12 cause n effect n fta
TRANSCRIPT
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Lean Six Sigma Operational - Delegate Workbook
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Cause and Effect Diagramsand Fault Tree Analysis
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SSG06101ENUK Delegate Slides/Issue 1.1/ Mar 2008
Learning Objectives
At the end of this section delegates will be able to:
Understand the role of Cause/Effect and Fault Tree Analysis
within the DMAIC Improvement Process
Understand how to use a Cause/Effect diagram to structure the
output of brainstorming activities
Construct a Fault Tree from Top Event down to actionable Basic
Events
Identify appropriate actions to close a branch of the tree
Recognise that Fault Tree can be used both as a prevention tool
and a diagnostic tool
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Agenda
Cause/Effect Diagrams
Fault Tree Analysis Within DMAIC
Fault Tree Analysis Roadmap:
Define Top Event
Define scope of system
Understand system
Construct Fault Tree
Analyse the Tree
Closing Actions
Summary
Workshop
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The Diagrams
Cause & Effect Diagrams and Fault Trees are
both pictorial methods for logically deriving the
causes that may explain the occurrence of an
event
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Cause & Effect Diagrams
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Cause and Effect Diagram
Purpose
Identify potential causes of problems
Summarise process knowledge
Identify sources of variation
Facilitate brainstorming
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Cause and Effect Diagram
Benefits
Increase awareness of factors involved
Encourage staff participation
Focus on root causes
Determine preventive / corrective actions
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PEOPLE MACHINES ENVIRONMENT
Poorbond
Training
Shift change overTemperature
Time
Pressure
Drop sizeDust
Lighting
Clean
Heat
Humidity
Batch variation
Viscosity
Age of Adhesive
Temperature
Cleaning method
Orientation
METHODS MATERIAL MEASUREMENT
Gauge
Cause and Effect Diagram
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SSG06101ENUK Delegate Slides/Issue 1.1/ Mar 2008
CAUSES
Cause and Effect Diagram
High
Absenteeism
People Method
Environment Machine
Low morale
Internal
Competition
Low trust
Poor
training
Too little
responsibility
Poor reward system
Little
feedback
Poor budgeting
Too little
equipment
Poor
maintenance
Difficult to
operate
Wrong person in
the job
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SSG06101ENUK Delegate Slides/Issue 1.1/ Mar 2008
Cause and Effect Diagram
Incorrect
shipments
Environment
Measurements
Methods
Material
Machines
Personnel
Keying data errors
Customer error
Mistakes
Don't Care
Lack of training
Part-time staff
Stock Code Errors ondatabase
Parts
Incorrect
shipments
Environment
Measurements
Methods
Material
Machines
Personnel
Keying data errors
Customer error
Mistakes
Don't Care
Lack of training
Part-time staff
Stock Code Errors ondatabase
Parts in wronglocations
Unclear Stock List
Keying data errors
Weighing check
Weighing doesn'twork
Too much walking
Dirty location labels
Poor stores lighting
Fishbone Diagram
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Incoming
StagingGauging
Work
Station 2Welding Trimming Gauging Grinding
SpeedFeed
Pressure
Speed
Feed
Pressure Temp
Feed
Speed
Pressure
TrimSteelCond.
Thickness
Impurities
Shape MaterialMovement
Shape
Gap
TipCondition
Current
TrimPlacement
Work
Station 1
Cause and Effect Diagram
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SSG06101ENUK Delegate Slides/Issue 1.1/ Mar 2008
Cause and Effect Diagram
Ishikawa suggests the following additional steps:
Step 1: When the relationship between a cause and the
effect can be shown quantitatively, draw a box around the
cause.
Step 2: When the relationship between a cause and the
effect is known to exist, but is diff icult to quantify, underline
the cause.
Step 3: When there is no real proof of the relationship
between a cause and the effect, do not mark the cause in
any way.
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Cause and Effect Diagram
Risks & Limitations
Focus on uncontrollable issues
Laying blame
Ideas are not fully explored
Only standard categories used
Fault Tree Analysis (FTA)
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DMAIC Improvement ProcessDefine ImproveMeasure Control
Control Criticalxs
Monitor ys
Validate ControlPlan
Close Project
1 5 10 15 20
10.2
10.0
9.8
9.6
Upper Control Limit
Lower Control Limit
y
Phase Review
Analyse Characterise xs
Optimise xs
Set Tolerances for xs
Verify Improvement
15 20 25 30 35
LSL USL
Phase Review
y=f(x1,x2,..)
y
x
. . .. . .
. .. . .
. .
.
Identify Potentialxs
Analyse xs
Select Critical xs
Phase Review
Run 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 1 1 1 2 2 2 23 1 2 2 1 1 2 24 1 2 2 2 2 1 15 2 1 2 1 2 1 26 2 1 2 2 1 2 17 2 2 1 1 2 2 18 2 2 1 2 1 1 2
Effect
C1 C2
C4
C3
C6C5
x
xx x
x
xx
xx x
x
Select Project
Define ProjectObjective
Form the Team
Map the Process
Identify CustomerRequirements
Identify Priorities
Update Project File
Phase Review
Define Measures (ys)
EvaluateMeasurement System
Determine ProcessStability
Determine ProcessCapability
Set Targets forMeasures
15 20 25 30 35
LSL USL
Phase Review
Define ImproveMeasure Control Control Critical
xs
Monitor ys
Validate ControlPlan
Close Project
1 5 10 15 20
10.2
10.0
9.8
9.6
Upper Control Limit
Lower Control Limit
y
Phase Review
Control Criticalxs
Monitor ys
Validate ControlPlan
Close Project
1 5 10 15 20
10.2
10.0
9.8
9.6
Upper Control Limit
Lower Control Limit
yy
Phase Review
Analyse Characterise xs
Optimise xs
Set Tolerances for xs
Verify Improvement
15 20 25 30 35
LSL USL
Phase Review
y=f(x1,x2,..)
y
x
. . .. . .
. .. . .
. .
.
15 20 25 30 35
LSL USL
15 20 25 30 35
LSL USL
Phase Review
y=f(x1,x2,..)
y
x
. . .. . .
. .. . .
. .
.
y=f(x1,x2,..)
y
x
. . .. . .
. .. . .
. .
.
Identify Potentialxs
Analyse xs
Select Critical xs
Phase Review
Run 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 1 1 1 2 2 2 23 1 2 2 1 1 2 24 1 2 2 2 2 1 15 2 1 2 1 2 1 26 2 1 2 2 1 2 17 2 2 1 1 2 2 18 2 2 1 2 1 1 2
Effect
C1 C2
C4
C3
C6C5
x
xx x
x
xx
xx x
x
Phase Review
Run 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 1 1 1 2 2 2 23 1 2 2 1 1 2 24 1 2 2 2 2 1 15 2 1 2 1 2 1 26 2 1 2 2 1 2 17 2 2 1 1 2 2 18 2 2 1 2 1 1 2
Run 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 1 1 1 2 2 2 23 1 2 2 1 1 2 24 1 2 2 2 2 1 15 2 1 2 1 2 1 26 2 1 2 2 1 2 17 2 2 1 1 2 2 18 2 2 1 2 1 1 2
Effect
C1 C2
C4
C3
C6C5
x
xx x
x
xx
xx x
x
Select Project
Define ProjectObjective
Form the Team
Map the Process
Identify CustomerRequirements
Identify Priorities
Update Project File
Phase Review
Select Project
Define ProjectObjective
Form the Team
Map the Process
Identify CustomerRequirements
Identify Priorities
Update Project File
Phase Review
Define Measures (ys)
EvaluateMeasurement System
Determine ProcessStability
Determine ProcessCapability
Set Targets forMeasures
15 20 25 30 35
LSL USL
Phase Review
15 20 25 30 35
LSL USL
15 20 25 30 35
LSL USL
15 20 25 30 35
LSL USL
Phase Review
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SSG06101ENUK Delegate Slides/Issue 1.1/ Mar 2008
Introduction to Fault TreeAnalysis Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) is a graphical tool for analysing
possible causes of a failure.
Can be used as a Prevention Tool - prevent the failuremode from occurring.
Or can be used as a Diagnostic Tool - identify what causedthe failure
Focuses on a single failure mode (as opposed to FMEA thatlooks at all failures)
In Six Sigma it can be used to help identify the CriticalInputs or Process Steps (xs) (Analyse), and developimprovements and controls for the Critical Inputs or ProcessSteps (xs) (Improve/Control)
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Fault Tree Analysis Roadmap
Step 2:
Define Scope of System
Step 3:
Understand System.
Step 1:
Define Top Event.
Step 4:
Construct Fault Tree
Step 5:
Analyse the Tree
Step 6:
Closing Action.
Step 2:
Define Scope of System
Step 3:
Understand System
Step 1:
Define Top Event
Step 4:
Construct Fault Tree
Step 5:
Analyse the Tree
Step 6:
Closing Action
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SSG06101ENUK Delegate Slides/Issue 1.1/ Mar 2008
Step 1 Define Top Event
The Top Event is the major failure to be analysed in the
fault tree
Within Six Sigma DMAIC this typically will be the issue(s)
identified in the measure phase eg delay in invoice
payment, incomplete order shipment etc
When identifying, consider main functions of processes,
major customer effects, historical failures
A separate fault tree should be generated for each top
event that is a fundamental concern
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Step 2 Define Scope of System
What comprises the system (transactional process) to be
analysed:
Which parts/process steps will be considered?
Which parts/process steps will be outside the scope
(responsibility of supplier or third party)?
What level of detail ? (macro/micro process steps)
System can consist of manual steps and / or automated
steps (eg IT system)
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Step 3 Understand the System
The relevant experts (IT, Process Operators etc)
explain the function of each part/process step to
the team
Supported by: Process Maps
Specification Documents
Walking the process
Customer Feedback data
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DarkRoom
Bulb blown
Switch failedto close
No powerFuse blown
Power cut
AND OR
AND Gate OR Gate
OR OR
AND Battery failureLoss ofpower
Step 4 Construct Fault Tree
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Step 4 Construct Fault Tree
Top Event Intermediate Events
BasicEvent
ClosingAction
Specification
SupplierQuality
Process
OROR OROR OROR
ANDAND
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Step 4 Construct Fault TreeTop Event Main failure to be investigated
Basic Events Events leading to (causing)top event. Sequenced fromhigh level to lower level(Macro process step tomicro step).
Intermediate Events Lowest level events within
scope of FTA. Actionablelevel of detail. Three types ofbasic events should beconsidered (although not allmay be present).
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SSG06101ENUK Delegate Slides/Issue 1.1/ Mar 2008
Basic Event Types
Event relates to inadequate or incorrectprocessing, eg information entered
incorrectly.
SpecificationRelated
Supplier QualityRelated
Process Related
Event relates to incorrect specificationeg information not specified asrequired
Event relates to supplier not meetingspecification, eg incorrect information
provided.
Step 4 Construct Fault Tree
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Step 4 Construct Fault Tree
Method 1
Brainstorm all possible events (causes) that might lead to TopEvent
Transfer to Post-Its or cards
Sort into groups of events for related parts
Organise into a tree structure with Top Event on left side,branching to the Basic Events on the right
Method 2
Starting from the top event and ask the question how could thishappen ?
Work on each branch in turn, repeating the question how couldthis happen?
In practice a combination of both methods can be used
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SSG06101ENUK Delegate Slides/Issue 1.1/ Mar 2008
Step 5 Analyse Tree
Check:
All known (historical) failures shown
Sequence of events from left to right
All branches have been developed to an
actionable level
Optional step :
Prioritise the basic events in terms of their probability of
occurrence.
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Step 6 Closing Action
ALL Basic Events should have a closing action
Level / depth of action dependent upon the level of concern
(occurrence)
Three areas of focus:
Specification Validation to ensure that the transactional
process has been correctly specified
Supplier Quality- to ensure that any process inputs are correct
Process Control to ensure that the transactional process is
operated correctly
Action not closed (signed off) until completed
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SSG06101ENUK Delegate Slides/Issue 1.1/ Mar 2008
Step 6 Closing Action
Typical closing actions include:
Standard Operating Procedures, SOPs
Operator Training
Mistake Proofing
Statistical Process Control, SPC
Control Plan
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Fault Tree Analysis Roadmap
Step 2:
Define Scope of System
Step 3:
Understand System.
Step 1:
Define Top Event.
Step 4:
Construct Fault Tree
Step 5:
Analyse the Tree
Step 6:
Closing Action.
Step 2:
Define Scope of System
Step 3:
Understand System
Step 1:
Define Top Event
Step 4:
Construct Fault Tree
Step 5:
Analyse the Tree
Step 6:
Closing Action
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SSG06101ENUK Delegate Slides/Issue 1.1/ Mar 2008
DMAIC Improvement ProcessDefine ImproveMeasure Control
Control Criticalxs
Monitor ys
Validate ControlPlan
Close Project
1 5 10 15 20
10.2
10.0
9.8
9.6
Upper Control Limit
Lower Control Limit
y
Phase Review
Analyse Characterise xs
Optimise xs
Set Tolerances for xs
Verify Improvement
15 20 25 30 35
LSL USL
Phase Review
y=f(x1,x2,..)
y
x
. . .. . .
. .. . .
. .
.
Identify Potentialxs
Analyse xs
Select Critical xs
Phase Review
Run 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 1 1 1 2 2 2 23 1 2 2 1 1 2 24 1 2 2 2 2 1 15 2 1 2 1 2 1 26 2 1 2 2 1 2 17 2 2 1 1 2 2 18 2 2 1 2 1 1 2
Effect
C1 C2
C4
C3
C6C5
x
xx
xx
xx
xx
x
x
Select Project
Define ProjectObjective
Form the Team
Map the Process
Identify CustomerRequirements
Identify Priorities
Update Project File
Phase Review
Define Measures (ys)
EvaluateMeasurement System
Determine ProcessStability
Determine ProcessCapability
Set Targets forMeasures
15 20 25 30 35
LSL USL
Phase Review
Define ImproveMeasure Control Control Critical
xs
Monitor ys
Validate ControlPlan
Close Project
1 5 10 15 20
10.2
10.0
9.8
9.6
Upper Control Limit
Lower Control Limit
y
Phase Review
Control Criticalxs
Monitor ys
Validate ControlPlan
Close Project
1 5 10 15 20
10.2
10.0
9.8
9.6
Upper Control Limit
Lower Control Limit
yy
Phase Review
Analyse Characterise xs
Optimise xs
Set Tolerances for xs
Verify Improvement
15 20 25 30 35
LSL USL
Phase Review
y=f(x1,x2,..)
y
x
. . .. . .
. .. . .
. .
.
15 20 25 30 35
LSL USL
15 20 25 30 35
LSL USL
Phase Review
y=f(x1,x2,..)
y
x
. . .. . .
. .. . .
. .
.
y=f(x1,x2,..)
y
x
. . .. . .
. .. . .
. .
.
Identify Potentialxs
Analyse xs
Select Critical xs
Phase Review
Run 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 1 1 1 2 2 2 23 1 2 2 1 1 2 24 1 2 2 2 2 1 15 2 1 2 1 2 1 26 2 1 2 2 1 2 17 2 2 1 1 2 2 18 2 2 1 2 1 1 2
Effect
C1 C2
C4
C3
C6C5
x
xx
xx
xx
xx
x
x
Phase Review
Run 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 1 1 1 2 2 2 23 1 2 2 1 1 2 24 1 2 2 2 2 1 15 2 1 2 1 2 1 26 2 1 2 2 1 2 17 2 2 1 1 2 2 18 2 2 1 2 1 1 2
Run 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 1 1 1 2 2 2 23 1 2 2 1 1 2 24 1 2 2 2 2 1 15 2 1 2 1 2 1 26 2 1 2 2 1 2 17 2 2 1 1 2 2 18 2 2 1 2 1 1 2
Effect
C1 C2
C4
C3
C6C5
x
xx
xx
xx
xx
x
x
Select Project
Define ProjectObjective
Form the Team
Map the Process
Identify CustomerRequirements
Identify Priorities
Update Project File
Phase Review
Select Project
Define ProjectObjective
Form the Team
Map the Process
Identify CustomerRequirements
Identify Priorities
Update Project File
Phase Review
Define Measures (ys)
EvaluateMeasurement System
Determine ProcessStability
Determine ProcessCapability
Set Targets forMeasures
15 20 25 30 35
LSL USL
Phase Review
15 20 25 30 35
LSL USL
15 20 25 30 35
LSL USL
15 20 25 30 35
LSL USL
Phase Review
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Summary
Analyse - Fault Tree can be used to identify possible Critical
Inputs or Process Steps (xs) that are causing the poor
performance in Process Outputs (ys)
Improve - Fault Tree can be used to help identify how the
Critical Inputs or Process Steps (xs) might be changed /
eliminated / controlled to improve the Process Output (y)
Control - Fault Tree can be used to identify appropriate
controls for the Critical Inputs or Process Steps (xs)
Control - Fault Tree can be used as a diagnostic tool to
identify corrective action when a failure occurs
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SSG06101ENUK Delegate Slides/Issue 1.1/ Mar 2008
Workshop Construct A Fault TreeAnalysis Develop a Fault Tree Analysis for the given Top Event and
Transactional Process scope
Understand the System (for a transactional process application,develop/review the process flow)
Brainstorm How could top event happen?. Put each idea onto a
post-it as it is generated Organise the post-its into the tree structure, starting with the top
event on the left, working towards the root causes (basic events)on the right
Analyse the tree to check that the branches are logical and identifyany missing causes
Identify closing actions for the five most likely causes (use theFMEA Occurrence rating if required)
Prepare a short presentation on your team's findings