a frican m onsoon m ultidisciplinary a nalyses

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African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analyses Afrikanske Monsun: Multidisiplinære Analyser Afrikaanse Moesson Multidisciplinaire Analyse Analisi Multidisciplinare per il Monsone Africano Afrikanischer Monsun: Multidisziplinäre Analysen Analisis Multidiciplinar de los Monzones Africanos Analyses Multidisciplinaires de la Mousson Africaine

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A frican M onsoon M ultidisciplinary A nalyses A frikanske M onsun : M ultidisiplinære A nalyser A frikaanse M oesson M ultidisciplinaire A nalyse A nalisi M ultidisciplinare per il M onsone A fricano A frikanischer M onsun: M ultidisziplinäre A nalysen - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: A frican  M onsoon  M ultidisciplinary  A nalyses

African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analyses

Afrikanske Monsun: Multidisiplinære Analyser

Afrikaanse Moesson Multidisciplinaire Analyse

Analisi Multidisciplinare per il Monsone Africano

Afrikanischer Monsun: Multidisziplinäre Analysen Analisis Multidiciplinar de los Monzones Africanos

Analyses Multidisciplinaires de la Mousson Africaine

Page 2: A frican  M onsoon  M ultidisciplinary  A nalyses

AEJ

Cold Tongue

SAL

ITCZ

Heat Low

Key features of the West African Monsoon Climate System during Boreal summer

The WAM is an ideal natural laboratory for exploring the coupled atmosphere-land-ocean system

Page 3: A frican  M onsoon  M ultidisciplinary  A nalyses

AMMA is definitively International

Endorsed by Major International Programmes

More than 500 Researchers from around 30 countries in Africa, Europe & USA Algeria, Belgium, Benin, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Cap Verde, Chad, Congo, Denmark, France, Germany, Ghana, Italy, Ivory Coast, Mali, Morocco, Netherlands, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal, Spain, Togo, UK, US

Collaboration with other international Programmes as:

WMO

Page 4: A frican  M onsoon  M ultidisciplinary  A nalyses

1. AMMA International

(1) To improve our understanding of the WAM and its influence on thephysical, chemical & biological environment regionally and globally.

(2) To provide the underpinning science that relates variability of the WAM toissues of health, water resources, food security & demography for West African nations and defining and implementing relevant monitoring &prediction strategies.

(3)  To ensure that the multidisciplinary research carried out in AMMA is

effectively integrated with prediction & decision making activity.

AIMS

Page 5: A frican  M onsoon  M ultidisciplinary  A nalyses

ISSCISSC

IGBIGB

Produces the Science & Implementation Plans

Endorses the Science & Implementation Plans

Links with International Programmes (WCRP, IGBP, THORPEX, ..)

ST4ST4 Capacity Capacity building building & & trainingtraining

WG1WG1

WG2WG2

WG3WG3

WG4WG4

WG5WG5

WAM & global climate (incl aerosol/chemistry

Water cycle

Land surface-atmosphere- ocean feedbacks

Prediction of climate impacts

High impact weather prediction

Integrative ScienceIntegrative Science

POPO

TT1TT1Radio soundingsRadio soundings

TT2aTT2aSurface LayerSurface Layer

TT3TT3Gourma siteGourma site

TT4TT4Niamey siteNiamey site

TT5TT5Ouémé siteOuémé site

TT6TT6Oceaic campaignsOceaic campaigns

TT7TT7SOP-Dry seasonSOP-Dry season

TT8TT8SOP-Monsoon seasonSOP-Monsoon season

TT9TT9SOP-DownstreamSOP-Downstream

ST2 incl

AO

C

ST3 D

atabase

ST1 E

OP

/LO

P

Obs implementationObs implementation

ICIGICIG

TT2bTT2bAerosol & Radiation Aerosol & Radiation

AMMA National & PanScientific Committees

ARMARM

Page 6: A frican  M onsoon  M ultidisciplinary  A nalyses

WG1: West African Monsoon and Global Climate

This WG is concerned with the 2-way interactions between the West African

Monsoon & the rest of the globe.

Research areas under this theme include:

(i) Variability and predictability of the WAM (nature and role of teleconnections,

intraseasonal variability including easterly waves, predictability issues and the role

of the ocean, detection of global change),

(ii) Monsoon processes (e.g. scale interactions, the seasonal cycle and monsoon onset),

(iii) Global impacts of the WAM (e.g. on tropical cyclones, aerosol variability, atmospheric chemistry).

n.b. includes aerosol-chemistry, modeling strategy evolving

Co-chairs: Arona Diedhiou (IRD, Niger), Serge Janicot (LOCEAN, France) Peter Lamb (Univ. Oklahoma, US)

Page 7: A frican  M onsoon  M ultidisciplinary  A nalyses

WG1: West African Monsoon and Global Climate

Dominant pattern of precipitation errorassociated with dominant pattern of SST prediction error based on persistent SST anomalies (Goddard & Mason ,Climate Dynamics, 2002)

Coupled model systematic error in equatorial SST simulation – note systematic error in east-west gradient in the tropical Atlantic

Page 8: A frican  M onsoon  M ultidisciplinary  A nalyses

10 years of observation and research

Monsoon Phases 0 1 0

September

<----------------------------------> <------------------------------------------------->

AMMA SOPs

SO

P0_

a1

SO

P0_

a2

SO

P2_

a2

SO

P1_

a

3

October November DecemberJune July August

AMMA SOP Year: 2006

2

January March April MayFebruary

SOP1

<---- SOP Ground instruments remaining on site for the whole annual cycle (AMF, Aerosol Measurements, Lidars, …) ----->

<----------------->

SO

P3_

a1

SOP3<------->

SO

P2_

a3

SO

P2_

a1

SOP0 SOP2

103

EEnhanced Period (EOP)

ong term Observations (LOP)

2002

WA + Ocean

Meso

Regional

Local

2005 2006 2007 2008

103

101

102

104

0 DR

Y0 W

ET

S O P

SO

P0

_a3

?

Page 9: A frican  M onsoon  M ultidisciplinary  A nalyses

>>The US contribution to AMMA data collection is significant, about $14M.

>>In addition, there are US contributions to AMMA from NCEP as well as individual PIs funded for analytical work on the WAM.

>>Recognizing this large investment by U.S. funding agencies a U.S. AMMA workshop was convened with the following aims:   (1)    provide an overview of the national and international AMMA project including planned research and field observations,      (2) discuss and identify the key science issues that interest US PIs in the context of AMMA,  (3)  define coordinated actions for US contributions to AMMA

Page 10: A frican  M onsoon  M ultidisciplinary  A nalyses

Surface-based research radars

Climate Transect

NASA-AMMA

Targeted Missions with DC-8, + Ground-based obs. (N-Pol + TOGA radars, soundings)

SALEX: NOAA P3 and G-IV

Targeted Missions and Dropsonde flights with G-IV

ARM mobile facility (DOE)

MIT-radar (NASA)

Surface obs. – malaria studies (NOAA)Driftsonde/THORPEX (NCAR/NSF/NOAA + CNES, France)

Ronald H. Brown Cruises + ship-based obs (NOAA), supported by multi-year sustained obs (see next slide)

US contributions to AMMA field program in 06

US-GCOS: Hydrogen generator at Dakar

ZEUS lightning detection network?

Page 11: A frican  M onsoon  M ultidisciplinary  A nalyses

Long-term observations in the tropical Atlantic

Page 12: A frican  M onsoon  M ultidisciplinary  A nalyses

Key Science Issues for WG1: West African Monsoon and Climate Monsoon processes, >The role of SSTs on the evolution of the WAM >The southern hemisphere tropical stratus deck and the WAM >> Scale interactions (e.g., weather/jet interactions and the WAM)   >Diabatic heating profiles and their impact on WAM circulations.   Variability and Predictability of the WAM, > >Mechanisms that force SST variability >Variability of mesoscale and synoptic weather systems and their relationship with the large-scale environment;   >Proxies for rainfall to extend the observational record.   Offshore impacts of the WAM,   >Impacts of variability of the WAM (e.g., linked to shear, SAL, weather systems) on variability of tropical cyclone activity. (i

Page 13: A frican  M onsoon  M ultidisciplinary  A nalyses

Aerosol/Radiation issues

Relative roles of local biomass burning and transport of plumes from other parts of the region on the radiation budget.

Quantify the extent aerosol experiences wet deposition and affects the chemical composition of the rainwater.

Respective roles of dust and biomass burning in modulating the radiation heating profile over West Africa (and how this impacts the WAM).

 A key cross-cutting activity that falls under the auspices of WG1 is the US-led West African Monsoon Model Evaluation (WAMME) project. This is a CEOP/CIMS modeling initiative led by Yongkang Xue, Kerry Cook and Bill Lau and is concerned with evaluating models in the WAM region.

Page 14: A frican  M onsoon  M ultidisciplinary  A nalyses

3.1 AMMA US Science TeamRecognizing the significant US role in the AMMA field campaign and the keen interest of many US PIs in AMMA Science (79 people attended this workshop), an AMMA Science team built around funded contributions to the five international WGs and including an emphasis on the cross-cutting themes (Modeling of the coupled WAM system and Climate impacts) was formed.

The AMMA Science Team will be coordinated by an excutive committee that consists of : Kerry Cook, Jason Dunion, Fatih Eltahir, Greg Jenkins, Paul Houser, Arlene Laing, Peter Lamb, Erica Key, Bob Molinari, Chris Thorncroft, Sylwia Trzaska.

Page 15: A frican  M onsoon  M ultidisciplinary  A nalyses

ADVANTAGES TO U.S. AMMA PROGRAM BECOMING A U.S. CLIVAR PROPOSED ACTIVITY

(1) Access to PSMIP activities directed at improving models(2) Access to other process study PI’s to learn from their

experiences in data analyses, modeling, modeler-data collector interactions, etc.

(3) Advice from PMSIP on adequacy of U.S. AMMA planning and implementation

(4) Assist U.S. CLIVAR in coordination efforts with similar national and international studies

(5) Benefit from PMSIP interactions with in situ and satellite observations communities

CONVERSELY, U.S. CLIVAR WILL BENEFIT FROM AMMA EFFORTS DIRECTED AT PMSIP GOALS