understanding connected business exposure€¦ · quantify connected business exposure understand...
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Understanding Connected Business Exposure
FILE 2019052
Suki Basi
Russell Group Limited
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Changing Corporate Landscape – Moving from Product to Service Economy.
12/06/20192
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Changing Corporate Landscape – Moving from Product to Service Economy.
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Source: 2011 Census Analysis, ONS
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REVENUE
CONCENTRATION BY
COUNTRY AND CITY
65,000
42% OF ALL
COMPANY
REVENUE
COMPANIES
WITH REVENUE
$90 trillion
EXPOSURE CONCENTRATION WITH
REVENUE CONCENTRATION
REVENUE CONCENTRATION
BY COMPANY AND SECTOR
Changing Corporate Landscape – Increasingly Concentrated.
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Operations Peers
Customers of
CustomersCustomers
Suppliers of
SuppliersSuppliers
Changing Corporate Landscape – Increasingly Connected Across Locations.
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Changing Corporate Landscape – Risks are Connected Across Locations.
Connected and Unmodelled
Source: Swiss Re Institute
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Unmodelled Events
Modelled Events
Changing Corporate Landscape – Growing Unmodelled Events.
12/06/20197
Insurance Information Institute
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Changing Corporate Landscape – Growing Uninsured Event Years.
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Insurance Information Institute
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Changing Corporate Landscape – Growing Size of Events.
Statista
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Changing Corporate Landscape – Risk Manager Concerns are Changing.Source: FERMA Risk Manager Report - 2018
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Supply
Chain
Natural
Peril
Cyber Credit
Drivers
Drivers
Risk industry
Political Social Economic
Macr
o f
orc
es
ReceiversAviation Property CasualtyMarineEnergySpace
Technology EnvironmentalLegal
Political
Changing Corporate Landscape – Insurance Classes and Exposures are Connected.
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Retro InsurerRe-InsurerInsurerInsured
Capital market
Captive market
BrokerRe-Insurance
Broker
Retro Insurance
Broker
Supply
Chain
Natural
Peril
Cyber Credit
Connected business exposure
Political
Changing Corporate Landscape – Connected Exposure Lost in Value Chain.
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Changing Corporate Landscape - What does this mean for Credit Insurers
Flow of money and exposure are increasingly connected
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Changing Corporate Landscape – Issues and Opportunities for Insurers.
The global economy is
more inter-connected
Risk and exposure
is more connected
Events are
multi-class
Exposure lost
in insurance
value chain
Multi-class insurance
opportunity missed
Understand flow of money
between business
Quantify connected
business exposure
Understand business
- insurance mapping
Improve exposure
knowledge from
multi-class events
More opportunities
for multi-class
products.
Building Client Value
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What is Needed – Building Client Value Through a Connected Theme.
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Da
ta V
en
do
rsIntegrating Knowledge
INTEGRATED DATA EXPOSURE DATA DECISION SUPPORT
Dimensional Data
By Sector
Opportunity and
risk exposure
Qualitative and
Quantitative
per Sector
Scoring company
exposure
Analysis by
Scenario,
Event
Peril,
Coverage,
Location,
Sector,
Connection,
Gross and Net
First / Next Loss
Integrated across
Aggregation
Event Exposure
RDS
Pricing
SOURCES SERVICES
Construction
Retail &
Wholesale
Transportation
Energy & Power
Financial
Institutions
Professional &
IT Services
Media &
Entertainment
Mining
Fishing,
Farming, Forestry
Manufacturing
CLIE
NT
What is Needed – Building Client Value Through Data and Analytics.
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Case Studies
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Transportation Layer which is the combination of the transport, finance &
insurance and energy & power industries.
SERVICES
PRODUCTS
Telecommunications
AviationShipping
Road & Rail
Satellite
FINANCE & INSURANCE
ENERGY & POWER
TRANSPORT
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Case Study 1 – Application of Approach in Transport.
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Russell’s approach to port accumulation focused on the following scope:
a) Focus on G20, trade routes and areas of interest. The 47 countries that meet this criteria are:
G20: Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan,
Korea, Mexico, Russia, South Africa, Turkey, UK, USA
Trade Routes: Egypt, Panama
Interest: Bangladesh, Colombia, Hong Kong, Iran, Malaysia, New Zealand, Norway, Pakistan,
Philippines, Singapore, Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Thailand, Venezuela, Ecuador, Peru, Morocco,
Belgium, Spain, Portugal, Netherlands, Sweden, Denmark, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Poland
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b) Ships: All cargo carrying ships
c) Ship Movements: All movements of cargo carrying ships
d) Trade Flow: All trade flow by commodity, value and quantity in / out of above list of countries
e) Ports: All ports, terminals and berths in above list of countries
f) Timestamp: Data is year to date and updated quarterly in arrears
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Port of Singapore Dollar Exposure Movement by Month in 2017.
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Trade at risk in Strait of Hormuz.
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INSIDE OUT*
Financial*
• Creditworthiness
• More score
• Investors
• Investments in
• Investment out
• Share price
• Gearing
People*
• Executive Directors/
Non Executive Directors
• Major Shareholders
• Investment Banks
• Key Staff with links to PEP
• Environmental
• Human
• Equality
• Values
• Reputational credibility
Product*
• Concentration
• Volatility
• Exposure to Trends
• Criticality
• Resilience
Location*
• Physical Sites
• Markets
OUTSIDE IN
Events
What is the impact
of an event on the
“inside in” of a
company?
Case Study 2 – Scoring Portfolio Connected Exposure
Enables opportunity to
quantify risk and
support portfolio
concentration or
diversification strategy.
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Connectivity of FTSE 100 Companies and their Suppliers
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Visualising Portfolio Connected Exposure.
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Summary
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Summary
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Summary
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Thank you