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1 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Finnair GroupInterim Report1 January – 30 September 2008
2 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Airline industry at a historical turning point
Expensive fuel price in the beginning of 2008 has dramatical effect on the operational result, benefit of cheaper fuel comes later Average ticket prices have not kept up with costsDepression atmosphere weakens demand of air trafficFinance sources have been closed for many airlinesOver 30 airlines already under bankruptcy, more bankruptcies expected during the winter
3 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Expensive fuel and low ticket pricelevel spoiled the result
Finnair’s operational result clearly weakened from last yearLoad factors above last year, demand still positiveFinnair market share in Asian traffic increasedPrice level of scheduled passenger traffic droppedwith 4 per centFuel costs went up by 35.8 per centUnit costs exclusive fuel dropped with 3,4 per cent50 million euro efficiency programme partly fulfilled,25 million euro savings with lay-offs and redundanciesStatutory employer-employee negotiations going onPunctuality among the best airlines in Europe
4 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Third quarter clearly weaker than previous year
Q3/2008 Q3/2007 Change%
2.7
-38.6
-92.9
-
-
-
-
Turnover mill. € 559.7 545.2
One off items/ capital gains -1.5 17.3
Fair value changes of derivatives -26.1 3.4
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) -24.8 59.9
Profit for period -17.3 39.6
Adjusted EBITDAR* 54.0 88.0
Adjusted EBIT* 2.8 39.2
*excl. capital gains, fair values changes of derivatives and non recurring items
5 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Strong cash balance, weakened cash flow
Cash flow statement (EUR mill.) Q1-Q3/2008 Q1-Q3/2007
Cash flow from operations 70 169
Liquid funds at the beginning 540 294
Change in liquid funds -166 -37
Investments and sale of assets -152 -238Investments -220 -264Change of advances and others 68 26
Cash flow from financing -84 32
Liquid funds at the end with financial interestbearing assets at fair value* 374 257
Cash flow January-September
*In addition, agreed credit facilities of 310 MEUR, and 250 MEUR from EIB requiring a bank guarantee
6 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Strong balance sheet
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Q3 2008
Equity ratio Adjusted Gearing%
7 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Unit costs arised
Q3/08 Q1-Q3/08
Unit costs of flight operations* c/ATK 4,8% -1,7 %Unit costs of flight operations excl. fuel* c/ATK
-3,4% -9,2 %
Personnel expenses c/ATK -6,9% -7,7 %Fuel costs c/ATK +27,5% +21,4 %Traffic charges c/ATK -0,9% -6,5 %Ground handling and catering €/passenger
+5,8% +13,8 %
Sales and marketing €/passenger +27,8% +25,6 %Aircraft lease payments and depreciation c/ATK
-13,8% -14,8 %
Other costs c/ATK -4,6% -14,7 %* excluding fair value changes of derivatives and non-recurring itemsATK = Available Tonne Kilometre
8 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Unit costs increased more than yield
Change YoY
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
% Yield (EUR/RTK) Unit costs (EUR/ATK)
2004 2005 200620032002 2007 2008
9 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Development of fuel costs and average ticket prices in scheduled traffic 2002–2008
7,00
7,50
8,00
8,50
9,00
9,50
10,00
10,50
11,00
11,50
12,00
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008e
euro
cent
/RPK
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
€/fu
el to
nne
Average revenue per RPKFuel per tonne
Fuel and ticket priceson separate paths
10 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Number of staff stable
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Q3 2008
Personnel on averagePersonnel
11 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Efficiency programme under way
Over half of 50 million euro efficiency programmeunder way or fulfilledResult effects will take place next yearPersonnel cut savings approx. 25 million euroMain efficiency improvement areas:• Capacity adjustment/ discontinuing unprofitable
flights– Discontinuing flights to Guangzhou– 3 Embraer 170 aircraft away from traffic as of January– Effect on staff and variable costs
• Partners’ pricing and deepening of cooperation• Fuel burn / flight procedures• Support functions and business unit interfaces
12 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Growth in Asian traffic continues
Seoul launched as new destination in June
Asian demand grew 17.4% in January-September, cargo loads by 25.0%
60 flights a week to Asian destinations
Non-stop flights to 10 destinations
India up to 13 flights per week
Guangzhou discontinued
Zero growth in 2009 due to the fleet renewal
13 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
42%
43%
4% 11%
Aasia-Eurooppa
Via Helsinki>50 %
More revenues from Asian trafficDistribution of passenger and cargo revenues in scheduled traffic
Asia USDomestic Europe
Asia-Europegateway
>50%
14 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Future price of fuel still high
15 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Fuel costs 2007 vs. 2008 January-September
Fuel hedging outside hedging calculations: Q1-Q3/Y2007 -2 MEUR ja Q1-Q3/Y2008 +21 MEUR
324
436
41
187 -52
-53-11
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Q1-Q3/2007 Volume Price Flynordic Currency Hedging Q1-Q3/2008
16 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Fuel costs clearly over a quarter of turnover
2003: 10.2% of turnover2004: 12.5% of turnover2005: 15.6% of turnover2006: 19.4% of turnover2007: 20,2% of turnover2008: ~26% of turnover
Finnair scheduled traffic has hedged 76% of its fuel purchases for the next six months, thereafter for the following 24 months at a decreasing level.
17 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Fuel hedging rates (Scheduled Passenger Traffic, 30 September 2008)
73%79%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2008Q4 2009Q1 2009Q2 2009Q3 2009Q4 2010Q1 2010Q2 2010Q3 2010Q4 2011Q1 2011Q2 2011Q3 2011Q4
hedge ratio
upper
lower
18 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
In 2007-14 a fleet of maximum 15 Airbus A330/A340 aircraft• Five new Airbus A330 planes arrive in 2009• Boeing MD-11 fleet will be phased out in early 2010
In 2014-16 a fleet of maximum 15 new technology Airbus A350XWB aircraft
Fleet renewal safeguarded
Fuel consumption and emission index*
Boeing MD-11
Airbus A340
Airbus A330
Airbus A350
100 89 80 69*) Per seat
19 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Investment program6 E170 purchases1* E190 purchase1 A340 purchase
2006
5* E190 purchases2 A340 purchases
2007
2 A340 firm orders2* E190 firm orders
2008
5 A330 firm orders2 E190 firm orders
2009
3 A330 firm orders (+ two options)2010
*) Total number of four E190 sale and lease backs after a short period of ownership
Total capex of €250m in 2008 and over €400m in 2009
20 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Future prospects
Demand and price level will be challengingBenefits of lower fuel prices with delayMinimum level of 50 million euro savingsPilots’ collective agreement under negotiationsCapacity scheduled passenger traffic in Q4 will be eightper cent lower than originally plannedCapacity will be dropped with 1-2 per cent in 2009Renewal of fleet for long-haul flightsOperating result is expected to be negative for lastquarter at current expections
21 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Appendices
22 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Quarterly change in profitability
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
MEUR
2003 2004 20052002 2006 2007
Change in EBIT per quarter (Excluding capital gains, fair value changes of derivatives and non recurring items)
2008
23 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Average yield and costs EUR c/RTK & EUR c/ATK
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Yield (EUR/RTK) Unit costs (EUR/ATK)
2004 2005 200620032002 2007 2008
24 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Segment results
2008 2007Q3 Q3
MEUR
Leisure Traffic 6.0 7.8
Total 2.8 39.2
Scheduled Passenger Traffic -4.0 28.8
Aviation Services 1.9 2.7Travel Services 1.3 1.3Unallocated items -2.4 -1.4
Excluding capital gains, fair value changes of derivatives and non restructuring items
25 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Segment results
2008 2007Q1-Q3 Q1-Q3
MEUR
Leisure Traffic 14.6 14.5
Total 19.1 72.2
Scheduled Passenger Traffic -2.5 56.2
Aviation Services 8.8 7.3Travel Services 3.1 3.8Unallocated items -4.9 -9.6
Excluding capital gains, fair value changes of derivatives and non restructuring items
26 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
ROE and ROCERolling 12 months
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Q1 20
02Q2
2002
Q3 20
02Q4
2002
Q1 20
03Q2
2003
Q3 20
03Q4
2003
Q1 20
04Q2
2004
Q3 20
04Q4
2004
Q1 20
05Q2
2005
Q3 20
05Q4
2005
Q1 20
06Q2
2006
Q3 20
06Q4
2006
Q1 20
07Q2
2007
Q3 20
07Q4
2007
Q1 20
08Q2
2008
Q3 20
08
% ROE ROCE
27 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Most modern European fleet
Average age of Finnair’s European fleet approximatelyfive years29 Airbus A320 family aircraftTen smaller Embraer 170 aircraft and eight larger 190 model aircraft already in the fleet, three more arrivingin 2009-2011New aircraft have increased flexibility, improved loadfactors, reduced costs and are eco-efficient
28 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Investments and cash flowfrom operations
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Q1-Q3 2008
Operational net cash flow InvestmentsMEUR
29 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Aircraft operating lease liabilities
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Q3 2008
MEUR Flexibility, costs, risk management
On 30 September all leases were operating leases. If capitalised usingthe common method of multiplying annual aircraft lease payments byseven, the adjusted gearing on 30 September 2008 would have been51,1%
30 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Finnair Financial Targets
”Sustainable value creation”
Operatingprofit (EBIT)
EBIT margin at least 6% => over 120 mill. € in the coming few years
EBITDAREBITDAR margin at least 17% => over 350 mill. € in the coming few years
Economicprofit
Pay out ratio Minimum one third of the EPS
AdjustedGearing
Gearing adjusted for aircraft lease liabilities not to exceed 140 %
To create positive value over pretax WACC of 9,5%
31 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
Finnair’s Financial Targets
Description of targets
Operatingprofit (EBIT)
EBITDAR
Economicprofit
Pay out ratio
AdjustedGearing
Turnover + other operating revenues – operating costs
Result before depreciation, aircraft lease paymentsand capital gains
Operating profit EBIT – Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Interest bearing debt + 7*Aircraft lease payments– liquid funds) / (Equity + minority interests)
Dividend per share / Earnings per share
32 31/10/2008 Presentation name / Author
www.finnair.comFinnair Group Investor Relationsemail: [email protected]
tel: +358-9-818 4951fax: +358-9-818 4092