lean estimation and planning workshop
DESCRIPTION
I ran this 2hr workshop at Lean Agile Scotland in September 2014. These slides are complimented by practical hands-on exercises to help participants learn the basic essentials of planning and tracking a Lean or Agile software delivery. How long will it take? How much will it cost? The two questions that constantly haunt development teams. This session is in two parts. Part one is how to estimate before the project has even started - normally in the context of when you're building the business case to secure funding for the project to proceed. Part two then covers the detail of how to size, estimate, plan, and track progress once funding has been secured and the project has started. This is an instructor led hands-on workshop where attendees will work out how much a phantom project will cost and when it will be complete.TRANSCRIPT
LEAN ESTIMATION & PLANNING
IANCARROLL.COMImage credit: Trish2, http://trish2.deviantart.com/art/Crystal-Ball-1-48409990
@Caza_no7
IAN
CA
RR
OL
L.C
OM
ABOUT ME:I’m a Transformation Ninja, not an Agile Coach or a Project Manager
I run a Code Club every Tuesday afternoon teaching 9-11yr old kids how to code
Software Development is my life but I don’t code any more
@Caza_no7
LEAN ESTIMATION & PLANNING
IANCARROLL.COMImage credit: Trish2, http://trish2.deviantart.com/art/Crystal-Ball-1-48409990
@Caza_no7
PART 1
CONVERSATION #1
How long will it take?
CONVERSATION #1
How long will it take?
CONVERSATION #1
How long will it take?
CONVERSATION #2
THE MANAGER
THE DEVELOPER
Vs
How much will it cost?
Expected benefit? £ ______.__
Write down one form of benefit per
post-it note
Expected benefit? £ ______.__
Maximum investment?£ _____.__
ROI
1,000,000
250,000
1 x PM4 x Dev1 x BA1 x QA1 x UX
1 x PM1 x TL12 x Dev2 x BA2 x QA1 x UX1 x DBA
2 x Dev1 x BA/QA
£300/day/person
55 weeks
20 weeks
8 weeks
Maximum investment?£ _____.__250,000
10 Wks 20 Wks 30 Wks 40 Wks 50 Wks 60 Wks 70 Wks
Window of opportunity
HOW MUCH WILL IT COST?HOW LONG WILL IT TAKE?
WHAT IS IT?
PART 2
1Business Vision
2Customer Experience
3Technical Vision
4Story Writing
5Sizing
6Planning
INCEPTION / DISCOVERY
FEATURE 2FEATURE 1FEATURE 1 FEATURE 3 FEATURE 4 FEATURE 5 FEATURE 6
R1
R2
R3
R4
R 5
INCEPTION OUTPUT
SMALL MEDIUM LARGE X-LARGE
STORY SIZING
SMALL (1) MEDIUM (2) LARGE (4) X-LARGE (8)
VELOCITY ESTIMATION
2 WEEKS 2 WEEKS 2 WEEKS 2 WEEKS 2 WEEKS
2 WEEKS 2 WEEKS 2 WEEKS 2 WEEKS 2 WEEKS
8 7 9 8 99 7 1
013
9~9pts per 2 weeks, 116pts
total, how long?
1 x PM4 x Dev1 x BA1 x QA1 x UX
1 x PM1 x TL12 x Dev2 x BA2 x QA1 x UX1 x DBA
2 x Dev1 x BA/QA
£300/day/person
55 weeks
20 weeks
8 weeks
Maximum investment?£ _____.__250,000
10 Wks 20 Wks 30 Wks 40 Wks 50 Wks 60 Wks 70 Wks
Window of opportunity
Post inception view
GO OR NO GO?
DOING DONETO DO
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
# C
ard
s
Iteration # (1 week iterations)
Total Scope
Velocity
Estimated
Forecast
1/10/2
014
1/15/2
014
1/20/2
014
1/25/2
014
1/30/2
014
2/4/2
014
2/9/2
014
2/14/2
014
2/19/2
014
2/24/2
014
3/1/2
014
3/6/2
014
3/11/2
014
3/16/2
014
3/21/2
014
3/26/2
014
3/31/2
014
4/5/2
014
4/10/2
014
4/15/2
014
4/20/2
014
4/25/2
014
4/30/2
014
5/5/2
014
5/10/2
014
5/15/2
014
5/20/2
014
5/25/2
014
5/30/2
014
6/4/2
014
6/9/2
014
6/14/2
014
6/19/2
0140
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Total Scopes-curve
VARIATION (RISK)
The Coin Game
Worker
Manager
WorkerManager
ManagerWorker
ManagerWorker
Customer
1
2 3
4
#NoEstimates
SUMMARY
OUTPUTVS
OUTCOME
IANCARROLL.COM@Caza_no7