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Renewable Energy
Corporation
1 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | January 2010
RENEWABLE ENERGY CORPORATION ASA
SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar
SVP Jon André Løkke
Copenhagen, January 8, 2010
Renewable Energy
Corporation
2 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | December 2009
DISCLAIMERThis Presentation includes and is based, inter alia, on forward-looking information and statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ. These statements and this Presentation are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about global economic conditions, the economic conditions of the regions and industries that are major markets for REC ASA and REC ASA’s (including subsidiaries and affiliates) lines of business. These expectations, estimates and projections are generally identifiable by statements containing words such as ”expects”, ”believes”, ”estimates” or similar expressions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expectations include, among others, economic and market conditions in the geographic areas and industries that are or will be major markets for REC’s businesses, energy prices, market acceptance of new products and services, changes in governmental regulations, interest rates, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and such other factors as may be discussed from time to time in the Presentation. Although REC ASA believes that its expectations and the Presentation are based upon reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that those expectations will be achieved or that the actual results will be as set out in the Presentation. REC ASA is making no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Presentation, and neither REC ASA nor any of its directors, officers or employees will have any liability to you or any other persons resulting from your use.
This presentation was prepared for SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar January 8, 2010. Information contained within will not be updated. The following slides should be read and considered in connection with the information given orally during the presentation.
The REC shares have not been registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Act"), and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an applicable exemption from the registration requirements of the Act.
Renewable Energy
Corporation
RIGHT HERE IN CALIFORNIA
Residential home with 61 REC solar panels installed in Monterey, California. Annual capacity: 19 435 kWh13.1 tons of CO2 saved annually
WHY IS SOLAR ATTRACTIVE?
Renewable Energy
Corporation
4 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | December 2009
The world needs more energySupply of different energy sourcesExajoule
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 2090 2100
Nuclear
Renewables
Natural Gas
Oil
Coal
Source: The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), SRES (Special Report on Emission Scenarios), Alt. 1
Definition: exajoule (EJ) is a unit of energy, 1018 joules, often used as unit of measure for world annual energy use
Renewable Energy
Corporation
5 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | December 2009
The sun supplies “virtually” unlimited energyE
quiv
alen
t sto
ck o
f ene
rgy
sour
ce Uranium
Natural gas
Oil
Coal
Annual energy demand
Fact: There is more energy delivered by the sun in one hour than what is consumed by the world’s population in one year
Solar power
Renewable Energy
Corporation
6 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | December 2009
Solar energy produced at point of consumption
➔The price of electricity includes generation cost as well as transmission cost
➔Solar energy has the advantage that it can be produced near, or at the point of consumption
➔Price comparisons should therefore be determined at the point of use
DISTRIBUTION
Power plant High voltage grid Transformer Low voltage grid Customer
Renewable Energy
Corporation
7 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | December 2009
Majority of the world’s population lives within the sunbelt
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 >8.5
Source: NASA Surface meteorology
kWh/m2/day
Definition:The sunbelt is defined as equator +/- 30°
Renewable Energy
Corporation
8 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | January 2010
The concept of grid parity
Source: BP Solar
Time
Pric
e
GRID PARITY
2010
Renewable Energy
Corporation
9 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | December 2009
Grid parity status
*Amount generated by a south-facing 1kWp module in 1 year (function of solar intensity)Source: Eurostat; PV Policy group; PG&E; CIA country files; Public policy Institute New York; McKinsey&Company, RECAssumptions: 2007 electricity prices
Solar energy at €3 installed
900800 1 000 1 100 1 200 1 300 1 400 1 500 1 7001 600 1 800 1 900 2 000 2 100
0.10
0.30
0.40
Aver
age
pric
e fo
r hou
seho
lds
(EU
R/k
Wh)
0.20
€4 €5 €6 €7
Finland
South Korea
China IndiaGreece
FranceGermany
Japan
New York
Spain
Australia
Texas
CaliforniaHawaii
Italy
UK
California-Tier 5
NorwaySweden
Netherlands
California-Tier 4
Annual solar yield (kWH/kWp)*
€3
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10 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | December 2009
Current status in key solar markets
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
E
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
E
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
E
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
E
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
E
USA (MW)
Germany (MW)
Spain (MW) Italy (MW)
Japan (MW)
Source: Commerzbank Corporates & Markets
Renewable Energy
Corporation
RIGHT HERE IN ALICANTE
REC panels installed in a power plant in Alicante, Spain. System size of 8 MW, powering 4 896 households
WHAT SOLAR CAN DELIVER
Renewable Energy
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12 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | December 2009
“PV electricity can provide up to 12% of the EU electricity demand by 2020, from less than 1% today, provided the right conditions are created by EU policy makers, national governments and energy industry stakeholders, including the PV sector”
A 12% market share for PV is a demanding, but achievable and desirable objective, not only for Europe but for the world as a whole
Set for 2020 ”Solar Photovoltaic Electricity: A mainstream power source in Europe by 2020”, EPIA
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13 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | December 2009
Exeptional growth in installed capacityHistorical development of Global cumulative PV power installed
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
16 000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
MW
Source: Global market outlook for photovoltaics until 2013, EPIA
Renewable Energy
Corporation
14 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | December 2009
The cost of solar energy is consistently decreasingHistorical module learning curve
1
10
100
0 10 1001 1,000 10,000 100,000
PV M
odul
epr
ices
USD
/Wp
Cumulative Module Production (MWp)
1980
1990
2000
2006
Renewable Energy
Corporation
Renewable Energy
CorporationDEVELOPMENT OF REC
Renewable Energy
Corporation
16 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | December 2009
An integrated PV company originating in Norway
➔ Presence across the solar value chain creates strategic opportunities
➔ Cost reductions continue to be realized through:- Transparent cost structure- Technology development and synergies- Applying best practices
REC Silicon REC Wafer REC SolarCells Modules Systems
Chemical process Casting and cutting Surface treatment Assembly Project development
Renewable Energy
Corporation
17 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | December 2009
Start production in
ScanCell
Start production in ScanWafer
Capacity expansions
Start production in ScanModule
EstablishedSolar Grade
Silicon
AquiredASiMI
AquiredSiTech
REC Group has grown with the industry
Renewable Energy
Corporation
18 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | December 2009
Close to NOK 30 billion in expansionsREC Silicon Capacity increase Ramp-up+ Moses Lake (Silicon III) 6,500 MT 2H’09
+ Moses Lake (Silicon IV)* 4,000 MT 2H’10
= Sum 10,500 MT
REC Wafer
+ Herøya III + IV 650 MW Q4’08-Q1’10
+ Glomfjord (multi) 100 MW Q2’08-Q4’08
+ Glomfjord (mono) 275 MW Q2’08-Q3’10
+ Singapore (Phase I) 740 MW Q2’10-Q2’11
= Sum 1,875 MW
REC Solar
+ Singapore (Phase I) (cell) 550 MW Q1’10-Q1’11
+ Singapore (Phase I) (module) 590 MW Q1’10-Q1’11
= Sum 550+590 MW
* In addition: 2,300 MT silane gas allocated to the merchant market
Renewable Energy
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19 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | January 2010
Photo: Moses Lake Silane Gas factory, Moses Lake, Washington, USA
Polysilicon: Total investment budget of USD >2 billion
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20 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | January 2010
Two alternative production technologies
Siemens Reactors:+ Silane based proven technology+ Produces ultra-pure polysilicon+ Meets a specific set of market needs- Higher energy consumption- Batch process- Needs additional product finishing to be usable
FBR Technology:+ Proprietary REC technology+ Energy efficient+ Continuous production+ Lower cost+ Granular poly is easy to handle- Ramping to commercial scale
Siemens Reactor Schematic FBR Reactor Schematic
Silane
Cooling medium
Cooling medium
Reactor outletReactor inlet
Electrical contact
Polysilicon rods
Renewable Energy
Corporation
21 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | January 2010
Photo: Singapore plant under construction
Singapore: Total investment budget of USD >2 billion
Cell ModuleWafer
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Winery with 228 REC solar panels installed in Barbaresco, Italy. Annual capacity 54 000 kWh26 tons of CO2 saved annually
RIGHT HERE IN ITALY
REC ENVIRONMENTAL FOOTPRINT
Renewable Energy
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23 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | December 2009
0 100 200 300 400 500
Combined Cycle Gas Turbine (CCGT)
CCGT + CO2*
Coal Gasification + CO2*
Nuclear
Biomass
Wind
Solar: Present
REC mondule w/FBR polysilicon
g CO2 Equivalent/kWh
The CO2 emission from solar energy is very lowLife-cycle greenhouse gas emissions
Carbon based
Nuclear
Other renewables
Solar
*CO2 capture and storage
Source: Annual Energy Review, U.S. Energy Information Administration
** REC today: very limited CO2 emissions based on currentlocations which largely utilize hydro power
**
Renewable Energy
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24 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | December 2009
➔Payback time of around one year- Energy payback is the time it takes
a solar panel to generate the same amount of energy that was used to produce it
➔For the remaining 24 years of its guaranteed lifetime, a solar panel will be ‘energy positive’
Solar energy payback timeEnergy payback timeNumber of Years
0
0,5
1
1,5
2
2,5
Mono 2005 Multi 2005 REC 2007 REC today
Source: Alsema et al. (EU Crystal Clear project), 21st European PV Conference, Dresden, 2006* With REC’s FBR polysilicon technology
*
Renewable Energy
Corporation
RIGHT HERE IN HAMBURG
Residential home with 32 REC solar panels installed in Hamburg, Germany. Annual capacity: 6 200 kWh4 tons of CO2 saved annually
MAIN FOCUS AREAS OF THE REC GROUP
Renewable Energy
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26 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | January 2010
A fast growing company like REC require significant efforts in building: competence and systems…
CUSTOMER SATISFACTIONBest safety – best quality
Shortest lead time – lowest cost
WASTE REDUCTION 0 DEFECTSPERFECT FLOW
R E C I D
STABILITY AND CONTINOUS
IMPROVEMENTS
CUSTOMER SATISFACTIONBest safety – best quality
Shortest lead time – lowest cost
WASTE REDUCTION 0 DEFECTSPERFECT FLOW WASTE REDUCTION 0 DEFECTSPERFECT FLOW
HSE & QUALITYRPS PRINCIPLES
PEOPLE
TECHNOLOGY
STABILITY & CONTINUOUS
IMPROVEMENTS
CUSTOMER SATISFACTIONBest safety – best quality
Shortest lead time – lowest cost
WASTE REDUCTION 0 DEFECTSPERFECT FLOW WASTE REDUCTION 0 DEFECTSPERFECT FLOW
R E C I DD
STABILITY AND CONTINOUS
IMPROVEMENTS
CUSTOMER SATISFACTIONBest safety – best quality
Shortest lead time – lowest cost
WASTE REDUCTION 0 DEFECTSPERFECT FLOW WASTE REDUCTION 0 DEFECTSPERFECT FLOW
HSE & QUALITYHSE & QUALITYRPS PRINCIPLESRPS PRINCIPLES
PEOPLE
TECHNOLOGY
STABILITY & CONTINUOUS
IMPROVEMENTS
...this should over time enable operational excellence to get the maximum cost potential out of our plants
Renewable Energy
Corporation
27 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | December 2009
Cutting costs with technologyCost cutting targets in REC
• Granular polysilicon(FBR) • Thinner
wafers• Thinner
sawing wire
• New furnace technology
• Increasing conversion efficiency
• Process technology
• Sourcing
Singapore and FBR is expected to establish a value chain cost position of <1 EUR/Wp*, from silicon through module
* Definition: Watt-peak (Wp) is a measure of power output, most often used in relation to photovoltaic solar energy devices
“World Class”
in2005
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28 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | December 2009
Cutting cost through scale and technology (growth in year-end capacity)Poly and sale of Silane gas* (MT)
Wafers(MW)
Modules(MW)
CAGR = ~40% CAGR = ~60% CAGR = ~95%
Capacity
Production
* Silane gas allocated for sale in the merchant market
Capacity
Production
Capacity
Production
Renewable Energy
Corporation
RIGHT HERE IN GADENDORF
Pig farm with 434 REC panels installed in Gadendorf, Germany. Annual capacity 78 000 kWh51 tons of CO2 saved annually
OUTLOOK
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30 © Copyright 2009 Renewable Energy Corporation ASA. All Rights Reserved | December 2009
Over capacity and continued price pressure in 2010Possible module supply based on Si-availability including thin-filmGW
* LBBW adjusted implies supply estimates adjusted for inventory requirements in value chain
MW 6.8 – 9.6 12.2 – 16.2 18.8 – 20.9
Demand: 5-6 GW
Demand: 7-10 GW
Renewable Energy
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“I'd put my money on the sun and solar energy. What a source of power! I hope we don't have to wait till oil and coal run out before we tackle that.”
Thomas Edison to his friends Henry Ford and Harvey Firestone (1931)