blake gtle overview slides for coaltrans bkk 2012-11-16 final

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Blake Williams Bangkok, Thailand Coaltrans Emerging Asian Markets November 15-16, 2012 COAL UPGRADING COMMERCIALISATION

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  • Blake Williams

    Bangkok, Thailand

    Coaltrans Emerging Asian Markets

    November 15-16, 2012

    COAL UPGRADING

    COMMERCIALISATION

  • Copyright: GTL Energy Limited: COALTRANS 15-16 Nov 2012 2

    GTLE has developed a proprietary and patented technology to upgrade low rank coals (LRC) by removal of moisture

    7 years of R&D and US$45 million have been spent developing the technology

    GTLE process is unique relative to competitive technologies

    o Safe, robust, reliable and commercially viable

    Technology is at advanced stage of commercialisation

    o Commercial scale demo plant in North Dakota since July 2010

    o 3rd party commercial facility in New Zealand commissioning now

    o 1MMtpa Indonesian Plant under development

    Attractive economics and significant market opportunities

    Strong management team

    Coal Drying Technology Being Deployed

  • Copyright: GTL Energy Limited: COALTRANS 15-16 Nov 2012 3

    Use of high mechanical

    pressure before drying:

    1. Increases evaporation

    efficiency

    2. Permanently transforms

    physical characteristics of coal

    by collapsing pore space

    where moisture resides

    3. Produces a stable,

    transportable, high energy

    briquette suitable for power

    generation (PC) and coal chemicals (gasification)

    The GTLE Process Simple and Robust

    GTLEs unique patented process addresses the challenges of coal-drying safely and cost-effectively using tried and tested material handling equipment

    Low Rank Coal/Lignite

    Crush

    Compaction

    Drying

    Briquetting

    Wash (optional)

    Dust

    Product Storage

    Low

    Temp

    Heat

    Water

  • Copyright: GTL Energy Limited: COALTRANS 15-16 Nov 2012 4

    Compaction Reduces Pore Volume

    4

  • Copyright: GTL Energy Limited: COALTRANS 15-16 Nov 2012 5

    Competitive Advantages for GTLE

    Challenge Competitors* GTLE Technology Difference**

    Temperature and

    Pressure:

    Use high temperature, chemical or

    high pressure vessels. This has

    cost, safety and environmental

    challenges.

    Uses a mechanical process followed by

    low temperature (coal

  • Copyright: GTL Energy Limited: COALTRANS 15-16 Nov 2012 6

    Sample Results Achieved To-Date (Kcal/Btu)

    Source of coal Date Reduction in moisture Increase in thermal energy

    (Kcal/kg)

    Indonesian Sub-bituminous 2008 33% to 10.0% TM (70%) 4,585 to 6,110 Kcal/Kg (33%)

    Indonesian Bulk Trial (500t) 2011 44% to 14.0% TM (68%) 3,578 to 5,494 Kcal/Kg (55%)

    New Zealand Lignite 2006 46% to 12.5% TM (73%) 3,055 to 5,280 Kcal/Kg (73%)

    New Zealand Bulk Trial (500t) 2010 41.1% to 14.2% TM (65%) 3,525 to 5,090 Kcal/Kg (44%)

    Texas Lignite 2006 35% to 12.5% TM (64%) 3,055 to 5,110 Kcal/Kg (67%)

    North Dakota Lignite 1 2008 42.5% to 12.5% TM (71%) 3,335 to 5,110 Kcal/Kg (53%)

    North Dakota Bulk Trial (200t) 2010 37% to 13% TM (64%) 3,920 to 5,335 Kcal/Kg (36%)

    PRB Sub-Bituminous 2009 30% to 10% TM (67%) 4,780 to 6,000 Kcal/Kg (25%)

    Australian Brown Coal 2010 61% to 12.5% TM (80%) 2,610 to 5,750 Kcal/Kg (120%)

    Bold indicates trials at South Heart, ND Data reported on a Gross As Received (GAR) basis.

  • Copyright: GTL Energy Limited: COALTRANS 15-16 Nov 2012

    7

    GTLE Adds Value to Low Rank Coal Assets

    $0

    $20

    $40

    $60

    $80

    $100

    $120

    2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000

    US

    $/t

    Kcal/kg

    Argus CoalIndo Benchmark Pricing (FOBIndonesia)

    Newcastle Benchmark Pricing (FOBAustralia)

    China: 5800kcal (CFR Qinhuangdao)

    AUS 60%TM

    Value Uplift of between $30-$70/t*

    pays for cost of upgrading and

    license fees to GTLE

    INDO 45%TM

    PRB 27%TM

    Brown Coal / Lignite Sub-bituminous Bituminous

    *Price Arbitrage Concept Chart: Reference to prices as of Mar-2012 on GAR basis. Refer

    example economic slides for updated pricing analysis. Degree of upgrade is coal specif ic.

  • Copyright: GTL Energy Limited: COALTRANS 15-16 Nov 2012 8

    Following a program of lab testing, progressive scale-up, and bulk sample tests, GTLE is rolling out the technology with:

    2 plants built

    1 in engineering phase

    Others in the development phase

    Ready for Commercial Roll-out

    Projects Underway (Agreements Executed)

    Advanced Interest/Negotiations

    GTLE Operations (Pilot and Commercial Scale Demonstration)

  • Copyright: GTL Energy Limited: COALTRANS 15-16 Nov 2012

    Commercial Scale Demonstration Facility (ND)

    9

    Design capacity up to 250,000 tpa of dried coal product (Moisture reduction from 42% to 12%)

    Large volume trials on coal from NZ, US and Indonesia

    Training facility plus supports test programs for optimizing operational protocols, long term stockpiling

    and transportation studies

    Modular plant design expansion possible by process

    train replication (addressed scale up risks)

    Additional production runs support specific coal analysis, engineering FEED studies

  • Copyright: GTL Energy Limited: COALTRANS 15-16 Nov 2012 10

    Construction commenced September 2011 and completed in September 2012

    Design capacity up to 100,000 tpa; single train modular plant upscale by replication

    Domestic NZ coal supply plus export test burns to support larger plant commitment

    Underpins ability to have a continuous production plant prove technology and market

    Commercial Scale Facility (New Zealand)

  • Copyright: GTL Energy Limited: COALTRANS 15-16 Nov 2012

    BOP (including boiler acceptance test) and Dry Commissioning completed October 2012

    First coal introduced late October 2012 wet coal (no heat) to test all material handling

    equipment

    Rigorous process of Hazid/Hazop plus Independent Safety Review October 2012

    As at 15 November, completing minor mods on material handling and bag-houses

    11

    NZ Plant Status

  • Copyright: GTL Energy Limited: COALTRANS 15-16 Nov 2012

    Desktop Economic Review

    Pilot Scale Trials

    Bulk Sample Trials (500t) in ND

    Stockpiling & Handling

    Customer Trials

    Combustion Tests

    Pulverizer Performance

    Boiler Performance

    o Ignition, Flame Stability and Turndown Capability

    o Burnout Efficiency, Ash Deposition and Heat Transfer

    FEED Studies support FID

    Consenting / Permitting Stakeholder engagement

    License Agreement with Technology Warranty / Package

    Standard Operating Procedures (Commissioning, Start-up/Shutdown, Ops, Maintenance) &

    Training

    12

    Project Development Path NZ Example

    Significant maturing of technology through process of design, build, commissioning

    Significant credibility to come from Operations

  • Copyright: GTL Energy Limited: COALTRANS 15-16 Nov 2012 13

    Address Technical Soundness, Economic & Financial Feasibility, Political & Institutional Predictability (Per Nick Halkas, ANZ Coaltrans Presentation)

    Production Capability: Demonstrate continuous, safe long term reliable production

    Store and Ship Product: Large volume stockpile, transport demonstration reflecting real world conditions

    Customer Acceptance: Large volume PC plant test burns and product sales

    Technology Guarantees: Ability to provide performance warranties

    Engineering and Commissioning Package: Firm costing and engineering design, construction and commissioning service delivery.

    EPC Partnering, modular design and commissioning team.

    Operations Package: Service delivery model

    Finance: Opportunities to tie project finance with off-take arrangements and more traditional debt arrangements will change with technology maturity

    NZ Plant Supports Commercialisation Path

  • Copyright: GTL Energy Limited: COALTRANS 15-16 Nov 2012 14

    MOU signed for coal supply and site in Kalimantan

    Moisture reduced ~70%; Energy increase ~70%

    Existing production and transport infrastructure

    Value of $ margin ~$25/t product

    Pilot coal trials complete

    Base Engineering Package complete

    Moving to definitive cost estimate and Detailed Feasibility

    NZ Ops to support securing finance and off-take arrangements

    Target project commitment 2H-2013, production 2014/2015

    1MMtpa Plant Development (Indonesia)

    GTL Energy is actively pursuing a 1MMtpa commercial scale plant in Indonesia:

    Kalimantan Project

    Wood Mackenzie Map of East Kalimantan

  • Copyright: GTL Energy Limited: COALTRANS 15-16 Nov 2012

    Economics What makes good Project?

    15

    Economic viability for coal upgrading is dependent upon market and project specific variables:

    o Market prices (for raw and upgraded coal)

    o Properties of the raw coal

    o Initial total moisture sets the feed:product (F:P) ratio

    o Higher the F:P ratio, the lower the required raw coal cost to stay competitive

    o A high ash content puts a ceiling on the ultimate calorific value

    o Feed Coal Costs alternative market value vs. fully loaded mining cost

    o Transportation costs (from mine/GTLE plant to point of sale)

    GTLE analysis enables focused project assessment to identify market opportunities

    o Focus towards high TM% (+40%TM) with low ash

    o Stranded reserves - Can use mining costs instead of market price

    o Close to port/market - low cost (or low investment required) for transport to market

  • Copyright: GTL Energy Limited: COALTRANS 15-16 Nov 2012

    16

    Indonesian Project Example

    PILOT TRIAL COAL RESULTS Raw Coal Raw Coal

    GTLE Product

    AR Basis Dry Basis AR Basis

    Prox Assay

    Moisture 45.0% 0% 14.0% Ash 2.9% 5.3% 4.6% VM 29.4% 53.5% 46.0% FC 22.7% 41.2% 35.4%

    Sulfur % 0.15% 0.3% 0.2% Kcal/kg HHV 3,500 6,365 5,475

    Data reported on a Gross As Received (GAR) basis

    LIFE OF MINE AVERAGE Raw Coal Raw Coal

    GTLE Product

    AR Basis Dry Basis AR Basis

    Prox Assay

    Moisture 49.0% 0% 14.0% Ash 4.6% 9.1% 7.8% VM 23.9% 46.8% 40.3% FC 22.1% 44.1% 37.2%

    Sulfur % 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% Kcal/kg HHV 3,035 5,950 5,120

    Typical Indonesian target is upgrading from 3000-3500kcal to 5000-5500kcal

    Can do higher/lower TM% - economics drive decision

    Using GTLEs 1MMtpa project under development (as example):

  • Copyright: GTL Energy Limited: COALTRANS 15-16 Nov 2012

    Indonesian Example Price Sensitivity

    17

    INDO COAL (Based on 1MMtpa) COASTAL EXAMPLE USING HPB ICI Formula

    RECENT (AVE Mar-Jul)

    2012

    CURRENT (Oct 2012)

    LOW (March 2009)

    GTLE Upgrade of a 49%TM Coal to 14%TM Product (approx. 3,035 to 5,120kcal)

    FOB Vessel Indonesia $80.00 $68.00 $58.00

    Less Indonesian Truck/Barge Transport (est.) 5.00 5.00 5.00

    FOB Mine Netback Price $75.00 $63.00 $53.00

    Less Cost of Coal (Market $ Raw/t x 1.62 yield) 35.80 29.30 25.30

    Less Process Costs (labor, power, steam, maint.) 11.00 11.00 11.00

    GTLE Technology Value Add $28.20 $22.70 $16.70

    Less GTLE License Fees (Base + ~% of uplift indicative only) 4.70 4.00 3.00

    GTLE Plant Margin (EBITDA) 23.50 18.70 13.70

    Less Depreciation (20 years) 3.00 3.00 3.00

    GTLE Plant Owner Upgrade Margin (EBIT) $20.50 $15.70 $10.70

    Unleveraged EBITDA ROI on Investment - % 38% 32% 22%

    Leveraged ROI (free-cash) on Investment - % 79% 62% 38%

    FOB Raw Coal Cost - Transport = Coal Input Cost or Mining Cost $21.23 $17.36 (Floor) ~$15.00

  • Copyright: GTL Energy Limited: COALTRANS 15-16 Nov 2012

    GTLE Business Strategy

    18

    Geographic Markets Product Markets

    Business Model

    Current GTLE Focus

    Seaborne thermal export

    Indonesia New Zealand

    USA

    Licensing

    Project Development

    Resources Equipment

    India

    Australia

    Other Asia

    Gasification

    Biomass

    Other Other

    China

    Coking

    Operations

  • Copyright: GTL Energy Limited: COALTRANS 15-16 Nov 2012 19

    Summary

    Simple and Distinctive Approach: Unique technology, validated by SENZ, that works with a broad range of coals

    Global Opportunity for Value Generation: Technology converts uneconomic low rank coal reserves into valuable, marketable assets to meet rapidly growing demand.

    Capable Team: Strong board and management team with engineering, technology, mining, finance experience, developed across US, Asian, Australasian and European markets.

    Deployment In Progress: Commercialization underway with a demonstration plant in USA, a commercial scale plant nearing completion in NZ, and a commercial scale plant under development in Indonesia.

  • For more information,

    please write: [email protected]

    or visit: www.gtlenergy.com.au

    Australia: North America:

    140 Greenhill Road 1011 East Murray Holladay Rd

    UNLEY South Australia Suite 100

    5061 SALT LAKE CITY, Utah 84117

    Australia USA

    Tel: +61 414 257 900 Tel: +1 (801) 871-0300