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Improving Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International SWAT Conference, Toledo, Spain, June 15-17, 2011

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Page 1: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Improving Life through Science and Technology

Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models

J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong

2011 International SWAT Conference, Toledo, Spain, June 15-17, 2011

Page 2: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Contents

Introduction

Motivation

Routing Tests and Results

Analysis

Conclusion and Future Work

Flood Routing Methods

Page 3: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Motivation

Continuous simulation models like APEX and SWAT operate on a daily time step and offer options for simulating some processes on shorter time steps.

However, they are not adequate for applications like designing flood control structures or estimating flood damages.

Computationally efficient and robust flood routing methods can provide flood analysis capabilities as well as other potential advantages like more accurate sediment and pollutant transport

Page 4: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Project Goals

Develop reliable routing methods in HYMO model Muskingum-Cunge (M-C)

Variable Storage Coefficient (VSC)

Storage with Variable Slope (SVS)

Test these methods for accuracy, efficiency and reliability on various hydraulic conditions Various channel lengths and slopes

Channel flow, channel flow + floodplain flow

Rectangular and trapezoidal cross sections

Compare results with the Dynamic Wave Flow routing method (HEC-RAS) as a test of accuracy

Page 5: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Saint-Venant Equations

Continuity

Momentum equation

0

q

t

S

t

A

x

Q

x

v

g

v

t

v

gx

hSS f

10

Kinematic wave

Diffusion wave

Dynamic wave

Page 6: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Muskingum-Cunge (M-C) Method

A diffusion wave model

K and X determined from hydraulic properties of the reach

K is a timing parameter, seconds

X is a diffusion parameter, no dimensions

Based on NRCS WIN TR-20 Program

OXIXKS 1

),,,,( xceleritywaveslopewidthbottomowinflpeakfX

122121

22SSt

OOt

II

Page 7: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Variable Storage Coefficient (VSC) Method

A diffusion wave model

Storage routing is calculated using a dimensionless storage coefficient (SC)

Every time step, SC is updated iteratively

Based on Williams (1969)

OST /

)

,,,(

velocitynormal

slopesurfacewaterlengthchannelareawettedfSC

122121

22SSt

OOt

II

Page 8: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Storage with Variable Slope (SVS) Method

A variation of the VSC method in which the continuity equation is directly solved with no coefficients

The storage term is equal to the average water volume in the channel

An iterative solution is used to solve these equations considering variable water surface slope

t

SSOIOIO t

t

j

jjt

11

2

11 22

2

ttt

AOAIRCHLS

Page 9: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Test Configuration

2400 0200 0400 0600 0800 1000 1200 140001J an2011

0

50

100

150

200

River: cs44 Reach: cs44 RS: 30

Date

Flo

w (m

3/s

)

Legend

Flow

Qin Qout

(A-A)

Rectangular (T1, T3) Trapezoidal (T2)

Channel flow

Trapezoidal (T4,T5,T6)

Floodplain flow

Page 10: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Hydraulic Properties of Test Cases

Test 1 Test 2 Test 3 Test 4 Test 5 Test 6

Channel

Length (km) 0.335 5.785 1.830 13.635 50.000 50.000

Top Width (m) 12.2 12.6 12.2 9.7 30.0 30.0

Bottom Width (m) 12.2 6.6 12.2 7.6 18.0 18.0

Depth (m) 2.8 1.6 3.1 1.0 3.0 3.0

Slope (m/ m) 0.0006 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.0001

Manning’s n 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05

Floodplain

Width (m) 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.7 1900.0 1900.0

Depth (m) 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 6.0

Manning’s n 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.049 0.15 0.15

Routing

Reaches 1 4 2 10 50 50

Time interval (h) 0.083 0.167 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5

Page 11: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Routing Result: Test 1

Qp

(m3/s)

tp

(hr)

Error

(%)

VSC 24.8 4.25 0.3

SVS 24.8 4.33 0.3

M-C 24.8 4.32 0.2

HEC 24.9 4.33 n/a

(L=0.335km, S=0.0006, Rectangular shape, Channel flow)

Time (hr)

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

Flo

w (

m3

/s)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

INFLOW

VSC

SVS

M-CCC

HEC-RAS

Page 12: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Routing Result: Test 2

(L=5.8km, S=0.001, Trapezoidal shape, Channel flow)

Qp

(m3/s)

tp

(hr)

Error

(%)

VSC 11.0 5.0 4.5

SVS 12.4 5.2 3.3

M-C 13.0 4.9 5.2

HEC 12.0 5.0 n/a

Time (hr)

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

Flo

w (

m3

/s)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

INFLOW

VSC

SVS

M-CCC

HEC-RAS

Page 13: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Routing Result: Test 3

(L=1.83km, S=0.002, Rectangular shape, Channel flow)

Qp

(m3/s)

tp

(hr)

Error

(%)

VSC 17.8 2.16 8.5

SVS 17.9 2.23 6.7

M-C 18.0 2.03 10.6

HEC 18.4 2.50 n/a

Time (hr)

0 2 4 6 8 10

Flo

w (

m3

/s)

0

5

10

15

20

25

INFLOW

VSC

SVS

M-CCC

HEC-RAS

Page 14: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Routing Result: Test 4

(L=13.6km, S=0.001, Trapezoidal shape, Floodplain flow)

Qp

(m3/s)

tp

(hr)

Error

(%)

VSC 70 5.8 24.7

SVS 114 5.4 1.9

M-C 137 4.7 14.9

HEC 116 5.3 n/a

Time (hr)

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18

Flo

w (

m3

/s)

0

50

100

150

200

INFLOW

VSC

SVS

M-CCC

HEC-RAS

Page 15: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Time (hr)

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Flo

w (

m3

/s)

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

INFLOW

VSC

SVS

M-CCC

HEC-RAS

Routing Result: Test 5

(L=50km, S=0.001, Trapezoidal shape, Floodplain flow)

Qp

(m3/s)

tp

(hr)

Error

(%)

VSC 1,943 41.7 1.6

SVS 2,359 40.0 11.7

M-C 2,891 35.0 30.9

HEC 1,990 42.0 n/a

Page 16: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Time (hr)

0 50 100 150 200

Flo

w (

m3

/s)

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

INFLOW

VSC

SVS

M-CCC

HEC-RAS

Routing Result: Test 6

(L=50km, S=0.0001, Trapezoidal shape, Floodplain flow)

Qp

(m3/s)

tp

(hr)

Error

(%)

VSC 454 81.7 3.8

SVS 619 82.5 15.6

M-C 606 50.4 31.5

HEC 482 80.3 n/a

Page 17: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Routing Result: Summary

Test 1 Test 2 Test 3 Test 4 Test 5 Test 6 Rank

VSC 0.3 4.5 8.5 24.7 1.6 3.8 2

SVS 0.3 3.3 6.7 1.9 11.7 15.6 1

M-C 0.2 5.2 10.6 14.9 30.9 31.5 3

Page 18: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Correlation Analysis

R² = 0.89R² = 0.02

R² = 0.83

-100

1020304050

0 20 40 60

% E

rro

r

Length, km

Qp-Length

SVS

VSC

M-C

R² = 0.32

R² = 0.00

R² = 0.09

-20

0

20

40

60

0 0.001 0.002 0.003

% E

rro

r

Slope

Qp-Slope

SVS

VSC

M-C

R² = 0.92R² = 0.08R² = 0.75

0

10

20

30

40

50

0 2000 4000

% E

rro

r

Peak Inflow, m3/s

Qp-Inflow

SVS

VSC

M-C

SVS shows typical responses of kinematic wave models (e.g. error increases as slope decreases or with larger inflow-meaning higher surface slope) M-C shows similar trends to SVS ?

Page 19: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Correlation Analysis

SVS and VSC show similar patterns while M-C behaves differently

SVS and VSC use the same algorithm for calculating flow velocity and travel time

R² = 0.67

R² = 0.55

R² = 0.06

-10

0

10

20

30

40

0 0.001 0.002 0.003

% E

rro

r

Slope

tp-Slope

SVS

VSC

M-C

R² = 0.01R² = 0.13

R² = 0.52

0

10

20

30

40

0 20 40 60

% E

rro

r

Length, km

tp-Length

SVS

VSC

M-C

R² = 0.00R² = 0.17R² = 0.52

0

10

20

30

40

0 2000 4000

% E

rro

r

Peak Inflow, m3/s

tp-Inflow

SVS

VSC

M-C

Page 20: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Conclusion

All methods (M-C, VSC, and SVS) were computationally stable and maintained mass balance in all of the tests

No prevailing advantage was found for the diffusion models over kinematic wave model

The VSC method performed superior on combined flow (channel flow + floodplain flow) in long channels

The SVS method was reliable in routing short channels, but showed marginal error on long channels

The M-C method showed limited performance. The errors were significant in tests with floodplain flow on long channels

The peak flows of M-C and SVS showed similar patterns in responding to hydraulic properties.

The time to peak of VSC and SVS showed similar patterns to hydraulic properties. Both use the same equations to compute flow velocity

Page 21: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Future work

The routing methods will be integrated into APEX and SWAT for continuous simulation

The routing methods within APEX/SWAT will be tested on complex channel networks at the watershed scale

A preliminary study of the Muskingum-Cunge with Variable Coefficient method shows promising results, so it will be included in the future study

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

0 50 100 150

Flo

w R

ate

(m3

/s)

Time (hr)

50 REACHES L=1km DT=.5h S=.001 CHFP 20110412

Inflow

MCCC

MCVC

HEC-RAS

(Test 5)

Page 22: Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models Life through Science and Technology Flood Routing for Continuous Simulation Models J. Williams, W. Merkel, J. Arnold, J. Jeong 2011 International

Questions?