate (%)

2014 201520

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

*

CRUDE OIL 1,119,338 1,072,221 979,70

4 683,11

7 421,95

5 14.5 95.8 -8.6 -38.2

PETROLEUM PRODUCTS 124,171 139,021

202,265

153,367

69,880

29.2 12.0 45.5 -54.4

NATURAL GAS 116,325 111,911 117,17

2 69,56

1 76,99

8 24.4 -3.8 4.7 10.7

COAL 46,702 39,714 47,94

7 32,80

0 30,27

3 10.3 -15.0 20.7 -7.7

ELECTRICITY 15,440 18,546 18,91

9 13,43

2 12,65

8 11.4 20.1 2.0 -5.8

LNG 24,023 34,827 33,30

4 28,01

7 29,53

2 50.2 45.0 -4.4 5.4

TOTAL 1,445,999 1,416,239 1,399,31

1 980,29

6 641,29

5 16.7 -2.1 -1.2 -34.6

* Jan - Aug


Value of Energy Export

ENERGY TYPE201

2

201

32014


2014 201520

13

201

4

201

5*

CRUDE OIL 51,531 29,115 8,653 8,653 0 -43.5 -70.3 -100.0

PETROLEUM PRODUCTS 344,384 342,208 301,425 199,472 150,039 -0.6 -11.9 -24.8

ELECTRICITY 5,223 4,424 5,116 3,974 4,764 -15.3 15.6 19.9

TOTAL 401,138 375,747 315,194 212,100 154,803 -6.3 -16.1 -27.0

Unit : Million Baht

* Jan - Aug


Expenditure on Final Energy Consumption

ENERGY TYPE201

2

201

32014


2014 2015201

3

201

4

201

5*

PETROLEUM PRODUCTS 1,312,2071,326,937 1,336,615 907,161 784,093 1.1 0.7 -13.6

ELECTRICITY 562,655 621,328 662,474 440,243 446,736 10.4 6.6 1.5

NATURAL GAS 122,509 121,005 123,964 81,934 64,384 -1.2 2.4 -21.4

LIGNITE/COAL 31,607 26,096 33,483 21,477 22,064 -17.4 28.3 2.7

RENEWABLE ** 118,276 125,962 123,100 82,842 94,756 6.5 -2.3 14.4

TOTAL 2,147,2532,221,328 2,279,6361,533,6581,412,033 3.4 2.6 -7.9

** Estimate

Unit : Million Baht

* Jan - Aug


ENERGY TYPE 2012 2013 2014


2014 2015201

3

201

4

201

5*

GASOLINE 298,487 304,451 314,369 215,054 176,122 2.0 3.3 -18.1

Regular 91 210,016 121,836 130,975 89,406 73,494 -42.0 7.5 -17.8

Premium 88,471 182,615 183,394 125,648 102,628 106.4 0.4 -18.3

KEROSENE 484 390 380 258 224 -19.4 -2.5 -13.1

DIESEL 625,687 624,676 625,076 424,206 373,004 -0.2 0.1 -12.1

J.P. 183,075 197,243 194,279 129,531 121,687 7.7 -1.5 -6.1

FUEL OIL 60,821 50,682 47,284 32,476 26,371 -16.7 -6.7 -18.8

LPG 143,653 149,495 155,227 105,636 86,686 4.1 3.8 -17.9

TOTAL 1,312,20

7 1,326,937 1,336,615 907,161 784,093 1.1 0.7 -13.6

Unit : Million Baht

Expenditure on Petroleum Product Consumption

* Jan - Aug

thailand energy situation jan -aug 2015. 2012201320142015* consumption1,9822,0022,0522,081...

Documents

kbd crude oil equivalent

crude oil supplyunit

total consumption1

bbldutilization rate

big oil project28

total consumption6

refinery utilization

buala domestic