osman yılmaz - turkcell
TRANSCRIPT
Financial Highlights
Capital Markets Day 2019
Osman Yılmaz
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72
Capital Markets Day 2019Financial Highlights
My Agenda For Today
Financial Targets1
Key Priorities of Turkcell Finance2
Sustainable Revenue Growth
Capital Markets Day 2019Financial Highlights
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13%-16%
TurkcellGroup
13%-16%
12%-15%
16%-19%
FY20-FY22 Guidance(CAGR)
TURKCELLTURKEY
TURKCELLINTERNATIONAL
OTHERSUBSIDIARIES
ARPU Growth
Customer GrowthDigital Business
Solutions
life :) 4GTechfin
SolutionsEnergy
Business
Digital servicesusage growth
Rising 4Gusage
Digital Services
EBITDA & EBIT Margin Outlook
Capital Markets Day 2019Financial Highlights
TURKCELL GROUP
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FY20-FY22 Guidance
32% 32% 35%41%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E
19% 17% 21% 21%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E
EBITDA Margin (%)
EBIT Margin (%)
39%-42%
18%-21%
41%-42%
20%-21%
9511,092 1,019
829
20.3%23.0%
21.0%18.5%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E 2022E
Operational Capex* (US$ mn) Op. Capex / Sales* (%)
Capital Expenditures
Capital Markets Day 2019Financial Highlights
*Excluding license 75
MOBILENETWORK
FIBER INFRASTRUCTURE
DATACENTERINVESTMENTS
RENEWABLE ENERGYINVESTMENTS
Capex kept under control despite the currency headwinds
16%-18%FY20-FY22 Guidance
~2pp FX impact
~18%
Turkcell Finance Key Priorities
Capital Markets Day 2019Financial Highlights
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InflationaryPricing
Effective Balance Sheet
Risk Management
Strong Free Cash Flow
Generation
Efficient Capital Allocation
Inflationary Pricing
Capital Markets Day 2019Financial Highlights
100 105113
119 118 119126 124
129134
149144 147
157
175
100 101 103 105110 113 114 118 122
127136
145 146 150 154
Q116
Q21
6
Q31
6
Q41
6
Q117
Q21
7
Q31
7
Q41
7
Q118
Q21
8
Q31
8
Q41
8
Q119
Q21
9
Q31
9
TCELL ARPU (exl. M2M) CPI
Q116
Q21
6
Q31
6
Q41
6
Q117
Q21
7
Q31
7
Q41
7
Q118
Q21
8
Q31
8
Q41
8
Q119
Q21
9
TCELL Operator 1 Operator 2
TURKCELL ARPU VS. CPI TREND MOBILE ARPU COMPARISONQ116=100Company and TUIK announcements
Q116=100Based on ICTA market report
Key for sustaininggrowth & margins
Secure ROI of projects & investments
Reflecting coststo the prices
ARPU growth above competition
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Effective Balance Sheet Risk Management
Capital Markets Day 2019Financial Highlights
294590
250 299
1,913
326
Q419 2020 2021 2022 2023+
FX Local Currency
620 590250 299
1,913
• US$1.9 Bn equivalent of cash holdings covers maturities until 2023• Strong free cash flow generation• Committed lines of US$100 million
• Almost all cash in hard currency • 50% of FX denominated debt is hedged• Hedging for whole maturity (principal & interest)
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LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT NET FX POSITION
Principal & Interest Payments1
(1) Data of Turkcell Group, excluding consumer finance business.
Dec15 Dec16 Dec18 Dec19
Short FX
position
Limited Short FX
position
Positive/Neutral FX
positionUS$ Mn
-0.1
-2.5 -2.2
-0.7
0.01
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E
4.5GInvestment period
Strong Free Cash Flow Generation
Capital Markets Day 2019Financial Highlights
FREE CASH FLOW GENERATION*21.3
2018 2019E 2022E
41.3%
2018 2019E 2022E
39%-42%
18.5%
2018 2019E 2022E
16%-18%
TRY BnSUSTAINABLEREVENUE GROWTH
PRESERVE OPERATIONAL PROFITABILITY
CAPEX UNDER CONTROL
TRY Bn
79
13%-16%
9M19 TRY1.5 Bn
*Free cash flow calculation includes EBITDA per IFRS reports and the following items as per cash flow statement of IFRS reports; acquisition of property, plant and equipment, acquisition of intangible assets, change in operating assets/liabilities, payment of lease liabilities and income tax paid as per cash flow statement of IFRS reports.The graph for the expected figures of FCF are illustrative.
Improving Leverage
Capital Markets Day 2019Financial Highlights
Improve leverage till the next investment cycle for 5G
NET DEBT/ EBITDA
1.3x1.4x
1.0x
0.6x
1.0x
0.7x
Dec-17 Dec-18 Sep-19 Dec-22E
Net Debt/EBITDA Net Debt/EBITDA*
80
• Deleveraging of consumer finance business
• Consumer loan portfolio to decline to ~TRY2.5 billion YE 2019
• Strong cash flow generation
• EUR353 million of proceeds from Fintur stake sale
*Excludes Turkcell’s Consumer Finance Company’s loan portfolioNet Debt/EBITDA trend after September 2019 is illustrative.
Efficient Capital Allocation
Capital Markets Day 2019Financial Highlights
Reduce funding needsin capex heavy traditional business
Invest in new high growth areas
Global Telco Industry Challenges
Flow of funds
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Turkcell’sResponses
Digital services (TV, music, etc.)
Techfin services
ICT solutions (datacenter, cloud etc.)
IPO/M&A activities
Infrastructure sharing
Sell & leaseback transactions
Heavyinvestment
need
Slowrevenuegrowth
Improve returns over WACC81
Paycell: Turkey’s Leading Techfin Company
Capital Markets Day 2019Financial Highlights
POTENTIAL ACTIONS
• Established in 2015, fully owned by Turkcell
• Standalone payment and e-money company
• Payment institution and e-money licenses from BRSA
• Mobile payment solutions in several verticals
• Share know-how
• Invest jointly
• Diversify risk
STRATEGIC PARTNER
INORGANIC GROWTH
• Acquire local techfin companies
to expand vertical solutions
• Look for synergies
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Turkcell Superonline: Turkey’s Fastest Fiber
Capital Markets Day 2019Financial Highlights
548900
1,2762,070
2015 2016 2017 2018
1,7192,429
3,2104,076
2015 2016 2017 2018
NET REVENUE TREND EBITDA TREND TRY Mn TRY Mn
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• 45 thousand km rollout, 21 cities
• 1.5 Mn fiber customers
• Data speed up to 10Gbps
• Infrastructure sharing (Turksat & Vodafone)
• 3.5 Mn fiber homepass
INITIAL PUBLIC OFFERING
• More transparent articulation
of equity story
• Diversify risk
• Invest jointly
• Share know-how
STRATEGICPRE-IPO PARTNER
INORGANIC GROWTH
• Acquire local or regional fiber assets,
smart-home and security companies
• Look for synergies
INFRASTRUCTURE SHARING
• Asset light model
POTENTIAL ACTIONS
Global Tower: Turkey’s First & Only TowerCo
Capital Markets Day 2019Financial Highlights
Note: Tower portfolio includes owned and managed towers and towers for which contract management services are provided.
68 112 139223
2015 2016 2017 2018
168 212 257338
2015 2016 2017 2018
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NET REVENUE TREND EBITDA TREND TRY Mn TRY Mn
• First and only TowerCo of Turkey
• Tower portfolio of 10,878 (owned + right of use)
• Regional player operating in 4 countries
• Long term, visible revenue stream & strong profitability • More transparent articulation of equity story
POTENTIAL ACTIONS
INFRASTRUCTURE SHARING
INITIAL PUBLIC OFFERING
• Asset light model
Tenancy ratio
1.7x
87207
346
803
2015 2016 2017 2018
Datacenters: Largest White Space Capacity in Turkey
Capital Markets Day 2019Financial Highlights
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• 111k m2 datacenter space
• 33.5k m2 white space
• 8 locations
• Ankara datacenter: 44k m2 datacenter space, 12k m2 white space
• Gebze datacenter: 33k m2 datacenter space, 10k m2 white space
• İzmir datacenter: 15k m2 datacenter space, 2.4k m2 white space
CUMULATIVE DATACENTER INVESTMENTS
TRY Mn
• Asset light model
FUTURE FUNDING
SELL AND LEASE BACK
FREE CASH FLOW GENERATION
Capital Markets Day 2019Financial Highlights
Road Ahead: 2020-2022 Ambitions
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REVENUE GROWTH (CAGR) 13%-16%
EBITDA MARGIN 39%-42%
OP.CAPEX/SALES* 16%-18%
EBIT MARGIN 18%-21%
*Excluding license
2020-2022
Capital Markets Day 2019
Notice
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the SafeHarbor provisions of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. This includes, in particular, our targets for revenue, EBITDA, EBIT and capex in 2019 or for the medium term 2020to 2022. More generally, all statements other than statements of historical facts included in this presentation, including, without limitation, certain statements regarding the launch of newbusinesses, our operations, financial position and business strategy may constitute forward-looking statements. In addition, forward-looking statements generally can be identified by thewritten or oral use of forward-looking terminology such as, among others, "will," "expect," "intend," "estimate," "believe", "continue" and “guidance”.
Although Turkcell believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable at this time, it can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to becorrect. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to us are expressly qualified in their entirety by reference to these cautionary statements. For a discussionof certain factors that may affect the outcome of such forward looking statements, see our most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the U.S. Securities and ExchangeCommission, and in particular the risk factor section therein. We undertake no duty to update or revise any forward looking statements, whether as a result of new information, futureevents or otherwise.
This presentation includes business and market information derived from public sources and our own estimates that we believe is indicative of trends in our business and markets, but thathas not necessarily been prepared under our generally applied accounting standards and has been subject to adjustments, and thus should not be relied upon as conclusive. Thispresentation also contains Non-GAAP financial measures, notably EBITDA, which is not a measure of financial performance under IFRS and is not a substitute for net earnings (loss) as ameasure of performance. The Company makes no representation as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this presentation, which remains subject toverification, completion and change. No responsibility or liability is or will be accepted by the Company or any of its subsidiaries, board members, officers, employees or agents as to or inrelation to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this presentation or any other written or oral information made available to any interested party or its advisers.
Please note that all financial data are consolidated whereas non-financial data are unconsolidated unless otherwise specified. In the charts or tables used in this presentation totals maynot foot due to rounding differences. The figures used in this presentation are rounded.
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