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Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

United States Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service

Circular Series FG 12-13 December 2013

Record Global Corn Crop Drives Prices Down, Trade Up

The record world corn harvest is largely complete for the Northern Hemisphere countries. The record U.S. crop accounts for 80 percent of the growth in world corn production. Planting in Southern Hemisphere countries, particularly Argentina and Brazil, is still underway and crops will not be harvested for several months. Import demand is expected to resume its upward trend, driven largely by Mexico and China. The prospect of huge U.S. exportable supplies has already driven export prices down some 30 percent ($100/ton) from last year at this time. That will improve the competitive position of the United States vis-à-vis Argentina and Brazil, where trade is forecast down sharply. With expanding global demand, shrinking competitor trade, and lower U.S. prices, U.S. exports are forecast to double.

U.S. Exports and Prices Have an Inverse Relationship

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2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

U.S. Rest of World Trade

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Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13

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MMT Trade MMT Production MMT

*December monthly average prices, except 2013 forecast

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................... 9 Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 14 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 35 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 54 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. It is available on the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/). This circular is released at 12:30 p.m. on the same day, together with its downloadable data set. Questions may be directed to the following staff: Teresa McKeivier (202) 690-1151 [email protected] Wheat Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Wheat Debbie Rubas (202) 720-1072 [email protected] Rice Rachel Trego (202) 720-1073 [email protected] Rice Jeffrey Albanese (202) 649-3852 [email protected] Rice Rick O’Meara (202) 720-4933 [email protected] Coarse Grains Gene Kim (202) 720-8398 [email protected] Coarse Grains

Grain: World Markets and Trade, December 2013

2 December 2013

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/

mailto:[email protected]







All Grain Summary Comparison

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2013/142012/132011/122013/142012/132011/122013/142012/132011/12

Production

United States (Jun-May) 54.4 61.7 58.0 5.9 6.3 6.0 313.9 273.8 355.3

Other 642.9 594.5 653.5 460.0 462.6 464.6 572.0 589.0 609.0

World Total 697.3 656.2 711.4 465.8 469.0 470.6 886.0 862.9 964.3

Domestic Consumption


Other 656.7 647.9 663.0 453.0 460.9 467.2 586.5 603.2 637.8

World Total 688.9 686.1 699.3 456.5 464.7 470.9 865.6 866.8 932.4

Ending Stocks


Other 178.7 156.3 167.1 103.1 105.4 103.3 107.3 114.0 116.9

World Total 198.9 175.8 182.8 104.4 106.6 104.3 132.5 134.9 162.5

TY Imports


Other 148.5 140.4 147.3 36.5 36.0 37.3 100.4 94.0 106.9

World Total 151.6 143.9 151.5 37.2 36.6 38.0 101.2 98.3 107.6

TY Exports


Other 125.7 119.7 124.3 35.8 35.1 36.5 65.3 81.8 73.7

World Total 153.8 147.4 154.3 39.1 38.4 39.8 103.8 100.1 110.7

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and exports

and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.

Marketing years for U.S. grains are: Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).

'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat only.

December 2013

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW Global production for 2013/14 is raised to a record level with larger Canadian and Australian crops. Trade is also projected at a record. U.S. imports are raised again this month as more Canadian wheat is expected to flow into the United States. Exports for both Canada and the EU are raised. U.S. exports are unchanged this month. The season-average farm price is lowered slightly.

PRICES: Domestic: Wheat prices fell in November. Demand for U.S. wheat softened as competition intensified with Canada’s huge exportable surplus. Hard Red Spring (HRS), which competes directly with Canadian wheat, plunged $14 to $326/ton. Although prices fell for Hard Red Winter (HRW) and Soft Red Winter (SRW), tightening supplies of both wheat classes are supportive. HRW fell $7 to $319/ton and SRW barely changed at $283/ton. Soft White Wheat (SWW) dropped $11/ton to $283/ton in response to a larger Australian crop.

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T

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

HRW SRW SWW HRS

Grain: World Markets and Trade, December 2013 4

December 2013

TRADE CHANGES IN 2013/14 Selected Exporters

• Canada is raised 1.0 million tons to 22.5 million, the highest in 22 years, on record production. Exports are expected to increase to the United States, South America and Asia.

• European Union is up 1.0 million tons to 25.0 million on the fast pace of export licenses and expected future sales to North Africa and the Middle East.

Selected Importers

• Bangladesh is raised 300,000 tons to 3.3 million on account of the strong import pace to-date and recent government purchases.

• Egypt is up 500,000 tons to 10.0 million because of the pace of recent government

purchases.

• Mexico is boosted 300,000 tons to 4.3 million on stronger-than-expected pace.

• The United States is up 250,000 tons to a record 4.2 million due to tight supplies of milling-quality wheat and a record Canadian crop.

Grain: World Markets and Trade, December 2013 5

December 2013

World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Dec

none

TY Exports

3,5007,45011,9517,7425,2558,651 Argentina

19,00021,26923,03118,45513,76413,450 Australia

22,50018,58117,60316,76818,99218,674 Canada

25,00022,62116,69123,08622,27925,410 European Union

6,0008,6481,722736021 India

8,0007,06011,0695,5197,8715,700 Kazakhstan

16,00011,28921,6273,98318,55618,393 Russia

3,7003,5833,6782,9444,3632,342 Turkey

10,0007,1905,4364,3029,33713,037 Ukraine

1,2008291,7821,5311,039702 Uruguay

9,38311,19311,06513,5569,7389,743 Others

124,283119,713125,65597,959111,254116,123 Subtotal

30,00027,69528,14236,04624,14327,101 United States

154,283147,408153,797134,005135,397143,224 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,0001,6002,2002,0002,5003,800 Afghanistan

6,5006,4846,5006,5165,1676,356 Algeria

3,3002,7192,0163,9513,3532,882 Bangladesh

7,7007,5487,0526,7426,6906,765 Brazil

8,5002,9602,9339271,394481 China

10,0008,30011,65010,60010,5009,900 Egypt

4,5005,2647,3684,6235,3587,708 European Union

7,2007,1466,4576,6065,3645,419 Indonesia

4,5005,5502,7003503,6509,500 Iran

3,2003,9493,7853,6313,8993,879 Iraq

6,0006,5986,3545,8695,5025,156 Japan

4,5005,4395,1884,7614,4703,371 Korea, South

2,0502,0501,5611,4752,0901,689 Libya

4,3003,8265,0203,4043,1963,342 Mexico

2,0003,8253,6714,0192,3043,759 Morocco

4,2004,1403,9314,0523,9903,550 Nigeria

3,6003,6454,0753,2243,1973,206 Philippines

2,7001,9212,9041,7421,9091,275 Saudi Arabia

1,9001,7932,3611,6041,9011,712 Sudan

1,9001,8452,6461,9431,6141,131 Thailand

1,8501,4971,4731,8181,5311,768 Tunisia

3,7003,3124,4143,5463,2183,578 Turkey

1,9001,8632,6981,6181,6771,440 Uzbekistan

1,9001,6712,7112,4601,9271,016 Vietnam

3,1003,1492,6852,8162,6142,804 Yemen

44,34542,31744,18637,92240,36541,817 Others

147,345140,411148,539128,219129,380137,304 Subtotal

2,7383,5542,2243,1882,7822,521 Unaccounted

4,2003,4433,0342,5983,2353,399 United States

154,283147,408153,797134,005135,397143,224 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.

December 2013

World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Dec

none

Production

11,0009,50015,50017,20012,00011,000 Argentina

26,50022,46129,90527,41021,83421,420 Australia

37,50027,20525,28823,30026,95028,619 Canada

121,000121,000117,400115,180115,120112,464 China

8,8008,5008,4007,2008,5237,977 Egypt

143,118133,878138,182136,667139,720151,922 European Union

92,46094,88086,87080,80080,68078,570 India

14,50014,00013,50015,03013,4857,957 Iran

15,5009,84122,7329,63817,05112,538 Kazakhstan

7,0003,8705,8004,8876,4003,730 Morocco

24,00023,30025,00023,90024,00020,959 Pakistan

51,50037,72056,24041,50861,77063,765 Russia

18,00015,50018,80017,00018,45016,800 Turkey

22,00015,76122,32416,84420,86625,885 Ukraine

6,8006,7006,3006,5006,2006,000 Uzbekistan

53,77950,38550,61749,24053,59045,842 Others

653,457594,501642,858592,304626,639615,448 Subtotal

57,96161,67154,41360,06260,36668,016 United States

711,418656,172697,271652,366687,005683,464 World Total

none

Total Consumption

9,8509,4508,9508,7508,5508,300 Algeria

11,40010,90011,20010,80011,00010,700 Brazil

10,2009,5879,8527,5527,2137,847 Canada

125,500125,000122,500110,500107,000105,500 China

18,90018,70018,60017,70018,10017,200 Egypt

120,750120,000127,234122,844125,622127,627 European Union

89,97083,82281,40481,76078,15070,924 India

17,00016,40015,50016,20016,80015,800 Iran

7,3006,6007,6006,7007,7007,600 Kazakhstan

8,7008,3008,8007,8507,8007,450 Morocco

24,00023,90023,10023,00023,00022,800 Pakistan

35,00033,55038,00038,60039,60038,900 Russia

17,75017,50018,10017,30017,10016,900 Turkey

11,50011,80014,95011,60012,30011,900 Ukraine

8,2008,0007,8007,7007,5007,100 Uzbekistan

146,997144,353143,150134,594132,570126,336 Others

668,188641,014665,197625,024623,293609,207 Subtotal

36,27838,26932,11230,63930,97734,293 United States

704,466679,283697,309655,663654,270643,500 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

4,8144,2447,0458,1835,0673,109 Australia

9,8475,0575,9327,3607,7436,645 Canada

56,93753,93755,94659,09154,42545,803 China

11,94710,07913,55811,93316,57319,396 European Union

20,20024,20019,95015,36016,12013,430 India

6,9045,1041,4742,7664,2003,115 Iran

6,1805,18010,89913,73614,72210,944 Russia

50,31748,49363,92857,08656,87649,234 Others

167,146156,294178,732175,515175,726151,676 Subtotal

15,63819,53820,21123,46626,55217,867 United States

182,784175,832198,943198,981202,278169,543 World Total

December 2013

Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Dec

2013/14

TY Imports none

7,128 North America 6,834 6,431 8,550 7,754 8,990

1,488 Central America 1,445 1,684 1,666 1,652 1,685

13,126 South America 13,170 13,158 13,778 14,393 14,565

7,708 European Union - 28 5,358 4,623 7,368 5,264 4,500

1,664 Other Europe 1,669 1,614 1,914 1,634 1,795

6,569 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,432 5,503 8,021 7,454 7,105

28,232 Middle East 22,575 17,513 23,389 24,151 24,090

23,472 North Africa 21,592 24,428 24,855 22,156 22,400

14,180 Sub-Saharan Africa 16,371 15,166 18,501 17,364 18,010

11,328 East Asia 13,754 13,903 16,877 17,354 21,375

10,797 South Asia 7,608 7,607 5,528 5,351 7,370

12,348 Southeast Asia 13,950 16,363 18,035 16,356 16,685

2,663 Others 2,857 2,824 3,091 2,971 2,975

140,703 Total 132,615 130,817 151,573 143,854 151,545

Production none

100,635 North America 91,464 87,038 83,329 92,107 98,843

21,118 South America 22,213 27,560 25,768 18,496 20,341

151,922 European Union - 28 139,720 136,667 138,182 133,878 143,118

3,922 Other Europe 3,734 3,178 3,634 3,489 4,191


30,303 Middle East 38,940 40,223 40,350 36,538 41,085

14,331 North Africa 20,241 15,914 18,311 17,232 20,612


113,806 East Asia 116,449 116,352 118,774 122,449 122,278

104,070 South Asia 111,144 110,949 117,132 125,356 123,536

21,763 Oceania 22,238 27,855 30,288 22,947 26,900

156 Others 174 183 186 186 191

683,464 Total 687,005 652,366 697,271 656,172 711,418

Domestic Consumption none

48,140 North America 44,490 44,641 49,564 54,481 52,978

24,644 South America 25,738 25,648 26,161 26,328 26,790

127,627 European Union - 28 125,622 122,844 127,234 120,000 120,750

5,060 Other Europe 4,900 4,737 4,875 4,734 5,081


52,731 Middle East 54,829 54,975 56,888 56,598 58,715

37,568 North Africa 39,441 38,806 40,872 41,437 42,462


117,218 East Asia 120,187 123,954 137,060 139,889 139,799

105,401 South Asia 113,755 117,008 115,839 120,136 127,001

12,055 Southeast Asia 13,106 14,998 16,684 16,405 16,495

8,323 Oceania 6,141 6,835 7,807 8,106 7,755

3,377 Others 3,295 3,354 3,343 3,360 3,410

637,177 Total 650,982 654,089 688,852 686,131 699,295

Ending Stocks none

24,815 North America 34,803 31,143 26,718 24,873 26,145

5,959 South America 7,703 8,437 4,176 3,800 4,701

19,396 European Union - 28 16,573 11,933 13,558 10,079 11,947

1,672 Other Europe 1,672 1,153 1,333 1,010 1,095


11,857 Middle East 14,012 12,842 12,230 13,104 15,224

9,003 North Africa 11,072 12,194 14,094 11,452 11,427


48,673 East Asia 57,307 62,170 59,270 57,699 60,048

17,393 South Asia 21,536 21,150 25,532 28,273 24,928

2,888 Southeast Asia 3,216 3,997 4,709 3,990 3,505

3,340 Oceania 5,343 8,598 7,440 4,575 5,130

322 Others 416 382 435 420 411

169,543 Total 202,278 198,981 198,943 175,832 182,784

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are reported

using local marketing years.

December 2013

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW Due to smaller crops in India and Thailand, global production for 2013/14 is projected down from last month but still a record. Ending stocks are also lower as consumption is expected to exceed production. Already a record, 2014 trade is boosted again as Thailand is forecast to supply the increase in global demand. U.S. exports are up and imports down marginally from last month. PRICES Thai prices have crashed over the past several months as the government attempts to sell sufficient stocks to finance its Paddy Pledging Scheme. As a result, Thailand has fallen from the highest-priced supplier to tie for the lowest in just 2 years, helped by the recent increase in quotes for Viet 5%, a likely temporary phenomenon resulting from a large sale of Vietnamese rice to the Philippines. By contrast, relatively tight supplies have kept U.S. quotes up, now nearly $200 above the Asian competition. Though there are few markets where U.S. rice competes directly with Thai rice, the price disparity has not been this great since 2004.

300

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600

650

700$/MT

Thai Quotes Finally Converge with Vietnam While US Maintains Premium

U.S. #2/4 THAI 5% VIET 5%


9 December 2013

TRADE CHANGES

Selected Exporters

• Thailand is boosted 500,000 tons in 2014 to 8.5 million on competitive prices and greater global demand.

• United States is cut 150,000 tons in 2013 (to 3.3 million) and raised 150,000 tons in 2014 (to 3.4 million) on the timing of shipments.

Selected Importers

• European Union is raised 100,000 tons in 2013 (to 1.3 million) on the pace of shipments and raised 150,000 tons in 2014 (to 1.4 million) as demand is expected to remain strong.

• Iran is raised 100,000 tons in 2013 (to 1.9 million) on trade data but cut by the same amount in 2014 (to 1.7 million) on a larger crop.

• Philippines is up 100,000 tons in 2013 and 2014 (to 1.1 million and 1.2 million, respectively) on purchases from Vietnam after the recent typhoon.


10 December 2013

World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Dec

none

TY Exports

550550608732468594 Argentina

5205004493115417 Australia

8507501,1051,296430591 Brazil

7507506907784451,052 Burma

1,000975800860750820 Cambodia

350425267487619783 China

850850600320570575 Egypt

200200194237278146 European Union

345345285257298241 Guyana

10,00010,50010,2504,6372,2282,149 India

3,0003,0003,3993,4144,0003,187 Pakistan

250275262208135124 Paraguay

8,5007,0006,94510,6479,0478,570 Thailand

9009001,056841808926 Uruguay

7,5007,2007,7177,0006,7345,950 Vietnam

9129021,177970803655 Others

36,47735,12235,80432,99527,66726,380 Subtotal

3,3503,2503,3053,2463,8683,017 United States

39,82738,37239,10936,24131,53529,397 World Total

none

TY Imports

525500360275280195 Angola

430300531,486660146 Bangladesh

700750732591778650 Brazil

500500450310300300 Cameroon

3,4003,2002,900575366337 China

1,2501,3001,450935840800 Cote d'Ivoire

450525330558498457 Cuba

1,3501,3001,3131,4961,2351,393 European Union

575600575620320410 Ghana

420425415381390397 Hong Kong

1,5001,0001,9603,0981,150250 Indonesia

1,6501,9001,5501,8701,5201,470 Iran

1,4001,4001,4781,0361,1881,089 Iraq

700700650742649750 Japan

1,1001,0501,0061,0769071,086 Malaysia

750725680705575610 Mexico

470475450360325385 Mozambique

3,0002,8003,4002,5502,0002,000 Nigeria

1,2001,1001,5001,2002,4002,000 Philippines

1,2501,2251,1931,0591,0691,072 Saudi Arabia

1,1501,1501,200805685715 Senegal

975950870885733745 South Africa

600600600200300300 Thailand

450440430420400380 United Arab Emirates

450425420337330329 Yemen

11,04610,62810,5539,7758,8678,074 Others

37,29135,96836,51833,34528,76526,340 Subtotal

1,8361,7541,9512,2752,2082,375 Unaccounted

700650640621562682 United States

39,82738,37239,10936,24131,53529,397 World Total


Note about dates: 2013/14 is calendar year 2014, 2012/13 is calendar year 2013, and so on.

December 2013

World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Dec

none

Milled Production

34,40033,82033,70031,70031,00031,200 Bangladesh

8,2007,9907,8889,3007,9298,570 Brazil

11,00010,66610,81610,52811,64211,200 Burma

4,9004,6004,2684,2334,0563,992 Cambodia

141,500143,000140,700137,000136,570134,330 China

4,8504,6754,2503,1004,5644,673 Egypt

103,000104,400105,31095,98089,09099,180 India

37,70036,55036,50035,50036,37038,310 Indonesia

7,7207,7567,6467,7207,7118,029 Japan

4,2304,0064,2244,2954,9164,843 Korea, South

6,0005,4006,2005,0006,8006,900 Pakistan

11,64011,42810,71010,5399,77210,755 Philippines

3,0502,6753,1382,4902,6502,227 Sri Lanka

20,50020,20020,46020,26220,26019,850 Thailand

27,70027,70027,15226,37124,99324,393 Vietnam

38,19537,76136,98837,61935,47334,131 Others

464,585462,627459,950441,637433,796442,583 Subtotal

6,0146,3345,8667,5937,1336,546 United States

470,599468,961465,816449,230440,929449,129 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

34,60034,47434,30032,40031,60031,200 Bangladesh

7,8507,8507,9288,2008,4778,400 Brazil

10,25010,20010,20010,10010,89010,800 Burma

3,8003,6153,4503,3703,2703,220 Cambodia

146,000144,000139,600135,000134,320133,000 China

4,0003,9003,6203,3003,9404,270 Egypt

3,4003,3503,3003,2503,2003,100 European Union

95,00093,50093,33490,20685,50891,090 India

39,80039,55039,55039,00038,00037,100 Indonesia

8,1508,2508,0508,2008,2008,326 Japan

4,4974,5224,9055,1754,7014,789 Korea, South

6,0005,4005,6004,8004,3504,220 Nigeria

12,85012,85012,86012,90013,12513,100 Philippines

10,70010,60010,40010,30010,2009,500 Thailand

20,50020,10019,65019,40019,15019,000 Vietnam

59,82258,74056,28453,58152,65150,733 Others

469,189463,068456,549441,107434,472433,492 Subtotal

3,6903,7503,4934,3304,0144,082 United States

472,879466,818460,042445,437438,486437,574 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

45,33246,78245,02342,57440,53438,546 China

23,10025,10025,10023,50020,50019,000 India

2,4853,0855,0856,1756,5777,057 Indonesia

2,8232,7532,7472,7122,6932,715 Japan

1,4771,4871,5092,4593,5204,673 Philippines

14,43012,5309,3305,6156,1004,787 Thailand

2,1262,3261,8261,9411,4701,961 Vietnam

11,53911,33412,48712,14612,26512,684 Others

103,312105,397103,10797,12293,65991,423 Subtotal

9611,1561,3031,5141,184977 United States

104,273106,553104,41098,63694,84392,400 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.

December 2013

Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Dec

2013/14

TY Imports none

1,614 North America 1,495 1,654 1,664 1,715 1,800

902 Caribbean 969 1,099 845 1,080 1,025

1,116 South America 1,354 1,396 1,896 1,792 1,852

108 Other Europe 116 128 114 122 122

412 Former Soviet Union - 12 401 335 403 403 426

5,349 Middle East 5,808 5,989 6,351 6,605 6,480

155 North Africa 345 364 747 550 545


1,873 East Asia 1,960 2,444 4,389 5,111 5,116

524 South Asia 1,016 1,864 666 860 1,000

4,542 Southeast Asia 5,537 6,504 5,595 4,280 4,925

2,227 Others 2,118 2,314 2,158 2,160 2,235

27,022 Total 29,327 33,966 37,158 36,618 37,991

Production none

6,707 North America 7,315 7,739 5,979 6,465 6,143

833 Caribbean 954 938 1,024 885 991

16,459 South America 15,664 17,197 15,215 15,617 16,060

1,773 European Union - 28 2,176 2,172 2,110 2,098 2,068

902 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,144 1,321 1,294 1,286 1,204

2,075 Middle East 2,049 2,123 2,169 2,150 2,330

4,693 North Africa 4,598 3,139 4,289 4,704 4,889


150,087 East Asia 151,828 151,801 155,342 157,662 156,410

142,623 South Asia 132,878 138,116 151,656 149,755 149,910

111,389 Southeast Asia 110,063 110,476 112,992 114,320 116,691

663 Others 810 1,245 1,350 1,530 1,363

449,129 Total 440,929 449,230 465,816 468,961 470,599


5,177 North America 5,158 5,430 4,669 4,938 4,900

1,095 Central America 1,119 1,109 1,146 1,181 1,206

1,774 Caribbean 1,890 2,055 1,997 1,860 2,008

14,777 South America 14,880 14,457 14,220 14,346 14,495

3,100 European Union - 28 3,200 3,250 3,300 3,350 3,400


7,627 Middle East 7,781 8,183 8,399 8,610 8,795

4,402 North Africa 4,307 3,657 4,005 4,429 4,559


149,585 East Asia 150,349 151,733 155,911 160,277 162,207

131,561 South Asia 126,275 130,792 136,781 137,439 139,310

96,910 Southeast Asia 98,916 99,572 100,672 101,561 102,636

548 Others 609 634 661 757 702

435,930 Total 435,596 443,512 456,524 464,651 470,909

Ending Stocks none

1,143 North America 1,322 1,734 1,455 1,324 1,146

205 Central America 246 249 269 273 270

114 Caribbean 116 101 158 111 119

2,238 South America 1,905 2,168 1,517 1,715 1,932

1,068 European Union - 28 1,140 1,215 1,117 1,055 873

1,997 Middle East 1,634 1,723 1,492 1,628 1,613

564 North Africa 498 122 487 462 487

967 Sub-Saharan Africa 680 1,404 2,229 2,005 1,519

42,493 East Asia 45,098 46,690 48,874 50,634 49,398

21,523 South Asia 22,561 25,342 27,511 26,517 24,917

19,934 Southeast Asia 19,441 17,663 19,126 20,540 21,770

26 Oceania 46 27 40 120 70

128 Others 156 198 135 169 159

92,400 Total 94,843 98,636 104,410 106,553 104,273



December 2013


14

175

200

225

250

275

300

325

350

$/M

T

Corn Daily Export Bids

U.S. Gulf Black Sea Brazil Paranagua Argentina Up River

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW World coarse grains production is up with larger corn (Canada and Ukraine) and barley crops (Australia and Canada). Global corn trade is up, led mostly by robust demand from the EU. The U.S. corn export estimate is raised as favorable prices continue to boost sales. The season-average farm price is lowered slightly. PRICES U.S. corn quotes have been range-bound since the end of September. Although sales and shipments have been strong, expectations for additional supplies and uncertainty over China’s rejection of some U.S. corn cargoes have pressured prices. For the first week of December, prices are quoted at about $211/ton.

TRADE CHANGES IN 2013/14 Selected Exporters

U.S. corn is up 1.0 million tons to 37.0 million on recent strong sales and shipments.

Canadian corn is boosted 500,000 tons to 1.5 million on greater exportable supplies.

• Australian barley is raised 600,000 tons to 4.7 million on sharply larger exportable

supplies and demand from China for malting barley. (Chinese barley imports are boosted 300,000 tons to 2.5 million.)

• Canadian barley is raised 200,000 tons to 1.9 million on greater exportable supplies.

• EU barley is cut by 800,000 tons to 4.5 million based on a slowdown in export licenses. (Exports for 2012/13 are raised 1.0 million tons to 6.5 million because of strong late-season shipments that limited export licenses available in the next trade year.)

• Ukrainian barley is raised 300,000 tons to 2.5 million based on reduced competition from the EU.

Selected Importers

• EU corn is boosted 1.0 million tons to 9.0 million on the pace of import licenses and greater global supplies, especially from Ukraine.

• Kenyan corn is doubled to 800,000 tons, the highest in 5 years, on a smaller crop.

TRADE CHANGES IN 2012/13 Selected Exporters – based on trade data

• Australian barley is up 800,000 tons to 4.6 million.

• Ukrainian barley is raised 500,000 tons to 2.7 million. Selected Importer – based on trade data

• Saudi Arabian barley is boosted 2.0 million tons to a record 10.0 million.


15 December 2013

World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Dec

none

TY Exports

20,10529,49722,30818,62819,03010,249 Argentina

5,8506,3797,2794,8994,4144,873 Australia

20,50526,07412,67711,5928,6277,187 Brazil

5,2254,6733,8544,4283,0703,852 Canada

7,7558,9147,1525,8654,2934,447 European Union

3,5755,2744,8583,4372,0722,642 India

1,8052,8632,1881,2011,3631,849 Paraguay

5,1104,3715,9971,0292,5264,945 Russia

1,9252,4131,8512,8571,6342,159 South Africa

20,68015,55617,4477,49010,97711,506 Ukraine

6,0355,0527,6135,3456,8555,135 Others

98,570111,06693,22466,77164,86158,844 Subtotal

41,73020,58940,19149,18353,92251,558 United States

140,300131,655133,415115,954118,783110,402 World Total

none

TY Imports

3,4103,1103,6912,9452,5762,067 Algeria

1,2051,1761,2116331,0491,497 Brazil

1,4751,2751,5231,2711,2751,317 Chile

11,5755,6047,9242,6973,7771,651 China

4,6554,1104,1044,1554,1023,557 Colombia

900850746838736708 Cuba

1,2001,1001,0549991,098973 Dominican Republic

5,7755,0757,2505,8405,8975,093 Egypt

9,38011,8156,8848,6352,8372,691 European Union

2,2002,7001,7243,0411,321317 Indonesia

5,1004,5005,7004,0005,1005,000 Iran

1,6901,5001,5301,4461,5921,295 Israel

18,53517,74317,73018,59019,19019,609 Japan

1,4001,2001,158917713785 Jordan

8603004903125591,429 Kenya

9,0908,2647,7268,1688,5097,248 Korea, South

3,4003,1003,3092,8093,1072,447 Malaysia

12,2507,62312,81910,76010,87210,453 Mexico

2,2501,9002,4792,0592,1941,833 Morocco

2,2602,0601,9282,0791,8861,520 Peru

10,40012,20010,4858,1389,0769,186 Saudi Arabia

4,4504,4504,5004,2774,6444,658 Taiwan

1,3501,5501,0719581,202875 Tunisia

2,6002,3002,5961,2512,1981,340 Venezuela

1,6001,6001,6001,0001,6001,250 Vietnam

14,10014,61015,41214,76915,87916,376 Others

133,110121,715126,644112,587112,989105,175 Subtotal

4,1153,4773,6319183,5192,420 Unaccounted

3,0756,4633,1402,4492,2752,807 United States

140,300131,655133,415115,954118,783110,402 World Total


December 2013

World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Dec

none

Production

35,35837,04630,10533,25830,23119,634 Argentina

12,18711,11512,25711,48510,93512,295 Australia

72,81383,76775,88460,38058,18253,486 Brazil

28,73524,42722,92122,66822,78027,267 Canada

217,780212,756199,297183,771169,775172,391 China

11,60211,36311,43510,4698,0469,034 Ethiopia

158,296145,898149,881142,829157,547164,921 European Union

41,74039,91042,25043,37033,89039,550 India

9,2008,0008,8506,8006,9008,700 Indonesia

29,44028,88125,68929,22627,27332,222 Mexico

19,20018,57317,42120,72020,48023,297 Nigeria

35,60028,65833,07716,41631,84340,881 Russia

13,49712,85813,25611,32113,88113,084 South Africa

12,97510,57511,27510,18511,17610,408 Turkey

38,97029,52733,47621,50324,18526,507 Ukraine

146,969143,147140,481142,547140,974129,402 Others

884,362846,501827,555766,948768,098783,079 Subtotal

371,720286,005323,728330,236348,755325,867 United States

1,256,0821,132,5061,151,2831,097,1841,116,8531,108,946 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

12,45811,85010,51011,03310,0548,768 Argentina

58,13356,08853,73852,73349,51448,191 Brazil

21,93520,27620,28021,20122,74622,864 Canada

227,175212,125196,992188,448173,251161,162 China

12,82512,83712,84913,57513,07212,162 Egypt

11,62511,30711,2609,9258,5439,033 Ethiopia

157,070153,495151,460154,657152,412154,192 European Union

37,55035,17537,75038,85032,00036,500 India

18,73018,03017,99018,87519,64519,965 Japan

39,98536,19537,98539,78540,81542,035 Mexico

19,15018,75017,32120,67020,28023,177 Nigeria

29,60025,13427,72818,13130,44033,011 Russia

11,60011,2259,5008,7009,6759,475 Saudi Arabia

12,97512,82511,72511,07510,86510,700 Turkey

16,65014,53615,55913,77212,99413,776 Ukraine

222,372214,368210,916208,439203,918195,592 Others

915,424857,081862,133830,596818,012803,204 Subtotal

308,144276,209290,047298,057295,404275,978 United States

1,223,5681,133,2901,152,1801,128,6531,113,4161,079,182 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

12,13916,2599,50510,60510,25712,450 Brazil

5,2053,0853,3953,5495,5346,437 Canada

68,40866,35860,23250,13452,30252,206 China

13,81412,46315,58016,73226,24121,264 European Union

3,7153,0703,1251,6502,4542,548 Saudi Arabia

3,3703,3563,8863,5815,3674,327 South Africa

4,1842,4642,4212,1492,2172,411 Ukraine

37,45533,76139,22645,39945,05145,416 Others

148,290140,816137,370133,799149,423147,059 Subtotal

48,63023,59027,82032,28848,13347,060 United States

196,920164,406165,190166,087197,556194,119 World Total

December 2013

Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Dec

2013/14

TY Imports none

15,160 North America 15,158 14,264 16,723 14,624 15,870

2,491 Central America 2,537 2,900 2,768 2,650 3,000

2,011 Caribbean 2,166 2,193 2,159 2,330 2,480

9,819 South America 11,108 10,519 11,969 11,570 12,820

2,691 European Union - 28 2,837 8,635 6,884 11,815 9,380

664 Former Soviet Union - 12 456 1,134 1,013 813 860

21,197 Middle East 21,263 18,690 23,337 24,030 22,180

10,592 North Africa 13,107 12,345 15,320 12,535 13,635


33,347 East Asia 36,249 33,888 38,062 36,191 43,780

5,405 Southeast Asia 6,725 7,558 7,317 7,960 7,920

718 Others 880 881 1,019 1,000 1,030

107,982 Total 115,264 115,036 129,784 128,178 136,185

Production none

385,356 North America 398,808 382,130 372,338 339,313 429,895

85,272 South America 101,826 106,037 117,979 134,263 121,491

164,921 European Union - 28 157,547 142,829 149,881 145,898 158,296

9,554 Other Europe 9,387 9,800 9,383 6,265 8,896


16,046 Middle East 18,950 18,750 19,041 18,461 21,005

10,084 North Africa 14,858 12,452 11,220 10,479 11,954


174,467 East Asia 171,831 185,739 201,424 215,015 220,012

45,867 South Asia 40,511 49,884 48,901 46,736 48,566

27,734 Southeast Asia 25,451 26,374 28,379 28,601 30,505

12,936 Oceania 11,642 12,030 12,864 11,785 12,817

4,788 Others 4,668 4,621 4,795 4,864 4,863

1,108,946 Total 1,116,853 1,097,184 1,151,283 1,132,506 1,256,082


340,877 North America 358,965 359,043 348,312 332,680 370,064

76,390 South America 79,659 84,425 85,533 89,172 92,826

154,192 European Union - 28 152,412 154,657 151,460 153,495 157,070

8,592 Other Europe 8,518 8,495 8,214 6,602 8,026


37,953 Middle East 38,699 38,308 40,085 42,304 43,824

20,992 North Africa 24,626 25,685 25,353 24,667 25,955


195,805 East Asia 208,034 221,795 229,527 245,175 261,616

42,873 South Asia 38,754 45,439 44,583 41,943 44,013

30,300 Southeast Asia 31,175 33,139 34,612 36,000 37,305

7,888 Oceania 7,761 7,495 6,568 5,632 6,767

9,403 Others 9,438 9,698 9,692 9,833 10,143

1,076,581 Total 1,105,628 1,127,926 1,133,610 1,140,425 1,217,977

Ending Stocks none

58,720 North America 55,620 37,878 33,072 28,282 56,997

16,565 South America 17,444 20,111 13,432 20,520 17,160

21,264 European Union - 28 26,241 16,732 15,580 12,463 13,814

1,195 Other Europe 1,377 1,406 1,010 873 978


8,542 Middle East 9,271 7,508 9,416 8,631 9,227

2,584 North Africa 5,255 4,772 5,426 3,716 3,425


55,934 East Asia 55,775 53,394 63,247 69,169 71,215

2,060 South Asia 1,674 2,654 2,204 1,662 2,615

4,448 Southeast Asia 3,379 3,508 3,068 2,596 2,576

3,361 Oceania 2,807 1,584 980 758 1,158

943 Others 882 813 815 771 936

194,119 Total 197,556 166,087 165,190 164,406 196,920



December 2013

World Corn Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Dec

none

TY Exports

16,00022,78616,50115,19816,9738,466 Argentina

20,50026,04412,67411,5838,6237,178 Brazil

1,5001,8134941,658186366 Canada

3,0002,1933,2871,0961,5691,873 European Union

3,5004,7684,6743,3761,9172,551 India

1,8002,8582,1881,2011,3591,847 Paraguay

2,5001,9172,027374271,331 Russia

1,6006012,3312,0041,3431,467 Serbia

1,9002,3981,8312,8391,5862,111 South Africa

18,00012,72615,1575,0085,0725,497 Ukraine

3,4253,7384,1612,5433,9723,144 Others

73,72581,84265,32546,54343,02735,831 Subtotal

37,00018,27538,42845,13549,69647,758 United States

110,725100,117103,75391,67892,72383,589 World Total

none

TY Imports

3,0002,8003,2032,6832,5691,903 Algeria

8008719372876991,092 Brazil

900800906526663839 Chile

7,0002,7025,2319791,29647 China

3,9003,2643,2093,5113,6513,142 Colombia

900850746838736708 Cuba

1,2001,1001,0549991,098973 Dominican Republic

5,7005,0007,1545,8035,8325,031 Egypt

9,00011,3516,1137,3852,7582,457 European Union

2,2002,7001,7243,0411,321317 Indonesia

4,1003,5004,0003,5004,3003,600 Iran

1,4001,2001,2211,0291,053846 Israel

15,50014,41214,89215,64815,97116,531 Japan

8002004003005001,400 Kenya

9,0008,1747,6368,1078,4617,188 Korea, South

3,4003,1003,3092,8093,1072,447 Malaysia

10,5005,67611,1728,2528,2987,764 Mexico

2,0001,7001,9431,7381,8021,566 Morocco

2,1001,9001,7721,9391,7821,429 Peru

2,3002,1001,8161,9331,8721,482 Saudi Arabia

4,3004,3004,3414,1344,5214,532 Taiwan

850750853677866646 Tunisia

2,6002,3002,5961,2512,1981,336 Venezuela

1,6001,6001,6001,0001,6001,250 Vietnam

800700600300300400 Zimbabwe

11,01010,97711,99911,62312,57212,838 Others

106,86094,027100,42790,29289,82681,764 Subtotal

3,1151,8662,5617022,6601,488 Unaccounted

7504,224765684237337 United States

110,725100,117103,75391,67892,72383,589 World Total


December 2013

World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Dec

none

Production

26,00026,50021,00025,20025,00015,500 Argentina

70,00081,00073,00057,40056,10051,000 Brazil

14,20013,06011,35912,0439,79610,643 Canada

211,000205,600192,780177,245163,974165,914 China

5,6005,8005,5006,5006,2806,645 Egypt

64,93558,85568,11858,26559,14764,821 European Union

23,00022,23021,76021,73016,72019,730 India

9,2008,0008,8506,8006,9008,700 Indonesia

21,70021,59118,72621,05820,37424,226 Mexico

7,7007,6309,2508,8008,9507,970 Nigeria

7,3157,2617,1307,2716,2316,853 Philippines

11,5008,2136,9623,0753,9636,682 Russia

6,0003,5006,4006,8006,4006,130 Serbia

13,00012,36512,75910,92413,42012,567 South Africa

30,00020,92222,83811,91910,48611,447 Ukraine

87,80286,52185,60683,01579,15974,286 Others

608,952589,048572,038518,045492,900493,114 Subtotal

355,330273,832313,949316,165332,549307,142 United States

964,282862,880885,987834,210825,449800,256 World Total

none

Total Consumption

8,0007,6007,0007,3006,9006,400 Argentina

55,00053,00050,50049,50047,00045,500 Brazil

12,50011,60911,63611,76111,86811,738 Canada

216,000202,000188,000180,000165,000153,000 China

11,70011,70011,70012,50012,00011,100 Egypt

70,50069,30069,50064,90061,30063,600 European Union

18,90017,40017,20018,10015,10017,000 India

11,10010,90010,5009,8008,8008,900 Indonesia

15,50014,50014,90015,70016,30016,700 Japan

9,1008,3847,8158,2148,3827,894 Korea, South

30,50027,00029,00029,50030,20032,400 Mexico

7,7007,8009,2508,8008,8007,900 Nigeria

8,4006,4004,7003,2003,7005,200 Russia

11,00010,80010,70010,65010,3009,900 South Africa

10,1008,1007,8006,5005,7005,850 Ukraine

141,788136,709136,335130,907126,574120,226 Others

642,073596,856603,589566,275544,917525,207 Subtotal

294,653263,579279,035285,123281,615259,272 United States

936,726860,435882,624851,398826,532784,479 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

11,81016,0109,21010,2769,98912,084 Brazil

2,2451,5451,3651,2631,7311,833 Canada

67,45665,55659,33549,41551,30251,183 China

5,8145,3796,6665,2225,5686,532 European Union

2,5831,0331,3161,1121,3893,559 Mexico

3,1913,1663,6763,4185,1694,113 South Africa

3,1471,1971,0511,121672937 Ukraine

20,68520,09624,71728,62427,08324,621 Others

116,931113,982107,336100,451102,903104,862 Subtotal

45,52820,92125,12228,64443,38042,504 United States

162,459134,903132,458129,095146,283147,366 World Total

December 2013

Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Dec

2013/14

TY Imports none

9,945 North America 10,496 9,920 12,684 10,393 11,750

2,491 Central America 2,537 2,889 2,765 2,650 3,000

8,312 South America 9,469 8,372 9,886 9,499 10,740

2,457 European Union - 28 2,758 7,385 6,113 11,351 9,000


9,462 Middle East 11,187 9,942 10,686 10,625 10,925

9,574 North Africa 11,725 11,265 13,799 10,800 12,200


28,479 East Asia 30,378 29,024 32,282 29,718 35,930

5,391 Southeast Asia 6,709 7,541 7,304 7,940 7,900

2,011 Caribbean 2,166 2,193 2,159 2,330 2,480

529 Others 558 574 590 620 670

82,101 Total 90,063 90,976 101,192 98,251 107,610

Production none

342,011 North America 362,719 349,266 344,034 308,483 391,230

76,404 South America 92,518 93,105 103,988 118,654 107,055

64,821 European Union - 28 59,147 58,265 68,118 58,855 64,935

7,563 Other Europe 7,615 8,071 7,673 4,580 7,180


6,748 Middle East 6,305 6,039 5,968 6,783 7,183

6,767 North Africa 6,486 6,780 5,701 6,001 5,801


167,580 East Asia 165,679 178,947 194,582 207,534 212,894

24,959 South Asia 22,020 26,956 27,198 27,668 28,438

3,719 Central America 3,542 3,549 3,698 3,740 3,743

27,485 Southeast Asia 25,212 26,135 28,138 28,364 30,265

1,224 Others 1,223 1,203 1,318 1,318 1,237

800,256 Total 825,449 834,210 885,987 862,880 964,282


303,410 North America 323,683 326,384 319,671 302,188 337,653

67,929 South America 70,639 73,923 75,121 78,045 81,495

63,600 European Union - 28 61,300 64,900 69,500 69,300 70,500

6,486 Other Europe 6,487 6,499 6,244 4,635 6,035


16,005 Middle East 16,885 16,885 16,848 18,160 18,110

15,975 North Africa 17,650 18,525 18,000 18,100 18,400


184,015 East Asia 196,111 209,870 217,047 231,139 246,815

22,250 South Asia 20,475 23,381 22,770 22,770 23,970

30,043 Southeast Asia 30,943 32,893 34,357 35,750 37,050

6,250 Central America 6,250 6,375 6,425 6,350 6,650

3,260 Others 3,285 3,420 3,369 3,580 3,555

782,580 Total 819,539 852,455 865,571 866,781 932,441

Ending Stocks none

47,896 North America 46,500 31,019 27,803 23,499 50,356

15,195 South America 16,383 17,943 12,398 18,596 14,831

6,532 European Union - 28 5,568 5,222 6,666 5,379 5,814

910 Other Europe 1,125 1,150 710 549 634


4,073 Middle East 4,409 3,509 3,448 2,731 2,514

2,058 North Africa 2,258 2,102 2,939 1,880 1,471


54,295 East Asia 54,090 52,055 61,806 67,838 69,747

1,472 South Asia 996 1,140 933 951 1,839

4,443 Southeast Asia 3,376 3,504 3,065 2,591 2,571

723 Central America 559 552 569 564 632

256 Others 346 265 259 217 319

147,366 Total 146,283 129,095 132,458 134,903 162,459



December 2013

World Barley Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Dec

none

TY Exports

2,6003,6473,6311,531549871 Argentina

4,7004,6295,8194,0883,8463,278 Australia

1,9001,3161,4371,0521,2031,618 Canada

552100 Chile

51491317 China

1010014147 Egypt

4,5006,4733,6214,5812,3682,355 European Union

5027552303137 India

500200659224354314 Kazakhstan

10105104530 Moldova

2,5002,3663,6689692,0863,598 Russia

551492211 Serbia

505010318013 Turkey

2,5002,6592,1662,4465,7525,871 Ukraine

251000000 Uruguay

0251182512 Others

19,36021,77121,19214,97317,10918,022 Subtotal

200162179181152158 United States

19,56021,93321,37115,15417,26118,180 World Total

none

TY Imports

4003004792626164 Algeria

400300274345346403 Brazil

2,5002,1842,5411,6562,3411,551 China

250250301251237211 Colombia

1,0001,0001,7005008001,400 Iran

225200276287491367 Israel

1,3001,3561,2571,3591,4111,346 Japan

950750750544432514 Jordan

250250350317283252 Kuwait

200350183179582296 Libya

250200536222248263 Morocco

3002783724111339 Russia

8,00010,0008,6006,2007,2007,700 Saudi Arabia

500800218281336229 Tunisia

500500525334299131 United Arab Emirates

1,4901,8221,9631,7381,3722,370 Others

18,51520,54020,32514,88616,39717,236 Subtotal

495962577120562372 Unaccounted

550431469148302572 United States

19,56021,93321,37115,15417,26118,180 World Total


December 2013

World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Dec

none

Production

1,7501,5001,3501,5002,400560 Algeria

4,3005,0004,5002,9501,3562,110 Argentina

8,6007,4668,2217,9957,8657,996 Australia

1,7002,1002,0131,9662,1232,212 Belarus

10,2508,0127,8927,6279,52811,786 Canada

2,3002,3502,3001,9722,3182,823 China

1,6321,6201,5921,5251,5691,484 Ethiopia

59,17354,81851,88353,69162,39365,759 European Union

1,7401,6201,6601,3501,6901,200 India

3,2003,4002,9003,2103,4461,547 Iran

2,3001,5002,5931,3132,5192,059 Kazakhstan

2,7001,2002,3402,5703,8001,272 Morocco

15,00013,95216,9388,35017,88123,148 Russia

7,3005,5007,0005,9006,5005,700 Turkey

7,5006,9359,0988,48411,83312,612 Ukraine

8,9708,8068,5298,3318,6997,551 Others

138,415125,779130,809118,734145,920149,819 Subtotal

4,6834,7963,3923,9254,9495,230 United States

143,098130,575134,201122,659150,869155,049 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,1502,0001,8001,6001,3501,100 Algeria

3,8002,8003,3004,2004,5004,000 Australia

1,9002,2002,1002,0002,2002,200 Belarus

7,4006,8156,9167,4648,7178,949 Canada

4,7004,6004,6004,0504,5004,300 China

1,6501,4321,5351,5251,5501,500 Ethiopia

52,70051,30051,20056,61056,77057,270 European Union

1,7001,5251,5501,3501,5001,000 India

4,5004,5003,9003,7003,7003,550 Iran

1,8001,3751,8251,4752,0001,850 Kazakhstan

2,9001,9003,1003,0502,9001,700 Morocco

12,40012,10014,3009,50016,65017,100 Russia

8,8258,5257,2256,3257,4257,425 Saudi Arabia

6,8506,1006,7506,0005,9005,700 Turkey

5,2005,0006,3006,0005,6005,900 Ukraine

15,95215,67515,37614,76714,83214,735 Others

134,646128,147131,557131,329140,400138,957 Subtotal

5,0074,6664,1924,5374,6045,127 United States

139,653132,813135,749135,866145,004144,084 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,1941,1941,4351,2361,247184 Algeria

1,9589831,1951,5022,5022,964 Canada

5,2874,7146,0717,93815,55210,951 European Union

1,4781,7781,3781,1781,268622 Iran

1,1267268481,3862,3953,813 Russia

3,3782,7032,7281,2532,0782,203 Saudi Arabia

960510910724790793 Turkey

6,6605,9906,7156,9728,9948,014 Others

22,04118,59821,28022,18934,82629,544 Subtotal

1,7521,7501,3061,9452,5151,932 United States

23,79320,34822,58624,13437,34131,476 World Total

12/10/2013 12:03:31 PM

December 2013

Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Dec

2013/14

TY Imports none

737 North America 373 227 619 503 725

810 South America 772 905 851 960 960

156 European Union - 28 66 288 340 100 100

59 Other Europe 134 189 209 230 205


11,631 Middle East 10,019 8,604 12,532 13,200 11,085

973 North Africa 1,215 960 1,458 1,700 1,400

125 Sub-Saharan Africa 59 77 80 55 65

3,000 East Asia 3,842 3,107 3,946 3,665 3,925

48 South Asia 10 8 68 55 50

0 Oceania 14 15 19 5 5

17,808 Total 16,699 15,034 20,794 20,971 19,065

Production none

17,797 North America 14,996 12,224 11,771 13,840 15,483

3,156 South America 2,443 3,869 5,539 6,094 5,440

65,759 European Union - 28 62,393 53,691 51,883 54,818 59,173

1,310 Other Europe 1,163 1,112 1,163 1,181 1,212


8,004 Middle East 11,320 11,100 11,670 10,275 12,419

2,362 North Africa 7,340 4,589 4,448 3,408 5,083


3,210 East Asia 2,646 2,215 2,602 2,652 2,615

1,607 South Asia 2,330 1,957 2,192 2,327 2,447

8,405 Oceania 8,300 8,303 8,589 7,902 9,000

155,049 Total 150,869 122,659 134,201 130,575 143,098


14,901 North America 14,021 12,701 11,808 12,381 13,107

2,703 South America 2,933 2,937 3,072 3,390 3,370

57,270 European Union - 28 56,770 56,610 51,200 51,300 52,700

1,369 Other Europe 1,282 1,309 1,336 1,370 1,399


20,506 Middle East 20,403 19,694 21,786 22,496 24,136

4,012 North Africa 5,847 5,925 6,199 5,462 6,450


6,106 East Asia 6,276 5,771 6,375 6,400 6,455

1,438 South Asia 2,163 1,967 2,122 2,237 2,407

4,400 Oceania 4,925 4,550 3,700 3,225 4,200

143,406 Total 144,698 134,153 135,969 132,513 139,434

Ending Stocks none

5,228 North America 5,214 3,647 2,621 3,014 3,991

766 South America 601 851 594 526 926

10,951 European Union - 28 15,552 7,938 6,071 4,714 5,287

222 Other Europe 203 191 206 238 251


4,391 Middle East 4,813 3,923 5,878 5,816 6,634

496 North Africa 2,953 2,612 2,451 1,805 1,928


940 East Asia 1,139 681 850 766 846

87 South Asia 224 197 258 118 158

2,473 Oceania 1,934 1,041 578 460 765

31,476 Total 37,341 24,134 22,586 20,348 23,793



December 2013

World Sorghum Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Dec

none

TY Exports

1,5003,0592,1631,8931,507907 Argentina

9001,4251,1855753501,360 Australia

252736684132 China

7575757500 Ethiopia

252311323112454 India

50075605050 Nigeria

1501501133441126 Ukraine

1301451288017895 Others

2,8555,1123,9072,8162,2912,624 Subtotal

4,5002,1281,5493,8274,0323,598 United States

7,3557,2405,4566,6436,3236,222 World Total

none

TY Imports

500400544729568404 Chile

2,0006318448314 China

500591592391212202 Colombia

175291126922766 European Union

1,6001,8971,4811,4181,6491,629 Japan

1,5001,8001,3692,3792,4862,484 Mexico

606059573117 Peru

10010069544 Saudi Arabia

100175125200400300 Sudan

10010084977172 Taiwan

480560525509795558 Others

7,1156,6055,0586,7116,3065,750 Subtotal

240392395-6917469 Unaccounted

02433103 United States

7,3557,2405,4566,6436,3236,222 World Total


December 2013

World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Dec

none

Production

4,6005,0004,2004,4003,6291,660 Argentina

1,9002,0052,2391,9351,5082,692 Australia

2,1002,1162,2222,3141,6242,004 Brazil

1,8001,9241,5001,9901,5221,875 Burkina

1,1501,1001,1501,0991,060931 Cameroon

9001,200648680600685 Chad

2,3002,5562,0502,4561,6771,837 China

900900900900900900 Egypt

3,7003,5703,7813,4652,0842,619 Ethiopia

5,5005,3006,0307,0006,7007,250 India

1,2001,1171,1911,2571,4661,027 Mali

7,1006,1746,4257,3856,2507,067 Mexico

1,0001,0008071,3007391,226 Niger

6,5005,9436,9006,7506,60011,000 Nigeria

3,8004,2712,0892,6304,1923,869 Sudan

7,2266,8816,9416,4756,1766,565 Others

51,67651,05749,07352,03646,72753,207 Subtotal

10,5566,2725,4478,7799,72811,998 United States

62,23257,32954,52060,81556,45565,205 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,6002,3001,9001,9001,9001,100 Argentina

1,0058051,1051,4051,2051,805 Australia

2,1002,1002,2752,2751,6751,875 Brazil

1,8001,9001,5001,9001,6861,700 Burkina

1,1601,1101,1751,1091,070941 Cameroon

9501,150650700650650 Chad

4,2003,2002,2002,2001,9002,000 China

3,7003,7003,7003,2002,4002,700 Ethiopia

5,4505,1506,0006,8006,6007,200 India

1,6001,9001,4751,4601,6501,600 Japan

1,2001,1171,1911,2571,4661,027 Mali

8,6008,1008,1009,4009,7008,600 Mexico

1,0501,0009501,2509501,200 Niger

6,4505,9506,8006,7006,55010,950 Nigeria

3,9004,3002,4503,0004,5004,500 Sudan

9,5449,5239,4769,9048,4358,837 Others

56,16652,02252,47254,49352,68756,627 Subtotal

5,5894,7863,9535,2785,9018,319 United States

61,75556,80856,42559,77158,58864,946 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,0671,067167950152194 Argentina

175180230361681678 Australia

400325365467275456 China

168143223327154181 India

2922924187243601,324 Mexico

208208215190200200 Nigeria

279284143399574487 Sudan

9519599751,1097361,403 Others

3,5403,4582,7364,5273,1324,923 Subtotal

7773825836971,0481,390 United States

4,3173,8403,3195,2244,1806,313 World Total

December 2013

Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Dec

2013/14

TY Imports none

2,487 North America 2,486 2,380 1,372 2,043 1,500

665 South America 848 1,218 1,200 1,086 1,095

66 European Union - 28 7 922 126 291 175

0 Other Europe 17 0 0 0 0

81 Middle East 48 121 101 175 150

45 North Africa 166 120 54 25 25


1,719 East Asia 1,806 1,523 1,655 2,633 3,705

14 Southeast Asia 16 17 13 20 20

4 Others 35 21 14 5 5

5,753 Total 6,306 6,712 5,061 6,848 7,115

Production none

19,065 North America 15,978 16,164 11,872 12,446 17,656

298 Central America 341 287 312 339 335

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,719 South America 5,923 7,351 7,124 7,808 7,442

517 European Union - 28 621 629 671 486 597

654 Middle East 581 807 640 640 640

912 North Africa 911 906 915 915 915


1,857 East Asia 1,697 2,476 2,070 2,576 2,320

7,395 South Asia 6,845 7,145 6,175 5,445 5,645


2,692 Oceania 1,508 1,935 2,239 2,005 1,900

232 Others 42 61 176 208 250

65,205 Total 56,455 60,815 54,520 57,329 62,232


16,919 North America 15,601 14,678 12,053 12,886 14,189

315 Central America 325 300 320 325 335

128 Caribbean 128 128 128 128 128

4,766 South America 5,145 5,934 6,110 6,117 6,462

905 European Union - 28 630 1,550 760 795 770

749 Middle East 669 916 677 850 800

962 North Africa 1,008 1,057 990 940 940


3,699 East Asia 3,643 3,779 3,786 5,220 5,930

7,349 South Asia 6,780 6,955 6,155 5,300 5,600


1,805 Oceania 1,205 1,405 1,105 805 1,005

80 Others 47 30 55 55 105

65,004 Total 58,238 59,738 54,900 58,091 60,898

Ending Stocks none

2,714 North America 1,408 1,421 1,001 674 1,069

27 Central America 43 32 25 34 29

491 South America 365 1,192 348 1,270 1,305

34 European Union - 28 24 20 13 17 14

62 Middle East 22 35 44 34 24

29 North Africa 43 57 34 29 24

1,477 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,032 1,221 932 1,023 1,008

578 East Asia 397 549 452 414 484

181 South Asia 154 327 223 143 168

678 Oceania 681 361 230 180 175

42 Others 11 9 17 22 17

6,313 Total 4,180 5,224 3,319 3,840 4,317



December 2013

World Oats Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Dec

none

TY Exports

5513615 Argentina

200225174211211161 Australia

553949 Brazil

1,7001,3631,7641,4971,5391,792 Canada

1001001061293731 Chile

150126176113215103 European Union

101018142 Russia

101064206 Others

2,1801,8442,2601,9702,0312,109 Subtotal


2,2051,8612,2872,0072,0692,147 World Total

none

TY Imports

000550 Albania

10109010 Algeria

553532 Bosnia and Herzegovina

202011182114 Canada

758768585739 China

552222 Colombia

151522111114 Ecuador


605154645646 Japan

1001001341034682 Mexico

25154910348 Norway

252511152133 South Africa

505056494952 Switzerland

554406 Turkey

55811411 Uruguay

009835 Others

405398443367315318 Subtotal

20012011517214742 Unaccounted

1,6001,3431,7291,4681,6071,787 United States

2,2051,8612,2872,0072,0692,147 World Total


December 2013

World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Dec

none

Production

1251251261409627 Algeria

400496345660182291 Argentina

1,2501,1151,2621,1281,1621,160 Australia

450600448442552605 Belarus

380361354379253239 Brazil

3,8902,8123,1582,4512,9124,273 Canada

595680451564381344 Chile

580600600525580530 China

8,5157,9997,9277,5008,6419,000 European Union

200200258134204138 Kazakhstan

908451111130148 Mexico

225225231299277328 Norway

5,0004,0275,3323,2185,4015,835 Russia

210210210204218196 Turkey

450630506458731944 Ukraine

313298343359348314 Others

22,67320,46221,60218,57222,06824,372 Subtotal

9569297791,1781,3511,294 United States

23,62921,39122,38119,75023,41925,666 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1351351341419627 Algeria

400500350650200300 Argentina

9509501,1009009751,035 Australia

475575450475575600 Belarus

370350350370250225 Brazil

1,7501,5221,3561,5301,7671,766 Canada

525575325475350325 Chile

675675625625625575 China

8,3007,9007,8007,7938,1578,560 European Union

175225225130210135 Kazakhstan

185195185185215210 Mexico

245245245295320320 Norway

5,0004,3005,0003,4505,5005,600 Russia

210210210210210210 Turkey

475600500475725925 Ukraine

469459508525498464 Others

20,50619,45919,60118,23320,74221,301 Subtotal

2,5362,7812,5492,7893,0112,968 United States

23,04222,24022,15021,02223,75324,269 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

17474134146126147 Australia

9715118107331,1621,527 Canada

11913912784126114 China

8647947968321,230973 European Union

625762352031 Norway

193203485167397499 Russia

518152405969 Ukraine

226242213227232271 Others

2,6602,1012,6792,2643,3523,631 Subtotal

5555277989821,1661,221 United States

3,2152,6283,4773,2464,5184,852 World Total

December 2013

Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Dec

2013/14

TY Imports none

1,883 North America 1,674 1,589 1,874 1,463 1,720

32 South America 19 24 32 25 25

4 European Union - 28 2 4 3 5 5

62 Other Europe 92 71 110 70 80


6 Middle East 0 4 4 5 5

0 North Africa 1 0 9 10 10


85 East Asia 113 122 122 138 135

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,105 Total 1,922 1,835 2,172 1,741 2,005

Production none

5,715 North America 4,393 3,740 3,988 3,825 4,936

897 South America 857 1,644 1,191 1,577 1,418

9,000 European Union - 28 8,641 7,500 7,927 7,999 8,515

525 Other Europe 473 480 422 382 382


196 Middle East 218 204 210 210 210

43 North Africa 121 177 156 155 155


532 East Asia 582 527 602 602 582

1,186 Oceania 1,196 1,176 1,291 1,133 1,280

25,666 Total 23,419 19,750 22,381 21,391 23,629


4,944 North America 4,993 4,504 4,090 4,498 4,471

896 South America 857 1,563 1,093 1,490 1,363

8,560 European Union - 28 8,157 7,793 7,800 7,900 8,300

566 Other Europe 577 537 496 460 455


210 Middle East 210 210 210 210 210

43 North Africa 121 178 164 165 165


625 East Asia 680 685 685 730 730

1,061 Oceania 1,009 948 1,129 968 980

24,245 Total 23,684 21,018 21,912 22,197 22,875

Ending Stocks none

2,756 North America 2,335 1,720 1,611 1,039 1,532

113 South America 95 125 92 128 98

973 European Union - 28 1,230 832 796 794 864

63 Other Europe 49 65 94 86 93


2 Middle East 10 8 12 17 22

1 North Africa 1 1 2 2 2


116 East Asia 131 95 134 144 131

147 Oceania 126 146 134 74 174

4,852 Total 4,518 3,246 3,477 2,628 3,215



December 2013

World Rye Trade


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Dec

none

TY Exports

100100251502550 Belarus

12518115922114276 Canada


1007828422914 Russia

251692936 Ukraine

004300 Others

450497540469403258 Subtotal


455504548472407264 World Total

none

TY Imports

000000 Albania


15251119911 Israel

75274610110357 Japan

1010111177 Korea, South

101011121411 Norway

552264 Switzerland

00815029 Others

215145391331145107 Subtotal

65137-17-713349 Unaccounted

175222174148129108 United States

455504548472407264 World Total


December 2013

World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14

Dec

none

Production

1,5001,6008047351,2271,492 Belarus

210337241237281297 Canada

606259222 Chile

9,8908,7456,9007,5769,9559,266 European Union

3,5002,1322,9671,6424,3334,505 Russia

350350350366343247 Turkey

6506765794649541,051 Ukraine

178198181199250235 Others

16,33814,10012,08111,22117,34517,095 Subtotal

195176161189178203 United States

16,53314,27612,24211,41017,52317,298 World Total

none

Total Consumption

404045405555 Argentina

1,4001,4007006501,3001,400 Belarus

100124101136131143 Canada

606259222 Chile

9,4008,8007,4008,2049,5558,757 European Union

7525551059065 Japan

505030407540 Kazakhstan

3,2002,0002,8501,8504,3254,400 Russia

350350350350340275 Turkey

650625625650800800 Ukraine

128168142157155173 Others

15,51613,79512,33112,21816,89816,168 Subtotal

359397318330273292 United States

15,87514,19212,64912,54817,17116,460 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

26326316379144242 Belarus

31462551139113 Canada

1,1656757451,0131,7281,425 European Union

77514185 Japan

328128129250308312 Russia

333334331714 Turkey

141166132189411313 Ukraine

666866 Others

1,9741,3241,2391,6372,7712,430 Subtotal


1,9921,3341,2501,6572,7952,443 World Total

December 2013

Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

Dec

2013/14

TY Imports none

108 North America 129 148 174 222 175

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

8 European Union - 28 4 36 302 68 100

16 Other Europe 20 14 13 15 15


17 Middle East 9 19 14 25 15


64 East Asia 110 112 57 37 85

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

215 Total 274 479 565 367 390

Production none

500 North America 459 426 402 513 405

63 South America 61 45 107 105 103

9,266 European Union - 28 9,955 7,576 6,900 8,745 9,890

96 Other Europe 79 78 62 62 62


247 Middle East 343 366 350 350 350


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

35 Oceania 34 33 40 40 20

17,298 Total 17,523 11,410 12,242 14,276 16,533


435 North America 404 466 419 521 459

63 South America 61 45 107 105 103

8,757 European Union - 28 9,555 8,204 7,400 8,800 9,400

111 Other Europe 98 91 75 77 77


286 Middle East 349 369 361 385 365


72 East Asia 97 116 66 35 85

35 Oceania 34 30 40 40 20

16,402 Total 17,101 12,514 12,675 14,041 15,812

Ending Stocks none

126 North America 163 71 36 56 49

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

1,425 European Union - 28 1,728 1,013 745 675 1,165

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0


14 Middle East 17 33 34 33 33


5 East Asia 18 14 5 7 7

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,443 Total 2,795 1,657 1,250 1,334 1,992



December 2013

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 36 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 37 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 38 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 39 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 43 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 45 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 47 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 48

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..49 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 50 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 51 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 52 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 53

DG F/SA &F


34 December 2013

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production Imports Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

133.5 125.760.018.210.65.026.6 2002/03 18.8

111.4 115.852.59.97.44.524.5 2003/04 12.0

147.7 123.959.314.77.15.626.2 2004/05 28.3

132.9 128.263.015.76.85.126.0 2005/06 24.0

125.7 126.260.213.95.25.124.7 2006/07 14.8

120.8 117.252.412.46.84.924.9 2007/08 12.8

151.9 127.660.525.47.75.726.8 2008/09 19.4

139.7 125.657.522.35.45.426.0 2009/10 16.6

136.7 122.852.523.14.65.326.0 2010/11 11.9

138.2 127.257.516.77.45.325.8 2011/12 13.6

133.9 120.050.522.65.35.226.0 2012/13 10.1

143.1 120.851.525.04.55.625.8 2013/14 11.9

Coarse Grains

151.1 147.5111.87.64.24.533.3 2002/03 23.1

134.1 147.7111.94.08.24.033.2 2003/04 13.6

169.1 155.2118.94.83.05.033.9 2004/05 25.6

149.5 150.7112.44.32.74.533.2 2005/06 22.7

140.0 150.6112.94.58.14.332.4 2006/07 15.6

138.7 157.1121.64.520.34.332.6 2007/08 13.1

164.9 154.2116.15.73.14.834.0 2008/09 21.3

157.5 152.4114.83.02.94.832.9 2009/10 26.2

142.8 154.7116.96.28.54.730.2 2010/11 16.7

149.9 151.5113.26.56.95.030.2 2011/12 15.6

145.9 153.5114.57.411.84.731.4 2012/13 12.5

158.3 157.1117.59.39.45.031.8 2013/14 13.8

Wheat and Coarse Grains

284.6 273.2171.925.814.74.859.9 2002/03 41.9

245.5 263.5164.413.915.64.357.7 2003/04 25.6

316.8 279.1178.219.510.05.360.1 2004/05 53.9

282.3 278.9175.420.09.44.859.1 2005/06 46.8

265.7 276.8173.118.513.24.757.0 2006/07 30.4

259.5 274.2174.116.927.14.557.5 2007/08 25.9

316.8 281.8176.631.110.85.260.9 2008/09 40.7

297.3 278.0172.325.38.25.058.9 2009/10 42.8

279.5 277.5169.429.313.15.056.2 2010/11 28.7

288.1 278.7170.723.214.35.156.0 2011/12 29.1

279.8 273.5165.030.017.14.957.3 2012/13 22.5

301.4 277.8169.034.313.95.257.5 2013/14 25.8

December 2013

China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

90.3 105.26.51.70.43.823.9 2002/03 60.4

86.5 104.56.02.83.73.922.0 2003/04 43.3

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1

117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9

121.0 125.025.01.03.05.024.2 2012/13 53.9

121.0 125.525.01.08.55.024.3 2013/14 56.9

Coarse Grains

130.6 136.398.415.31.84.727.8 2002/03 66.5

124.0 138.399.17.71.54.626.8 2003/04 45.9

138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.0 2004/05 37.6

147.8 147.1103.53.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.8

159.1 153.6104.95.51.25.130.9 2006/07 38.0

159.2 157.9106.70.91.25.031.9 2007/08 39.5

172.4 161.2109.10.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2

169.8 173.3119.10.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.3

183.8 188.4128.80.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1

199.3 197.0132.40.17.95.635.6 2011/12 60.2

212.8 212.1146.20.15.65.737.2 2012/13 66.4

217.8 227.2159.30.111.65.837.7 2013/14 68.4


220.9 241.5104.917.12.24.351.7 2002/03 126.8

210.5 242.8105.110.55.34.348.8 2003/04 89.2

230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.6 2004/05 76.4

245.2 248.6107.05.23.44.751.6 2005/06 71.3

267.6 255.6108.98.21.54.954.5 2006/07 76.6

268.5 263.9114.73.71.24.855.6 2007/08 78.6

284.9 266.7117.10.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0

284.9 280.3129.11.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.7

299.0 298.9141.81.13.65.158.9 2010/11 109.2

316.7 319.5156.41.110.95.359.9 2011/12 116.2

333.8 337.1171.21.18.65.461.4 2012/13 120.3

338.8 352.7184.31.120.15.562.0 2013/14 125.3

December 2013

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

3.9 4.90.80.41.43.31.2 2002/03 1.1

2.9 4.60.60.01.42.81.0 2003/04 0.8

4.6 5.20.80.31.44.11.1 2004/05 1.3

3.7 5.10.80.21.43.81.0 2005/06 1.2

3.6 4.60.70.31.53.61.0 2006/07 1.3

3.6 4.80.90.51.93.71.0 2007/08 1.5

3.9 5.11.00.41.74.20.9 2008/09 1.7

3.7 4.90.90.51.73.71.0 2009/10 1.7

3.2 4.70.80.61.63.60.9 2010/11 1.2

3.6 4.91.00.51.94.00.9 2011/12 1.3

3.5 4.70.90.71.63.90.9 2012/13 1.0

4.2 5.11.10.81.84.21.0 2013/14 1.1

Coarse Grains

9.1 8.97.50.40.64.12.2 2002/03 1.4

6.7 8.17.00.10.73.12.2 2003/04 0.7

10.4 9.58.30.60.54.82.1 2004/05 1.4

9.9 9.58.31.30.64.62.1 2005/06 1.2

9.5 9.48.30.90.84.52.1 2006/07 1.3

7.2 8.06.90.10.93.42.1 2007/08 1.1

9.6 8.67.41.50.64.52.1 2008/09 1.2

9.4 8.57.21.40.74.62.0 2009/10 1.4

9.8 8.57.12.00.84.82.1 2010/11 1.4

9.4 8.26.92.40.84.52.1 2011/12 1.0

6.3 6.65.40.60.83.02.1 2012/13 0.9

8.9 8.06.71.60.94.32.1 2013/14 1.0


13.0 13.88.40.81.93.93.4 2002/03 2.6

9.6 12.77.60.12.03.03.2 2003/04 1.4

15.0 14.79.20.91.94.63.3 2004/05 2.7

13.7 14.69.11.42.04.43.1 2005/06 2.5

13.0 14.09.01.22.34.23.1 2006/07 2.5

10.8 12.87.80.62.73.53.1 2007/08 2.6

13.5 13.78.41.92.34.43.1 2008/09 2.9

13.1 13.48.11.92.44.33.0 2009/10 3.0

13.0 13.27.92.62.44.42.9 2010/11 2.6

13.0 13.17.92.92.74.43.0 2011/12 2.3

9.8 11.36.31.32.43.33.0 2012/13 1.9

13.1 13.17.92.42.64.33.1 2013/14 2.1

December 2013

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

92.4 75.323.721.76.02.046.3 2007/08 14.9

115.5 76.224.438.26.62.350.6 2008/09 22.6

114.0 78.326.137.35.42.252.6 2009/10 26.5

81.1 75.624.013.95.51.845.8 2010/11 23.6

115.0 79.927.939.88.02.349.8 2011/12 27.0

77.2 71.520.725.97.51.843.9 2012/13 14.3

104.1 74.323.934.77.12.247.1 2013/14 16.4

Coarse Grains

54.3 50.635.15.31.02.027.5 2007/08 4.8

79.2 58.141.517.20.72.630.3 2008/09 9.4

67.7 55.039.115.00.42.527.2 2009/10 7.4

47.6 41.928.58.81.22.221.9 2010/11 5.5

78.7 54.438.724.61.02.927.1 2011/12 6.2

69.0 50.836.020.00.82.527.7 2012/13 5.2

87.0 58.141.426.70.93.029.4 2013/14 8.3

December 2013

Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

ProductionYieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

9.6 6.72.04.90.00.713.1 2010/11 2.9

22.7 7.62.611.80.01.713.7 2011/12 6.2

9.8 6.61.86.70.00.812.4 2012/13 2.7

15.5 7.32.58.00.01.212.5 2013/14 2.9

Russia

41.5 38.616.04.00.11.921.8 2010/11 13.7

56.2 38.015.521.60.62.324.8 2011/12 10.9

37.7 33.611.911.31.41.821.3 2012/13 5.2

51.5 35.013.516.00.52.223.5 2013/14 6.2

Ukraine

16.8 11.62.84.30.02.76.3 2010/11 3.3

22.3 15.06.15.40.13.46.7 2011/12 5.4

15.8 11.83.37.20.02.85.6 2012/13 2.2

22.0 11.53.510.00.13.46.5 2013/14 2.8

Uzbekistan

6.5 7.71.50.51.64.61.4 2010/11 0.8

6.3 7.81.60.72.74.51.4 2011/12 1.4

6.7 8.01.70.51.94.81.4 2012/13 1.5

6.8 8.21.80.51.94.91.4 2013/14 1.5

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

6.6 11.01.70.23.72.13.2 2010/11 2.8

7.4 11.52.10.24.72.33.2 2011/12 3.2

7.2 11.52.00.34.12.33.1 2012/13 2.7

8.3 12.32.60.24.62.63.2 2013/14 3.0

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

81.1 75.624.013.95.51.845.8 2010/11 23.6

115.0 79.927.939.88.02.349.8 2011/12 27.0

77.2 71.520.725.97.51.843.9 2012/13 14.3

104.1 74.323.934.77.12.247.1 2013/14 16.4

December 2013


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

1.3 1.51.20.20.11.01.3 2010/11 0.1

2.6 1.81.50.70.01.71.5 2011/12 0.2

1.5 1.41.20.20.00.91.6 2012/13 0.2

2.3 1.81.50.50.01.31.8 2013/14 0.2

Russia

8.4 9.55.50.30.41.75.0 2010/11 1.4

16.9 14.39.83.50.42.27.7 2011/12 0.8

14.0 12.17.72.20.31.87.6 2012/13 0.7

15.0 12.48.02.50.31.97.8 2013/14 1.1

Ukraine

8.5 6.04.42.80.02.04.3 2010/11 0.8

9.1 6.34.72.50.02.53.7 2011/12 1.2

6.9 5.03.42.10.02.13.3 2012/13 1.0

7.5 5.23.52.50.02.33.3 2013/14 0.8

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2010/11 0.0

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2011/12 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2012/13 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2013/14 0.0


3.3 3.42.60.00.12.41.4 2010/11 0.5

3.4 3.62.70.00.22.51.4 2011/12 0.5

3.4 3.52.70.00.12.51.3 2012/13 0.5

3.1 3.42.50.00.22.51.2 2013/14 0.4


21.7 20.713.93.30.71.812.1 2010/11 2.8

32.2 26.319.06.70.72.314.3 2011/12 2.7

26.0 22.315.24.50.51.913.9 2012/13 2.4

28.1 23.015.75.50.52.014.2 2013/14 2.5

December 2013


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports



Kazakhstan

0.5 0.50.40.00.04.80.1 2010/11 0.1

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2011/12 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2012/13 0.0

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2013/14 0.0

Russia

3.1 3.22.80.00.13.01.0 2010/11 0.1

7.0 4.74.02.00.04.31.6 2011/12 0.4

8.2 6.45.61.90.14.21.9 2012/13 0.3

11.5 8.47.52.50.15.12.3 2013/14 0.9

Ukraine

11.9 6.55.45.00.04.52.6 2010/11 1.1

22.8 7.86.515.20.06.43.5 2011/12 1.1

20.9 8.16.812.70.14.84.4 2012/13 1.2

30.0 10.18.518.00.16.34.8 2013/14 3.1

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2010/11 0.0

0.2 0.20.20.00.04.60.0 2011/12 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2012/13 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2013/14 0.0


2.8 2.92.60.20.23.60.8 2010/11 0.6

3.7 3.32.90.30.24.00.9 2011/12 1.0

2.6 3.12.70.40.23.40.8 2012/13 0.4

3.9 3.63.30.30.24.20.9 2013/14 0.6


18.4 13.211.35.20.34.04.6 2010/11 1.9

34.1 16.414.017.50.35.56.2 2011/12 2.4

32.4 18.215.615.00.34.57.2 2012/13 2.0

46.1 22.719.820.80.35.78.1 2013/14 4.8

December 2013

Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

13.8 5.10.09.60.02.55.5 2005/06 0.4

16.3 5.40.110.70.02.66.2 2006/07 0.6

18.6 5.70.111.20.02.86.6 2007/08 2.4

11.0 5.30.06.80.02.15.3 2008/09 1.3

12.0 5.80.05.10.03.04.0 2009/10 2.3

17.2 6.00.19.50.03.64.8 2010/11 4.1

15.5 6.00.112.90.03.05.2 2011/12 0.7

9.5 6.10.23.60.02.63.6 2012/13 0.6

11.0 6.10.14.50.03.03.7 2013/14 1.0

Australia

25.2 6.63.716.00.12.012.5 2005/06 9.4

10.8 7.44.58.70.10.911.8 2006/07 4.2

13.6 6.63.57.50.11.112.6 2007/08 3.7

21.4 7.44.214.70.11.613.5 2008/09 3.1

21.8 5.21.914.80.11.613.9 2009/10 5.1

27.4 5.82.518.60.12.013.5 2010/11 8.2

29.9 6.53.224.70.12.213.9 2011/12 7.0

22.5 6.73.418.70.11.812.8 2012/13 4.2

26.5 6.63.219.50.12.013.5 2013/14 4.8

Canada

25.7 8.23.816.00.32.79.4 2005/06 9.7

25.3 9.04.519.40.32.69.7 2006/07 6.9

20.1 6.92.216.10.42.38.6 2007/08 4.4

28.6 7.83.118.90.42.910.0 2008/09 6.6

27.0 7.22.519.00.42.89.7 2009/10 7.7

23.3 7.62.716.60.42.88.3 2010/11 7.4

25.3 9.94.717.40.53.08.6 2011/12 5.9

27.2 9.64.419.00.52.99.5 2012/13 5.1

37.5 10.25.023.00.53.610.4 2013/14 9.8

Total Wheat Competitors

64.7 19.97.541.70.42.427.3 2005/06 19.4

52.4 21.79.138.90.41.927.7 2006/07 11.6

52.3 19.15.834.80.51.927.8 2007/08 10.5

61.0 20.67.340.40.52.128.8 2008/09 11.0

December 2013


Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


60.8 18.24.439.00.52.227.5 2009/10 15.1

67.9 19.35.344.70.62.526.6 2010/11 19.6

70.7 22.38.054.90.62.627.6 2011/12 13.7

59.2 22.48.041.20.62.325.9 2012/13 9.9

75.0 22.88.347.00.62.727.6 2013/14 15.7

India

68.6 70.02.20.80.02.626.5 2005/06 2.0

69.4 73.52.30.16.72.626.4 2006/07 4.5

75.8 76.42.50.02.02.728.0 2007/08 5.8

78.6 70.92.50.00.02.828.2 2008/09 13.4

80.7 78.22.80.10.22.927.8 2009/10 16.1

80.8 81.82.90.10.32.828.5 2010/11 15.4

86.9 81.43.10.90.03.029.1 2011/12 20.0

94.9 83.83.46.80.03.229.9 2012/13 24.2

92.5 90.03.56.50.03.129.4 2013/14 20.2

Turkey

18.5 16.10.43.20.12.28.6 2005/06 1.1

17.5 16.70.82.41.72.08.6 2006/07 1.3

15.5 16.80.81.72.22.07.7 2007/08 0.4

16.8 16.90.72.23.52.27.7 2008/09 1.5

18.5 17.10.84.33.22.47.8 2009/10 1.8

17.0 17.30.83.03.72.18.0 2010/11 2.2

18.8 18.11.43.73.82.47.7 2011/12 3.1

15.5 17.50.73.43.62.07.8 2012/13 1.2

18.0 17.80.93.73.72.37.7 2013/14 1.5

December 2013


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

15.8 6.24.49.50.06.52.4 2005/06 1.3

22.5 6.74.815.30.08.02.8 2006/07 1.8

22.0 6.84.914.80.06.53.4 2007/08 2.2

15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 1.0

25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.6

25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.1

21.0 7.04.817.10.05.83.6 2011/12 1.0

26.5 7.65.019.00.06.64.0 2012/13 0.9

26.0 8.05.018.00.07.53.5 2013/14 0.9

Brazil

41.7 39.533.04.51.13.212.9 2005/06 3.0

51.0 41.034.510.81.43.614.0 2006/07 3.6

58.6 42.536.07.80.74.014.7 2007/08 12.6

51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 12.1

56.1 47.040.011.60.44.312.9 2009/10 10.0

57.4 49.542.58.40.84.213.8 2010/11 10.3

73.0 50.543.024.30.84.815.2 2011/12 9.2

81.0 53.045.022.00.85.115.8 2012/13 16.0

70.0 55.046.020.00.84.715.0 2013/14 11.8

China

139.4 137.0101.03.70.15.326.4 2005/06 35.3

151.6 145.0104.05.30.05.328.5 2006/07 36.6

152.3 150.0106.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 38.4

165.9 153.0108.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 51.2

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4

192.8 188.0131.00.15.25.733.5 2011/12 59.3

205.6 202.0144.00.12.75.935.0 2012/13 65.6

211.0 216.0156.00.17.05.935.6 2013/14 67.5

South Africa

6.9 8.24.00.50.93.42.0 2005/06 2.3

7.3 8.64.40.51.12.52.9 2006/07 1.7

13.2 9.64.32.20.04.03.3 2007/08 3.1

12.6 9.94.31.70.04.32.9 2008/09 4.1

13.4 10.34.62.10.04.13.3 2009/10 5.2

10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 3.4

December 2013


Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


12.8 10.75.01.80.04.13.1 2011/12 3.7

12.4 10.85.02.10.03.83.2 2012/13 3.2

13.0 11.05.12.00.04.13.2 2013/14 3.2

Total Corn Competitors

203.8 190.9142.418.32.14.743.7 2005/06 41.8

232.4 201.3147.731.92.64.848.2 2006/07 43.6

246.1 208.9151.225.30.84.850.9 2007/08 56.3

245.0 214.8155.319.31.25.049.4 2008/09 68.4

258.5 229.2167.630.31.75.150.4 2009/10 69.0

270.8 247.5180.827.32.25.152.9 2010/11 67.2

299.5 256.2183.843.46.05.455.5 2011/12 73.2

325.5 273.4199.043.23.55.658.0 2012/13 85.6

320.0 290.0212.140.17.85.657.3 2013/14 83.4

December 2013


Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Australia

9.5 3.52.55.30.02.24.4 2005/06 2.6

4.3 4.02.91.90.01.04.2 2006/07 1.0

7.2 3.12.13.40.01.54.9 2007/08 1.7

8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0

8.2 3.32.15.40.02.23.7 2011/12 0.5

7.5 2.81.54.80.02.13.6 2012/13 0.4

8.6 3.82.54.50.02.33.8 2013/14 0.7

Canada

11.7 9.68.42.20.03.23.6 2005/06 3.3

9.6 10.28.81.20.03.03.2 2006/07 1.5

10.9 7.86.43.00.12.84.0 2007/08 1.6

11.8 8.97.61.50.03.43.5 2008/09 3.0

9.5 8.77.51.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.5

7.6 7.56.31.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.5

7.9 6.95.71.30.03.32.4 2011/12 1.2

8.0 6.85.71.40.02.92.8 2012/13 1.0

10.3 7.46.11.90.03.92.7 2013/14 2.0

European Union

54.9 54.338.43.30.14.013.8 2005/06 8.5

56.4 55.938.93.40.24.113.9 2006/07 5.8

57.8 54.538.93.80.34.213.9 2007/08 5.7

65.8 57.341.73.60.34.514.6 2008/09 11.0

62.4 56.841.71.10.14.514.0 2009/10 15.6

53.7 56.641.34.90.24.312.5 2010/11 7.9

51.9 51.235.83.00.44.311.9 2011/12 6.1

54.8 51.336.04.90.14.412.5 2012/13 4.7

59.2 52.737.56.00.14.812.3 2013/14 5.3

December 2013


Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports


Argentina

2.3 2.32.10.20.04.70.5 2005/06 0.2

2.8 1.71.51.10.04.70.6 2006/07 0.2

2.9 1.21.01.20.04.70.6 2007/08 0.7

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 1.91.71.70.04.41.0 2010/11 1.0

4.2 1.91.73.10.04.21.0 2011/12 0.2

5.0 2.32.01.80.04.31.2 2012/13 1.1

4.6 2.62.22.00.04.61.0 2013/14 1.1

Australia

1.9 1.91.90.10.02.50.8 2005/06 0.0

1.3 1.21.20.10.02.10.6 2006/07 0.0

3.8 2.22.20.80.04.00.9 2007/08 0.8

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4

2.2 1.11.11.30.03.40.7 2011/12 0.2

2.0 0.80.81.30.03.40.6 2012/13 0.2

1.9 1.01.00.90.03.20.6 2013/14 0.2

December 2013

U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice (Working Statistics)

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

20,21132,1124,41928,14228,6063,0343,05054,413nr318,496 2011/12

19,53838,26910,56327,69527,4163,4433,34161,671nr319,798 2012/13

15,63836,2788,43730,00029,9374,2004,35457,961nr318,274 2013/14

Corn

25,122279,035115,74438,42839,182765746313,949nr933,989 2011/12

20,921263,579110,05818,27518,5794,2244,125273,832nr835,360 2012/13

45,528294,653132,08637,00036,832750762355,330nr1035,302 2013/14

Sorghum

5833,9531,7931,5491,611335,447nr31,590 2011/12

3824,7862,3672,1281,9302432436,272nr32,005 2012/13

7775,5892,5404,5004,5720010,556nr42,703 2013/14

Barley

1,3064,1928181791934693543,392nr4906 2011/12

1,7504,6661,2911621934315074,796nr41,313 2012/13

1,7525,0071,6332002185505444,683nr41,214 2013/14

Oats

7982,5491,44527351,7291,621779nr2380 2011/12

5272,7811,67817191,3431,600929nr2423 2012/13

5552,5361,42025291,6001,637956nr2417 2013/14

Rye

113188184174152161nr298 2011/12

1039715978222228176nr2100 2012/13

1835911856175178195nr2113 2013/14

Rice, Milled

1,3033,493nr3,3053,1996406155,8668,38881,059 2011/12

1,1563,750nr3,2503,4006506696,3349,04981,084 2012/13

9613,690nr3,3503,1867006676,0148,5619997 2013/14

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY) statistics

are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and 'Exports' columns

contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is

Aug/July.

December 2013

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Production TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,315.0 340.01,253.5611.3203.62.3567.0 1984/85

1,328.5 420.61,247.9614.5165.22.3570.9 1985/86

1,348.0 469.21,299.4645.7174.72.4565.6 1986/87

1,285.9 423.11,329.8656.5202.22.4544.8 1987/88

1,218.1 339.31,302.0619.4203.32.2542.4 1988/89

1,327.4 320.51,346.2644.4208.92.4548.9 1989/90

1,417.6 368.71,369.5668.7190.12.6546.4 1990/91

1,355.7 359.51,364.9651.4207.52.5544.1 1991/92

1,431.6 399.21,389.1662.9205.22.6546.5 1992/93

1,356.1 366.11,389.3655.7188.22.5536.7 1993/94

1,392.5 362.71,395.8668.9200.12.6534.7 1994/95

1,338.5 319.41,381.8640.1187.52.5527.7 1995/96

1,490.3 367.11,442.6672.9198.42.7546.6 1996/97

1,491.6 414.41,444.3683.8190.32.8535.9 1997/98

1,481.8 448.01,448.2683.2198.72.8521.0 1998/99

1,465.3 444.51,468.2688.8214.02.9506.9 1999/00

1,447.2 419.41,472.3698.7205.02.8510.1 2000/01

1,480.9 403.91,496.5711.9208.42.9512.6 2001/02

1,443.6 341.81,505.7709.3209.32.9503.0 2002/03

1,471.7 278.71,534.8715.7205.82.9511.2 2003/04

1,643.0 336.31,585.5754.2214.53.2515.0 2004/05

1,599.6 320.51,615.4754.6222.53.1517.1 2005/06

1,584.7 276.01,629.1746.2229.93.1517.4 2006/07

1,691.6 293.91,673.6759.4244.93.2534.3 2007/08

1,792.4 363.71,722.7771.1253.63.3539.5 2008/09

1,803.9 399.81,767.7779.1254.23.4533.6 2009/10

1,749.6 365.11,784.3772.4250.03.3523.7 2010/11

1,848.6 364.11,849.5804.6287.23.4536.5 2011/12

1,788.7 340.21,812.6803.7279.13.4533.8 2012/13

1,967.5 379.71,928.0866.0294.63.6541.3 2013/14

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

December 2013

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

543.5 163.2551.8115.1111.42.4222.8 1991/92

562.6 177.9547.7111.6113.22.5222.1 1992/93

558.5 183.4553.0109.6101.72.5221.0 1993/94

523.0 164.2542.1101.4101.52.5213.3 1994/95

537.5 155.7546.195.299.22.5216.7 1995/96

581.3 163.7573.499.6104.02.6227.1 1996/97

610.2 197.3576.6103.8104.52.7226.4 1997/98

590.4 209.5578.2106.8102.02.7219.2 1998/99

586.8 210.9585.4102.8111.92.8212.5 1999/00

583.2 207.3586.8109.0102.22.7215.6 2000/01

583.8 204.3586.8109.9108.02.7214.5 2001/02

569.6 169.9604.0113.7106.62.7213.5 2002/03

555.4 136.1589.199.7103.52.7207.6 2003/04

626.7 157.0605.9108.2113.22.9215.9 2004/05

618.8 154.7621.1114.7114.22.8217.7 2005/06

596.5 134.7616.5110.6115.42.8211.6 2006/07

612.6 129.6617.8102.2116.22.8217.1 2007/08

683.5 169.5643.5121.4143.23.0224.1 2008/09

687.0 202.3654.3120.8135.43.0225.4 2009/10

652.4 199.0655.7116.1134.03.0217.1 2010/11

697.3 198.9697.3146.9153.83.2221.3 2011/12

656.2 175.8679.3136.1147.43.0215.6 2012/13

711.4 182.8704.5138.8154.33.2219.6 2013/14

Coarse Grains

812.2 196.3813.1536.396.22.5321.3 1991/92

868.9 221.3841.4551.391.92.7324.4 1992/93

797.7 182.7836.3546.186.52.5315.6 1993/94

869.5 198.5853.7567.698.62.7321.3 1994/95

801.0 163.7835.8544.988.32.6311.0 1995/96

908.9 203.5869.2573.294.42.8319.5 1996/97

881.4 217.1867.7580.085.82.8309.5 1997/98

891.4 238.5870.0576.496.73.0301.8 1998/99

878.5 233.6882.8586.0102.13.0294.4 1999/00

864.0 212.2885.4589.6102.82.9294.6 2000/01

897.1 199.5909.7602.0100.43.0298.1 2001/02

874.0 171.9901.6595.6102.73.0289.6 2002/03

916.3 142.6945.7615.9102.33.0303.6 2003/04

1,016.3 179.3979.6646.0101.23.4299.2 2004/05

980.7 165.8994.3639.9108.33.3299.5 2005/06

988.1 141.21,012.6635.6114.53.2305.9 2006/07

1,078.9 164.41,055.8657.2128.73.4317.2 2007/08

1,108.9 194.11,079.2649.7110.43.5315.4 2008/09

1,116.9 197.61,113.4658.4118.83.6308.2 2009/10

1,097.2 166.11,128.7656.3116.03.6306.7 2010/11

1,151.3 165.21,152.2657.8133.43.7315.3 2011/12

1,132.5 164.41,133.3667.6131.73.6318.2 2012/13

1,256.1 196.91,223.6727.2140.33.9321.7 2013/14

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the

present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

December 2013

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested


Consumpti

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

493.0 141.0493.3334.463.03.7132.5 1991/92

535.6 162.7512.1348.762.64.0133.1 1992/93

475.8 129.4509.0342.057.43.6130.7 1993/94

559.3 153.3535.4371.671.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.4 133.3536.4365.364.83.8135.0 1995/96

592.8 166.3559.8387.966.74.2141.5 1996/97

574.4 167.2573.5401.163.14.2136.3 1997/98

605.8 191.4581.6404.868.74.4138.9 1998/99

608.4 194.4605.4423.172.14.4139.0 1999/00

591.9 175.3611.0427.975.94.3137.1 2000/01

601.8 151.4625.6436.972.74.4137.4 2001/02

604.0 126.9628.5434.076.84.4137.5 2002/03

627.6 104.7649.8446.579.04.4141.8 2003/04

716.8 131.2690.2476.576.04.9145.5 2004/05

700.4 124.5707.1478.882.54.8145.4 2005/06

716.1 110.7729.8479.591.34.8150.4 2006/07

795.1 131.6774.3499.198.25.0160.4 2007/08

800.3 147.4784.5482.383.65.0158.7 2008/09

825.4 146.3826.5491.492.75.2158.8 2009/10

834.2 129.1851.4502.891.75.1164.3 2010/11

886.0 132.5882.6507.2103.85.2171.5 2011/12

862.9 134.9860.4516.6100.14.9176.3 2012/13

964.3 162.5936.7566.8110.75.5176.7 2013/14

Barley

169.9 34.9166.5120.319.42.275.9 1991/92

166.3 35.0165.6119.016.42.372.6 1992/93

169.0 34.9169.1123.818.82.373.2 1993/94

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.2 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96

153.1 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.2 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.456.6 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00

133.0 22.6134.394.616.32.552.9 2000/01

143.5 29.2136.995.517.22.655.7 2001/02

134.3 27.5135.994.816.32.554.8 2002/03

142.1 23.4146.3102.614.82.458.3 2003/04

152.1 33.0142.5100.117.02.657.5 2004/05

136.1 28.1141.097.417.42.555.3 2005/06

136.9 21.4143.698.214.62.456.4 2006/07

132.9 20.5133.891.018.52.455.8 2007/08

155.0 31.5144.1100.418.22.855.2 2008/09

150.9 37.3145.0101.317.32.854.2 2009/10

122.7 24.1135.991.215.22.647.2 2010/11

134.2 22.6135.792.021.42.749.5 2011/12

130.6 20.3132.888.721.92.650.6 2012/13

143.1 23.8139.794.919.62.850.3 2013/14

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.

December 2013

World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production TY Exports Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

464.9 87.7298.411.0316.83.2144.1 1984/85

467.3 97.7308.011.8318.03.2144.7 1985/86

464.6 103.3310.412.9316.13.2144.8 1986/87

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.23.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.9 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96

565.3 120.3379.218.9381.43.8150.1 1996/97

575.2 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

587.0 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.1 1998/99

608.6 143.1400.122.8409.23.9155.9 1999/00

594.1 146.7395.624.3399.33.9152.4 2000/01

594.3 132.9413.327.7399.53.9151.3 2001/02

563.1 103.0408.127.6378.23.8146.9 2002/03

585.1 81.6413.727.3392.33.9149.3 2003/04

596.6 73.9408.629.0400.93.9151.8 2004/05

622.3 76.3415.529.1417.94.0154.0 2005/06

625.6 75.2421.631.9420.54.0154.6 2006/07

642.5 80.8427.329.6432.94.2154.7 2007/08

668.3 92.4437.629.4449.14.2158.1 2008/09

656.6 94.8438.531.5440.94.2155.6 2009/10

670.3 98.6445.436.2449.24.3157.7 2010/11

694.5 104.4460.039.1465.84.4159.5 2011/12

699.2 106.6466.838.4469.04.4157.4 2012/13

701.8 104.3472.939.8470.64.4160.1 2013/14

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.

December 2013

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States. Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama. Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S. South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela. EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland. Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan. Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen. North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia. Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa. East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan. South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives. Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam. Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.


53 December 2013

OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2011/12 starts in 2011); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2011/12 starts in 2012). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) Russia(Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx). Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union (Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.


54 December 2013

http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx

Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Office of Global Analysis, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448. Note: The previous report in this series was the Grain: World Markets and Trade Foreign Agricultural Service Circular FG 11-13 November 2013. For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production Foreign Agricultural Service Circular WAP 12-13 December 2013. This circular is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov


55 December 2013

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