virginia beach transit extension study - hampton roads · pdf file · 2015-01-13the...

Virginia Beach Transit Extension Study Draft Environmental Impact Statement

Town Center Alignment Alternative Briefing

Virginia Beach City Council September 9, 2014

Presentation

1. Project Background

2. Town Center Alternative

3. Town Center Capital Costs, O&M Costs, and Ridership Forecasts

4. Study Schedule

PROJECT BACKGROUND VIRGINIA BEACH TRANSIT EXTENSION STUDY

Project Goals • Provide additional mobility opportunities in the east-west corridor

• Expand multi-modal transportation system that supports local land use plans and initiatives (Strategic Growth Areas)

• Develop transportation infrastructure that supports the regional tourism industry

Page 4

Virginia Beach Transit Extension Study The Virginia Beach Transit Extension Study (VBTES) is examining the best transit options for a former freight rail right of way that runs from Newtown Road to Birdneck Road in Virginia Beach. The study area extends from Newtown Road to the Oceanfront area on 19th Street.

• Four Fixed Guideway Alignment Alternatives from Newtown Road

– Alternative 1a: ~3 miles to the Town Center Area

– Alternative 1b: 4.8 miles to the Rosemont Area

– Alternative 2: 12.2 miles to the Oceanfront along the NSRR corridor (with Maintenance Facility)

– Alternative 3: 13.5 miles to the Oceanfront through the Hilltop Area (with Maintenance Facility)

Alternative 1b: Newtown to Rosemont (Rosemont Alternative)

Alternative 2: Newtown to Oceanfront via NSRR ROW (NSRR Alternative)

Alternative 1a: Newtown to Town Center (Town Center Alternative)

Alternative 3: Newtown to Oceanfront via Laskin Road (Hilltop Alternative)

DEIS Technology Alternatives

• Light Rail Transit (LRT)

• Bus Rapid Transit (BRT)

7

Feeder Bus Routes

TOWN CENTER ALTERNATIVE VIRGINIA BEACH TRANSIT EXTENSION STUDY

Alternatives 1b, 2, and 3: Newtown to Rosemont and the Oceanfront

Alternative 1a: Newtown to Town Center (Town Center Alternative)

CAPITAL COSTS, O&M COSTS, AND RIDERSHIP FORECASTS

TOWN CENTER ALIGNMENT ALTERNATIVE

Capital Cost Estimating

Costs Contingency Escalation

Capital Cost Assumptions

Assumptions for the Town Center Light Rail Alternative

• Escalation

• Contingencies

• Real Estate

• Vehicle Costs

• Soft Costs


• Escalation

Year

IHS Global Insight

Highway and Street Index ENR Construction

Cost Index VBTES Rate

VBTES Cost

Index

2013 BASE Base Cost Plus

2014 1.4% 4.7% 4.70% 4.7%

2015 2.5% 3.4% 3.40% 8.3%

2016 2.9% 2.2% 2.90% 11.4%

2017 2.5% 2.4% 2.50% 14.2%

2018 2.2% 2.4% 2.40% 16.9%

2019 2% 2.7% 2.70% 20.1%

2020 2% 2.6% 2.60% 23.2%


• Contingencies by major project element

Major Project Element Contingency

Track 35%

Stations 30%

Modifications to Maintenance Facility 30%

Site Work 35%

Utilities 40%

Rail Systems (Traction Power, Signals) 35%

Real Estate (excluding NSRR ROW) 50%

Vehicles 20%

Unallocated 2% of total

• Real Estate Costs

– Based on City assessed values for 2013

– Includes • Partial property takes

• Whole property takes

• Costs to relocate businesses, where required

• Legal fees and transfer costs

– Does not include • Costs of Kempsville Lumber, NSRR ROW (prorated), and Circuit

City (all properties already owned by the City)

• Temporary construction easements


• Vehicles

– Four Light Rail Vehicles required for service to Town Center

– Twelve additional transit buses are required to support LRT Service to support

• Three additional bus routes

• Extended AM and PM hours

• Additional service days (weekends)

• Increased frequency of service



• Soft Costs (% of construction)

Soft Costs % of

Construction

Project Development (DEIS/Concept Design) 2.5%

Engineering 12%

Project Management 5%

Construction Management 8%

Insurance 2%

Legal/Permit Fees 2%

Survey/Testing/Inspection 2%

System Startup 1.5%

Capital Costs

Opinion of Probable Capital Cost Current Year*

(2013)

YOE*

(2018)

Construction Cost $ 161 $ 188

Other Project Costs

Existing Tide System Improvements $ 5 $ 6

Light Rail Vehicles (4) $ 21 $ 25

Bus Vehicles (12) $ 9 $ 11

“New” Real Estate Required** $ 19 $ 24

Project Development and Engineering $ 24 $ 27

Other Soft Costs (PM/CM/Legal/Startup) $ 34 $ 39

Unallocated Contingencies $ 6 $ 7

Total Probable Capital Cost $ 279 $ 327

Reflects Constitution Station End of Line Option – 3.1 Miles

* In Millions of Dollars

** Does not include real estate purchased to date of $28M

OCC Modifications

Capital Cost Comparison

Project Length Capital Cost Cost per Mile

VBTES LRT to Constitution Drive

Virginia Beach, VA

3.1 $279 million* $90 million*

Central Corridor LRT

Minneapolis, MN

9.8 $956 million $97 million

North Corridor LRT

Houston, TX


Southeast Corridor LRT

Houston, TX


Dulles Metrorail Extension

Northern Virginia**

11.7 $3.1 billion $269 million

VBTES compared to significant LRT projects under construction in FY13

* FY 13 Dollars

** Heavy Rail Project in VA

Local Share of O&M Costs*

Comparison of Bus and LRT Service Costs

O&M Costs

in 2012 Service

Levels and Dollars

Virginia Beach Projected Bus and LRT Service $ 11.0 M

Virginia Beach Bus Service Costs in 2012** $ 3.0 M

Expanded Bus Service for LRT $ 6.0 M

Light Rail Service in Virginia Beach to Town Center $ 2.0 M

Norfolk Bus and LRT Service $ 14.2 M

Norfolk Bus Service Costs in 2012 $ 8.5 M

Light Rail Service in Norfolk in 2012 $ 5.7 M

* Not Including Paratransit Costs

** FY14 Virginia Beach local share for bus service costs is $4.4 M

Ridership Forecast

Tide Forecast (FY 2011)

Actual Tide (FY 2014)

Projected Norfolk (2034)

Projected Virginia Beach

(2034)

Total Projected Tide LRT (2034)

Average Weekday

2,900 5,300 7,050 2, 250 9,300

Annual Trips

870,000 1.4 million 2.8 million

Ridership Forecasting for Light Rail to Town Center

• Results of FTA approved ridership model

• Home-Based Work Model produces conservative ridership numbers

• Does not include Tourism or Special Events

Tide Ridership

Tide Average Monthly Ridership Since Opening

-

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15

STUDY SCHEDULE VIRGINIA BEACH TRANSIT EXTENSION STUDY

September Public Meetings - Town Center Alternative

• September 22, 2014 Renaissance Academy Witchduck Road 6:00 to 7:30 PM

• September 24, 2014 Westin Hotel Town Center 6:00 to 7:30 PM

Public Comment

• Comments are welcome at any time during the VBTES process.

• You are encouraged to participate throughout the entire study process.

• Formal Comments on the DEIS will be accepted after the release of the document (the beginning of 2015) during the Formal Public Comment Period at the Formal DEIS Public Hearings.

• HRT will address all “substantive” written comments.

VBTES DEIS Remaining Milestones

• Early Submittal of DEIS Chapters to FTA (September 2014)

• Full Submittal of DEIS to FTA (October 2014)

• Formal DEIS Public Comment Period and Formal DEIS Public Hearings (Early 2015)

• Locally Preferred Alternative Selected by City Council (Early 2015)

2014 2015 2016 J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D

DEIS Completion

Update DEIS - New Alternative

FTA Review/Approval of DEIS

DEIS Circulation and Public Hearings

Locally Preferred Alternative (LPA)

LPA to HRTPO Fiscally Constrained LRTP

HRT Request to Enter FTA "Project Development"

Preparation of Final EIS/ROD

HRT Request to Enter FTA “Engineering"

Design Build

FFGA/ Final Engineering /Construction

Operations

Town Center Schedule under State – City Funding

Thank You

virginia beach transit extension study - hampton roads · pdf file · 2015-01-13the...

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