yara international asa annual general meeting...2020/05/07 · annual general meeting 7 may 2020...
TRANSCRIPT
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Yara International ASAAnnual General Meeting
7 May 2020
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TRI1 (12-month rolling)
Safety is our first priorityEnsuring a safe workplace for employees and partners with zero as our ambition
2
0
1
2
3
4
5
1Q16 1Q20
1.3
1) Total recordable injuries per 1 million working hours
Covid-19 priorities
• Safeguard our employees, contractors, partners, neighbors and society at large
• Be a responsible company and act in accordance with government guidelines
• Keep our operations running, to help support the supply of food and other essential products to society
Total Recordable Injuries
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3
Earnings improvement continuing Key points
L12M EBITDA ex. special items (MUSD)1
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
1Q17 1Q18 1Q19 1Q20
Strategy execution drives improved commercial margins and bottom line- EBITDA1 ex. special items at USD 2,165 million, up 42%- ROIC at 6.6%, up from 3.8% in 2018- NPK premium up 22%
Strong capital discipline and cash flow- Focus on executing committed investments; growth
investments halved from 2018 to 2019- USD 848 million free cash flow2 improvement
Delivering on capital allocation policy- NOK 15 per share dividend proposed
2019; Continued profitability improvement -strong capital discipline and cash flow
1) EBITDA excl. special items. For definition and reconciliation see APM section of 1Q 20 Report, page 292) Net cash provided by operating activities minus net cash used in investment activities. See Cash Flow statement on page 16 of1Q 20 Report
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EBITDA variance including YIPEBITDA ex. special items (MUSD)
1,525
2,165
95 61
447 96 75
2018 2019YIP impact @2019 margins
Other incl. IFRS16
Other volume and mix
Price/margin CurrencyEnergy
-135
120 MUSD YIP impact - 95 MUSD EBITDA bottom line• Actual production = ~40 MUSD (~10 MUSD in YIP terms)• NH3 efficiency = ~10 MUSD• Nominal Fixed costs = ~25 MUSD (~80 MUSD inflation adjustment)• Variable costs = ~20 MUSD
4
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Improvement Program status: production volume KPIs1
As presented at CMD, includes volumes from both growth and improvement projects. Numbers are adjusted for turnarounds and market optimization 5
Operations running without significant disruption
Q1 decline driven by portfolio effects
Several 4Q outages also impacted 1Q
Sustaining operations through Covid-19 is a top priority
Turnarounds, improvement and project activity will be optimized to reduce risk
Unplanned outages require longer resolution time due to Covid-19
CommentsAmmonia production volumes, kt annualized
Finished products production volumes, kt annualized
2023 target8,900
2Q17 4Q17
20187,850
2Q18 4Q18 2Q19
20197,772
4Q19
L12M7,692
1Q20 2023
Qtr, annualized12 month rolling
201820,870
1Q204Q19 20232Q18
2023 target23,930
2Q17
201921,067
4Q17 4Q18 2Q19
L12M20,950
Qtr, annualized12 month rolling
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Our long term targets: increased premium product deliveries and higher margins
1) Adjusted EBITDA/tonne in the Sales and Marketing segment. For definition and reconciliation see APM section of 1Q 20 report, page 31 6
Increase premium product deliveries by > 3.5 mill tonnes
Increase YaraVita deliveries to > 100 million units Increase EBITDA margin1
13.4 13.6 14.3
L12M20192018
4046 47
2018 2019 L12M
20
24 25
L12M20192018
Premium products in mill. tonnes YaraVita in mill. units EBITDA margin in USD/tonne
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Committed investments unchanged, but optimization due to Covid-19 may postpone some spending
1) Committed investments as of end 1Q20 7
0.7
2.2
2021
0.8
0.2
0.7
0.0
0.6
0.2
2017
0.5
2019
0.2
0.8
2018
0.5
0.1
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.6
2020
1.6
1.11.2
1.0
USD Billions
Growth - acquisitionsGrowth - expansions
Cost&capacity improvementsMaintenance
Capex plan1
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Improving cash flow trend
1) Net cash provided by operating activities minus net cash used in investment activities. See Cash Flow statement on page 16 of 1Q 20 Report 8
-916
-548
-141
1Q17 2Q17
-434 -546
3Q17 4Q17
-859
-230
1Q18 2Q18 4Q18
-1,098
3Q18
-1,243
-730
1Q19 2Q19
14
3Q19
863
4Q19
845
1Q20
OperationsInvestmentsFree cash flow
Free cash flow before financing activities1 Comments
• Strategy execution driving improved free cash flow1
• Strong deliveries in 1Q generated increase in receivables
• Negative one-off effects of USD 80 million in Q1 2020
USD millions, rolling 4 quarters
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Decision to develop “Industrial Holding” within Yara
9
Decision driven by value capture visibility amid Covid-19• Sustaining operations is the top priority• IPO evaluation has identified new value
pockets and benefits of a more autonomous setup
• Value capture visibility stronger in Yara-owned model, driven by Covid-19 impact
• Executing on crop nutrition focused strategy with separate governance of industrial businesses
Separate governance and increased autonomy• 100% Yara owned, minor carve-out
dissynergies• Preliminary scope: New Business
segment + Brunsbüttel, Le Havre, Köping and Cubatão production plants
• Organic growth initiatives identified in IPO project
• Governed through operations Board headed by Yara CEO
• Operating model leveraging existing Yara processes and support functions
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Supporting farmers and food value chain is a top priority
10
• Focus on continuity in supply of agricultural inputs
Dec 2019May 2019 Mar 2020
1,300
750
32
Thousand Farmweather active users
Strong demand growth for digital offeringsSupporting food value chain at all levels
• Accelerated digital farming ramp-up as physical farmer interactions are reduced
• Global income security policy established
• Yara and other food chain players call to G-20 action
the Guardian, 9. april 2020
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Grain yield1 from Nitrogen fertilizerTon per hectar
Nitrogen fertilizer demand shows strong resilience historically, as annual application is needed in order to maintain yields
9.6
5.5
1.8
With N Fertilizer Long term without N1 year without N
-43%
1) Source: Broadbalk long term trial Rothamsted UK 11
Annual N-application is critical for yield Stable global nitrogen consumption pattern
Million tonnes nitrogen
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Source: IFA, June 2019
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Attractive Yara prospects
12
Focused long-term strategyAttractive industry fundamentals
Operating cash flow improvement
• Operating cash flow improving with cycle and Yara actions
• Capex almost halved from 2018 to 2019
• Strict capital discipline
• Clear capital allocation policy
• Growing population and dietary improvement drives demand
• Resource and environment challenges require strong agriproductivity improvement
• Slow-down in nitrogen supply growth
• Crop nutrition focus; #1 market presence and #1 premium fertilizer position
• Improving returns through operational Improvement, margin improvement and innovative growth
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Proposed dividend NOK 15 per share
13
Dividends and buy-backs2 per share (NOK)
15
3
2011 20172004 2005 20092006 2007 2008 2010 2012 2013 2014 2015 20192016 2018
18Share buy-backsDividends
Net Debt/EBITDA well within targeted range; further cash returns in 2020 will be evaluated in line with capital allocation policy and considering visibility of macro environment
Net Debt/EBITDA ex. special items1
2.02.3 2.3
2.52.6
2.2
1.91.7 1.7
1Q18 2Q192Q18 3Q18 4Q18 4Q191Q19 3Q19 1Q20
Target range
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