by mpma 23 february 2016 current profile of the malaysian... · other mncs are relocating to...

30
By MPMA 23 February 2016

Upload: dodang

Post on 30-Jul-2018

214 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • By MPMA

    23 February 2016

  • 2

    Contents 1. Performance by market sub-sectors

    Electrical and electronics

    Automotive

    Household

    Packaging

    Export

    2. Overall performance

    3. Outlook for 2016

  • Electrical and Electronics Sector: Monthly Production Statistics on TVs

    Production of TV sets for 2015 reduced by 31%, compared to 2014. Production reduced from 12.5 million units to 8.6 million units.

    TV producers are believed to have shifted some production to Thailand, Indonesia and Vietnam.

    000 units

    Source: Department of Statistics

    Chart1

    8331010725

    884966586

    11871115380

    13111185381

    13471129670

    13041013651

    19311007700

    15961024812

    15891006927

    189011221074

    18711085946

    1328835770

    2013

    2014

    2015

    Sheet1

    201320142015

    J8331,010725

    F884966586

    M1,1871,115380

    A1,3111,185381

    M1,3471,129670

    J1,3041,013651

    J1,9311,007700

    A1,5961,024812

    S1,5891,006927

    O1,8901,1221074

    N1,8711,085946

    D1,328835770

  • 4

    Annual Production of TV Sets million units

    Source: Department of Statistics

    Chart1

    620072007

    5.720082008

    6.420092009

    13.220102010

    1420112011

    13.0520122012

    17.120132013

    12.520142014

    8.620152015

    Series 1

    Column1

    Column2

    Sheet1

    Series 1Column1Column2

    20076.0

    20085.7

    20096.4

    201013.2

    201114.0

    201213.1

    201317.1

    201412.5

    20158.6

  • Electrical and Electronics Sector: Monthly Production Statistics on Air-cons

    Production of air-cons declined by 15%, from 2.91 million units 2014 to 2.48 million units in 2015.

    Similar to the TV producers, air-con producers are also relocating their production base to the neighbouring countries.

    Units (000)

    Source: Department of Statistics

    Chart1

    222199200

    245202209

    290257282

    276245285

    231262244

    217285233

    216251160

    193233193

    200263174

    187216156

    163213151

    195284193

    2013

    2014

    2015

    Sheet1

    201320142015

    J222199200

    F245202209

    M290257282

    A276245285

    M231262244

    J217285233

    J216251160

    A193233193

    S200263174

    O187216156

    N163213151

    D195284193

  • 6

    Annual Production of Air-conds million units

    Source: Department of Statistics

    Chart1

    1.8720072007

    2.1720082008

    1.9420092009

    2.5920102010

    2.8520112011

    2.6720122012

    2.6320132013

    2.9120142014

    2.4820152015

    Series 1

    Column1

    Column2

    Sheet1

    Series 1Column1Column2

    20071.87

    20082.17

    20091.94

    20102.59

    20112.85

    20122.67

    20132.63

    20142.91

    20152.48

  • 7

    Market Trends of the Electrical and Electronics Sector Japanese brands are loosing out to the Korean and

    China brands. Low end models are passing out to ODM companies.

    Many electronics companies started to relocate again. Samsung Senawang shifted to Samsung Vietnam. Other MNCs are relocating to Vietnam, Philippines and inland of China.

  • Automotive Sector: Monthly Statistics on Total Production of Passenger Cars

    Total production of passenger cars by the local car producers and assemblers increased by 3.5% to 564,000 units in 2015, compared to 545,000 units in 2014.

    However, sales of passenger cars increased by only 0.5% from 588,000 units in 2014 to 591,000 units in 2015.

    8

    units

    Source: Department of Statistics

    Chart1

    468514987452387

    369534309244023

    448724680755183

    457605317656745

    419875385651024

    392324770746875

    487273739037691

    376413984744812

    487924562041386

    452344113350974

    456384288445747

    485094643841171

    2013

    2014

    2015

    Sheet1

    201320142015

    J46,85149,87452,387

    F36,95343,09244,023

    M44,87246,80755,183

    A45,76053,17656,745

    M41,98753,85651,024

    J39,23247,70746,875

    J48,72737,39037,691

    A37,64139,84744,812

    S48,79245,62041,386

    O45,23441,13350,974

    N45,63842,88445,747

    D48,50946,43841,171

  • 9

    Annual Production of Passenger Cars Thousand units

    Source: Malaysian Automotive Association (MAA)

    Chart1

    40320072007

    48420082008

    44720092009

    52320102010

    48820112011

    51020122012

    54420132013

    54520142014

    56420152015

    Series 1

    Column1

    Column2

    Sheet1

    Series 1Column1Column2

    2007403

    2008484

    2009447

    2010523

    2011488

    2012510

    2013544

    2014545

    2015564

  • 10

    Market Trends of the Automotive Sector Implementation of GST affected the consumers

    sentiment.

    Weakening of ringgit, falling crude oil price raised concerns on economic growth.

    Low interest rates but on increasing trends.

    Credit tightening by BNM, more stringent approving criteria.

  • 11

    Market Trends of the Automotive Sector Launch of several new models at competitive

    prices helped to attract new car buyers.

    Innovative and attractive offers and scheme for new car buyers helped to gain some sales.

  • Export of Plastic Table Wares, Kitchen Wares and other Household Products (HS: 3924)

    Exports of plastic household products for 2015 amounted to RM369 million, representing an increase of 3.7%, from RM356 million in 2014.

    RM million

    Source: Department of Statistics

    Chart1

    27.328.233.1

    21.324.223.7

    30.228.832.4

    27.232.829

    25.733.930.7

    22.729.532.2

    2531.429.1

    20.227.130.3

    25.226.729

    2827.834

    2725.433.2

    23.840.332.9

    2013

    2014

    2015

    Sheet1

    201320142015

    J27.328.233.1

    F21.324.223.7

    M30.228.832.4

    A27.232.829

    M25.733.930.7

    J22.729.532.2

    J2531.429.1

    A20.227.130.3

    S25.226.729

    O2827.834

    N2725.433.2

    D23.840.332.9

  • 13

    Annual Export of Plastic Household Products RM million

    Source: MATRADE

    Chart1

    222

    290

    271

    290

    319

    290

    304

    356

    369

    Column1

    Sheet1

    Column1

    2007222

    2008290

    2009271

    2010290

    2011319

    2012290

    2013304

    2014356

    2015369

  • Packaging Sector: Monthly Export of Plastic Bags (HS: 3923)

    Total export of plastic bags for 2015 increased by 6.5% to RM4.25 billion, compared to RM3.99 billion in 2014.

    RM million

    Source: Source: Department of Statistics

    Chart1

    292335.4378

    235280.4270.9

    320314.8369.9

    296337360.7

    306327.2327.2

    285323.5340

    324327.6343.7

    302356.1361.5

    329327.1367.7

    354370.6418.8

    322333353.5

    323354.6359.6

    2013

    2014

    2015

    Sheet1

    201320142015

    J292335.4378

    F235280.4270.9

    M320314.8369.9

    A296337360.7

    M306327.2327.2

    J285323.5340

    J324327.6343.7

    A302356.1361.5

    S329327.1367.7

    O354370.6418.8

    N322333353.5

    D323354.6359.6

  • 15

    Annual Export of Plastic Bags RM billion

    Source: Department of Statistics

    Chart1

    3.4

    3.71

    2.9

    3.3

    3.45

    3.47

    3.69

    3.99

    4.25

    Column1

    Sheet1

    Column1

    20073.40

    20083.71

    20092.90

    20103.30

    20113.45

    20123.47

    20133.69

    20143.99

    20154.25

  • Packaging Sector: Monthly Export of Plastic Films and Sheets (HS 3919/20/21)

    Total export of plastic films and sheets increased by 5.5% from RM4.58 billion in 2014 to RM4.83 billion in 2015.

    Demand from the main markets, i.e., US and Japan is stable due to improving economies.

    Malaysia is the largest stretch film producer in Asia, 3rd largest in the world.

    RM million

    Source: Department of Staticstics

    Chart1

    306.5376398.1

    260.8363.2322.9

    336.9397.3395.8

    310.5382.9405.1

    319.4387.5375.4

    301.9380406.6

    330.4360.2400.3

    323.1401.1393.6

    359.7381.6426.3

    359.9401.6465.8

    344.3375.1415.4

    334.8376.3426.9

    2013

    2014

    2015

    Sheet1

    201320142015

    J306.5376398.1

    F260.8363.2322.9

    M336.9397.3395.8

    A310.5382.9405.1

    M319.4387.5375.4

    J301.9380406.6

    J330.4360.2400.3

    A323.1401.1393.6

    S359.7381.6426.3

    O359.9401.6465.8

    N344.3375.1415.4

    D334.8376.3426.9

  • 17

    Annual Export of Plastic Films and Sheets RM billion

    Source: Department of Statistics

    Chart1

    2.95

    3.12

    2.95

    3.26

    3.72

    3.63

    3.88

    4.58

    4.83

    Column1

    Sheet1

    Column1

    20072.95

    20083.12

    20092.95

    20103.26

    20113.72

    20123.63

    20133.88

    20144.58

    20154.83

  • 18

    Overall Performance The plastics industry registered a total sales

    turnover of RM24.77 billion in 2015, representing an increase of 27.3% from RM19.46 billion in 2014. However, the huge increase was merely due to a revised method of compilation by the Department of Statistics, in which we believe that the actual growth of the plastics industry is in the region of 5% to 6%.

    Export increased by 8.5% from RM11.94 billion in 2014 to RM12.96 billion in 2015.

  • 19

    Overall Performance Domestic growth was affected by the

    implementation of GST, and rising imported input costs due to weakening ringgit.

    Export sector benefited from the weakening of the ringgit against the world major currencies including USD, Euro, Yen and Singapore Dollar.

  • 20

    Export of Plastic Products (2001-2015)

    RM billion

    Source: Department of Statistics

    Chart1

    3.722001

    3.922002

    4.532003

    5.572004

    6.672005

    7.672006

    8.382007

    9.32008

    8.32009

    9.42010

    10.152011

    10.052012

    10.72013

    11.942014

    12.962015

    Series 1

    Column1

    Sheet1

    Series 1Column1Column2

    20013.72

    20023.92

    20034.53

    20045.57

    20056.67

    20067.67

    20078.38

    20089.3

    20098.3

    20109.4

    201110.15

    201210.05

    201310.7

    201411.94

    201512.96

  • 21

    Export/Sales Turnover Ratio Turnover RM billion

    E/T Ratio

    Note: The Department of Statistics has revised the basis of data compilation, resulting in a 27% increase in total sales turnover for 2015.

    Chart1

    8.50.45

    8.80.45

    9.40.48

    11.50.48

    140.48

    15.10.52

    15.10.53

    16.40.57

    14.60.57

    15.80.59

    16.10.63

    17.10.59

    17.90.6

    19.40.62

    24.60.52

    Turnover

    E/T ratio

    Sheet1

    200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015

    Turnover8.58.89.411.51415.115.116.414.615.816.117.117.919.424.6

    E/T ratio0.450.450.480.480.480.520.530.570.570.590.630.590.60.620.52

    Sheet2

  • 22

    Main Exports of Plastic Products Films and sheets: RM4.83b

    Chart1

    483

    425

    388

    Bags: RM4.25b

    Others: RM3.88b

    Exports 2010

    Exports 2015: RM12.96b

    Sheet1

    Exports 2010

    Films and sheets483

    Bags425

    Others388

    To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.

  • 23

    Key Data for the Malaysian Plastics Industry

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Malaysias gross domestic product (GDP) growth 5.1% 5.6% 4.7% 6.0% 5.0%

    Number of plastics manufacturers 1,400 1,350 1,350 1,300 1,300

    Employment 74,000 74,500 78,000 82,000 80,000

    Turnover RM16.25b (+2.1%) RM17.16b (+6.5%)

    RM17.94b (+4.5%)

    RM19.37 (+7.3%)

    *RM24.77 (+27%)

    Export RM10.15b (+6%) RM10.05b

    (-1%) RM10.69b (+6.4%)

    RM11.94b (+11.5%)

    RM12.96b (+8.5%)

    % of export against turnover 62% 59% 60% 62% 52%

    Resin consumption 1.98m MT (+5%) 2.04m MT

    (+3%) 2.10m MT

    (+3%) 2.15m MT

    (2.5%) 2.22m MT

    (3%)

    Per capita consumption of resin 68kg 69kg 70kg 70kg 71kg

    *Note: Revised basis of data compilation by the DOS

  • 24

    Factors Contributing to the Growth Moderate Malaysian GDP growth of 5% in 2015.

    Strong US and Euro augured well for the export sector. Exports contributed more than 50% of the total sales.

  • 25

    Factors Contributing to the Growth Further improvement is expected for the world

    economies in 2016. World Bank: global economy slowing 2.5% in 2015, and is projected to increase to 2.9% in 2016.

    Economies in the high income countries including the US, Japan and Euro areas are expected to improve further in 2016.

  • 26

    Factors Contributing to the Growth World economic growth at a glance

    2014 2015e 2016f 2017f World 2.6 2.4 2.9 3.1 High income 1.7 1.6 2.1 2.1

    US 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.4 Euro Area 0.9 1.5 1.7 1.7 Japan -0.1 0.8 1.3 0.9 UK 2.9 2.4 2.4 2.2

    Developing 4.9 4.3 4.8 5.3 China 7.3 6.9 6.7 6.5 India 7.3 7.3 7.8 7.9

    Source: World Bank Global Economic Prospects January 2016

  • 27

    Outlook for 2016 The industry is expected to be a challenging year.

    The global economies are expected to grow moderately, with the ongoing slowdown in China, as well a modest and uneven recovery in the advanced economies.

    Domestically, the increase in minimum wages for workers in July 2016 is expected to add further cost burden to the manufacturers. Consumers are still struggling to adjust their spending as a result of the ringgit depreciations and GST.

  • 28

    Outlook for 2016 Labour cost is expected to increase further due to

    impending levy hike for foreign workers as well as the various additional processing and handling charges.

    To face the challenge of cost increase, manufacturers have to improve their cost efficiency and product quality through investing in advanced machinery, automation equipment, innovative technology and creating higher skilled manpower.

  • 29

    Outlook for 2016 The extension of the Reinvestment Allowance (RA)

    for another three years for 2016-2018 will encourage more companies to expand their operations.

    The growth for 2016 is expected to be slightly higher than 2015, at about 6% to 7%.

  • MPMA 37, Jalan 20/14, Paramount Garden, 46300 Petaling Jaya, Selangor

    Tel: 03-7876 3027 Fax: 03-7876 8352

    Performance of the Malaysian Plastics Industry 2015 ContentsElectrical and Electronics Sector: Monthly Production Statistics on TVs Annual Production of TV SetsElectrical and Electronics Sector: Monthly Production Statistics on Air-consAnnual Production of Air-condsMarket Trends of the Electrical and Electronics SectorAutomotive Sector: Monthly Statistics on Total Production of Passenger Cars Annual Production of Passenger CarsMarket Trends of the Automotive SectorMarket Trends of the Automotive SectorExport of Plastic Table Wares, Kitchen Wares and other Household Products (HS: 3924)Annual Export of Plastic Household ProductsPackaging Sector: Monthly Export of Plastic Bags (HS: 3923)Annual Export of Plastic BagsPackaging Sector: Monthly Export of Plastic Films and Sheets (HS 3919/20/21)Annual Export of Plastic Films and SheetsOverall Performance Overall Performance Export of Plastic Products (2001-2015)Export/Sales Turnover RatioMain Exports of Plastic ProductsKey Data for the Malaysian Plastics IndustryFactors Contributing to the Growth Factors Contributing to the Growth Factors Contributing to the Growth Outlook for 2016Outlook for 2016Outlook for 2016Thank you