vertex - aace northeast total cost management symposium 2016
TRANSCRIPT
Key Challenges in Demonstrating Loss of Productivity Claims Based
on Specialty Industry StudiesAndrew Sargent, Amin Terouhid
Andrew Sargent, EIT Amin Terouhid, PhD, PMP
Goal
Identify challenges when using Specialty Industry Studies to calculate productivity loss and how to address them
Agenda
• Overview of productivity loss and quantification methods
• What is a Specialty Industry Study and when should you use them?
• Challenges when using these studies and how to overcome them
What is Productivity?
𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑑𝑢𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑡𝑦=𝑂𝑢𝑡𝑝𝑢𝑡𝐼𝑛𝑝𝑢𝑡
𝑂𝑢𝑡𝑝𝑢𝑡=1000 𝐿𝐹𝐼𝑛𝑝𝑢𝑡=50h𝑟𝑠
𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑑𝑢𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑡𝑦=𝑂𝑢𝑡𝑝𝑢𝑡𝐼𝑛𝑝𝑢𝑡 =
1000 𝐿𝐹50 h𝑟𝑠 =20𝐿𝐹 𝑝𝑒𝑟 h𝑜𝑢𝑟
What is Productivity?
𝑂𝑢𝑡𝑝𝑢𝑡𝐼𝑛𝑝𝑢𝑡 =𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑑𝑢𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑡𝑦
𝑂𝑢𝑡𝑝𝑢𝑡=𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑑𝑢𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑥 𝐼𝑛𝑝𝑢𝑡𝑦=𝑚𝑥
Key Factors Affecting Productivity
• Acceleration• Weather• Scope Changes• Trade Stacking• Overtime
Estimating Lost Productivity
• AACE 25R-03 [1]– Option A: Project Specific Studies– Option B: Project Comparison Studies– Option C: Specialty Industry Studies– Option D: General Industry Studies– Option E: Cost Basis
Option A – Project Specific Studies
• Project Specific• Require contemporaneous documentation
Option A – Project Specific Studies
• Measured Mile • EV Analysis • Work Sampling Method • Craftsmen Questionnaire Sampling Method
Option B – Project Comparison Studies
• Comparable Work Study• Comparable Project Study
Option C – Specialty Industry Studies
• Studies of specific types of problems– Acceleration– Changes/Cumulative Impact– Learning Curve– Overtime– Weather
Specialty Industry Studies – Key Challenges
• Entitlement1. Liability 2. Causation
• Justification of Method• Applicability• Reasonableness of Results• Other Considerations
Liability
- First step in demonstrating entitlement- Usually established by a contract provision or
the accused party’s breach of contract- Key is to use the contract language to your
advantage
Causation
1. Demonstrate the accused party caused the loss
2. Provide evidence that claimant did not contribute to the loss
Keys to Entitlement- Adherence to notice requirements- Impact was unforeseeable- Impact was beyond claimant’s control- Claimant is not responsible - Damages are recoverable under the contract- Disruption resulted in changed performance or
increased cost
Justify Calculation Method
- Why couldn’t you use one of the more preferred methods?
- Opposition may attempt to use a superior method to demonstrate claimant’s damages are overvalued
Applicability- The data used in an industry study applies to a very
specific project environment- Critical to document the surrounding circumstances of the
claim situation
- When choosing a study ask yourself:- Why/Where/When was the study performed?- How closely does the study tie to my scenario?- In what way does the study differ from the case at hand?[2]
Applicability
- Project Size- Project Type- Similar Trade- Scope of work- Circumstances- Experience of labor force
Applicability - Example
- Leonard Study is only applicable to projects experiencing greater than 10-15% change orders (measured by labor hours) and only until a certain point. [3]
Credibility
• Is the study of objective?• Does it provide representative value?• Does the study use recent data?• Are intervening variables considered?
Credibility
Credibility
• Did not rely on original data– Relied on flawed data from an earlier study by The Business
Roundtable• The nature of the work or the trades involved was not
disclosed in the original study
Reasonability
- Demonstrating another quantification yields similar results will bolster your position
Reasonability - Example
- Specialty Industry Study Analysis $500,000
- Modified Total Cost “Sanity Check”- $100,000 BAD- $525,000 GOOD
Other Considerations
- Contemporaneous Documentation- Expert Testimony
Summary of Key Challenges
- Demonstrating Entitlement- Justify Quantification Method- Applicability of Study- Credibility - Reasonableness of Results
Questions?
References1. Recommended Practice No. 25R-03 “Estimating Lost Labor Productivity in
Construction Claims”, AACE International, 20042. Nuhu Braimah, Issaka Ndekugri & Rod Gameson, A Review of Industry Standards
and Publications/Charts for Adjusting Productivity Losses in Construction Contracts, Presentation at the 22nd Annual ARCOM Conference, Birmingham, UK at 49, 54 (September 2006).
3. Leonard, Charles A., The Effects of Change Orders on Productivity, Concordia University, Montreal, Quebec, April 14, 1987.
4. Mosely, W. Alexander, Challenges to Admission of – Or Belief In – Lost Productivity Claims Based on Industry Studies, American Bar Association, 2013.
5. Brunies, R. and Emir, Z. (2001) Calculating Loss of Productivity Due to Overtime Using Published Charts – Facts or Fiction. The Revay Report, Vol. 20, No. 3.
6. Mechanical Contractors Association of America, Change Orders Productivity Overtime – A Primer for the Construction Industry (MCAA 2012).