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  • 7/29/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 121

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    Issue 121Copyright 2011-2013 www.Propwise.sg. All Rights Reserved.

    http://www.propwise.sg/http://www.propwise.sg/
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    ContributeDo you have articles and insights and articles that youd like to share

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    CONTENTS

    p2 3 Reasons Why Developers Can Sell

    At High Prices

    p7 Singapore Property News This Week

    p13 Resale Property Transactions

    (August 28 September 3)

    Welcome to the 121st edition of the

    Singapore Property Weekly.

    Hope you like it!

    Mr. Propwise

    FROM THE

    EDITOR

    mailto:[email protected]://www.propwise.sg/advertise/http://www.propwise.sg/advertise/mailto:[email protected]
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    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 121

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    By Property Soul (guest contributor)

    Have you ever wondered why new projects

    from developers are able to command a

    large premium in asking price, sometimes up

    to fifty percent higher than recently

    completed nearby projects?

    An interview with a VIP property buyer

    Below is an abstract from my interview with a

    VIP property buyer (as compared to the

    usual retail buyers).

    Me: How do you manage to buy before

    everyone else does?

    VIP: After developers set the prices, easily

    twenty to forty percent higher than nearby

    projects,

    3 Reasons Why Developers Can Sell At High Prices

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    they need to test the water. They will invite us

    to a project preview where we can pick our

    preferred units. Whatever price we are willing

    to pay, the developers can use it to convince

    the market that it is a reasonable market

    price.

    Me: How do you make a profit?

    VIP: Say, if we buy at $1,000 per square foot,

    developers can sell at $1,100 during actual

    launch. Phase two comes a few weeks laterwith prices increased to $1,200, and so on

    and so forth. Since we've chosen the best

    units, we can offload with at least twenty

    percent profit.

    Me: And the developer has just successfullyset a new high for property prices in the

    district!

    There are three major factors that set the

    stage for developers to market uncompleted

    projects at high future prices (i.e. prices that

    already account for future price appreciation

    expectations):

    1. The advantages of market dominationThe property developer industry is an

    oligopoly. It is dominated by a few big players

    which are often large conglomerates.

    The entry barrier for new players in this

    industry is exceptionally high. With limited

    supply and high cost of land, it is not easy for

    small developers to raise sufficient funds or

    obtain financing from the bank. They also

    cannot compete with the big guys in terms of

    branding and their track record in past

    projects.Bigger players have stronger financial muscle

    to build their own land bank. They can drive

    construction of projects in time to capture a

    booming market.

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    They enjoy the benefits of economies of scale

    or cost leadership from a large number of

    ongoing projects. They have a handsome

    budget for marketing and for leverage to hire

    a good marketing agent. They have enough

    cash reserves to hedge against poor sales

    during bad times.

    It is therefore not surprising to see a high

    percentage of private housing projects all

    supplied by the top few developers. Theadvantages of market domination allow them

    to set their list prices at the highest possible

    level and to reap a huge profit.

    2. Collaboration among big players

    The big players have good connections

    amongst themselves to make the most of a

    mutually beneficial partnership. They can

    collaborate with each other by forming joint

    ventures to bid for land parcels, to secure

    borrowings from banks, or to diversify their

    investment.

    Among the top property developers, they can

    seek consensus and alignment on manydecisions, for instance:

    When to launch or re-launch in a quiet or

    recovering market;

    Which type of projects to launch in different

    locations; and

    What projects to hold back to avoid

    unnecessary competitions for similar projects.

    When they are setting prices for a new

    launch, they don't have to make reference to

    the average transacted prices of existing

    developments in the same district. They can

    benchmark against each others list prices in

    other districts in order to set their prices at a

    new high in a hot market.

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    Of course, no developer can move new

    properties off the shelves without the support

    of local banks to provide buyers the

    necessary financing. It is not uncommon to

    see developers tying up with a few banks to

    offer housing mortgage packages to buyers at

    the sales galleries.

    In order to secure business from home

    buyers, banks work with their valuers to

    ensure that the valuation of the uncompletedproperty matches with the selling price, so

    that they can disburse the exact amount of

    housing loan required by the buyers.

    3. Willing sellers, willing buyers

    In the past few years, property developers

    have paid a high price for land parcels sold by

    the government or from en bloc sales.

    Likewise, the tight supply and spiraling costs

    of construction manpower and building

    materials have taken a toll on the bottom line

    of developers.

    It is arguable that developers have no choice

    but to markup considerably to ensure their

    profitability, although how big a safety margin

    is reasonable is entirely up to their discretion.

    After all, if they don't make hay while the sun

    shines, who can tell what will happen when

    market direction changes?

    In the end, the matter boils down to marketresponse and customer acceptance.

    Developers can't sell new flats at future prices

    if buyers are unwillingly to pay a premium

    price.

    It doesn't matter whether the selling price is

    twenty or fifty percent higher than the most

    recent transacted price of a resale flat in the

    same area, so long as everyone believes that

    the market price will be even higher by the

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    time the new flats are ready for occupation.

    Believing in the future that is the magic pill

    of getting buyers to pay future prices in a

    booming property market!

    By Property Soul, a successful property

    investor and enthusiast who shares her

    experiences and knowledge on her blog.

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY I 121

    http://propertysoul.com/http://www.crei-academy.com/usa-pals/http://propertysoul.com/http://propertysoul.com/http://propertysoul.com/
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    Singapore Property This Week

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    Residential

    TD SR w eakens new privat e home sales

    It is reported that the new loans curb curb in

    the form of the Total Debt Servicing Ratio

    (TDSR) has severely affected recent private

    home launches of the Glades in Tanah Merah

    and The Skywoods in the Dairy Farm area,

    which saw weak and stalled sales since the

    first day of booking. Keppel Land sold around

    80 units at 99-year-leasehold The Glades

    next to Tanah Merah MRT Station, with the

    majority of the sales done on the first day.

    The average price for the 200 units released

    in this 726-unit development ranged from

    $1,450 to 1,500 psf. However, the nearby

    Urban Vista condo, when released back in

    March, saw 220 units being sold by

    Fragrance and World Class Land with the

    average price of $1,500 psf. The 99-year and

    420-unit project Skywoods only sold 35 units

    last Friday, then 10 units on both Saturday

    and Sunday with the average price for the

    first 150 units being $1,250 psf. Skywoods

    CEO Neo Tiam Boon admitted that they had

    not sold as much as they wanted due to the

    TDSR, with many visitors not familiar with the

    increased number of documents needed for

    loans from banks.

    (Source: Business Times)

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY I 121

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    Ho m eo w ner s s u e d ev el op er o f l ux u ry

    S en t o s a C o v e c o n d o

    More than 100 homeowners of oceanfront

    residential enclave, The Coast at Sentosa

    Cove, have filed a lawsuit against its

    developer and three contractors due to the

    latters failure to fix defects in the common

    areas of the 249-unit luxury residential

    development. The defects include termite

    infestation, flooded staircases, a rottingtimber pool deck, incorrect installation of

    electrical fittings, faulty light fixtures, leakages

    at walls and through electrical conduits, poor

    finishes to walls at apartment entrances. The

    developer is revealed to be Ho Bee Cove.

    The Management Corporation Strata Title(MCST) council, which filed suit on behalf of

    108 owners, said that although more than

    $93,000 was spent to fix minor defects,

    rectification costs are estimated to be a few

    million dollars. In its official statement, Ho

    Bee Group said it is a responsible developer

    and is willing to fix any genuine defects, and

    that the alleged defects were, in fact, caused

    by the MCSTs negligence.

    (Source: Business Times)

    Belmont R oad GC B up f or sale at $50m

    A good class bungalow (GCB) at 74 Belmont

    Road is up for sale at about $50 million, or

    $1,890 psf. The property is located on a land

    area of 26,455 sq ft and is regular in shape,

    with a 16,200 sq ft built-up area of a main

    house and a self-contained guest house. The

    main house includes formal dining and

    entertainment areas, a family room, a master

    bedroom and four well-sized bedrooms. The

    guest house is linked to the main house by a

    sheltered walkway. There is also a 20-metre

    mineral water swimming pool.

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 121

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    The marketing agent for the property is

    Savills Singapore, whose deputy managing

    director Steven Mind said that the GCB

    market remained the buying interest of the

    ultra rich with limited supply, strong holdingpower of GCB owners and steady GCB

    prices. The average unit price based on land

    area for GCBs transacted so far this year

    increased by 1.1 percent to $1,387 psf

    compared with the average unit price for the

    whole of 2012, according to Savills.

    (Source: Business Times)

    H o B e e c r i t i c i z e s d e f e c t c l a i m s b y h o m e

    o w n e r s a t S en t o s a C o v e

    The developer of the oceanfront luxury Coast

    at Sentosa Cove, Ho Bee Investment, has

    criticized construction defect claims by more

    than 100 home owners as frivolous and that

    their estimates of repair cost have been

    grossly inflated. The MCST lawyers

    previously sent Ho Bee Cove a letter on Feb

    20 to demand defects in the common areas

    be rectified, which was estimated by theMCSTs building expert to cost more than $2

    million. However, according to Ho Bee, its

    own building expert, Robinson Jones

    Associates (RJA) assessed the alleged

    defects to cost no more than $200,000 to be

    repaired. Ms. Monica Neo, secretary of the

    MCST responded that the costs to repair

    defects in the entire estate could now be as

    high as $5 million. Ho Bee argued that its

    consultants including RJA found many of

    these alleged defects not genuine but only

    due to fair wear and tear or the lack of

    adequate and propermaintenance.

    (Source: Business Times)

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 121

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    CapitaLands n ew B is han c on do t o b e

    p r i c e d l o w e r t h a n n e i g h b o r S k y H ab i t at

    CapitaLands new 694-unit condo project in

    Bishan, whose name has not been known,

    will be priced lower than its next-door Sky

    Habitat. The project has a higher proportion

    of smaller units to keep lump sum prices

    within the reach of more buyers. The first

    phase of units is to be priced from $1,380 to

    $1,550 psf. However, CapitaLand declined to

    reveal how many or what types of units there

    will be or their psf average price until the

    starting of the sales bookings. The project

    had its showflat open this week. Sales

    bookings are available two to three weeks

    later. Sales at Sky Habitat took place in April

    last year, with 131 units sold at a median

    price of $1,583 psf, and at prices ranging

    from $1,435 psf to $1,893 psf in that month.

    (Source: Business Times)

    Commercial

    S h op h o u s e d eal s s l o w, b u t w i t h s t ead y

    p r i c e s

    Since the TDSR framework introduced in lateJune, the volume of shophouse transactions

    has slowed but their prices apparently are

    holding up. According to Savills Singapores

    analysis of URA Realis caveats data on Sept

    9, the number of caveats lodged for

    shophouses decreased from 34 in May to 22in June to 11 in July and only 10 in August,

    although more caveats for Augusts

    transactions are expected in the next few

    weeks. The 21 caveats for July and August

    added up to $122.4 million. In Q2 of 2013,

    there were 74 caveats lodged totaling $449.5million. For the first eight months of 2013,

    transactions reached $1.04 billion, while it

    was $1.38 billion for 2012 and $1.15 billion for

    2011.

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 121

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    Between January 2011 and August 2013, the

    most active buyers of shophouses are

    companies and Singaporeans, followed by

    individual buyers from Malaysia. 72 percent of

    shophouses acquired by companies were

    priced at more than $3 million per transaction,

    while about half of Singaporeans' purchases

    were in the $1 million to $3 million range.

    (Source: Business Times)

    Cen tu rio n Co rp or at io n w in s b id fo r

    W o o d l a n d s s i t e

    Mainboard-listed Centurion Corporation,

    whose main businesses are in dormitories

    and optical discs, has won the bid for a

    103,000 sq ft site in Woodlands which will bedeveloped into a workers dormitory. The

    dormitory is planned to have 4,100 beds for

    workers in the marine, process and

    manufacturing industries when completed in

    2015. Along with other developments, the

    total bed count for the company is expected

    to be 54,000 by the completion of the

    Woodlands project, up from around 29,000.

    The company had been awarded the tender

    by JTC Corporation for the plot at Woodlands

    Avenue 10. Centurions winning bid was

    $80.8 million through an indirectly wholly-

    owned subsidiary, beating 12 other bidders.

    The acquisition will be funded through internal

    resources and bank loans, and no material

    impact on the net tangible assets and

    earnings per share of the company is

    expected for the financial year ending Dec 31.

    Shares in Centurion closed one percent

    higher at 49 cents on Sept 12.

    (Source: Business Times)

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    Red as h ead s ees o p p or tu n it ies f or t he

    p r o p e r t y s e c t o r

    Speaking at the Real Estate Developers'

    Association of Singapore's (Redas) mid-

    autumn celebration, its president, Chia BoonKuah said the future shines bright with

    exciting possibilities for the property sector

    even when the market takes its course

    through the cycle of business. In spite of the

    policy measures affecting the property market

    introduced this year, interest from foreignplayers, including both developers and private

    equity players, in buying development land in

    Singapore remains unabated as they believe

    in the future ofSingapore. Given this, Redas

    would increase its public engagement in

    areas such as offering ideas to the authoritieson new plans for Tanjong Pagar and Paya

    Lebar.

    (Source: Business Times)

    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 121

    http://propertymarketinsights.com/
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    Non-Landed Residential Resale Property Transactions for the Week of Aug 28 Sep 3

    NOTE: This data only covers non-landed residential resale propertytransactions with caveats lodged with the Singapore LandAuthority. Typically, caveats are lodged at least 2-3 weeks after apurchaser signs an OTP, hence the lagged nature of the data.

    Postal

    DistrictProject Name

    Area

    (sqft)

    Transacted

    Price ($)

    Price

    ($ psf)Tenure

    1 THE CLIFT 506 1,190,000 2,352 99

    5 ONE-NORTH RESIDENCES 980 1,530,000 1,562 99

    5 CARABELLE 1,744 2,337,000 1,340 956

    5 CARABELLE 1,302 1,620,000 1,244 956

    8 PARC SOMME 581 860,000 1,480 99

    9 HELIOS RESIDENCES 1,668 5,280,000 3,165 FH

    9 VISIONCREST 915 2,100,000 2,295 FH

    9 SCOTTS HIGHPARK 3,466 6,800,000 1,962 FH

    9 THE BAYRON 872 1,500,000 1,720 FH

    9 THE BAYRON 904 1,545,000 1,709 FH

    9 THE BAYRON 1,432 2,330,000 1,628 FH

    9 THE BAYRON 1,432 2,320,000 1,621 FH

    10 HOLLAND RESIDENCES 980 1,870,000 1,909 FH

    11 BIRMINGHAM MANSIONS 1,711 2,220,000 1,297 FH

    12 AVA TOWERS 1,281 1,166,000 910 FH

    12 PUBLIC MANSION 1,959 1,480,000 755 FH

    14 GRANDLINK SQUARE 1,109 1,120,000 1,010 FH

    15 AALTO 1,528 2,550,000 1,668 FH

    15 RIVEREDGE 1,066 1,510,000 1,417 99

    15 NEPTUNE COURT 1,270 1,150,000 905 99

    15 NEPTUNE COURT 1,636 1,450,000 886 99

    16 WATERFRONT KEY 915 1,235,000 1,350 99

    16 THE BAYSHORE 1,227 1,280,000 1,043 99

    17 FERRARIA PARK CONDOMINIUM 958 950,000 992 FH

    Postal

    DistrictProject Name

    Area

    (sqft)

    Transacted

    Price ($)

    Price

    ($ psf)Tenure

    17 BALLOTA PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,281 960,000 749 FH

    18 LIVIA 915 950,000 1,038 99

    18 LIVIA 1,259 1,260,000 1,000 99

    19 FONTAINE PARRY 2,120 2,238,000 1,055 999

    19 CHUAN PARK 1,173 1,148,000 978 99

    21 THE CASCADIA 1,098 1,725,000 1,571 FH

    21 FREESIA WOODS 1,432 1,965,000 1,373 FH

    21 SIGNATURE PARK 1,055 1,145,000 1,085 FH

    21 ROYAL COURT 1,270 1,298,000 1,022 FH

    22 THE LAKESHORE 926 1,158,000 1,251 99

    22 THE CENTRIS 1,313 1,480,000 1,127 99

    23 CASHEW HEIGHTS CONDOMINIUM 1,658 1,700,000 1,026 999

    23 HILLVIEW REGENCY 1,119 1,120,000 1,000 99

    23 REGENT HEIGHTS 1,023 935,000 914 99

    23 REGENT GROVE 1,173 900,000 767 99

    26 CASTLE GREEN 1,173 1,030,000 878 99

    27 ORCHID PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,206 950,000 788 99

    27 YISHUN SAPPHIRE 1,378 1,020,000 740 99