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2/16/2017 1 SOIL MOISTURE BASED INDICES FOR DROUGHT MONITORING Vinay Sehgal Division of Agricultural Physics IARI, New Delhi THE NEED FOR A DROUGHT MANUAL Handbook for all the decision-makers / disaster managers, from the National to village-level To reflect the new framework for drought management (monitoring, declaration, response, and mitigation etc.) as a continuum of activities. To introduce and institutionalize a new drought management system, which is based on the technological advances and new innovations in crop and water management. Information on mitigation measures both short-term (relief etc.) and long-term ( mitigation ) strategies for an effective response (linkages with the existing development programmes). Renewed approach to drought management

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Page 1: Vinay Sehgal IARI, New Delhi - ncfc.gov.inncfc.gov.in/downloads/Workshop_drought_16feb2017/VKS_Drought_So… · Vinay Sehgal Division of Agricultural Physics IARI, ... Renewed approach

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SOIL MOISTURE BASED INDICES

FOR DROUGHT MONITORING

Vinay Sehgal

Division of Agricultural Physics

IARI, New Delhi

THE NEED FOR A DROUGHT MANUAL

� Handbook for all the decision-makers / disaster managers,

from the National to village-level

� To reflect the new framework for drought management

(monitoring, declaration, response, and mitigation etc.) as

a continuum of activities.

� To introduce and institutionalize a new drought

management system, which is based on the technological

advances and new innovations in crop and water

management.

� Information on mitigation measures both short-term (relief

etc.) and long-term ( mitigation ) strategies for an effective

response (linkages with the existing development

programmes).

� Renewed approach to drought management

Page 2: Vinay Sehgal IARI, New Delhi - ncfc.gov.inncfc.gov.in/downloads/Workshop_drought_16feb2017/VKS_Drought_So… · Vinay Sehgal Division of Agricultural Physics IARI, ... Renewed approach

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BACKGROUND

�Drought is complex phenomena

�Slow onset

�Multiple impacts

�Agricultural impacts are the focus in

India

�Effective Drought Monitoring Systems is

the precursor to Drought Declaration

� Invest in DMC

BACKGROUND: FIVE CATEGORIES OF INDICES

FOR MONITORING/DECLARING DROUGHT

� Rainfall

� Rainfall deviation / Standardized Precipitation Index

� Dry Spells

� Crop Situation based indices

� Area under crop sowing

� Percent Available Soil Moisture (PASM)

� Moisture Adequacy Index (MAI)

� Vegetation (Remote sensing based indices)

� NDVI deviation

� NDWI deviation

� VCI (NDVI)

� VCI(NDWI)

� Water

� Surface: Reservoir storage Index

� Groundwater Drought Index

� Streamflow Drought Index

� Others (socio-economic indicators)

Page 3: Vinay Sehgal IARI, New Delhi - ncfc.gov.inncfc.gov.in/downloads/Workshop_drought_16feb2017/VKS_Drought_So… · Vinay Sehgal Division of Agricultural Physics IARI, ... Renewed approach

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AREA UNDER SOWING

� Being monitored by State Department of Agriculture

� Need to collate data at required administrative unit

� Is a strong indicator to aid in declaring early in the

season

� Premise� For Kharif

� If area under sowing is less than 33.3% of normal total sown at the

end of July/August due to failure of rainfall or due to late onset of

monsoon – then conditions are potent for drought

� If area under sowing is 50% or less of normal total area sown at

the end of July/August – then “Severe” drought conditions

� For rabi (esp for NE monsoon regions)

� Same criteria at the end of October/November

Decrease in total area

sown as percent of total

normal area sown

Drought Category

33.3 – 50 % Moderate

>= 50% Severe

SOIL MOISTURE BASED INDICES

�Very relevant for agricultural impacts

�Rainfed agriculture region

�Soil moisture is highly dynamic in space

and time

�Network of observatories recording soil

moisture regularly and rigorously is

rudimentary

�Lack of large area representation

�States of invest in setting-up soil moisture

monitoring station and automatic rain

gauges (ARG) through DMC

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PASM: PERCENT AVAILABLE SOIL MOISTURE

� SMw : weekly soil moisture (vol/vol)

� FC: Field capacity of soil vol/vol

� PWP: Permanent wilting point of soil (vol/vol)

� Frequency: weekly

� Initiation: with the dates of actual sowing

� Averaging: over dominant crop growth stages, viz., early-

growth, vegetative growth, reproductive stage

The ranges and class may be suitable modified by the State depending upon the

local dominant crop types, soil properties, etc. in consultation with experts.

PASM: INPUTS NEEDED

� Soil Moisture:

� Direct measurements from observatories

� Calculated from large area simple soil water balance

� Soil Properties:� FC: Field capacity of soil vol/vol

� PWP: Permanent wilting point of soil (vol/vol)

� Soil depth

� Crop:

� Dominant crops

� Crop Phenology: timing of occurrence of growth stages

Page 5: Vinay Sehgal IARI, New Delhi - ncfc.gov.inncfc.gov.in/downloads/Workshop_drought_16feb2017/VKS_Drought_So… · Vinay Sehgal Division of Agricultural Physics IARI, ... Renewed approach

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DIRECT MEASUREMENT OF SOIL MOISTURE

� Sensor based

� Time/Frequency domain

reflectometry sensor

� Integrated as part of Automatic

Weather Station

� Available in IMD’s AWS (but at

one depth only)

� AWS of SAU’s and ICAR

�Satellite based� Under R&D

� Only top soil SM

� For large grids

SOIL WATER CONSTANTS

Page 6: Vinay Sehgal IARI, New Delhi - ncfc.gov.inncfc.gov.in/downloads/Workshop_drought_16feb2017/VKS_Drought_So… · Vinay Sehgal Division of Agricultural Physics IARI, ... Renewed approach

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RANGES OF FC, PWP AND AWC

SOIL & CROP DATA SOURCES

�Sources:� State Department of Agriculture

� NBSS&LUP maps

� SLUSI maps

� Pedo transfer functions (SAUs, ICAR)

Page 7: Vinay Sehgal IARI, New Delhi - ncfc.gov.inncfc.gov.in/downloads/Workshop_drought_16feb2017/VKS_Drought_So… · Vinay Sehgal Division of Agricultural Physics IARI, ... Renewed approach

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SIMPLE SOIL WATER BALANCE APPROACH

� “Leaky Bucket model”

� Also called the inflow-outflow method, is suitable for

large areas (watersheds) over long periods.

� Water Balance: at weekly interval

AET = (I+P+CR)-(RO+D+∆SW)ET is evapotranspiration;

I is irrigation;

P is precipitation;

CR is capillary rise;

RO is run off;

D is deep drainage and

∆SW is change in soil water content (SWt+1 – SWt)

� The AET is estimated from the FAO Approach

� CR can normally be assumed to be zero when the water

table is more than about 1 m below the bottom of the root

zone.

� RO is estimated by standard hydrological methods (ASAE

curve number)

SIMPLE SOIL WATER BALANCE APPROACH

Page 8: Vinay Sehgal IARI, New Delhi - ncfc.gov.inncfc.gov.in/downloads/Workshop_drought_16feb2017/VKS_Drought_So… · Vinay Sehgal Division of Agricultural Physics IARI, ... Renewed approach

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MAI: MOISTURE ADEQUACY INDEX

� AET : weekly actual crop evapotranspiration

� PET / RET: weekly potential / reference evapotranspiration

� PWP: Permanent wilting point of soil (vol/vol)

� Frequency: weekly

� Initiation: with the dates of actual sowing

� Averaging: over dominant crop growth stages, viz., early-

growth, vegetative growth, reproductive stage

� (MAI) is a better measure for assessing the degree of

adequacy of rainfall and soil moisture to meet the potential

water requirement of crops

EVAPOTRANSPIRATION (ET)

� Composed of two subprocesses

� Evaporation occurs on surfaces of open water or from vegetation

and ground surfaces.

� Transpiration is the removal of water from the soil by plant

roots, transported through the plant into the leaves and

evaporated from the leaf’s stomata.

� Typically combined in mass balance equations because

the components are difficult to partition.

Evapotranspiration

EvaporationTranspiration

Open

Water Soil Vegetation Surfaces Plants

Page 9: Vinay Sehgal IARI, New Delhi - ncfc.gov.inncfc.gov.in/downloads/Workshop_drought_16feb2017/VKS_Drought_So… · Vinay Sehgal Division of Agricultural Physics IARI, ... Renewed approach

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POTENTIAL VS. ACTUAL ET

� Potential ET (PET) is the amount of

evaporation that will occur if an unlimited

amount of water is available.

� Actual ET (AET) is the actual amount of

evaporation that occurs when water is limited.

For large areas can use a soil water balance

approach to calculate.

MEASURING ET

� Direct measuring methods of ET or Water Vap Flux

� Lysimeters

� Eddy Covariance method (EC) balance method (BREB)

� Large aperture scintillometer (LAS)

� Bowen ratio energy balance method (BREB)

� Indirect estimation methods

� Field water balance

� Pan Evaporimeters

� FAO approach

Page 10: Vinay Sehgal IARI, New Delhi - ncfc.gov.inncfc.gov.in/downloads/Workshop_drought_16feb2017/VKS_Drought_So… · Vinay Sehgal Division of Agricultural Physics IARI, ... Renewed approach

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ET ESTIMATION BY FAO APPROACH: CLIMATIC

� Allen et al. (1998) FAO Irrigation & Drainage Paper No. 56

� FAO approach is also well known as the “Two steps method”

� Useful for single crops and when “reference” conditions are

available (i.e., no crop water stress)

� Approach can also be applied under non-standard conditions (i.e.

crop under water stress or other stresses)

� Tries to separately account for different factors affecting Crop ET

� the meteorological factors: net radiation, temperature, wind Speed, vapor

pressure deficit

� the crop factors: canopy architecture, growth stage, stomatal resistance,

stomtal density, cuticular layer, LAI, rooting depth, wind

� the stress factors: (soil moisture stress) soil water holding capacity, depth,

initial water content, texture/structure etc.

REFERENCE EVAPOTRANSPIRATION (RET): FAO� ET rate from a reference surface, not short of water.

� Reference surface: "A hypothetical reference crop with an assumed

crop height of 0.12 m, a fixed surface resistance of 70 s m-1 and an

albedo of 0.23.“

� ET0 is water lost by evaporation from soil surface and through transpiration

during a period from an extensive surface of green grass of uniform height,

actively growing, completely shading the ground and not short of water.

� Only factors affecting ET0 are climatic parameters

� Can be computed from weather data

� Penman-Monteith combination eq.:

� where, ET0 is reference evapotranspiration [mm day-1];

� Rn is net radiation at the crop surface [MJ m-2 day-1];

� G is soil heat flux density [MJ m-2 day-1];

� T is mean daily air temperature at 2 m height [°C];

� u2 is wind speed at 2 m height [m s-1];

� es is saturation vapor pressure [kPa];

� ea is actual vapor pressure [kPa];

� es - ea is saturation vapor pressure deficit [kPa];

� ∆ is slope vapor pressure curve [kPa °C-1]; γ is psychrometric constant [kPa °C-1]

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POTENTIAL EVAPOTRANSPIRATION (PET): THORNTHWAITE

� Needs only actual temperature observations

EVAPOTRANSPIRATION UNDER STANDARD CONDITIONS (ETC)

� Is the evapotranspiration from disease-free, well-fertilized crops, grown in

large fields, under optimum soil water conditions, and achieving full

production under the given climatic conditions.

� Also called “Crop water requirement”

ETc = Kc . RET

� Crop Coefficient (Kc)

� Kc represents an integration of the effects of four primary characteristics

that distinguish the crop from reference grass.

� (i) crop height (ii) albedo (reflectance) of the crop-soil surface, (iii) canopy

resistance, and (iv) evaporation from soil, especially exposed soil

Page 12: Vinay Sehgal IARI, New Delhi - ncfc.gov.inncfc.gov.in/downloads/Workshop_drought_16feb2017/VKS_Drought_So… · Vinay Sehgal Division of Agricultural Physics IARI, ... Renewed approach

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KC TABLES

EVAPOTRANSPIRATION UNDER NON STANDARD

CONDITIONS (AET)

� Is the evapotranspiration from crops grown under management and

environmental conditions that differ from the standard.

� is calculated by using a water stress coefficient Ks and/or by adjusting Kc for

all kinds of other stresses

AET = Ks . ETc

Page 13: Vinay Sehgal IARI, New Delhi - ncfc.gov.inncfc.gov.in/downloads/Workshop_drought_16feb2017/VKS_Drought_So… · Vinay Sehgal Division of Agricultural Physics IARI, ... Renewed approach

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PAN EVAPORATION� Oldest / simplest method to

measure evaporation

� Measure water depths in a pan

� U.S. Weather Bureau has standard Class A pan� Cylindrical container made of

galvanized steel

� 10 inches deep and 48 inches in diameter

� Pan placed on a 6 inch wooden platform

� Site should be flat and free of obstructions

� Water filled to 8 inches deep� Refill when water drops to 7

inches deep

� Water level measurements made using a hook gage� Measurements to 0.01 inch

� PET=kp. Epan

Monthly Kp for IARI Station

Page 14: Vinay Sehgal IARI, New Delhi - ncfc.gov.inncfc.gov.in/downloads/Workshop_drought_16feb2017/VKS_Drought_So… · Vinay Sehgal Division of Agricultural Physics IARI, ... Renewed approach

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CASE STUDY� Crop: Soybean

� DOS: 17th July in 2010

� Variety: Pusa-9712 and Pusa-9814

� Soil Profile depth: 1000 mm

� Soil FC: 25% Soil PWP: 10%

� Initial Soil Moisture: 70% of Available Water Capacity

INPUT PARAMETERS

� Initial soil moisture

� ET0 by P-M method (Allen et al., 1998)

� Phenology for the assignment of Kc value

� Soil stress coefficient (Ks)

� FC, PWP, MAD (0.5)

� Irrigation

� Rainfall

Page 15: Vinay Sehgal IARI, New Delhi - ncfc.gov.inncfc.gov.in/downloads/Workshop_drought_16feb2017/VKS_Drought_So… · Vinay Sehgal Division of Agricultural Physics IARI, ... Renewed approach

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OUTPUT PARAMETERS

�Daily AET

�Daily remaining soil

moisture in the profile

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DAILY VARIATION OF AET

Daily actual evapotranspiration of JS 335 (2009)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

170 190 210 230 250 270 290 310

Julian day

Actu

al

Evap

otr

an

sp

irati

on

(mm

)

COMPARISON OF OBSERVED AND

SIMULATED SOIL MOISTURE

Observed and simulated soil moisture storage (JS 335)

100.0

120.0

140.0

160.0

180.0

200.0

220.0

240.0

180 200 220 240 260 280 300

Julian day

so

il m

ois

ture

sto

rag

e (

mm

)

Simulated soil moisture storage Observed soil moisture storage

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http://www.fao.org/nr/water/infores_databases_cropwat.html

MAI CALCULATION FOR AP

Drought severity

MAI

No drought MAI > 0.75

Mild drought MAI <0.75 and >0.50

Moderate

drought

MAI <0.50 and >0.25

Severe drought MAI <0.25

Table 2 Drought classification based on MAI

•Thornthwaite and Mather (1955) weekly water balance model

Page 18: Vinay Sehgal IARI, New Delhi - ncfc.gov.inncfc.gov.in/downloads/Workshop_drought_16feb2017/VKS_Drought_So… · Vinay Sehgal Division of Agricultural Physics IARI, ... Renewed approach

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RESOURCE PERSONS

� Agrometeorologist

� Agricultural Physicist

� Agricultural Engineer

� Agronomy

� State Agricultural Universities:

� Soil Science

� Agrometeorology

� Agronomy

� ICAR Institutes

� State Remote Sensing Centers

� State Department of agriculture

� Irrigation engineers

Thank You

[email protected]

[email protected]