cision global media insights covid-19 | weekly update ... · 28/04/2020 · pr activity. infection...
TRANSCRIPT
PAGE 1
CISION GLOBAL MEDIA INSIGHTS
COVID-19 | WEEKLY UPDATE APRIL 28, 2020
► A GUIDE TO PROFESSIONAL COMMUNICATORS: USA EDITION
PAGE 2
COVID-19 - A GUIDE TO PROFESSIONAL COMMUNICATORS: USA EDITION
INTRODUCTION
WHEREAS:
• Certain countries around the world are ahead of others in terms of their epidemic stage as currently reported by both the media and healthcare experts.
• Certain countries have “flattened the curve” of the pandemic’s growth and mortality rates while others countries seek to manage domestic outbreaks with varying degrees of success
• Traditional and social media simultaneously and uniquely reflect and shape public opinion
THEREFORE:
• Traditional and social media are useful gauges of what’s happening now with Covid-19 and of the patterns that may continue to emerge in the future.
• We must apply rigorous analysis against global and national journalistic and social media content to uncover insights into the pandemic and revelations upon which to plan and execute business/communications decisions going forward.
• As the volume and velocity of Covid-19 news, commentary and conversations in the media subside, the resulting earned media vacuum presents possibilities for alternative topics, some of which may be fulfilled with proactive – even fun - content which may seem inappropriate in the current environment.
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COVID-19 – A GUIDE TO PROFESSIONAL COMMUNICATORS: USA EDITION
INTRODUCTION
A NOTE TO THE READER:
• This report reflects the findings of a media content analysis of journalistic news and social media juxtaposed against global COVID-19 cases data tracked and forecasted by the Coronavirus Resource Center’s at Johns Hopkins University (JHU) and its Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSW). All Coronavirus case data is attributable to Johns Hopkins University.
• The Coronavirus case and media trends which are the foundation of this analysis portend earned media opportunities in the days following the flattening of infection and mortality rates. Just as these rates change from one country to the next, so do the pace and extent of earned media opportunities. We do not assert our expertise in predicting the infections curves: we suggest only conditionally that if the infection and media patterns in the USA, China, Italy, France, Germany, Spain and the UK reflect trends in these and other countries, we can expect certain pathways to emerge across all countries. As such, please consider these findings “directional” rather than “statistically significant”.
• Please keep in mind that both Coronavirus and media trends are shown at the national rather than local level. While certain locales may see infections and coverage continue to surge, other parts of the country may experience a flatter curve more quickly. As such, deceleration in one area within a country may offset local surges in another. The data reflects the countries in aggregate.
• We recognize that traditional media in China operate in a state-controlled environment unlike the USA, UK, Spain, Italy, Germany and France where press freedoms are guaranteed. Also, while journalistic media promises to be “fair and balanced,” social media content is more open and, therefore, more indicative of public opinion and societal trends in general.
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COVID-19 - A GUIDE TO PROFESSIONAL COMMUNICATORS: USA EDITION
SCOPE & METHODOLOGY
MARKETS MEDIA SCOPE METRICS / EARNED MEDIA VISIBILITY
50.000+
TRADITIONAL PRINT, ONLINE, TV, RADIO & PODCAST MEDIA.
+ MAIN SOCIAL CHANNELS:
WECHAT, WEIBO, TWITTER, FACEBOOK, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
MEDIA VISIBILITY = GROSS REACH
POTENTIAL NUMBER OF INDIVIDUALS EXPOSED TO AN EARNED MEDIA MESSAGE IN AGGREGATE
OVER TIME
CORONAVIRUS COVID-19 GLOBAL CASES AS TRACKED AND FORECASTED BY THE CENTER FOR SYSTEMS SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING (CSSE) AT JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY (JHU)
CHINAEU G5USA
PAGE 5
CISION GLOBAL MEDIA INSIGHTS
COVID-19 | WEEKLY UPDATE 4.2.2020
I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: INSIGHTS AND GUIDANCE
PAGE 6
COVID-19 – A GUIDE TO PROFESSIONAL COMMUNICATORS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1. USA: COVID-19 NEWS ALONG WITH PRESIDENT TRUMP (WHICH MAY OVERLAP TO A DEGREE) OCCUPY 89% OF
NEWS COVERAGE WHICH IS DOWN OVER LAST WEEK. NEWS TURNS TO “POST-PANDEMIC” TOPICS WHILE
MORTALITY RATES RISE. DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS AVERAGE CLIMBING AS A FINANCIAL INDICATOR
2. WESTERN MARKETS BEHAVE DIFFERENTLY THAN CHINA WHEN COMPARING OF COVID-19 EARNED MEDIA WITH STOCK MARKET TRENDS IN EACH COUNTRY:
CHINA WITH A MUCH QUICKER RECOVERY DUE TO STRICT LOCKDOWN MEASURES AND A MUCH LOWER INFECTION-RATE THAN MOST WESTERN MARKETS. THE CHINESE STOCK MARKETS HAVE BEEN BARELY AFFECTED BY COVID-19.
COVERAGE IN WESTERN MARKETS PEAKED WHEN SOCIAL DISTANCING MEASURES WERE ANNOUNCED. YET, TURNING POINTS IN WESTERN MARKETS ARE DEPENDENT ON THE INFECTION-RATE (ROLLING LAST THREE WEEKS), NEW INFECTIONS AND MORTALITY. ALSO DECLINING MEDIA COVERAGE IS A STRONG INDICATOR ON THE OVERALL CRISIS SITUATION.
3. INVERSE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN STOCK MARKET AND COVID-19 MEDIA COVERAGE: IN MOST MARKETS, THERE IS A STRONG COINCIDENCE BETWEEN COVID-19 MEDIA IMPACT AND THE STOCK MARKET PERFORMANCE. MOST STOCK MARKETS HAD THEIR ALL-TIME LOW WHEN COVID-19 COVERAGE PEAKED. AT THE SAME TIME COVID-19 FOCUSED MEDIA COVERAGE DECLINES, THE STOCK MARKETS SHOW SIGNS OF SLOW IMPROVEMENT.
PAGE 7
COVID-19 SCORECARD
INFECTION RATE
NEW INFECTIONS
MODERATE
MORTALITYMEDIA FOCUS
COVID-19 SCORECARD
INFECTION RATE
NEW INFECTIONS
HIGH
MORTALITYMEDIA FOCUS
COVID-19 SCORECARD
INFECTION RATE
NEW INFECTIONS
MODERATE
MORTALITYMEDIA FOCUS
COVID-19 SCORECARD
INFECTION RATE
NEW INFECTIONS
HIGH
MORTALITYMEDIA FOCUS
COVID-19 SCORECARD
INFECTION RATE
NEW INFECTIONS
LOW
MORTALITYMEDIA FOCUS
COVID-19 SCORECARD
INFECTION RATE
NEW INFECTIONS
HIGH
MORTALITYMEDIA FOCUS
PHASE: IV - RECOVERY
ACTION: PROACTIVE OUTREACH
COVID-19 coverage is declining in all markets as are mortality trends.
The environments in China and Germany suggest that media in these countries are prepared for proactive “Phase III/IV” PR activity. Infection rates and new infections are important guides in determining the type of communication to initiate in the USA, UK, Italy and Spain.
COVID-19 - A GUIDE TO PROFESSIONAL COMMUNICATORS: USA EDITION
STRATEGIC GUIDANCE & FINDINGS
ITALYCHINA
INFECTION RATE
NEW INFECTIONS
LOW
MORTALITYMEDIA FOCUS
GERMANY SPAIN FRANCE UK USA
COVID-19 SCORECARD
PHASE: III - CONTAINMENT
ACTION: START PHASE III
COMMUNICATIONS
PHASE: III - CONTAINMENT
ACTION: PROACTIVE OUTREACH
PHASE: III - CONTAINMENT
ACTION: PREPARE NOW FOR PHASE III TO START
PHASE: III - CONTAINMENT
ACTION: START PHASE III
COMMUNICATIONS
PHASE: II - PREVENTION
ACTION: PREPARE NOW FOR PHASE III TO START
PHASE: II - PREVENTION
ACTION: PREPARE NOW FOR PHASE III TO START
KEY
INFECTION-RATE
RATE OF CUMULATIVE CONFIRMED CASES OVER
LAST 3 WEEKS AS PERCENTAGE OF
INHABITANTS
HIGH ABOVE 0.15%
MODERATE<=0.15%>=0.1%
LOW <0.1%
NEW INFECTIONS
WEEKLY NEW CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES
RISING
STABLE
DECLINING
MORTALITY
WEEKLY NEW CONFIRMED COVID-19 RELATED
DEATHS
RISING
STABLE
DECLINING
MEDIA FOCUS
ALL COVID-19 RELATED MEDIA COVERAGE
RISING
STABLE
DECLINING
PAGE 8
COVID-19 – A GUIDE TO PROFESSIONAL COMMUNICATORS: USA EDITION
STRATEGIC GUIDANCE
PHASES MEDIA & AUDIENCE CORPORATE COMMUNICATIONS MANAGEMENT COMMUNICATIONS PRODUCT COMMUNICATIONS
PHASE I: DETECTION NO CHANGES
PHASE IIPREPARATION & PREVENTION
• MEDIA AND READERS IN CRISIS-MODE
• MAJORITY OF TOPICS COVID-RELATED
• CORPORATE CITIZENSHIP TOPICS APPRECIATED BY READERS AND MEDIA
• REDUCE CLASSICAL CORPORATE TOPICS TO MINIMUM
• IMPORTANT: USE TIME TO CREATE NEW, DIGITAL COMMUNICATIONS FORMATS FOR PHASE III
MANAGEMENT PLATFORMS:
• LEADERSHIP
• TRANSPARENCY, REASSURANCE AND AFFIRMATION
• CORPORATE CITIZENSHIP
IMPORTANT:
• UNLESS DIRECTLY RELEVANT TO MITIGATION, “PROMOTIONAL” AND PRODUCT COVERAGE SHOULD BE MOVED TO PHASE III
• CHANNEL-LOAD PHASE III
• CREATE NEW, DIGITAL COMMS FORMATS FOR PHASE III
PHASE IIICONTAINMENT, MITIGATION & DAMAGE CONTROL
• INCREASING ALLOWANCE FOR NON-CORONA COVERAGE
• PEOPLE STILL IN QUARANTINE WITH TIME FOR NEWS CONSUMPTION
• BEGIN TO INTRODUCE A BROADER SET OF CORPORATE STAKEHOLDER TOPICS
• EMPLOYEES
• CUSTOMERS
• INVESTORS
• REGULATORS/LEGISLATORS
MANAGEMENT PLATFORMS:
• LEADERSHIP
• TRANSPARENCY, REASSURANCE AND AFFIRMATION
• CORPORATE CITIZENSHIP
• RUN NEW, DIGITAL FORMATS
• PROVIDE YOUR CUSTOMERS WITH ALTERNATIVE, NEW FORMATS
• PROMOTE DIGITAL SALES: CONTACTLESS BUSINESS WILL BE TRENDING
PHASE IVRECOVERY & REPAIR
• LESS TIME FOR NEWS CONSUMPTION
• BACK TO WORK
• “RESTART / REBOOT” TOPICS: START OF PRODUCTION, SALES, ETC.
• FOCUS ON THE POSITIVE OUTCOMES OF THE CRISIS
MANAGEMENT PLATFORMS:
• STRONGER OUT OF THE CRISIS
IMPORTANT: THERE IS NO BACK TO NORMAL FOR PRODUCT COMMUNICATIONS!
• BRAND EVENTS AND SPONSORSHIPS LIMITED FOR NEXT FEW MONTHS. DUE TO SOCIAL DISTANCING
• SMALLER INTERACTIONS WITH JOURNALISTS EMERGE: PRODUCT REVIEWS, TEST DRIVES, ETC.
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CISION GLOBAL MEDIA INSIGHTS
COVID-19 | WEEKLY UPDATE 4.28.2020
II. USA TRENDS AND STRATEGIC GUIDANCE
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COVID-19 | INDUSTRIES IN COVERAGE 2020YTD
Volume-based analysis. Online News, Print, Blogs | English and Chinese Language | January 1, 2020 – April 18, 2020*Includes companies such as Alphabet/Google, Facebook, and Twitter. Governments and NGOs added into the analysis this week; not included in industry breakdowns in previous versions.
‘Big Tech*’ and the ‘Health/Pharmaceutical’ industries saw the largest increases in their share of mentions in 2020YTD coverage. ‘Big Tech*’ saw the most significant increase with new coverage at +0.4% while ‘Health/Pharmaceuticals’ saw a +0.2% increase. The ‘Travel Industry’ and ‘Airlines’ saw the most significant decrease in share, as each industry declined -0.3%. If this trend for travel-related industries continues, it could suggest a shift by the media away from critical travel coverage which was their focus for much of the early phases of COVID-19. The remaining industries in coverage saw minimal to no change in share.
INDUSTRIES IN COVERAGE 2020YTDGovernment/NGOs continue to be the focus in news media
PAGE 11
COVID-19 | OVERVIEW
0K
100K
200K
300K
400K
500K
600K
0K
2,000K
4,000K
6,000K
8,000K
10,000K
12,000K
14,000K
1/1 1/6 1/11 1/16 1/21 1/26 1/31 2/5 2/10 2/152/202/25 3/1 3/6 3/11 3/16 3/213/263/31 4/5 4/10 4/154/204/25
Art
icle
Vo
lum
e
Co
ve
rag
e V
olu
me
Volume
SocialShares
COVID-19 coverage continued its slow decline as countries and states continued to debate reopening strategies, with the state ofGeorgia controversially opening spas, nail salons, and other small businesses. Antibody tests entered the limelight as studies in New York and Boston showed that as many as one in five people sampled had been infected. The W.H.O. warned against using the tests, which are often inaccurate, yet experts look to the tests to study the virus’ spread within populations. Reuters reported on the results of a recent study showing that 96% of nearly 3,000 prison inmates tested for the virus were asymptomatic.
President Trump yet again attracted coverage as he suggested that individuals might inject disinfectants to treat COVID-19. He later claimed he was being ‘sarcastic.’ Meanwhile, the U.S. death toll surpassed 50,000 and cases approached 1 million.
By the numbers
22.4 million articles
325 million social
shares
STAGE 1: Initial cases; quarantine of Wuhan announced
635K
COVERAGE VOLUME TRENDCoverage volumes continued a slow decline
STAGE 2: Accelerated spread inside China
STAGE 3: Death toll surpasses SARS;
Increasing international cases; Diamond
Princess quarantine
3/14: 11.8 million social shares
Volume-based analysis. Online News, Print, Blogs | English and Chinese Language | January 1, 2020 – April 25, 2020
BBC: Coronavirus: Outcry after Trump suggests injecting disinfectant as treatment
MOST SHARED ARTICLES PUBLISHED IN PAST WEEKThe top shared article this week reported historic negative oil prices
STAGE 4: Global pandemic response1.2M
CNN: US oil prices crash below $0 a barrel. That's never happened before.
936KNew York Magazine: Las Vegas Mayor Offers City as ‘Control Group’ to See How Many Die Without Social Distancing
PAGE 12
COVID-1955%
Trump32%
Stock Market Performance
4%
US Democratic Candidate Coverage
3%
Sustainability & Climate
3%
Brexit1%
Syrian Conflict1% NFL Draft
1%
68%
21%
NFL Draft, 3%
COVID-19 | MEDIA LANDSCAPE
Less than 3%
Nigeria, 1% South Africa, 1% Singapore, 1% Italy, 1% Other, <1%
COVERAGE DISTRIBUTION BY MARKET (English & Chinese language news)The United States continued to lead in coverage of COVID-19, African nations see increased
coverage volumes
MEDIA LANDSCAPEClimate change coverage increased slightly over the past week
Coverage related to sustainability and climate change increased over the past week as oil prices plummeted and the head of the United Nations weather agency stated that the drop in emissions attributable to COVID-19 would not stave off climate change and that emissions are expected to rise as the world recovers. The Center for International Climate Research observed that COVID-19 has resulted in a 5.5-5.7% drop in carbon dioxide emissions.
Outer circle: Jan 1 – Apr 25Inner circle: Apr 11 – Apr 25
Topics not mutually exclusive. Volume-based analysis. Online News, Print, Blogs | English and Chinese Language | January 1, 2020 – April 25, 2020
PAGE 13
COVID-19 | TOPICS
0K500K
1,000K1,500K2,000K2,500K3,000K3,500K4,000K4,500K
Tho
usands
COVERAGE TOPICS BY CATEGORYCoverage of oil prices and climate change increased over the last week
On Monday, U.S. oil prices went negative for the first time in history as demand remained at rock-bottom and production continued, filling up storage facilities and offshore tankers. Saudi Arabia and Russia agreed to cut to record oil production cuts but such action alone is not expected to stabilize the U.S. market. Analysts and media predict U.S. producers will have to decrease production significantly and smaller firms will likely not survive.
On Friday, President Trump signed an additional $484 billion stimulus bill to replenish small business loan programs and allocate money to struggling hospitals. Meanwhile, outlets such as ProPublica described how millions of people were facing delays in receiving their stimulus check because they’d used tax prep middlemen to submit their taxes.
HEALTH BUSINESSPOLICY PUBLIC REACTION
Topics not mutually exclusive. Top movers defined by increase in conversation share vs. previous period. Volume-based analysis. Online News, Print, Blogs | English and Chinese Language | January 1, 2020 – April 25, 2020
Top Movers in Past Week: Fatalities -1%Reopening +1%Oil Prices +.6%Climate Change +.3%
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CISION GLOBAL MEDIA INSIGHTS
COVID-19 | WEEKLY UPDATE 4.28.2020
III: INDIVIDUAL COUNTRY TRENDS AND STRATEGIC GUIDANCEUSA, CHINA, ITALY, GERMANY, SPAIN, FRANCE AND UK
PAGE 15
NEW INFECTIONS IN THE USA REMAIN STABLE (AND ON A HIGH LEVEL) COMPARED TO PREVIOUS WEEK.
THE GOOD NEWS: MORTALITY DECLINES FOR THE FIRST TIME.
MEDIA COVERAGE CONTINUES TO DECREASE AFTER ANNOUNCEMENT OF LOCKDOWN MEASURES, WHEREAS THE DOW JONES STARTS TO RECOVER
ADVICE: ACT SENSIBLY IN YOUR COMMUNICATIONS. BUT INDICATIONS SUGGEST PHASE III WILL BEGIN SOON. PREPARE NOW.
NEW COVID-19 INFECTIONS, MORTALITY, MEDIA COVERAGE & FINANCIAL TREND // USA
USA CONTINUES TO BATTLE A HIGH INFECTION RATE – YET OUTLOOK IS POSITIVE
0%
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20%
25%
30%
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LOCKDOWNSThe first US states begin school
closings & prepare for lockdowns.
!
COVID-19 SCORECARD
INFECTION RATE
NEW INFECTIONS
HIGH
MORTALITYMEDIA FOCUS
COVID-19 INFECT. RATE
MARKETS
USA
UNIVERSE
ALL COVID-19 NEW TRACKED INFECTIONS
ALL COVID-19 RELATED MEDIA COVERAGE
PERIOD
FROM: FEB 10TH, 2020
TO: APRIL 26TH, 2020
DATA
TRACKED COVID-19 INFECTIONS (JOHNS
HOPKINS UNIVERSITY)
MEDIA VISIBILITY (GROSS REACH)
TRADITIONAL & SOCIAL
LEGEND
NEW COVID-19 INFECTIONS
NEW COVID-19 DEATHS
NEW COVID-19 MEDIA COVERAGE
US INDEX: DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE
(DJIA)
…IN RESPECTIVE WEEK
PHASE I
DETECTIONPHASE II
PREVENTIONPHASE III
CONTAINMENT?
0.20%
0.20%
0.16%
0.11%
0.10%
0.07%
<0.01%
SPAIN
US
UK
ITALY
FRANCE
GERMANY
CHINA
PROJECTION
COVID-19 INFECTIONS
COVID-19 DEATHS
COVID-19 MEDIA COVERAGE
US INDEX: DJIA
100% = TOTAL FOR SHOWN TIMEFRAME
PAGE 16
NEW INFECTIONS DECREASE COMPARED TO PREVIOUS WEEK.
THE GOOD NEWS: MORTALITY DECLINES FOR THE FIRST TIME AND IS EXPECTED TO FURTHER GO DOWN.
UK STOCK MARKET REACTED TO THE VIRUS 1-2 WEEKS EARLIER THAN UK MEDIA AND GOVERNMENT.
ADVICE: ACT SENSIBLY IN YOUR COMMUNICATIONS. BUT INDICATIONS SUGGEST PHASE III WILL BEGIN SOON. PREPARE NOW.
NEW COVID-19 INFECTIONS, MORTALITY, MEDIA COVERAGE & FINANCIAL TREND // UK
UK ON A BETTER PATH AFTER CHAOTIC INITIAL CRISIS MANAGEMENT
0%
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10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
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COVID-19 SCORECARD
INFECTION RATE
NEW INFECTIONS
HIGH
MORTALITYMEDIA FOCUS
COVID-19 INFECT. RATE
MARKETS
UK
UNIVERSE
ALL COVID-19 NEW TRACKED INFECTIONS
ALL COVID-19 RELATED MEDIA COVERAGE
PERIOD
FROM: FEB 10TH, 2020
TO: APRIL 26TH, 2020
DATA
TRACKED COVID-19 INFECTIONS (JOHNS
HOPKINS UNIVERSITY)
MEDIA VISIBILITY (GROSS REACH)
TRADITIONAL & SOCIAL
LEGEND
NEW COVID-19 INFECTIONS
NEW COVID-19 DEATHS
NEW COVID-19 MEDIA COVERAGE
UK INDEX: FTSE 100 (UKX)
…IN RESPECTIVE WEEK
PHASE I
DETECTIONPHASE II
PREVENTIONPHASE III
CONTAINMENT?
0.20%
0.20%
0.16%
0.11%
0.10%
0.07%
<0.01%
SPAIN
US
UK
ITALY
FRANCE
GERMANY
CHINA
PROJECTION
COVID-19 INFECTIONS
COVID-19 DEATHS
COVID-19 MEDIA COVERAGE
UK INDEX: FTSE 100
100% = TOTAL FOR SHOWN TIMEFRAME
LATE LOCKDOWNThe British government ordered a lockdown on March 23,
limiting people to trips outside the home solely for grocery shopping, medical needs and traveling to work if working
from home is not an option.Social gatherings and meeting up in crowds have been
banned. One form of solitary exercise is permitted such as running or riding a bicycle. Police will be enforcing the
lockdown measures, but people are not required to bring papers with them when they go outside to justify their
reason for leaving the house.
!
US/EU HIT ON UK STOCK MARKET
PAGE 17
UNCERTAINTY WHETHER LOCKDOWNS WORK AND HOW THE VIRUS SPREADS SPARK THE “TURNING POINT” ~ 3 WEEKS AFTER LOCKDOWN-ANNOUNCEMENT.
VIRUS-RELATED MEDIA COVERAGE IN CHINA RELAXES AS NEW INFECTIONS AND MORTALITY RATES SIGNIFICANTLY DECLINE.
ADVICE: PHASE IV COVERAGE HAS STARTED. LEARN FROM CHINA AS THEY ARE 7-8 WEEKS AHEAD.
NEW COVID-19 INFECTIONS, MORTALITY, MEDIA COVERAGE & FINANCIAL TREND // CHINA
QUICK PIVOT IN CHINA DUE TO RELATIVELY LOW MORTALITY AND INFECTION RATES
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
CW26.1
CW313.1
CW420.1
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MARKETS
CHINA
UNIVERSE
ALL COVID-19 NEW TRACKED INFECTIONS
ALL COVID-19 RELATED MEDIA COVERAGE
PERIOD
FROM: FEB 10TH, 2020
TO: APRIL 26TH, 2020
DATA
TRACKED COVID-19 INFECTIONS (JOHNS
HOPKINS UNIVERSITY)
MEDIA VISIBILITY (GROSS REACH)
TRADITIONAL & SOCIAL
LEGEND
NEW COVID-19 INFECTIONS
NEW COVID-19 DEATHS
NEW COVID-19 MEDIA COVERAGE
CHINESE INDEX: SHANGHAI COMPOSITE
INDEX (SHCOMP)
…IN RESPECTIVE WEEK
COVID-19 INFECTIONS
COVID-19 DEATHS
COVID-19 MEDIA COVERAGE
CHINESE INDEX: SHANGHAI COMPOSITE INDEX
100% = TOTAL FOR SHOWN TIMEFRAME
PHASE I
DETECTIONPHASE II
PREVENTIONPHASE III
CONTAINMENTPHASE IV
RECOVERY
PROJECTION
WUHAN LOCKDOWN
On 23 January 2020, the central government of China imposed a
surprised lockdown in Wuhan and other cities in Hubei in an
effort to quarantine the centreof an outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); this
action is commonly referred to as the "Wuhan lockdown"
!
TURNING POINT COVID-19 SCORECARD
INFECTION RATE
NEW INFECTIONS
LOW
MORTALITYMEDIA FOCUS
PAGE 18
ITALY: NEW INFECTIONS AND MORTALITY ARE BOTH FURTHER DECLINING.
MEDIA ARE FURTHER RELAXING FOCUS ON COVID-10 STORIES, ITALIAN ECONOMY IS SLOWLY RECOVERING.
ADVICE: ACT SENSIBLY IN YOUR COMMUNICATIONS. BUT INDICATIONS SUGGEST PHASE III IS STARTING. ACT NOW.
NEW COVID-19 INFECTIONS, MORTALITY, MEDIA COVERAGE & FINANCIAL TREND // ITALY
ITALY WITH DECLINING NEW INFECTIONS AND MORTALITY
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25%
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COVID-19 INFECT. RATE
MARKETS
ITALY
UNIVERSE
ALL COVID-19 NEW TRACKED INFECTIONS
ALL COVID-19 RELATED MEDIA COVERAGE
PERIOD
FROM: FEB 10TH, 2020
TO: APRIL 26TH, 2020
DATA
TRACKED COVID-19 INFECTIONS (JOHNS
HOPKINS UNIVERSITY)
MEDIA VISIBILITY (GROSS REACH)
TRADITIONAL & SOCIAL
LEGEND
NEW COVID-19 INFECTIONS
NEW COVID-19 DEATHS
NEW COVID-19 MEDIA COVERAGE
ITALIAN INDEX: FTSE MIB (I945)
…IN RESPECTIVE WEEK
0.20%
0.20%
0.16%
0.11%
0.10%
0.07%
<0.01%
SPAIN
US
UK
ITALY
FRANCE
GERMANY
CHINA
PROJECTION
COVID-19 INFECTIONS
COVID-19 DEATHS
COVID-19 MEDIA COVERAGE
ITALIAN INDEX: FTSE MIB
100% = TOTAL FOR SHOWN TIMEFRAME
PHASE I
DETECTIONPHASE II
PREVENTIONPHASE III
CONTAINMENT
LOCKDOWNItaly issued a nationwide lockdown on March 9, ordering its
60 million residents to stay at home. Schools, universities and all non-essential businesses are closed — with
supermarkets, banks, pharmacies and post offices allowed to remain open. Travel within Italy has been banned except
for health reasons or urgent matters.
!
COVID-19 SCORECARD
INFECTION RATE
NEW INFECTIONS
MODERATE
MORTALITYMEDIA FOCUS
ALL-TIME LOW TOGETHER WITH US/EU ECONOMY
LOCKDOWN HITS ITALIAN ECONOMY
PAGE 19
GERMANY: HAS ENTERED PHASE III AND NOW NEEDS TO CONTAIN THE VIRUS.
ADVICE: ACT SENSIBLY IN YOUR COMMUNICATIONS BUT THE ENVIRONMENT IS RIPE FOR NON-COVID RELATED TOPICS. ACT NOW.
NEW COVID-19 INFECTIONS, MORTALITY, MEDIA COVERAGE & FINANCIAL TREND // GERMANY
GERMANY HAS ENTERED THE CONTAINMENT-PHASE
0%
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COVID-19 SCORECARD
INFECTION RATE
NEW INFECTIONS
LOW
MORTALITYMEDIA FOCUS
COVID-19 INFECT. RATE
MARKETS
GERMANY
UNIVERSE
ALL COVID-19 NEW TRACKED INFECTIONS
ALL COVID-19 RELATED MEDIA COVERAGE
PERIOD
FROM: FEB 10TH, 2020
TO: APRIL 26TH, 2020
DATA
TRACKED COVID-19 INFECTIONS (JOHNS
HOPKINS UNIVERSITY)
MEDIA VISIBILITY (GROSS REACH)
TRADITIONAL & SOCIAL
LEGEND
NEW COVID-19 INFECTIONS
NEW COVID-19 DEATHS
NEW COVID-19 MEDIA COVERAGE
GERMAN INDEX: DAX 30
…IN RESPECTIVE WEEK
PHASE I
DETECTIONPHASE II
PREVENTIONPHASE III
CONTAINMENT
0.20%
0.20%
0.16%
0.11%
0.10%
0.07%
<0.01%
SPAIN
US
UK
ITALY
FRANCE
GERMANY
CHINA
PROJECTION
COVID-19 INFECTIONS
COVID-19 DEATHS
COVID-19 MEDIA COVERAGE
GERMAN INDEX: DAX
100% = TOTAL FOR SHOWN TIMEFRAME
SOCIAL DISTANCINGUnlike other European countries, Germany has so far
stopped short of ordering its over 80 million population to remain at home — instead opting for strict social distancing
measures which were issued on March 22.
!
PAGE 20
NEW INFECTIONS AND MORTALITY FURTHER DECREASE.
MEDIA COVERAGE CONTINUES TO DECREASE AFTER ANNOUNCEMENT OF LOCKDOWN MEASURES, WHEREAS FRENCH ECONOMY STARTS TO SLOWLY RECOVER.
ADVICE: ACT SENSIBLY IN YOUR COMMUNICATIONS. BUT INDICATIONS SUGGEST PHASE III HAS BEGUN. ACT NOW.
NEW COVID-19 INFECTIONS, MORTALITY, MEDIA COVERAGE & FINANCIAL TREND // FRANCE
FRANCE IS RECOVERING AND ENTERS THE CONTAINMENT PHASE
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
CW710.2
CW817.2
CW924.2
CW102.3
CW119.3
CW1216.3
CW1323.3
CW1430.3
CW156.4
CW1613.4
CW1720.4
CW1827.4
CW194.5
CW2011.5
CW2118.5
CW2225.5
CW231.6
COVID-19 SCORECARD
INFECTION RATE
NEW INFECTIONS
MODERATE
MORTALITYMEDIA FOCUS
COVID-19 INFECT. RATE
MARKETS
FRANCE
UNIVERSE
ALL COVID-19 NEW TRACKED INFECTIONS
ALL COVID-19 RELATED MEDIA COVERAGE
PERIOD
FROM: FEB 10TH, 2020
TO: APRIL 26TH, 2020
DATA
TRACKED COVID-19 INFECTIONS (JOHNS
HOPKINS UNIVERSITY)
MEDIA VISIBILITY (GROSS REACH)
TRADITIONAL & SOCIAL
LEGEND
NEW COVID-19 INFECTIONS
NEW COVID-19 DEATHS
NEW COVID-19 MEDIA COVERAGE
FRENCH INDEX: CAC 40 (PX1)
…IN RESPECTIVE WEEK
0.20%
0.20%
0.16%
0.11%
0.10%
0.07%
<0.01%
SPAIN
US
UK
ITALY
FRANCE
GERMANY
CHINA
PROJECTION
COVID-19 INFECTIONS
COVID-19 DEATHS
COVID-19 MEDIA COVERAGE
FRENCH INDEX: CAC 40
100% = TOTAL FOR SHOWN TIMEFRAME
LOCKDOWNThe French government announced a strict nationwide
lockdown on March 17, banning all public gatherings and telling residents to stay inside except for grocery shopping
and other essential tasks.Along with closing all non-essential shops, open-air
markets have been ordered to shut. People in France are also required to fill out a form stating their reason for
leaving the house.
!
PHASE I
DETECTIONPHASE II
PREVENTIONPHASE III
CONTAINMENT
PAGE 21
NEW INFECTION AND DEATH RATES SEEM UNDER CONTROL. LOCKDOWN RESTRICTIONS HAVE BEEN EASED.
MEDIA ACCELERATING OPENNESS TO NEW TOPICS.
ADVICE: ACT SENSIBLY IN YOUR COMMUNICATIONS. BUT INDICATIONS SUGGEST PHASE III HAS BEGUN. ACT NOW.
NEW COVID-19 INFECTIONS, MORTALITY, MEDIA COVERAGE & FINANCIAL TREND // SPAIN
SPAIN EASES LOCKDOWN RESTRICTIONS AFTER DECREASING INFECTIONS AND DEATHS
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
CW710.2
CW817.2
CW924.2
CW102.3
CW119.3
CW1216.3
CW1323.3
CW1430.3
CW156.4
CW1613.4
CW1720.4
CW1827.4
CW194.5
CW2011.5
CW2118.5
CW2225.5
CW231.6
COVID-19 INFECT. RATE
MARKETS
SPAIN
UNIVERSE
ALL COVID-19 NEW TRACKED INFECTIONS
ALL COVID-19 RELATED MEDIA COVERAGE
PERIOD
FROM: FEB 10TH, 2020
TO: APRIL 26TH, 2020
DATA
TRACKED COVID-19 INFECTIONS (JOHNS
HOPKINS UNIVERSITY)
MEDIA VISIBILITY (GROSS REACH)
TRADITIONAL & SOCIAL
LEGEND
NEW COVID-19 INFECTIONS
NEW COVID-19 DEATHS
NEW COVID-19 MEDIA COVERAGE
SPANISH INDEX: IBEX 35 (IBEX)
…IN RESPECTIVE WEEK
0.20%
0.20%
0.16%
0.11%
0.10%
0.07%
<0.01%
SPAIN
US
UK
ITALY
FRANCE
GERMANY
CHINA
PROJECTION
COVID-19 INFECTIONS
COVID-19 DEATHS
COVID-19 MEDIA COVERAGE
SPANISH INDEX: IBEX 35
100% = TOTAL FOR SHOWN TIMEFRAME
PHASE I
DETECTIONPHASE II
PREVENTIONPHASE III
CONTAINMENT
STATE EMERGENCYThe Spanish government declared a state of emergency on
March 14, issuing a general confinement order for more than 46 million people.
!
COVID-19 SCORECARD
INFECTION RATE
NEW INFECTIONS
HIGH
MORTALITYMEDIA FOCUS
Contact: Mark Weiner
Chief Insights Officer
203-414-8482
Author/US:
Karinne Smolenyak
Director: Healthcare Sector
Author/Int’l:
Bernd Hitzemann
Vice President