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Yara International ASA Annual General Meeting 7 May 2020

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Page 1: Yara International ASA Annual General Meeting...2020/05/07  · Annual General Meeting 7 May 2020 TRI 1 (12-month rolling) Safety is our first priority Ensuring a safe workplace for

Yara International ASAAnnual General Meeting

7 May 2020

Page 2: Yara International ASA Annual General Meeting...2020/05/07  · Annual General Meeting 7 May 2020 TRI 1 (12-month rolling) Safety is our first priority Ensuring a safe workplace for

TRI1 (12-month rolling)

Safety is our first priorityEnsuring a safe workplace for employees and partners with zero as our ambition

2

0

1

2

3

4

5

1Q16 1Q20

1.3

1) Total recordable injuries per 1 million working hours

Covid-19 priorities

• Safeguard our employees, contractors, partners, neighbors and society at large

• Be a responsible company and act in accordance with government guidelines

• Keep our operations running, to help support the supply of food and other essential products to society

Total Recordable Injuries

Page 3: Yara International ASA Annual General Meeting...2020/05/07  · Annual General Meeting 7 May 2020 TRI 1 (12-month rolling) Safety is our first priority Ensuring a safe workplace for

3

Earnings improvement continuing Key points

L12M EBITDA ex. special items (MUSD)1

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

1Q17 1Q18 1Q19 1Q20

Strategy execution drives improved commercial margins and bottom line- EBITDA1 ex. special items at USD 2,165 million, up 42%- ROIC at 6.6%, up from 3.8% in 2018- NPK premium up 22%

Strong capital discipline and cash flow- Focus on executing committed investments; growth

investments halved from 2018 to 2019- USD 848 million free cash flow2 improvement

Delivering on capital allocation policy- NOK 15 per share dividend proposed

2019; Continued profitability improvement -strong capital discipline and cash flow

1) EBITDA excl. special items. For definition and reconciliation see APM section of 1Q 20 Report, page 292) Net cash provided by operating activities minus net cash used in investment activities. See Cash Flow statement on page 16 of1Q 20 Report

Page 4: Yara International ASA Annual General Meeting...2020/05/07  · Annual General Meeting 7 May 2020 TRI 1 (12-month rolling) Safety is our first priority Ensuring a safe workplace for

EBITDA variance including YIPEBITDA ex. special items (MUSD)

1,525

2,165

95 61

447 96 75

2018 2019YIP impact @2019 margins

Other incl. IFRS16

Other volume and mix

Price/margin CurrencyEnergy

-135

120 MUSD YIP impact - 95 MUSD EBITDA bottom line• Actual production = ~40 MUSD (~10 MUSD in YIP terms)• NH3 efficiency = ~10 MUSD• Nominal Fixed costs = ~25 MUSD (~80 MUSD inflation adjustment)• Variable costs = ~20 MUSD

4

Page 5: Yara International ASA Annual General Meeting...2020/05/07  · Annual General Meeting 7 May 2020 TRI 1 (12-month rolling) Safety is our first priority Ensuring a safe workplace for

Improvement Program status: production volume KPIs1

As presented at CMD, includes volumes from both growth and improvement projects. Numbers are adjusted for turnarounds and market optimization 5

Operations running without significant disruption

Q1 decline driven by portfolio effects

Several 4Q outages also impacted 1Q

Sustaining operations through Covid-19 is a top priority

Turnarounds, improvement and project activity will be optimized to reduce risk

Unplanned outages require longer resolution time due to Covid-19

CommentsAmmonia production volumes, kt annualized

Finished products production volumes, kt annualized

2023 target8,900

2Q17 4Q17

20187,850

2Q18 4Q18 2Q19

20197,772

4Q19

L12M7,692

1Q20 2023

Qtr, annualized12 month rolling

201820,870

1Q204Q19 20232Q18

2023 target23,930

2Q17

201921,067

4Q17 4Q18 2Q19

L12M20,950

Qtr, annualized12 month rolling

Page 6: Yara International ASA Annual General Meeting...2020/05/07  · Annual General Meeting 7 May 2020 TRI 1 (12-month rolling) Safety is our first priority Ensuring a safe workplace for

Our long term targets: increased premium product deliveries and higher margins

1) Adjusted EBITDA/tonne in the Sales and Marketing segment. For definition and reconciliation see APM section of 1Q 20 report, page 31 6

Increase premium product deliveries by > 3.5 mill tonnes

Increase YaraVita deliveries to > 100 million units Increase EBITDA margin1

13.4 13.6 14.3

L12M20192018

4046 47

2018 2019 L12M

20

24 25

L12M20192018

Premium products in mill. tonnes YaraVita in mill. units EBITDA margin in USD/tonne

Page 7: Yara International ASA Annual General Meeting...2020/05/07  · Annual General Meeting 7 May 2020 TRI 1 (12-month rolling) Safety is our first priority Ensuring a safe workplace for

Committed investments unchanged, but optimization due to Covid-19 may postpone some spending

1) Committed investments as of end 1Q20 7

0.7

2.2

2021

0.8

0.2

0.7

0.0

0.6

0.2

2017

0.5

2019

0.2

0.8

2018

0.5

0.1

0.6

0.4

0.2

0.6

2020

1.6

1.11.2

1.0

USD Billions

Growth - acquisitionsGrowth - expansions

Cost&capacity improvementsMaintenance

Capex plan1

Page 8: Yara International ASA Annual General Meeting...2020/05/07  · Annual General Meeting 7 May 2020 TRI 1 (12-month rolling) Safety is our first priority Ensuring a safe workplace for

Improving cash flow trend

1) Net cash provided by operating activities minus net cash used in investment activities. See Cash Flow statement on page 16 of 1Q 20 Report 8

-916

-548

-141

1Q17 2Q17

-434 -546

3Q17 4Q17

-859

-230

1Q18 2Q18 4Q18

-1,098

3Q18

-1,243

-730

1Q19 2Q19

14

3Q19

863

4Q19

845

1Q20

OperationsInvestmentsFree cash flow

Free cash flow before financing activities1 Comments

• Strategy execution driving improved free cash flow1

• Strong deliveries in 1Q generated increase in receivables

• Negative one-off effects of USD 80 million in Q1 2020

USD millions, rolling 4 quarters

Page 9: Yara International ASA Annual General Meeting...2020/05/07  · Annual General Meeting 7 May 2020 TRI 1 (12-month rolling) Safety is our first priority Ensuring a safe workplace for

Decision to develop “Industrial Holding” within Yara

9

Decision driven by value capture visibility amid Covid-19• Sustaining operations is the top priority• IPO evaluation has identified new value

pockets and benefits of a more autonomous setup

• Value capture visibility stronger in Yara-owned model, driven by Covid-19 impact

• Executing on crop nutrition focused strategy with separate governance of industrial businesses

Separate governance and increased autonomy• 100% Yara owned, minor carve-out

dissynergies• Preliminary scope: New Business

segment + Brunsbüttel, Le Havre, Köping and Cubatão production plants

• Organic growth initiatives identified in IPO project

• Governed through operations Board headed by Yara CEO

• Operating model leveraging existing Yara processes and support functions

Page 10: Yara International ASA Annual General Meeting...2020/05/07  · Annual General Meeting 7 May 2020 TRI 1 (12-month rolling) Safety is our first priority Ensuring a safe workplace for

Supporting farmers and food value chain is a top priority

10

• Focus on continuity in supply of agricultural inputs

Dec 2019May 2019 Mar 2020

1,300

750

32

Thousand Farmweather active users

Strong demand growth for digital offeringsSupporting food value chain at all levels

• Accelerated digital farming ramp-up as physical farmer interactions are reduced

• Global income security policy established

• Yara and other food chain players call to G-20 action

the Guardian, 9. april 2020

Page 11: Yara International ASA Annual General Meeting...2020/05/07  · Annual General Meeting 7 May 2020 TRI 1 (12-month rolling) Safety is our first priority Ensuring a safe workplace for

Grain yield1 from Nitrogen fertilizerTon per hectar

Nitrogen fertilizer demand shows strong resilience historically, as annual application is needed in order to maintain yields

9.6

5.5

1.8

With N Fertilizer Long term without N1 year without N

-43%

1) Source: Broadbalk long term trial Rothamsted UK 11

Annual N-application is critical for yield Stable global nitrogen consumption pattern

Million tonnes nitrogen

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Source: IFA, June 2019

Page 12: Yara International ASA Annual General Meeting...2020/05/07  · Annual General Meeting 7 May 2020 TRI 1 (12-month rolling) Safety is our first priority Ensuring a safe workplace for

Attractive Yara prospects

12

Focused long-term strategyAttractive industry fundamentals

Operating cash flow improvement

• Operating cash flow improving with cycle and Yara actions

• Capex almost halved from 2018 to 2019

• Strict capital discipline

• Clear capital allocation policy

• Growing population and dietary improvement drives demand

• Resource and environment challenges require strong agriproductivity improvement

• Slow-down in nitrogen supply growth

• Crop nutrition focus; #1 market presence and #1 premium fertilizer position

• Improving returns through operational Improvement, margin improvement and innovative growth

Page 13: Yara International ASA Annual General Meeting...2020/05/07  · Annual General Meeting 7 May 2020 TRI 1 (12-month rolling) Safety is our first priority Ensuring a safe workplace for

Proposed dividend NOK 15 per share

13

Dividends and buy-backs2 per share (NOK)

15

3

2011 20172004 2005 20092006 2007 2008 2010 2012 2013 2014 2015 20192016 2018

18Share buy-backsDividends

Net Debt/EBITDA well within targeted range; further cash returns in 2020 will be evaluated in line with capital allocation policy and considering visibility of macro environment

Net Debt/EBITDA ex. special items1

2.02.3 2.3

2.52.6

2.2

1.91.7 1.7

1Q18 2Q192Q18 3Q18 4Q18 4Q191Q19 3Q19 1Q20

Target range

Page 14: Yara International ASA Annual General Meeting...2020/05/07  · Annual General Meeting 7 May 2020 TRI 1 (12-month rolling) Safety is our first priority Ensuring a safe workplace for