Sushil PradhanDirector – Information Services

MitKat Advisory Services27 October 2016

SAFETY & SECURITY RISKS IN INDIA

India is different

Family transport Vending platform

Public transport Generator Washing machine

Air cooled transport

India is diverse and complicated

India is diverse and complicated

1.25 billion population

$ 1.8 trillion economy

1 billion mobile connectivity

460 million internet (36%

growth)

Fastest growing economy in

2016

Varying terrain

15,000 KM land borders

7,500 KM coastline

1.3 million army

Credible naval presence

Favorable demographics

Ancient civilization

Great power ambition

Stable central government

Floods in Chennai

Floods in Chennai

470 people killed and 1.8 million displaced

Agitation in Bangalore – September 2016

Agitation in Bangalore – September 2016

Protests in Kashmir

It takes only a short while for things to go horribly wrong –

The sheer number of people and their varying interests sparks

off the fire

Volatility of risks in India

• Politics

• Caste

• Social inequity

• Economic deprivation

• Religion

• Other factors

India Conflict Map

High Risk Areas

MaoistThreat

Critical infrastructure securityExtortionKidnappingLaw and orderLabour unrest

NortheastInsurgency

Border SecurityTerrorism Law & order issues Corruption of government Raids

Crime against women Organized and petty crime Road safety risksPandemics Emergency Response preparednessPolitical violence, communal riotsCritical infrastructure security

Urban Centers

Urban Centers

Rule of the gunTerrorism Illegal immigration- population pressure Para military operationsPolitical connectionsBandhs and hartals

Jammu & Kashmir

India Risk Map

Unsafe

Safe with riders

Safe

INDIA RISK MAP 2015: Security And Safety Perspective

Risk Evaluation Factors

Ÿ Extremism

Ÿ Natural Disasters

Ÿ Crime

Ÿ Civil Disturbance

Ÿ Environment, Health & Diseases

Ÿ Infrastructure

Ÿ Emergency Services

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Geo-Political Risk Management | Security Risk Management | Integrity Risk Management | Business Continuity Management

Jammu & Kashmir

Himachal Pradesh

Uttarakhand

Delhi

Uttar Pradesh

Punjab

Haryana

Rajasthan

Gujarat

Maharashtra

Maharashtra

Goa

Karnataka

Kerala Tamil Nadu

Andhra Pradesh

Odisha

Telangana

Chhattisgarh

WestBengal

Tripura

Mizoram

Manipur

Nagaland

Meghalaya

ArunachalPradesh

Assam

Lakshwadeep

Andaman &Nicobar Island

India Risk Review - 2016

Economic

• Inadequate infrastructure

• Labour issues

• Corruption

• Bank frauds

• Currency Fluctuation

• Compliance

• Complex Taxation

• Oil price volatility

• Political Pressures

• Fiscal Deficit

Geo-Political

• Energy security

• Cross-border Terrorism

• Public Protests

• Inter-state Conflict

• Electoral violence

• ParliamentaryGridlock

• Islamic State Threat

• Insurgency

Socio-Economic

• Maoism

• Land acquisition

• Crime

• Caste based Violence

• Communal conflicts

• Religious Intolerance

• Retrograde Practices

• Women Safety

Environment and Health

• Natural hazards

• Pandemics/diseases

• Air Pollution

• Water scarcity

• Bio-diversity loss

• Waste Disposal

Safety

• Fire & Industrial safety

• Road safety

• Rail safety

• Building Structural safety

• Food & water safety

Technology

• Cyber terrorism

• Cyber crime/ attacks

• Cyber espionage

• Smartphone vulnerability

• SMAC

• Internet of Things (IoT)

• Bring Your Own Device

• Malware

• Critical Infrastructure Vulnerability

India Risk Matrix - 2016

Geopolitical Risks Socio-economic Risks Economic Risks

Technology Risks Safety Risks Environmental Risks

Bangalore 09972 001 260 NCR +91 9999 689 502, Mumbai +91 9820 126 761, Pune +91 9049 011 353

False alarm!!

Bangalore 09972 001 260 NCR +91 9999 689 502, Mumbai +91 9820 126 761, Pune +91 9049 011 353

Bangalore 09972 001 260 NCR +91 9999 689 502, Mumbai +91 9820 126 761, Pune +91 9049 011 353

December 2015, JaipurIndian Oil executive arrested

for suspected recruitment activities

October 2014, Hyderabad26-year old tech company

employee arrested for ‘wanting to join IS’

December 2015, NagpurThree Hyderabad students planning to travel to Syria

detained at the airport

December 2015, Pune16-year old girl identified whowas radicalised by IS recruiters

September 2014, KolkataFour Hyderabad youths detained at the airport

December 2014, BengaluruMehdi Masroor Biswas, a Pro-IS

Twitter account handler arrested

September 2015, HyderabadWoman IS recruiter deported

from Abu Dhabi, held in Hyderabad

May 2015, MumbaiMumbai journalist detained for

‘wanting to join IS’

January 2015, HyderabadIS sympathiser arrested based on inputs by US intel agencies

May 2015, Ratlam (MP)Five IS sympathisers arrested

January 2016, HaridwarIS links to Haridwar traced; four

suspects arrested

May 2014, MumbaiFour youths from Kalyan travel

to Syria to join IS

Islamic State related activities in India

January 2016A total of 18 suspects

with IS links were arrested in Hyderabad, Mumbai,

Bengaluru and Uttar Pradesh ahead of

Republic Day

June 201621 people, including six

women and two children, missing from Kerala,

travelled to Iraq and Syria to join IS

October 2016Six suspected Islamic State operatives arrested from Kannur (Kerala)

• It’s the most potent and media-savvy terrorist outfit globally

• Uses the media as a recruitment and propaganda tool

• Increasing trend of religious intolerance in the country may push

some Muslim youth into radicalisation

• We may suffer effects of Bangladesh & Pakistan events/efforts

• Unemployment and marginalisation

• Increasingly, affluent and educated people are joining up

• Imminent danger of Indian youths moving to the conflict zone (Iraq-Syria), and then emerging as role models

• Indian Mujahideen’s local resources and assets to spread the IS propaganda and penetrate further

• The threat is now imminent!

Should India worry about the Islamic State?

Existing Corporate Security Risks in India

Women safety

Civil unrestCommunity Relations

Labour UnrestMaoist extremism

Terrorism

Emergency/Disaster preparedness

Cyber security

Safety of women employees

Insider threat

Radicalisation and indoctrination

Religious intolerance

Communal violence

Emerging top Corporate Security Risks in 2016

Perceived versus real risks

Slow or non-response of emergency responders

Loss of life or property

Sudden upsurge in scale and damage

Damage control is difficult

Reputational loss – one incident is all it takes

Media and social media

Litigation

Insurance costs, insurance claims

Peculiarities of risks in India and how they affect you

Expats in India

• Road accidents, road rage

• Possibility of offending religious/cultural sensibilities

• Air pollution in the major cities

• Caught up in cross fire – mobs, terrorist attacks, other violent clashes

• Crime against women

• Petty crime (bag snatching, pick-pockets)

• Target for petty exploitation

• Environmental risk - flooding

• Kidnap is NOT a big risk in India

Specific risks to expats in urban centres

• Must understand local dynamics/cultural issues before travel

• Beware of exploitation - negotiate what’s fair

• Initially, move around in the city with someone well-versed with the area – use a guide

• Deal with petty corruption and demand for bribes

• Keep a low profile in public places

• Have robust security at home and at the workplace

• Check and recheck your travel arrangements

• Avoid arguments/confrontation with locals

• Take precautions for vector-borne diseases

• Train your women employees – safety awareness

• Avoid PDA

Living in India – safeguards for expats

• Do your homework

• Use Google maps

• Avoid public transportation at night as far as possible

• Women must travel with a companion if moving to remote areas

• Hire vehicles from known and reputed agencies

• Make seamless arrangements for end-to-end travel

• Have a linkman - a lifeline

Travel safety in India – risks and precautions

• Keep your medication with you

• When outdoors, always consume bottled water; buy only from reputed establishments.

• Try to avoid street food; unless a place is reputable, best to avoid eating meat from the street.

• Avoid consuming uncooked/raw edibles at street establishments.

• Take suitable precautions against commonly found food/water-borne and vector-borne disease

• Namaste works better than hand-shakes

• Equip your car with food and water

Health and hygiene tips

Opportunities

• Large young population

• Take hold of the cost advantage

• A huge consumer market remains untapped

• Businesses must know how to operate in rural markets

• The Indian economy is generally less volatile than global markets

• Progressive tax reforms

Doing business in India

Perceived versus real risks

Slow or non-response of emergency responders

Loss of life or property

Sudden upsurge in scale and damage

Damage control is difficult

Reputational loss – one incident is all it takes

Media and social media

Litigation

Insurance costs, insurance claims

Peculiarities of risks in India and how they affect you

Rely on inputs from specialized regional advisors - go local!

Be aware of interconnected global and regional security events

Due diligence and continuous screening to reduce insider threats

Use knowledge sharing forums to keep your organizations abreast

of emerging risks

Build good local connects for local knowledge

Understanding risks in India- The way forward

• If you can understand the risks, you can figure

how to work around them

• And if you need help understanding the risks, we

are around!

Your take-away from this talk

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