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Page 1: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM1

UPM –The Biofore CompanyInvestor Presentation, July 2019

Page 2: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM2

UPM BIOREFINING

UPM ENERGY

UPM RAFLATAC

UPM SPECIALTY PAPERS

UPM COMMUNICA-TION PAPERS

UPM PLYWOOD

Pulp

Plantations

Biofuels

Sawmills

Wood Sourcing

and Forestry

Hydro-, nuclear-

and condensing power

(incl. shares in energy

companies)

Electricity production

and trading

Optimisation services

Label materials

for product and

information labelling

Fine and specialty

papers in China

and APAC

Labelling material

globally

Packaging papers

mainly in Europe

Extensive product

range of graphic

papers for advertising

and publishing

as well as home

and office uses

WISA® Plywood

and veneer products

UPM Grada®

wood material

UPMBIOCOMPOSITESUPM ProFi ®

UPM Formi ®

UPM Formi 3D®

UPMBIOCHEMICALS Wood-based biochemicals

for variety of industrial uses

UPMBIOMEDICALSGrowDex®

UP

M B

US

INE

SS

ES

Page 3: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

100,700 shareholders in 32 countries

24,000 75 countries

54 12 countries

b-to-b-

suppliers in

production

plants in

12%North America

62%Europe

6%Rest of the world

20%Asia

Global businesses – local presence

3

UPM’s sales by market

EUR 10,483 million

19,000 employees in 46 countries

12,600 customers in 110 countries

Page 4: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

LABEL MATERIALSfor food packaging, drink bottles and for communicating information

SPECIALTY PAPERSfor food packaging

WOOD MATERIALSfor construction and design features

TIMBERfor construction

ELECTRICITYeverywhere

PULP AND BIOFUEL BASED MATERIALSfor packaging, transport, storage and hygiene products

PUBLICATION PAPERSfor reading and advertising

OFFICE PAPERSfor printingWOOD

MATERIALSfor furniture and the home

LABELSfor food products

Sustainable and safe products for everyday use

4 | © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

Page 5: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

Operating on healthily growing markets

5

UPM PLYWOOD

Plywood, veneer ~3%Comparable EBIT by

business area 2018

EUR 1,513m

UPM BIOREFINING

Pulp ~3%

Biofuels strong

Timber ~2%

UPM COMMUNICATION PAPERS

Graphic papers ~ –5%

UPM SPECIALTY PAPERS

Label papers, high-end

office papers ~4%

UPM RAFLATAC

Self-adhesive labels ~4%

UPM ENERGY

Electricity ~1%Market demand trend growth, %

Page 6: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

Biofore strategy

6

PERFORMANCE GROWTH INNOVATION RESPONSIBILITY

WE CREATE VALUE BY SEIZING THE LIMITLESS

POTENTIAL OF BIOECONOMY

| © UPM

STRONG LONG-TERM FUNDAMENTALS FOR DEMAND GROWTH

AND HIGH BARRIERS TO ENTRY

Page 7: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

Spearheads for growth

7

Page 8: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM8

0 %

20 %

40 %

60 %

80 %

100 %

Paper

Plywood

Raflatac

Sawmilling

UPM in transformation

*) excluding special items for 2008, comparable figures for 2018

Sales

EBIT *)

ROE *)

Net debt

Market cap

EUR 9.5bn

EUR 513m

3.5%

EUR 4.3bn

EUR 4.7bn

2008vertically integrated

paper company

2018six separate

businesses

Business portfolio

Increasing share of businesses with

strong long-term fundamentals for

profitability and growth

Sales

Business performance

Continuous improvement in financial,

social and environmental performance

Operating model

Promotes value creation

EUR 10.5bn

EUR 1,513m

12.9%

EUR -0.3bn

EUR 11.8bnDisciplined capital allocation

Driving value creation

0 %

20 %

40 %

60 %

80 %

100 %CommunicationPapersPlywood

Energy

Specialty Papers

Raflatac

Biorefining

Others

Page 9: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM9

UPM current investment portfolio for earnings growth

• Chudovo plywood mill expansion

+45k m3 in Q3 2019, Russia

• Nordland PM2 conversion to release

liner

+110kt in Q4 2019, Germany

• Changshu release liner expansion

+40kt in Q1 2020, China

• Kuusankoski hydropower refurbishment

in Q4 2022, Finland

Focused growth projects

New 2.1mt eucalyptus pulp mill, Uruguay

• Mill investment of USD 2.7 billion

• Investments in port operations in Montevideo, local

facilities in Paso de los Toros of USD 350 million

• Scheduled start-up in H2 2022

Molecular bioproducts, possible biorefineries

• Basic engineering completed for a potential 150kt

biochemicals refinery in Germany. Final site

assessment and commercial studies ongoing.

• Environmental impact study completed for a

potential 500kt biofuels refinery in Finland. Ambition

to scale-up with a next generation biorefinery,

development ongoing into next year.

Transformative prospects

Page 10: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

Business area returns and long-term targets

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30ROCE%

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30ROCE % *)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30ROCE %

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30ROCE %

*) shareholdings in UPM Energy

valued at fair valueLong-term return target

UPMSpecialty Papers

UPMCommunication

PapersUPM

Plywood UPM Raflatac

UPMEnergy

UPMBiorefining

FCF/CE %

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

26

28

30ROCE %

10

Page 11: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

-0,5

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

-750

0

750

1 500

2 250

3 000

3 750

4 500

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q2/19

Net debt/EBITDA (x)

Net debt and leverage

Net debtEURm

Group financial performance

11

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1 800

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 LTM

EURm Comparable EBIT

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 LTM

% Comparable ROE

Target: 10%Target: EBIT growth

Policy: ≤ 2x

LTM

366

Page 12: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

Dividend for 2018: 13% increase

12

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

0,00

0,20

0,40

0,60

0,80

1,00

1,20

1,40

1,60

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

EUR per share

% of operating cash flow per share

Long term dividend policy

• UPM aims to pay an attractive dividend,

30–40% of operating cash flow per share

Dividend for 2018

• EUR 1.30 (1.15) per share,

totalling EUR 693m

• 50% of 2018 operating cash flow

Page 13: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

Low investment needs in existing assets allow growth projects with modest total capex

13

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E

Depreciation

Operational investments

Strategic investments

Uruguay

acquisition

Myllykoski

acquisition

Focused growth investments

✓ High returns and fast payback

✓ Low implementation risk

✓ Financed from operating cash flow

Modest total capex

and attractive returns

Low replacement investments

✓ Asset quality in all businesses,

e.g. large competitive pulp mills

✓ UPM Communication Papers

Capital expenditureEstimateEURm

303

450

Page 14: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM

Value from responsibility

14

Responsible operations

and value chainValue based leadership

Compliance Renewable, recyclable

and safe products

• Safe and healthy working environment

and wellbeing of employees

• Renewable and biodegradable raw

materials and recyclable products

• Product stewardship

• Open and transparent product

communications

• Value-based and inspiring leadership

• Diversity and inclusion

• High performance and continuous

professional development of employees

• Local commitment

• Material efficiency and

circular economy thinking

• Decision making, management and

operations guided by our values

and UPM Code of Conduct

• Responsible business practises

• Reliable, credible and

transparent reporting

• Climate solutions and working

towards carbon neutrality

• Diversity and inclusion

• Responsible water use

• Sustainable land use

• Respecting human rights

Page 15: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM15

Our consistent efforts on responsibility have received recognition globally

• UN Global Compact LEAD

• Dow Jones Sustainability Index

• RobecoSAM’s Sustainability

Yearbook

• CDP Programs

15 | © UPM

Page 16: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM

Q2 2019: 25th consecutive quarter of earnings growth

• Sales grew by 1% to EUR 2,605 million

(2,589 million in Q2 2018)

• Comparable EBIT increased by 3% to

EUR 345m (334m)

• Margins continued on good level, having a

favourable impact on earnings

• Operating cash flow was strong at EUR 436m

(328m)

• Net debt decreased to EUR 366m (401m)

16

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Comparable EBITEURm

334345

Page 17: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM17

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Q1/19 Q2/19

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Q2/18 Q2/19

Prices

Variable

costs

Fixed

costs

Volumes

33412.9%

34513.2%

Currency,

net

impact Prices

Variable

costs

Fixed

costs

VolumesCurrency,

net

impact

Depreciation,

forests,

plantations,

other

Comparable EBIT in Q2 2019

37413.9% 345

13.2%

Depreciation,

forests,

plantations,

other

Variable costs decreased more than sales prices.

Fixed costs higher and deliveries lower,

mainly due to seasonal factors.

Sales prices higher, outweighing the impact of

increased variable costs. Fixed costs lower,

mainly due to less maintenance activity.

EURm EURm

Page 18: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM

Comparable EBIT by business area

18

0

2,5

5

7,5

10

12,5

15

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

0

40

80

120

160

200

240

280

0

2,5

5

7,5

10

12,5

15

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

-2,5

0

2,5

5

7,5

10

12,5

15

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

EURm % of sales

UPM Specialty Papers

EURm % of sales

UPM Communication Papers

EURm % of sales

EURm % of sales

UPM Raflatac

EURm % of salesEURm % of salesUPM Biorefining

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0

10

20

30

40

50

60UPM Energy

0

3

6

9

12

15

18

0

10

20

30

40

50

60UPM Plywood

Page 19: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM

Consistently strong cash flow

19

• Q2/19 operating cash flow was

EUR 436m (328m in Q2/18)

• Working capital decreased by EUR 48m

(increased by 20m)

• H1/19 operating cash flow was

EUR 756m (542m)

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1 800

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 LTM

Operating cash flow

Free cash flow

Operating cash flow

EURm

Page 20: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

Outlook for 2019

The global economic growth is estimated to continue in 2019, albeit at a slower pace than in 2018. There are,

however, significant uncertainties related to this, including trade negotiations between China and the US, growth in

China, the undefined nature of Brexit and political uncertainties in several countries. These issues may have an impact

on the global economic growth and on UPM’s product and raw material markets during 2019.

UPM reached record earnings in 2018. UPM’s business performance is expected to continue at a good level in 2019.

In 2019, demand growth is expected to continue for most UPM businesses, albeit at a modest pace. Demand decline

is expected to continue for UPM Communication Papers.

In H2 2019, pulp prices globally are expected to be lower than in H1 2019. Paper prices in Europe and North America

are expected to be moderately lower. Also input costs are expected to decrease in H2 2019 compared with H1 2019.

UPM will continue measures to reduce both variable and fixed costs.

Fair value increases of forest assets are not expected to contribute materially to comparable EBIT in 2019.

20

Page 21: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

Developing our forest assets

21

• Investing in strategic forest assets, e.g. in Uruguay

• Releasing capital from forests far from our mills

• Productivity with active management and nurseries

• Strong commitment to sustainability

UPM forests and plantations

Forest and plantation land (own and rented) (1,000 ha)

Forest growth (million m3)

Wood sourced from UPM forests and plantations (million m3)

Value of forests and plantations, including land (EURm)

Area distribution

2008 2018

8%

90%

8%

53%

39%

US

Finland

Uruguay

2008

1,012

4.3

2.2

1,270

2018

971

8.8

4.6

2,514

Page 22: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM22

Market pulp consumed in growing end-uses – supply of alternative white fibres declines

Based on

white fibre

Based on

brown fibre

Growing end-uses of white fibre

Based on

60% white fibre

40% brown fibre

Total fibre consumption (2016): 423 million tonnes

UPM Biorefining

Containerboard38 %

Graphic papers29 %

Tissue & fluff10 %

Specialty11 %

Cartonboard12 %

Other

Page 23: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM| © UPM

Demand-supply drivers of pulp market

23

Short term Long term

Demand

Supply

Re- and

destocking of

inventories

New mill

starts

Debottleneck

investments

Maintenance

stoppages

Production

issues

Population growth

Urbanisation

Middle class expansion

Aging demography

E-commerce

Availability of

competitive

mill locations

Plantations, sustainable

wood raw material

Water availability

Infrastructure

Decline of

graphic paper

production and

scarcity

of recycled fibre

Capacity

closures

Conversions

End use

demand

Sustainable,

renewable and

recyclable

Food product safety

Replacing plastics

Regulation

and product

standards

e.g. RCP

Consolidation

UPM Biorefining

Page 24: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM24

Pulp demand outlook

Container-board

Carton-board

Specialty

Tissue & fluff

Graphic papers

0

100

200

300

400

500

2005 2015 2025

Growth in tissue,

hygiene, specialties

and packaging

Strong growth

in containerboards

Decline in graphic

papers

Global consumption of end-uses

in million tonnes

Brown RCP

Brown virgin

White RCP

White virgin fibre

0

100

200

300

400

500

2005 2015 2025

Strong demand for

brown fibre

Dwindling white RCP

availability

Growing white

virgin fibre end-uses

overcome decline

in graphic paper

Global consumption of fibres

in million tonnes

UPM Biorefining

Page 25: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM

-4 000

-3 000

-2 000

-1 000

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Entry of market bleached pulp capacity

Exits New mill/line Other expansion

Few decided projects coming on stream in the short-term

25Source: Pöyry, UPM

5-year-average

exit rate

Decided projectsCompleted projects

Decided

pulp projects

Exits take place

’000

t/a

Min. construction

time span

Note: including BHKP, BSKP, PG-sulfites and non-wood grades, excluding fluff and dissolving

? ??

Decided projects

?

UPM

UPM Biorefining

Page 26: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM

UPM invests in a world class pulp mill in Uruguay

• UPM will construct a competitive new pulp mill with

annual production capacity of 2.1 million tonnes of

eucalyptus pulp

• Mill investment of USD 2.7 billion

• Investments in port operations in Montevideo, local

facilities in Paso de los Toros of USD 350 million

• Scheduled start-up in H2 2022

• Located in the department of Durazno on the

southern side of Rio Negro, close to the town of

Paso de los Toros

26

UruguayArgentina

Brazil

UPM Biorefining

Page 27: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM

Transformative step in UPM’s pulp business and in UPM’s future earnings

• Significant step for UPM’s future earnings

– Expected cash cost level of USD 280 per delivered tonne

of pulp(* – one of the most competitive mills in the world

– Attractive returns in various market scenarios

– Carefully prepared to ensure long-term competitiveness

and to minimise risks both in the project phase and during

continuous operations

• Step change in UPM’s pulp business

– +57% in pulp business size in a sustainable and highly

competitive way

– UPM becomes one of the most competitive suppliers of

premium pulp in the world

27*) including variable and fixed costs of plantation operations, wood

sourcing, mill operations and logistics delivered to the main markets

2019 2023

UPM Pulp capacity

3.7mt/a

Northern

softwood

Northern

hardwood

Eucalyptus

5.8mt/a

UPM Biorefining

Page 28: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM

State of the art mill design

• Initial production capacity of 2.1 million tonnes of

eucalyptus pulp, with further potential

• Mill investment USD 2.7 billion, efficient investment

level compared with corresponding projects

• World-class single line pulp mill and Best Available

Techniques (BAT)

– Excellent safety

– Proven high environmental performance

– High availability and maintainability

– High energy output, surplus renewable electricity 110 MW

– Low costs

28

UPM Biorefining

Page 29: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM

Competitive greenfield mill investment level

UPM’s new mill

USD 1,286 per tonne

29

UPM Biorefining

Page 30: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM

Competitive wood supply

• Eucalyptus availability secured through UPM’s own

and leased plantations and wood sourcing

agreements with private partners

• Today UPM’s own and leased plantations in Uruguay

cover 382,000 hectares, supplying both UPM Fray

Bentos and the new mill near Paso de los Toros

• 30 years experience of sustainably managed and

productive plantations

30

UPM Biorefining

Page 31: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM

Efficient logistics set-up

• UPM will invest USD 280 million to construct

a deep sea pulp terminal in Montevideo port

– Direct rail access from the mill to a modern port

terminal creates an efficient supply chain to

world markets

– Synergies with the UPM Fray Bentos mill

• Agreed railway modernisation

– Public-private-partnership agreement between

the government and the construction company

has been signed, financing is being finalised

• Agreed road improvements

31

UPM Biorefining

Page 32: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM

Project schedule and capital outflow

• The necessary permits have been granted and the material agreements with the Government of

Uruguay have been concluded to the satisfaction of both parties.

• The Public-Private-Partnership agreement between the government and the construction company

for the construction of the central railway was signed in May 2019 and the financing of the

construction company is being finalised.

• Among other project preparations, the site works for the mill and dredging of the port are

commencing immediately. The tendering for the main equipment and manning of the project is

ongoing. Commitments on major capital outlays will be made in line with the railway financing and

execution.

• The mill is expected to start up in H2 2022.

• The main part of the total capital expenditure of USD 3 billion will take place in 2020–2022. UPM

will have 91% ownership in the project and a local long-time partner which has been involved also

in UPM Fray Bentos is owning 9%.

32

UPM Biorefining

Page 33: UPM The Biofore Company - UPM.com | UPM.COM · North America 62% Europe 6% Rest of the world 20% Asia Global businesses –local presence 3 UPM’s sales by market EUR 10,483 million

| © UPM33

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

1300

USD/tonne

BHKP, Europe NBSK, Europe

BHKP, China NBSK, China

Chemical pulp market prices

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

EUR/tonne

BHKP, Europe, EUR NBSK, Europe, EUR

BHKP, China, EUR NBSK, China, EUR

UPM Biorefining

Pulp market prices, USDPulp market prices, EUR

Source: FOEX Indexes Ltd

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| © UPM34

UPM’s power generation – competitive in all market conditions

Hydro

Nuclear

Condensing

UPM’s power

generation assets

UPM # 2

Others

UPM in Finland

UPM

Others

UPM in Nordics

UPM Energy

34 | © UPM

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| © UPM35

Cost of sourced

electricity from

shareholdings

UPM Energy

UPM Energy’s power generation MW EURm

Hydropower holdings 551 740

Nuclear power OL1 and OL2 588 1,185

Nuclear power OL3 under construction (494) 226

Condensing power 95 1

UPM Energy’s shareholdings in total,

valued at fair value1,234 2,152

UPM own hydropower assets 160

UPM Energy’s in total (excl. OL3) 1,394

UPM Energy capital employed 2,419

Illustration

UPM Energy sources electricity from part owned energy companies at full cost

(cost-price principle, mankala principle)

UPM Energy

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| © UPM36

UPM Energy

Cost efficient generation enables robust profitability in changing market environment

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

EUR/MWhMarket electricity prices vs UPM sales price

Helsinki Front Year System Front Year UPM average sales price

UPM Energy profitability 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 H1/19

Comparable EBIT, EURm 202 181 116 91 123 88

% of sales 43.5 43.6 32.7 28.8 31.5 42.6

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| © UPM37

0

5

10

15

20

2017 2018

UPM Energy ROCE

• In UPM balance sheet, UPM Energy

shareholdings are valued at fair value

• Energy market transformation is ongoing

• UPM Energy assets are competitive

UPM Energy ROCE vs. Nordic peers

4%

UPM Energy comparable ROCE: shareholdings at fair value

UPM Energy ROCE if calculated based on acquisition cost

Fortum Vattenfall Statkraft

11%

%

Source: Companies’ financial reports, UPM

5%

16%

UPM Energy

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| © UPM38

Self-adhesive labels in end-use

PHARMACEUTICALS WINE, SPIRITS & CRAFT

BEVERAGE

FOOD HOME & PERSONAL CARE DURABLES

TRANSPORT & LOGISTICS RETAIL, OIL & INDUSTRIAL A4 & CUT-SIZE SECURITY & BRAND

PROTECTION

TYRE

UPM Raflatac

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| © UPM39

The self-adhesive labelstock market

• >EUR 8bn global market

• ~4% p.a. growth

• Private consumption driven

• Largest of the labelling technologies

• ~1/5 of total self adhesive materials markets

All labelling technologies

Self-adhesive

labelstock market

Other producers

UPM Raflatac

Other

producers

Other

labelling

technologies

All self adhesive materials

Other producers

Other self

adhesive

materials

UPM Raflatac UPM Raflatac

Self adhesive

labelstock

Self adhesive

labelstock

UPM Raflatac

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| © UPM40

Strategy for profitable growth

Increased customer reach

Wider product portfolio

Winning operations

Enabled by strong common capabilities and global operating model

Potentially accelerated with M&A if feasible

UPM Raflatac

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| © UPM41

Focus on global Labelling materials, Packaging in Europe and Office paper in APAC

UPM Specialty Papers

OFFICE PAPER APACLABELLING MATERIAL PACKAGING

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| © UPM42

Strong position in growing end use markets

Paper flexpack,

million tonnes

CASE: Siliconized release

liner market, 51 Bn m2

CAGR

5%

CAGR

2%

South AmericaEurope MEANorth AmericaAsia

51.0

2017

63.5

2022E

7%

2–3%

1,9

2017E

2,1

2022E

2%

1–3%

Asian cutsize market,

million tonnesCAGR

2–3%

2022E2017

1–2%

5%

China

Other

Asia

5.3

6.1

MAJOR SUPPLIER OF OFFICE

PAPER IN ASIA

NICHE PLAYER IN CONSUMER

PACKAGING

LEADERSHIP POSITION IN

LABELLING MATERIALS

UPM Specialty Papers

Source: AWA; Pira, UPM

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| © UPM| © UPM

Release liner opportunities in labelstock & other applications

Product functions

Release liner carries the adhesive and face

material:

• Prevents the adhesive from sticking permanently

• Important and often critical feature of a layered

construction

43

Labelstock50 %

Tapes13 %

Industrial11 %

Hygiene8 %

Food & bakery5 %

Graphic film5 %

Medical3 %

Envelope3 %

Others2 %

Globally

48.7 Bn m2

Source: AWA

UPM Specialty Papers

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| © UPM

Growth strategy

44

Release liner

base paper

Face paper

LABELLING FINE PAPERS

Office papers

Publication

papers

PACKAGING

Packaging papers

• Growth in high quality

label papers

• Innovations in other

applications

• Capacity investments

• Growth

• Capacity

investment

• Responsible Fibre

& Nordic Origin

• Cost competitiveness

• Growth

• Growth

• Innovations

UPM Specialty Papers

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| © UPM45

Our focus: Strengthen industry leadership role

1 Uncompromising

performance

Continued focus on stringent

capacity management and

performance improvement.

Zero accidents

3 Commercial

excellence

Optimize and evolve commercial

interface and supporting processes

to ensure supply security and

customer value add.

2 Targeted

innovation

Targeted investments in innovation

to drive performance, increase

efficiencies and extend our position

in the market.

Focused on sustainabilityLeadership

UPM Communication Papers

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| © UPM46

We expect a predictable market development in an economically stable environment

We do not anticipate disruptive changes, but accept market reality:

• Direct Marketing continues to develop with variations from market to market,

e.g. increasing in Germany while dropping in the UK

• Catalogues remain a means of consumer activation, cases of pure online-retailers

and specialist stores investing in printed catalogues increase

• Magazine publishers continue to build on printed editions, decreasing circulations

are partly offset by a continuous flow of new titles in niche segments

• Newspaper circulation is declining fast in main markets, with Germany being relatively resilient

• Fine papers continue playing an important role in private and office uses resulting

in a relatively slow decline, regulatory changes remain a risk-factor

UPM Communication Papers

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| © UPM47

Paper price vs. cash cost of marginal cost producerUPM Communication Papers

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

EUR/t

Cash cost of a marginal producer

Price

Sources: PPI, RISI, Pöyry

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| © UPM48

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

News SC LWC

WFC WFU

Graphic paper prices

EUR/tEurope

USD/t USD/tChinaNorth America

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

1300

WFC r (100% chemical pulp)

Uncoated Woodfree Reels (100% chemicalpulp)

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

1200

1300

News SC LWC

WFC WFU

UPM Communication Papers

Sources: PPI, RISI

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| © UPM49

UPM Plywood focuses on three end use segments

Construction Vehicle flooring LNG shipbuilding

UPM’s position and direction

• Leading position in high and medium

range standard products in Europe

through well established distribution

network providing easy access to

WISA® plywood

• Uncompromised sustainability, certified

products and operations

• New growth sought by strengthening

position in selected emerging markets

UPM’s position and direction

• Leading position in Europe

• Competitive edge built on smoothly

running operations and needs-based

product design creating value to both

vehicle manufacturers and operators

• Growth sought by expanding to new

markets and related end use segments

UPM Plywood

UPM’s position and direction

• Global leader in LNG plywood

• Competitive edge based on right quality

and accurate on-time deliveries

• Long term commitment and benchmark

service level

• Focus to secure leading position in LNG

carriers and to extend offering into

related applications using the same

technologies (e.g. land storage tanks)

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| © UPM50

UPM’s key markets are in the high and mid segments primarily in EMEA region

Strategic choices

1. Demanding industrial

applications

2. High and medium range

standard products

3. Selected customers

4. EMEA region and

LNG business globally

Low-end

market

Non-footprint

market

Global plywood

market ~90Mm3

EMEA plywood

market ~12Mm3

UPM Plywood

sales ~811tm3

Relevant market

~5.1Mm3

EMEA market

~12Mm3

Sales

by category

90120.8

Industrial

applications

Construction /

Panel Trading

UPM Plywood

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| © UPM| © UPM| © UPM

Bioeconomy offers a sustainable alternative to fossil-based economy

Biomass use is not increasing

CO2 to carbon cycle

Wood for

energy

Biofuels and

biochemicals

Wood fiber for

pulp and paper

production

Timber and

plywood

Use of fossil resources

increases CO2 amount

Energy from

fossil resources

Use of fossils has increased

global CO2 -emissions

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

1845

1854

1863

1872

1881

1890

1899

1908

1917

1926

1935

1944

1953

1962

1971

1980

1989

1998

2007

GtC

O2/y

ea

r

Fossil fuels, cement andflaring

Forestry and other landuse

Source: IPCC AR5

51

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| © UPM52

Strong renewable diesel demand growth, as markets evolve from rural development to decarbonisation

USA(RFS, RFS 2)

Market driver:

Rural development

EUROPE(RED, RED II)

Market driver:

Shifting to transport

decarbonisation

BRAZIL,

ARGENTINA

Market driver:

Rural development

PACIFIC NORTHWESTCalifornia, Oregon, Washington,

British Columbia (LCFS)

Market driver:

Shifting to transport

decarbonisation

THE NORDICSNorway, Sweden,

Finland (ESR)

Market driver:

Transport decarbonisation

CHINA

Market driver:

Energy security

INDONESIA,

MALAYSIAMarket driver:

Rural development

Ethanol, 2020

Biodiesel, 2020

Renewable diesel 2020

Renewable diesel growth, 2030 = 1 Mt

AVIATIONGlobal market driver:

Transport decarbonisation

Huge market potential in the 2020s E27

B10

E15

E10

B7

RED II A IX a (EU excl. ESR,

+20Mt RD, ref. -30% GHG)

E15

E10

B20

Source: UPM

UPM Biofuels

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| © UPM53

The possible Kotka Biorefinery: an innovative and robust concept to scale up the business

Lappeenranta Biorefinery

100kt

Potential Kotka Biorefinery

500kt

Residual

oils

Carbon farming

(Carinata oil)

UPM renewable fuels UPM feedstocks

Residues,

saw dust, bark

✓ Competitive and

sustainable feedstocks

✓ World-scale biorefinery leveraging UPM ecosystem

✓ Significant efficiency gains enabled by economy of

scale and synergies with Lappeenranta

✓ Low-carbon fuels for

road, aviation, shipping

and petrochemicals

UPM Biofuels

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| © UPM| © UPM

Biochemicals products are sustainable and competitive alternatives to replace fossil materials

40% Cellulose

30%Hemi-

cellulose

25%Lignin

2

%

STEP 1: SUGAR PULPINGDisintegrating wood into sugars,

lignin and green energy

STEP 2: CHEMICAL CONVERSIONConversion of sugars into targeted

biochemicals

GREEN

ENERGY

SUGARS

Lignin

BIOMASS

Biochemical A

.

.

.

Biochemical N

BIOREFINERY PROCESS

FIXED TECHNOLOGY PLATFORM VARIABLE FOR EACH BIOREFINERY

54

UPM Biochemicals

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| © UPM| © UPM

Monopropylene glycol

Biorefinery ligninMonoethylene glycol

Textiles

Monopropylene glycol

Composites Wood resins

Existing fossil-based market

Market demand > 26 m tonnes

CAGR > 3%

Application examples:

Existing fossil-based market

Market demand > 2 m tonnes

CAGR > 5%

Application examples:

Bottles & packaging

Deicing fluids

Pharma & cosmetics

Detergents

Plastics

Foams & coatings

Performance chemical

Application driven

Strong IP position

Application examples:

bMPGbMEG Lignin

55

Biochemicals biorefinery targeting to produce bio-MEG, bio-MPG and lignin from hardwood

UPM Biochemicals

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