mini-mba (1)

© Robert Magee, Kellogg School of Management 2008

Understanding and UsingFinancial Statements

Mini-MBA

Robert P. Magee

8 September 2008


Agenda

• Review of financial statement relationships

– “Plumbing”

– Reporting conventions

– Producing reports

• Financial analysis

– Ratios

– Reverse engineering


The Balance Sheet

• “Snapshot” at a point in time• Levels of Assets

– Resources listed by type

• Levels of Liabilities and Shareholders Equity– Claims on resources

– Fixed claims (liabilities)

– Flexible claims (shareholders equity)


The Income Statement

• Flows of resources (net assets)– Over a period of time

– Resulting from operations

• Revenues reflect inflows of resources• Expenses reflect outflows of resources• Try to separate ongoing amounts from infrequent

amounts


The Statement of Cash Flows

• Flows of Cash– Over a period of time

– Three classifications• Operations

• Investing

• Financing

• Two methods of presentation for Operations– Direct – easy to understand

– Indirect – what everyone reports!


The Accounting Model (BS)

ASSETS = LIAB'S + SHAREHOLDERS EQUITYContr'd Ret'd

Cash A/R Inv PPE,net = A/P Capital Earnings

0 0 0 0 0 0 0


The Accounting Model (BS+IS)

ASSETS = LIAB'S + SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITYContr'd Ret'd

Cash A/R Inv PPE,net = A/P Capital Earnings Revenue Expense

0 0 0 0 0 0 0


The Accounting Model (BS+IS+SCF)

ASSETS = LIAB'S + SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITYContr'd Ret'd

Opns Invstg Fincg Cash A/R Inv PPE,net = A/P Capital Earnings Revenue Expense

0 0 0 0 0 0 0


Accounting Measurement Principles

• Timing of revenue recognition– Revenue must have been “earned”

– Amount to be received can be estimated with reasonable certainty

• Timing of expense recognition

– Match expenses with the revenues they produce

– Occasional conflict with accounting’s “conservatism” in the recognition of assets and liabilities


The Sage Company: Start

ASSETS = LIABILITIES + SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY

Ppd Acm Con'd Ret'd

Opns Invstg Fincg Cash A/R Inv Rent PPE Dep = A/P W/P STDt Tx/P LTDt Cap Earn Rev Exp

600 6500 2400 1900 -800 = 3000 100 1600 4600 1300


The Sage Company: 1-6


Ppd Acm Con'd Ret'd


600 6500 2400 1900 -800 = 3000 100 1600 4600 1300

1200 (1) 1200

3800 (2) 3800

-1800 -1800

3500 -3500 (3)

-1100 (4) -1100

-730 (5) -30 -700

-600 400 (6) -200


The Sage Company: 7-12


Ppd Acm Con'd Ret'd


600 6500 2400 1900 -800 = 3000 100 1600 4600 1300

1200 (1) 1200

3800 (2) 3800

-1800 -1800

3500 -3500 (3)

-1100 (4) -1100

-730 (5) -30 -700

-600 400 (6) -200

-800 800 (7)

10 -80 70 (8)

-150 (9) -150

2000 (10) 2000

-16 -1600 -1600 -16

(11) 374 -374

-80 (12) -80


The Sage Company


Ppd Acm Con'd Ret'd


600 6500 2400 1900 -800 = 3000 100 1600 4600 1300

1200 (1) 1200

3800 (2) 3800

-1800 -1800

3500 -3500 (3)

-1100 (4) -1100

-730 (5) -30 -700

-600 400 (6) -200

-800 800 (7)

10 -80 70 (8)

-150 (9) -150

2000 (10) 2000

-16 -1600 -1600 -16

(11) 374 -374

-80 (12) -80

SCF I/S


Financial Statements (flows)Statement of Cash FlowsOperations:

Cash receipts from customers $ 3,500Less:Payments to suppliers 1,100Payments to employees 730Payments for rent 600Payments for interest 16Cash from operations $ 1,054

Investing:Proceeds from disposals $10New fixtures and equipment (800)Cash from investing ($ 790)

Financing:Loan repayment (1,600)Proceeds from new loan 2,000Shareholder dividends (80)Cash from financing $ 320

Net change in cash $ 584Beginning cash balance 600Ending cash balance $ 1,184

Income StatementRevenue $ 3,800

Expenses:Cost of goods sold 1,800Salaries and wages 700Rent 200Depreciation 150 2,850

Operating income $ 950Interest expense 16

Income before taxes $ 934Tax expense 374

Net income $ 560


The Sage Company: Close ASSETS = LIABILITIES + SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY

Ppd Acm Con'd Ret'd


600 6500 2400 1900 -800 = 3000 100 1600 4600 1300

1200 (1) 1200

3800 (2) 3800

-1800 -1800

3500 -3500 (3)

-1100 (4) -1100

-730 (5) -30 -700

-600 400 (6) -200

-800 800 (7)

10 -80 70 (8)

-150 (9) -150

2000 (10) 2000

-16 -1600 -1600 -16

(11) 374 -374

-80 (12) -80

CL

1184 6800 1800 400 2620 -880 = 3100 70 0 374 2000 4600 1780


Balance Sheet (levels)

Assets Liabilities and shareholders equity

Cash $ 1,184 Accounts payable $ 3,100Accounts receivable 6,800 Salaries and wages payable 70Inventory 1,800 Tax payable 374Prepaid rent 400 Current Liabilities $ 3,544

Current Assets $ 10,184 Long-term loan 2,000Fixtures and equipment at cost 2,620 Common Stock, $1 par 300

Accumulated depreciation (880) Additional paid-in-capital 4,300Plant and equipment, net 1,740 Retained earnings 1,780

Total Assets $ 11,924 Total liabilities and shareholders equity $ 11,924

Balance Sheet July 31, 2000


Reconcile Cash Flow and Income

Statement of Cash Flows-IndirectOperations:

Net income $ 560Adjustments:

Depreciation addback 150Less:

A/R increase (300)Prepaid rent increase (400)Wages Payable decrease (30)

Plus:Inventory decrease 600A/P increase 100Tax payable increase 374

Cash from operations $ 1,054

Statement of Cash FlowsOperations:

Cash receipts from customers $ 3,500Less:Payments to suppliers 1,100Payments to employees 730Payments for rent 600Payments for interest 16Cash from operations $ 1,054

Investing:Proceeds from disposals $10New fixtures and equipment (800)Cash from investing ($ 790)

Financing:Loan repayment (1,600)Proceeds from new loan 2,000Shareholder dividends (80)Cash from financing $ 320

Net change in cash $ 584Beginning cash balance 600Ending cash balance $ 1,184


Key to Reading Financial Reports

Understanding the real activities and how they are reflected in financial reports is the key to effective reading of the reports.

ORGANIZATION Financial Financing Reporting Collections Purchasing B/S Production I/S Payments SCF Selling Fn’s Financial Statement Analysis


The Current Ratio

The Current Ratio compares the pool of resources that are expected to become cash within the year to the obligations that must be met within the year.

Current AssetsCurrent Ratio =

Current Liabilities

Walgreens’ Current Ratios

2007 2006


Other Liquidity Ratios

Quick ratio = (Current assets – inventory) ÷ Current liabilities

A/R turnover = Sales revenue ÷ Average A/R

Days receivables = Average A/R ÷ (Sales revenue ÷ 365)

Inventory turnover = Cost of goods sold ÷ Average inventory

Days inventory = Average inventory ÷ (Cost of goods sold ÷ 365)

A/P turnover = Cost of goods sold ÷ Average A/P

Days payables = Average A/P ÷ (Cost of goods sold ÷ 365)

Cash operating cycle = Days receivables + Days inventory – Days payables

Days to flame-out = (Cash + Marketable securities) ÷ (-Free cash flow ÷ 365)


The Total Debt to Total Equity Ratio

One measure of the firm’s ability to meet its long-term fixed commitments relates the size of the fixed obligations (liabilities) to the size of the shareholders’ residual claim.

Total LiabilitiesDebt to Equity Ratio =

Shareholders’ Equity

Walgreens’ D/E Ratios

2007 2006


Return on Common Shareholders’ EquityProfitability measures often use a “return on investment” notion so that the accomplishments (profits) are related to the resources provided (investment).

Net Profit to Common1

Return on Shareholders’ Equity = Average Common Shareholders’

Equity

Walgreens’ ROE

2007

1 Net profit to common equals net income minus any dividends to outstanding preferred stock.


Other Profitability Ratios

Earnings per share

= Net profit to common ÷ Average common shares outstanding

Gross margin = Gross profit ÷ Sales revenue

Return on sales (Profit margin) = Net income ÷ Sales revenue

Total asset turnover = Sales revenue ÷ Average total assets

Return on assets (pre-tax) = EBIT1 ÷ Average total assets

Return on assets

= {Net income + (1-tax rate)*Interest expense} ÷ Average assets

1 EBIT is defined as earnings before interest and tax expense.

Ratios Tell A Story: 2005

• Airline company

• Automobile manufacturer

• Pharmaceutical company

• Commercial bank

• Computer and office equipment manufacturer

• Discount general-merchandise store chain

• Electric utility

• Fast-food chain

• Wholesale food distributor

• Supermarket chain

• Internet retailer

• Specialized staffing services company

• Software development company


1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Year-end Dec Jun Dec Dec Dec Jan Dec Oct Dec Feb Dec Jan Dec

Cash 2.4 69.7 14.2 34.7 3.8 4.6 54.1 18.2 35.9 7.4 25.6 11.4 0.3

Receivables 2.2 7.1 4.5 34.2 3.8 1.4 7.4 15.6 6.7 7.5 65.7 4.4 5.2

Inventory 17.6 -- 2.0 -- 9.5 24.5 15.3 9.1 3.6 16.4 0.0 1.8 1.5

Other current assets 1.3 5.5 2.1 8.2 20.1 1.5 2.4 13.0 2.2 2.6 0.5 4.4 4.2

Total current assets 23.5 82.3 22.9 77.1 37.2 32.0 79.2 55.8 48.0 33.9 91.9 22.0 11.2

Net plant and equip 57.7 4.3 63.0 8.4 35.2 57.0 9.4 9.1 4.0 35.1 1.8 67.6 72.2

Goodwill 15.2 4.9 -- 12.6 0.9 9.0 4.3 20.8 31.4 25.9 2.1 3.8 --

Other 3.5 8.6 14.1 1.9 26.7 2.0 7.0 14.3 4.5 5.1 4.3 6.7 16.6

Total assets 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 15.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

Accts payable 13.7 1.7 2.6 6.7 7.2 18.0 37.0 13.0 2.2 17.7 64.1 5.5 4.8

Short-term debt 4.5 -- 0.6 0.1 18.1 6.5 0.1 2.6 6.7 1.6 4.0 0.3 2.5

Other 8.9 18.0 18.1 18.7 17.5 11.2 15.2 24.7 20.0 6.7 7.1 11.2 5.1

Total current liabilities 27.1 19.7 21.3 25.5 42.8 35.7 52.2 40.3 28.9 26.0 75.2 16.9 12.4

Long-term debt 35.6 -- 64.9 0.2 22.0 19.7 41.2 3.9 11.1 25.2 14.5 17.9 28.8

Other 6.1 3.9 54.6 0.6 17.0 3.6 -- 6.5 20.0 8.9 1.3 5.3 27.4

Total liabilities 68.8 23.6 140.9 26.4 81.9 58.9 93.3 50.6 60.0 60.0 91.0 40.2 68.6

Preferred stock -- -- 2.1 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 1.0

Common Stock 22.0 55.3 11.4 66.4 5.4 2.4 61.4 28.6 15.8 4.2 3.0 12.2 11.0

Treasury stock -24.7 -95.2 -7.7 -- -- -- -- -- -60.2 -4.9 -1.2 -8.7 -4.5

Retained earnings 33.9 116.3 -46.7 7.2 12.7 38.7 -54.7 20.8 84.4 40.7 7.2 56.3 23.9

Total owners' equity 31.2 76.4 -40.9 73.6 18.1 41.1 6.7 49.4 40.0 40.0 9.0 59.8 31.4

Total liab. and equity 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

Return on sales 1.5% 30.7% -20.8% 7.1% 1.9% 3.6% 4.2% 2.3% 22.7% 2.0% 31.0% 5.9% 7.5%

Asset turnover 2.44 0.81 0.94 2.53 0.74 2.40 2.30 1.13 0.49 3.11 0.05 1.10 0.44

Return on assets 3.6% 24.7% -19.5% 18.0% 1.4% 8.5% 9.7% 2.6% 11.2% 6.1% 1.5% 6.5% 3.3%

Financial leverage 3.20 1.31 NA 1.36 5.53 2.43 15.02 2.03 2.48 2.50 11.14 1.67 3.18

Return on equity 11.4% 32.3% NA 24.5% 7.8% 20.8% 145.9% 5.3% 27.8% 15.4% 16.4% 1.1% 10.4%

Current ratio 0.87 0.04 1.07 0.03 0.87 0.90 1.52 1.39 1.66 1.30 1.22 1.30 0.91

Receivable collection 3 32 18 49 19 2 12 50 50 9 5055 14 44

Inventory turnover 9.9 NA NA NA 6.4 7.5 11.4 7.6 3.1 16.2 NA 31.8 15.4

Gross margin 28.9% 95.3% NA 41.1% 17.9% 22.9% 24.0% 23.2% 77.3% 14.6% NA 33.9% 47.6%

Dividend payout 8.0% 0.5% NA 20.2% 55.3% 21.6% 0.0% 50.0% 60.0% 20.7% 51.3% 29.5% 54.8%

Revenue growth 7.2% 17.9% 8.9% 24.7% 5.4% 11.3% 22.7% 8.8% -4.3% -3.3% 21.4% 4.1% 15.8%

R&D ratio NA 18.6% NA NA 3.8% NA NA 4.0% 17.5% NA NA NA NA


Ratios Tell A Story - Two Lessons

• Ratios are only meaningful when compared to an appropriate benchmark. Comparing ratios of firms from the same industry, with similar strategies, is useful. A firm can provide its own comparison using prior periods if there have been no significant changes in its operations or policies.

• What we have done is to picture how a particular type of company (e.g., a grocery chain or an electric utility) would be reflected in its financial statements. The next step is to picture how a well-run company would be reflected in its financial statements, relative to a poorly-run company.


What Happens When “Hide” Trouble?

• Standard “Red Flags”1

– Net income much higher than operating cash flow– Big differences between tax income and book income– Unsustainable sales– “Reserves”– Asset overstatements (a.k.a. Deferred expenses)– Purchased profits– Growing inventory and/or receivables– Write-offs– Cutbacks in “soft” investments

1 G. Morgensen. “When a Rosy Picture Should Raise a Red Flag” New York Times July 18, 1999.

Reverse Engineering Exercise


Financial Reporting Issues

• Revenue recognition timing – product characteristics

• Accounts receivable valuation – use of estimates

• Inventory – margin and operating analysis

• Noncurrent operating assets – intellectual property

• Financial assets – multiple methods

• Liabilities

• Leases – off-balance-sheet financing

• Shareholders equity – options

• Regulatory changes – movement to IFRS


mini-mba (1)

Documents

financing net change

loan repayment proceeds

investing financing

goods sold 365

shareholders

term debt

net profit

equity contr