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John Reimer Dane County Land & Water Resources Wisconsin Lakes Partnership Convention April 10, 2019 for the Yahara River Chain of Lakes (RCL) Improving Flood Resiliency Lake Waubesa Lake Kegonsa Lake Monona Lake Mendota Floodplain Flood Impacts Street

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Page 1: Improving Flood Resiliency - UWSP · John Reimer Dane County Land & Water Resources Wisconsin Lakes Partnership Convention April 10, 2019 for the Yahara River Chain of Lakes (RCL)

John ReimerDane County Land & Water Resources

Wisconsin Lakes Partnership Convention

April 10, 2019

for the Yahara River Chain of Lakes (RCL)Improving Flood Resiliency

Lake

Waubesa

Lake

Kegonsa

Lake

Monona

Lake

Mendota

Floodplain

Flood ImpactsStreet

Page 2: Improving Flood Resiliency - UWSP · John Reimer Dane County Land & Water Resources Wisconsin Lakes Partnership Convention April 10, 2019 for the Yahara River Chain of Lakes (RCL)

Hydrology of the Yahara Lakes

Rain

RunoffInfiltration

Mendota

Monona

Waubesa

Kegonsa

Page 3: Improving Flood Resiliency - UWSP · John Reimer Dane County Land & Water Resources Wisconsin Lakes Partnership Convention April 10, 2019 for the Yahara River Chain of Lakes (RCL)

Urban Development

197019932003201841,000 Acres75,000 Acres

In 2018 there is 2 times more area of development than 1970

Page 4: Improving Flood Resiliency - UWSP · John Reimer Dane County Land & Water Resources Wisconsin Lakes Partnership Convention April 10, 2019 for the Yahara River Chain of Lakes (RCL)

Hydrology of the Yahara LakesRain

RunoffInfiltration

Mendota

Monona

Waubesa

Kegonsa

Page 5: Improving Flood Resiliency - UWSP · John Reimer Dane County Land & Water Resources Wisconsin Lakes Partnership Convention April 10, 2019 for the Yahara River Chain of Lakes (RCL)

of the Yahara Lakes

RunoffInfiltration

Hydrology

Mendota

Monona

Waubesa

Kegonsa

Page 6: Improving Flood Resiliency - UWSP · John Reimer Dane County Land & Water Resources Wisconsin Lakes Partnership Convention April 10, 2019 for the Yahara River Chain of Lakes (RCL)

of the Yahara Lakes

RunoffInfiltration

Hydrology

Hydraulics

Mendota

Monona

Waubesa

Kegonsa

Flow

Aquatic Plants

Friction Flow

Sediment Accumulation

Area Flow

Flow ~ fun(Area, Slope, 1/n, )

Constriction Points

Slope Flow

Exchange Street

1981

2005~2 ft

Page 7: Improving Flood Resiliency - UWSP · John Reimer Dane County Land & Water Resources Wisconsin Lakes Partnership Convention April 10, 2019 for the Yahara River Chain of Lakes (RCL)

Recent Lake Levels and FlowsW

ate

r Le

vel

(ft,

NG

VD

29

)

Flo

w(c

fs)

2011 2018Precipitation 50”30”

845.75(7 inches > 100 year)

848.52(10 inches > 100 year)

847.86(10 inches > 100 year)

Page 8: Improving Flood Resiliency - UWSP · John Reimer Dane County Land & Water Resources Wisconsin Lakes Partnership Convention April 10, 2019 for the Yahara River Chain of Lakes (RCL)

Mendota

Monona

Waubesa

Kegonsa

Integrated Observations & ModelsFlow Gage

Lake Level Gage

Page 9: Improving Flood Resiliency - UWSP · John Reimer Dane County Land & Water Resources Wisconsin Lakes Partnership Convention April 10, 2019 for the Yahara River Chain of Lakes (RCL)

Hydrology

Mendota

Monona

Waubesa

Kegonsa

Integrated Observations & ModelsFlow Gage

Lake Level Gage

Kegonsa

Waubesa

Monona

Mendota

Lake-RiverModel

Page 11: Improving Flood Resiliency - UWSP · John Reimer Dane County Land & Water Resources Wisconsin Lakes Partnership Convention April 10, 2019 for the Yahara River Chain of Lakes (RCL)

Loss

Mendota

Monona

Waubesa

Kegonsa

Bu

ildin

g R

isk

(USD

Th

ou

san

ds)

Return Period

10 Day, 250 RP

10 Day, 10 RP

$

Reimer and Wu, 2016Flood RiskScenarios

Are we prepared for tomorrow’s flood?

Page 12: Improving Flood Resiliency - UWSP · John Reimer Dane County Land & Water Resources Wisconsin Lakes Partnership Convention April 10, 2019 for the Yahara River Chain of Lakes (RCL)

Flood Forecasts

June 16-23, 2014

Past Rainfall

Forecast Rainfall

Watershed0 5 10 15 20 25

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Time (hr)

Dis

ch

arg

e (

cfs

)

Starkweather Creek Unit Hydrograph

Lake-River

Integrated Models

www.infosyahara.org

Page 13: Improving Flood Resiliency - UWSP · John Reimer Dane County Land & Water Resources Wisconsin Lakes Partnership Convention April 10, 2019 for the Yahara River Chain of Lakes (RCL)

Flood

Lake Mendota

Lake Monona

Lake Waubesa

Lake Kegonsa

Warning

Page 14: Improving Flood Resiliency - UWSP · John Reimer Dane County Land & Water Resources Wisconsin Lakes Partnership Convention April 10, 2019 for the Yahara River Chain of Lakes (RCL)

Science Driven Lake Level Management

• Characterize Flood RiskBuilding

Mendota 500 Year

Monona 500

Waubesa 500

Kegonsa 500

Building

250

10

250

Mixed

LOSS RISKCOMMER Procedure

• Develop Flood Forecast and Warning

Vulnerability Mitigation

Preparedness

Page 15: Improving Flood Resiliency - UWSP · John Reimer Dane County Land & Water Resources Wisconsin Lakes Partnership Convention April 10, 2019 for the Yahara River Chain of Lakes (RCL)

New Development:Improve Flood Resiliency

➢ Reduce the Number of Flood Disasters

➢ If Flood Disaster, Recover Quickly Approach

Technical Work Group Policy Task Force

Feb 1, 2019 Mar 18, 2019

Page 16: Improving Flood Resiliency - UWSP · John Reimer Dane County Land & Water Resources Wisconsin Lakes Partnership Convention April 10, 2019 for the Yahara River Chain of Lakes (RCL)

Scenarios

Adaptation

Mitigation

a. Lower Lake Mendota one foot (flood storage or maintain lower)

b. Safely Manage Lake Mendota at 100 year water level

c. Remove all dams from the Yahara Lakes

a. Bridge Modificationsb. Yahara River Dredgingc. Flow Reroute and Pumpingd. Combined (b) and (c)

https://lwrd.countyofdane.com/Yahara-Chain-of-Lakes-Lake-Levels-Task-Force

Page 17: Improving Flood Resiliency - UWSP · John Reimer Dane County Land & Water Resources Wisconsin Lakes Partnership Convention April 10, 2019 for the Yahara River Chain of Lakes (RCL)

Adaptation – Lower Lake Mendota

Flood Storage or Maintain Lower

-2”

-2”

-2”

-0.5”

Page 18: Improving Flood Resiliency - UWSP · John Reimer Dane County Land & Water Resources Wisconsin Lakes Partnership Convention April 10, 2019 for the Yahara River Chain of Lakes (RCL)

Mitigation – Yahara River Dredging

-12”

-11”

-6”

-7”

Cross Section

847.2

846.0