ccafs strategy for climate services, hansen 2013
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CCAFS Strategy for Climate Services
Jim Hansen, CCAFS Theme 2 Leader
March 2013
CCAFS objectives
1.Identify and develop pro-poor adaptation and mitigation practices, technologies and policies for agriculture and food systems.
2.Support the inclusion of agricultural issues in climate change policies, and of climate issues in agricultural policies, at all levels.
Framework and Themes
Adapting Agriculture to aVariable and Changing Climate
Technologies, practices, partnerships and policies for:
1.Adaptation to Progressive Climate Change2.Adaptation through Managing Climate Risk3.Pro-poor Climate Change Mitigation
Improved Environmental
HealthImproved
Rural Livelihoods Improved
Food Security
Enhanced adaptive capacity in agricultural, natural
resource management, and food systems
Trade-offs and Synergies4. Integration for Decision Making
•Linking Knowledge with Action•Assembling Data and Tools for Analysis and Planning•Refining Frameworks for Policy Analysis
Where we work
Objective 2: Food System Risk
Management•Goal: Enhanced food security
Target: food system (trade, crisis response, etc.)
Theme 2 Strategy
Objective 1: Local Risk
ManagementGoal: Resilient rural livelihoods•Target: rural communities & markets; supporting institutions & policies
Objective 3: Climate Information and
ServicesGoal: Enhance products and services to support food security and rural livelihoods
•Target: climate community, communication intermediaries,
Fill key gaps:
•Knowledge
•Tools & Methods•Evidence
•Capacity
•Coordination
GENDER & EQITY LENS
Improved, climate-informed responses
Resilient food systems,
Improved food security
Enhanced support for managing risk
Resilient rural livelihoods
STATION BLENDED SATELLITE
Value-added climate information
• Daily historic weather data reconstruction methodology, data sets, capacity-building
• Seasonal rainfall risk and prediction analysis and maprooms for S. Asia
• Crop and rangeland forecasting methods, tools, capacity
• Dynamic climate-food security risk atlases
INTERFACE:•Spatial•Analytical
Remote sensing:
•vegetation•soil moisture
CROP /RANGELAND / P / D MODEL
DATA ASSIMILATION
Weather:
• historic
• monitored
Static data: •soil•cultivar•management
DOWNSCALING,
FORECAST INTEGRATION
Seasonal
predictors
Station met data
Satellite met data
BLENDING
Remote sensing update
s
outputs
Improving delivery and communication
• Evaluation of agrometeorological advisory services in India & Mali
• Review of knowledge on gender and social equity challenges in climate services for farmers
• Synthesis report on status, gaps, priorities for climate services for agriculture in Africa & S. Asia
• Workshop on Scaling Up Climate Services for Farmers in Africa and South Asia (Dakar, 10-12 Dec)
Fostering effective use
• Piloting & evaluating downscaled seasonal forecasts, farmer training, forecast-based advisories, Makuene, Kenya & Kaffrine, Senegal
• Video on farmers’ experience with climate risk and information services
• Enhancing the use of climate information for government decisions in Ethiopia
CCAFS “niche”
• Research for development (R4D). Address gaps:– Knowledge
– Methods and tools
– Evidence
• Strengths:– Impact evaluation
– Value-added climate information
– Understand decisions
• Boundary organization:– Give agricultural decision-makers a voice, ownership
– Bridge climate service providers and users
• Need, flexibility to partner with development organizations
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