russia chassis market

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Demo-Version

Russia: Market of

Chassis for Cargo

Vehicles

Analysis and Forecast to 2017

December 2012

Marketing Research

http://www.russianmarketreport.com/

from 21 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Market Research Russia: Market of Chassis for Cargo Vehicles. December 2012 (Demo-version)

Brief Overview

The report on the Russian market of chassis for cargo vehicles contains:

Analysis and forecast of market dynamics;

Analysis of domestic production, market shares of the main market players;

Analysis of exports and imports;

Analysis of factors, influencing the development of the market;

Assessment and forecast of market development;

Financial and economic profiles of the leading companies in the industry.

Methodology:

Expert interviews with top managers of the largest players on the market;

Analysis of information, received from the main market participants;

An analysis of statistical information:

o Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat);

o The Federal Customs Service (FTS);

o The Ministry of Economic Development;

o The Federal Tax Service;

o Industry associations.

The report will allow you to:

1. Identify key indicators of the market, build your own business forecasts, based on

market data;

2. Evaluate the growth potential and threats in the market.

Key figures presented in the report on the Russian chassis for cargo vehicles

market:

Volumes of production, exports and imports;

Indicators of market development;

Consumption indicators.

The report contains 66 pages, 27 tables, 45 figures.

The report contains the consensus market forecast based on the average value of the

forecasts of market participants. As market experts are considered: manufacturers,

importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations and

unions, and trade publications. The experts, participating in the survey, are provided with

special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Why People Choose Us

• We have been professionals in marketing research for over 9 years, and have

completed over 1000 industry studies which are updated on a regular basis.

• We collect data via expert interviews with market participants. Industry experts

verify all secondary information used in the report.

• We have an extensive database of economic information in almost every sector of

the economy. Cross-analysis of related industries enables our clients to get a

complete picture of the market of interest.

• Our own research methodology guarantees the consistently high quality of our work.

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Research Design

The purpose of the study is to analyze the state of the Russian market of chassis for cargo

vehicles and build a forecast of the industry in the medium term.

Geography of the research: Russia

Methodology

1. Analysis of secondary market data:

Secondary data refers to data from the Internet (industry portals, competitors’ sites,

shopping sites, articles and reviews, reference materials), specialized publications, state and

private media companies, marketing agencies, commercial databases, “IndexBox

Marketing” own research.

2. Analysis of Materials from Market Participants (price lists, brochures, etc.):

Data collection from market participants is needed to analyze the specifics of the market

and the parties involved in it, their pricing and assortment policy. Data on market

participants is gathered during the analysis of secondary information, and also by sending

requests for price lists and other presentation materials.

3. Expert Interviews with Market Participants

The analysis of secondary information is completed by expert interviews with

representatives of market participant companies – manufacturers and trading companies.

Our approach to the estimation

The consensus market forecast is the average value of the forecasts of market participants

(experts).

Experts

As market experts are considered: manufacturers, importers, wholesale distributors, high-

volume consumers, professional associations and unions, and trade publications. Expert

opinions are collected during telephone interviews conducted by IndexBox on a regular

basis (the standard is every six months, but can be more often, based on a special request

or under conditions of high volatility in the market). IndexBox has created an extensive

database of experts within key industries. The experts, participating in the survey, are

provided with special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Accuracy of forecasts

The accuracy of forecasts is verified by experts in the given industry, based on the historical

period (3 years). In accordance with this accuracy, each expert weighs out the forecasts to

create the overall average forecast

Indicators

1. Consumption: Consumption is the main index estimated by our experts and features

the dynamics of consumption in real terms in the short to medium term. Experts give

an estimate of the potential volume of consumption in accordance with their

expectations and production plans (for manufacturers).

2. Internal production: It is based on the projected volume of consumption and production

capacity in any given industry, assessing, of course, and factoring in the dynamics of

domestic production.

3. Imports and Exports: Takes into account the retrospective dynamics of export-import

operations, strengths and weaknesses of the domestic production, changes in

legislation, the macroeconomic situation in the countries of the supplier (beneficiary) of

a product, an assessment of the dynamics of imports and exports.




Table of Contents 1. Executive summary

2. Research design

3. Description and characteristics of chassis for cargo vehicles

4. Characteristics of the Russian market of chassis for cargo vehicles

4.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian market of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2008

– 2011. Forecast for 2012 - 2017

4.2. Structure of the market of chassis for cargo vehicles: production, exports, imports,

consumption

5. Characteristics of the domestic production of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2008

- 2011

5.1. Volume and dynamics of the production of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2008 -

September 2012

5.2. Structure of production of chassis for cargo vehicles by Federal Districts of the

Russian Federation

5.3. Main manufacturers of chassis for cargo vehicles and their corresponding shares

5.3.1. LLC “Avotozavod “GAZ”

5.3.2. OJSC “KAMAZ”

5.3.3. AMO ZIL

6. Characteristics of prices of chassis for cargo vehicles

6.1. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of chassis for cargo vehicles

6.2. Manufacturers’ prices of chassis for cargo vehicles by Federal Districts of the

Russian Federation

7. Characteristics of the imports of chassis for cargo vehicles to the Russian

market

7.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of chassis for cargo vehicles

7.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imported chassis for cargo

vehicles on the territory of the Russian Federation

7.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the chassis for cargo vehicles, imported in

the Russian Federation

7.4. Russian companies, recipients of the imports of chassis for cargo vehicles

7.5. Structure of the imports of chassis for cargo vehicles by regions of the Russian

Federation

8. Characteristics of the Russian exports of chassis for cargo vehicles

9. Factors, influencing the development of the market of chassis for cargo vehicles

in Russia

9.1. State of the cargo trucks market

9.2. State of the construction industry

9.3. Revenues from retail trade

10. Characteristics of the consumption of chassis for cargo vehicles

10.1. Volume and dynamics of the consumption of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2008 –

2011. Forecast for 2012 -2017




10.2. Balance between production and consumption of chassis for cargo vehicles

11. Tendencies of development of the market of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2012

- 2017

11.1. Preconditions for the development of the Russian economy

11.2. Scenarios for development of the market of chassis for cargo vehicles

Appendix1. Profiles of the leading manufacturers

LLC “Avtozavod “GAZ”

OJSC “KAMAZ”

AMO ZIL

CJSC “Amur”

LLC “IVEKO – AMT”




List of tables

Table 1. Volume and dynamics of the market of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2008 - 2011

and forecast until 2017, in units

Table 2. Production of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2008 - September 2012, in units

Table 3. Production of chassis for cargo vehicles by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation in 2011, in units

Table 4. Volumes of production and market share of the main manufacturers of chassis for

cargo vehicles in 2011, in units

Table 5. Average manufacturers’ prices of chassis for cargo vehicles in the Russian

Federation in January 2010 - July 2012

Table 6. Dynamics of the imports of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2011, in units

Table 7. Dynamics of the imports of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2011, in thousands of USD

Table 8. Dynamics of the imports of chassis for cargo vehicles in January - July 2012, in

units

Table 9. Dynamics of the imports of chassis for cargo vehicles in January - July 2012, in

thousands of USD

Table 10. Volume of the imports of chassis for cargo vehicles by manufacturing countries in

2011, in units


2011, in thousands of USD


January - July 2012, in units


January - July 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 14. Volume of the imports of chassis for cargo vehicles by manufacturing companies

in 2011, in units


in 2011, in thousands of USD


in January - July 2012, in units


in January - July 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 18. Volume of the imports of chassis for cargo vehicles in the Russian Federation by

recipient companies in 2011, in units


recipient companies in 2011, in thousands of USD


recipient companies in January - July 2012, in units


recipient companies in January - July 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 22. Volume of the imports of chassis for cargo vehicles by regions of the Russian

Federation in 2011, in units


Federation in 2011, in thousands of USD





Federation in January - July 2012, in units


Federation in January - July 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 26. Index of the physical volume of retail trade and main goods sold in 2002 - 2011,

in % to the previous year

Table 27. Forecast of the balance between supply and demand on the market of chassis for

cargo vehicles in 2008 -2017, in units




List of Figures

Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the market of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2008 - 2011 and

forecast for 2012 - 2017, in units (base scenario)

Fig. 2. Volume of supply on the market of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2008 - 2011 and

forecast for 2012 - 2017, in billions of RUR (base scenario, forecast in manufacturers’ prices

as of July 2012)

Fig. 3. Dynamics and structure of the market of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2008 - 2011

and forecast until 2017, in units

Fig. 4. Structure of the market of chassis for cargo vehicles by origin in physical terms in

2011

Fig. 5. Production of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2011 - September 2012, in units

Fig. 6. Production of chassis for cargo vehicles in January 2010 - September 2012, in %, to

the analogical period of the previous year

Fig. 7. Production of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2008 - 2011, in units

Fig. 8. Structure of production of chassis for cargo vehicles by Federal Districts of the

Russian Federation in 2011 in physical terms

Fig. 9. Index of the average manufacturers’ prices of chassis for cargo vehicles in the

Russian Federation in January - July 2012

Fig. 10. Dynamics of the imports of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2011, in units and in %

Fig. 11. Dynamics of the imports of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2011, in thousands of USD

and in %

Fig. 12. Dynamics of the imports of chassis for cargo vehicles in January - July 2012, in

units and in %

Fig. 13. Dynamics of the imports of chassis for cargo vehicles in January - July 2012, in

thousands of USD and in %

Fig. 14. Structure of the imports of chassis for cargo vehicles in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing countries in 2011, in physical terms


manufacturing countries in 2011, in value terms


manufacturing countries in January - July 2012, in physical terms


manufacturing countries in January - July 2012, in value terms


manufacturing companies in 2011, in physical terms


manufacturing companies in 2011, in physical terms


manufacturing companies in January - July 2012, in physical terms


manufacturing companies in January - July 2012, in value terms


recipient companies in 2011 in physical terms





recipient companies in 2011 in value terms


recipient companies in January - July 2012, in physical terms


recipient companies in January - July 2012, in value terms

Fig. 26. Structure of the imports of chassis for cargo vehicles by regions of the Russian

Federation in 2011, in physical terms


Federation in 2011, in value terms


Federation in January - July 2012, in physical terms


Federation in January - July 2012, in value terms

Fig. 30. Volume of supply on the market of cargo vehicles in 2007 - 2016, in units

Fig. 31. Total construction volume of commissioned buildings in the Russian Federation in

2005 – 2011, in millions of cubic meters

Fig. 32. Structure of commissioned buildings in 2005 - 2011, in cubic meters

Fig. 33. Total construction volume of commissioned residential buildings in the Russian

Federation in 2005 – 2011, in millions of cubic meters

Fig. 34. Total construction volume of commissioned non-residential buildings in the Russian

Federation in 2005 – 2011, in millions of cubic meters

Fig. 35. Volume of commissioned multiple-flat residential buildings in 2005 - 2011, in

thousands of square meters

Fig. 36. Volume of commissioned individual residential buildings in 2005 - 2011, in

thousands of square meters

Fig. 37. Dynamics of consumption of chassis for cargo vehicles in the Russian Federation in

2008 - 2017, in units (base scenario)

Fig. 38. Dynamics of consumption of chassis for cargo vehicles in the Russian Federation in

2008 - 2017F, in billions of RUR (base scenario, in manufacturers’ prices as of July 2012)

Fig. 39. Forecast of the balance between supply and demand on the market of chassis for

cargo vehicles in 2008 -2017

Fig. 40. Base scenario for the development of the market of chassis for cargo vehicles in

2011 - 2017, in units

Fig. 41. Base scenario for the development of the market of chassis for cargo vehicles in

2011 - 2017, in billions of RUR (forecast in manufacturers’ prices as of July 2012)

Fig. 42. Conservative scenario for the development of the market of chassis for cargo

vehicles in 2011 - 2017, in units

Fig. 43. Conservative scenario for the development of the market of chassis for cargo

vehicles in 2011 - 2017, in billions of RUR (forecast in manufacturers’ prices as of July

2012)

Fig. 44. Pessimistic scenario for the development of the market of chassis for cargo vehicles

in 2011 – 2017, in units

Fig. 45. Pessimistic scenario for the development of the market of chassis for cargo vehicles

in 2011 - 2017, in billions of RUR (forecast in manufacturers’ prices as of July 2012)




Executive Summary

…

The volume of supply on the Russian market of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2012 was

almost … units, which is …% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted

that the volume of imported products on the market of chassis for cargo vehicles was …%.

The volume of production of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2012 was … units, which is …%

higher than the volume of production in 2011.

The largest share (…%) of all chassis for cargo vehicles manufactured in the Russian

Federation in 2012 belongs to the … Federal District.

In 2012, the import volume of chassis for cargo vehicles in Russia amounted to … units in

physical terms and to … thousand USD in value terms.

…

Key figures and

conclusions

about the market




4. Characteristics of the Russian

market of chassis for cargo vehicles

...

4.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian market of chassis

for cargo vehicles in 2007 - 2012. Forecast for 2012 – 2017

The volume of supply on the Russian market of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2012 was

almost … units, which is …% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted

that the volume of imported products on the chassis for cargo vehicles market was …% of

the total market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 1. Volume of the supply of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2008 - 2012 and

forecast for 2013 - 2017, in thousands of units and percentage




5.2. Structure of the market of chassis for cargo vehicles in

Russia: production, exports, imports, consumption

The volume of imports of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2012 was about … units, which was

…% of the total market volume. A more detailed analysis of the imports and exports is

presented below.

Table 1. Volume and dynamics of the market of chassis for cargo vehicles in

Russia in 2008 – 2012 and forecast until 2017, in units

2009 2010 2011F 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Volume of production

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to

the previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of

exports In units

… … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of imports

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of total supply

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)




5. Characteristics of the domestic

production of chassis for cargo

vehicles in Russia in 2007 - 2012

…

5.1 Volume and dynamics of the production of chassis for cargo

vehicles in 2007 - 2012

In 2011, the volume of production was higher than for the analogical period of the previous

year.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 6 Production of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2007 - 2011, in thousands of

units

Characteristics of domestic production

- Volume and dynamics by type of

product

- Production capacities

- Structure of production

- Main producers and their market shares




6.5 The main manufacturers of chassis for cargo vehicles and

their corresponding market shares

Table 4. Manufacturers of chassis for cargo vehicles and their corresponding

market shares in 2011

Manufacturer Region

Production

of chassis

for cargo

vehicles, in

units

Market

share

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

OTHERS … …

TOTAL … …

Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

…




7. Characteristics of the imports of

chassis for cargo vehicles into the

Russian market 7.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of chassis for

cargo vehicles

…

The volume of imports of chassis for cargo vehicles in 2011 was … units. The largest

amount of chassis for cargo vehicles was imported in …, when were imported … units.

Table 8. Volume and dynamics of the imports of chassis for cargo vehicles in

2012, in thousands of units

Month Quantity, in thousands of units In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …

Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)




Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 30. Dynamics of the imports of chassis for cargo vehicles in Russia in 2012, in

thousands of units and in %

…




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