singapore property weekly issue 121
TRANSCRIPT
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CONTENTS
p2 3 Reasons Why Developers Can Sell
At High Prices
p7 Singapore Property News This Week
p13 Resale Property Transactions
(August 28 September 3)
Welcome to the 121st edition of the
Singapore Property Weekly.
Hope you like it!
Mr. Propwise
FROM THE
EDITOR
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By Property Soul (guest contributor)
Have you ever wondered why new projects
from developers are able to command a
large premium in asking price, sometimes up
to fifty percent higher than recently
completed nearby projects?
An interview with a VIP property buyer
Below is an abstract from my interview with a
VIP property buyer (as compared to the
usual retail buyers).
Me: How do you manage to buy before
everyone else does?
VIP: After developers set the prices, easily
twenty to forty percent higher than nearby
projects,
3 Reasons Why Developers Can Sell At High Prices
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they need to test the water. They will invite us
to a project preview where we can pick our
preferred units. Whatever price we are willing
to pay, the developers can use it to convince
the market that it is a reasonable market
price.
Me: How do you make a profit?
VIP: Say, if we buy at $1,000 per square foot,
developers can sell at $1,100 during actual
launch. Phase two comes a few weeks laterwith prices increased to $1,200, and so on
and so forth. Since we've chosen the best
units, we can offload with at least twenty
percent profit.
Me: And the developer has just successfullyset a new high for property prices in the
district!
There are three major factors that set the
stage for developers to market uncompleted
projects at high future prices (i.e. prices that
already account for future price appreciation
expectations):
1. The advantages of market dominationThe property developer industry is an
oligopoly. It is dominated by a few big players
which are often large conglomerates.
The entry barrier for new players in this
industry is exceptionally high. With limited
supply and high cost of land, it is not easy for
small developers to raise sufficient funds or
obtain financing from the bank. They also
cannot compete with the big guys in terms of
branding and their track record in past
projects.Bigger players have stronger financial muscle
to build their own land bank. They can drive
construction of projects in time to capture a
booming market.
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They enjoy the benefits of economies of scale
or cost leadership from a large number of
ongoing projects. They have a handsome
budget for marketing and for leverage to hire
a good marketing agent. They have enough
cash reserves to hedge against poor sales
during bad times.
It is therefore not surprising to see a high
percentage of private housing projects all
supplied by the top few developers. Theadvantages of market domination allow them
to set their list prices at the highest possible
level and to reap a huge profit.
2. Collaboration among big players
The big players have good connections
amongst themselves to make the most of a
mutually beneficial partnership. They can
collaborate with each other by forming joint
ventures to bid for land parcels, to secure
borrowings from banks, or to diversify their
investment.
Among the top property developers, they can
seek consensus and alignment on manydecisions, for instance:
When to launch or re-launch in a quiet or
recovering market;
Which type of projects to launch in different
locations; and
What projects to hold back to avoid
unnecessary competitions for similar projects.
When they are setting prices for a new
launch, they don't have to make reference to
the average transacted prices of existing
developments in the same district. They can
benchmark against each others list prices in
other districts in order to set their prices at a
new high in a hot market.
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Of course, no developer can move new
properties off the shelves without the support
of local banks to provide buyers the
necessary financing. It is not uncommon to
see developers tying up with a few banks to
offer housing mortgage packages to buyers at
the sales galleries.
In order to secure business from home
buyers, banks work with their valuers to
ensure that the valuation of the uncompletedproperty matches with the selling price, so
that they can disburse the exact amount of
housing loan required by the buyers.
3. Willing sellers, willing buyers
In the past few years, property developers
have paid a high price for land parcels sold by
the government or from en bloc sales.
Likewise, the tight supply and spiraling costs
of construction manpower and building
materials have taken a toll on the bottom line
of developers.
It is arguable that developers have no choice
but to markup considerably to ensure their
profitability, although how big a safety margin
is reasonable is entirely up to their discretion.
After all, if they don't make hay while the sun
shines, who can tell what will happen when
market direction changes?
In the end, the matter boils down to marketresponse and customer acceptance.
Developers can't sell new flats at future prices
if buyers are unwillingly to pay a premium
price.
It doesn't matter whether the selling price is
twenty or fifty percent higher than the most
recent transacted price of a resale flat in the
same area, so long as everyone believes that
the market price will be even higher by the
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time the new flats are ready for occupation.
Believing in the future that is the magic pill
of getting buyers to pay future prices in a
booming property market!
By Property Soul, a successful property
investor and enthusiast who shares her
experiences and knowledge on her blog.
SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY I 121
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Singapore Property This Week
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Residential
TD SR w eakens new privat e home sales
It is reported that the new loans curb curb in
the form of the Total Debt Servicing Ratio
(TDSR) has severely affected recent private
home launches of the Glades in Tanah Merah
and The Skywoods in the Dairy Farm area,
which saw weak and stalled sales since the
first day of booking. Keppel Land sold around
80 units at 99-year-leasehold The Glades
next to Tanah Merah MRT Station, with the
majority of the sales done on the first day.
The average price for the 200 units released
in this 726-unit development ranged from
$1,450 to 1,500 psf. However, the nearby
Urban Vista condo, when released back in
March, saw 220 units being sold by
Fragrance and World Class Land with the
average price of $1,500 psf. The 99-year and
420-unit project Skywoods only sold 35 units
last Friday, then 10 units on both Saturday
and Sunday with the average price for the
first 150 units being $1,250 psf. Skywoods
CEO Neo Tiam Boon admitted that they had
not sold as much as they wanted due to the
TDSR, with many visitors not familiar with the
increased number of documents needed for
loans from banks.
(Source: Business Times)
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Ho m eo w ner s s u e d ev el op er o f l ux u ry
S en t o s a C o v e c o n d o
More than 100 homeowners of oceanfront
residential enclave, The Coast at Sentosa
Cove, have filed a lawsuit against its
developer and three contractors due to the
latters failure to fix defects in the common
areas of the 249-unit luxury residential
development. The defects include termite
infestation, flooded staircases, a rottingtimber pool deck, incorrect installation of
electrical fittings, faulty light fixtures, leakages
at walls and through electrical conduits, poor
finishes to walls at apartment entrances. The
developer is revealed to be Ho Bee Cove.
The Management Corporation Strata Title(MCST) council, which filed suit on behalf of
108 owners, said that although more than
$93,000 was spent to fix minor defects,
rectification costs are estimated to be a few
million dollars. In its official statement, Ho
Bee Group said it is a responsible developer
and is willing to fix any genuine defects, and
that the alleged defects were, in fact, caused
by the MCSTs negligence.
(Source: Business Times)
Belmont R oad GC B up f or sale at $50m
A good class bungalow (GCB) at 74 Belmont
Road is up for sale at about $50 million, or
$1,890 psf. The property is located on a land
area of 26,455 sq ft and is regular in shape,
with a 16,200 sq ft built-up area of a main
house and a self-contained guest house. The
main house includes formal dining and
entertainment areas, a family room, a master
bedroom and four well-sized bedrooms. The
guest house is linked to the main house by a
sheltered walkway. There is also a 20-metre
mineral water swimming pool.
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The marketing agent for the property is
Savills Singapore, whose deputy managing
director Steven Mind said that the GCB
market remained the buying interest of the
ultra rich with limited supply, strong holdingpower of GCB owners and steady GCB
prices. The average unit price based on land
area for GCBs transacted so far this year
increased by 1.1 percent to $1,387 psf
compared with the average unit price for the
whole of 2012, according to Savills.
(Source: Business Times)
H o B e e c r i t i c i z e s d e f e c t c l a i m s b y h o m e
o w n e r s a t S en t o s a C o v e
The developer of the oceanfront luxury Coast
at Sentosa Cove, Ho Bee Investment, has
criticized construction defect claims by more
than 100 home owners as frivolous and that
their estimates of repair cost have been
grossly inflated. The MCST lawyers
previously sent Ho Bee Cove a letter on Feb
20 to demand defects in the common areas
be rectified, which was estimated by theMCSTs building expert to cost more than $2
million. However, according to Ho Bee, its
own building expert, Robinson Jones
Associates (RJA) assessed the alleged
defects to cost no more than $200,000 to be
repaired. Ms. Monica Neo, secretary of the
MCST responded that the costs to repair
defects in the entire estate could now be as
high as $5 million. Ho Bee argued that its
consultants including RJA found many of
these alleged defects not genuine but only
due to fair wear and tear or the lack of
adequate and propermaintenance.
(Source: Business Times)
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CapitaLands n ew B is han c on do t o b e
p r i c e d l o w e r t h a n n e i g h b o r S k y H ab i t at
CapitaLands new 694-unit condo project in
Bishan, whose name has not been known,
will be priced lower than its next-door Sky
Habitat. The project has a higher proportion
of smaller units to keep lump sum prices
within the reach of more buyers. The first
phase of units is to be priced from $1,380 to
$1,550 psf. However, CapitaLand declined to
reveal how many or what types of units there
will be or their psf average price until the
starting of the sales bookings. The project
had its showflat open this week. Sales
bookings are available two to three weeks
later. Sales at Sky Habitat took place in April
last year, with 131 units sold at a median
price of $1,583 psf, and at prices ranging
from $1,435 psf to $1,893 psf in that month.
(Source: Business Times)
Commercial
S h op h o u s e d eal s s l o w, b u t w i t h s t ead y
p r i c e s
Since the TDSR framework introduced in lateJune, the volume of shophouse transactions
has slowed but their prices apparently are
holding up. According to Savills Singapores
analysis of URA Realis caveats data on Sept
9, the number of caveats lodged for
shophouses decreased from 34 in May to 22in June to 11 in July and only 10 in August,
although more caveats for Augusts
transactions are expected in the next few
weeks. The 21 caveats for July and August
added up to $122.4 million. In Q2 of 2013,
there were 74 caveats lodged totaling $449.5million. For the first eight months of 2013,
transactions reached $1.04 billion, while it
was $1.38 billion for 2012 and $1.15 billion for
2011.
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Between January 2011 and August 2013, the
most active buyers of shophouses are
companies and Singaporeans, followed by
individual buyers from Malaysia. 72 percent of
shophouses acquired by companies were
priced at more than $3 million per transaction,
while about half of Singaporeans' purchases
were in the $1 million to $3 million range.
(Source: Business Times)
Cen tu rio n Co rp or at io n w in s b id fo r
W o o d l a n d s s i t e
Mainboard-listed Centurion Corporation,
whose main businesses are in dormitories
and optical discs, has won the bid for a
103,000 sq ft site in Woodlands which will bedeveloped into a workers dormitory. The
dormitory is planned to have 4,100 beds for
workers in the marine, process and
manufacturing industries when completed in
2015. Along with other developments, the
total bed count for the company is expected
to be 54,000 by the completion of the
Woodlands project, up from around 29,000.
The company had been awarded the tender
by JTC Corporation for the plot at Woodlands
Avenue 10. Centurions winning bid was
$80.8 million through an indirectly wholly-
owned subsidiary, beating 12 other bidders.
The acquisition will be funded through internal
resources and bank loans, and no material
impact on the net tangible assets and
earnings per share of the company is
expected for the financial year ending Dec 31.
Shares in Centurion closed one percent
higher at 49 cents on Sept 12.
(Source: Business Times)
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Red as h ead s ees o p p or tu n it ies f or t he
p r o p e r t y s e c t o r
Speaking at the Real Estate Developers'
Association of Singapore's (Redas) mid-
autumn celebration, its president, Chia BoonKuah said the future shines bright with
exciting possibilities for the property sector
even when the market takes its course
through the cycle of business. In spite of the
policy measures affecting the property market
introduced this year, interest from foreignplayers, including both developers and private
equity players, in buying development land in
Singapore remains unabated as they believe
in the future ofSingapore. Given this, Redas
would increase its public engagement in
areas such as offering ideas to the authoritieson new plans for Tanjong Pagar and Paya
Lebar.
(Source: Business Times)
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Non-Landed Residential Resale Property Transactions for the Week of Aug 28 Sep 3
NOTE: This data only covers non-landed residential resale propertytransactions with caveats lodged with the Singapore LandAuthority. Typically, caveats are lodged at least 2-3 weeks after apurchaser signs an OTP, hence the lagged nature of the data.
Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
1 THE CLIFT 506 1,190,000 2,352 99
5 ONE-NORTH RESIDENCES 980 1,530,000 1,562 99
5 CARABELLE 1,744 2,337,000 1,340 956
5 CARABELLE 1,302 1,620,000 1,244 956
8 PARC SOMME 581 860,000 1,480 99
9 HELIOS RESIDENCES 1,668 5,280,000 3,165 FH
9 VISIONCREST 915 2,100,000 2,295 FH
9 SCOTTS HIGHPARK 3,466 6,800,000 1,962 FH
9 THE BAYRON 872 1,500,000 1,720 FH
9 THE BAYRON 904 1,545,000 1,709 FH
9 THE BAYRON 1,432 2,330,000 1,628 FH
9 THE BAYRON 1,432 2,320,000 1,621 FH
10 HOLLAND RESIDENCES 980 1,870,000 1,909 FH
11 BIRMINGHAM MANSIONS 1,711 2,220,000 1,297 FH
12 AVA TOWERS 1,281 1,166,000 910 FH
12 PUBLIC MANSION 1,959 1,480,000 755 FH
14 GRANDLINK SQUARE 1,109 1,120,000 1,010 FH
15 AALTO 1,528 2,550,000 1,668 FH
15 RIVEREDGE 1,066 1,510,000 1,417 99
15 NEPTUNE COURT 1,270 1,150,000 905 99
15 NEPTUNE COURT 1,636 1,450,000 886 99
16 WATERFRONT KEY 915 1,235,000 1,350 99
16 THE BAYSHORE 1,227 1,280,000 1,043 99
17 FERRARIA PARK CONDOMINIUM 958 950,000 992 FH
Postal
DistrictProject Name
Area
(sqft)
Transacted
Price ($)
Price
($ psf)Tenure
17 BALLOTA PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,281 960,000 749 FH
18 LIVIA 915 950,000 1,038 99
18 LIVIA 1,259 1,260,000 1,000 99
19 FONTAINE PARRY 2,120 2,238,000 1,055 999
19 CHUAN PARK 1,173 1,148,000 978 99
21 THE CASCADIA 1,098 1,725,000 1,571 FH
21 FREESIA WOODS 1,432 1,965,000 1,373 FH
21 SIGNATURE PARK 1,055 1,145,000 1,085 FH
21 ROYAL COURT 1,270 1,298,000 1,022 FH
22 THE LAKESHORE 926 1,158,000 1,251 99
22 THE CENTRIS 1,313 1,480,000 1,127 99
23 CASHEW HEIGHTS CONDOMINIUM 1,658 1,700,000 1,026 999
23 HILLVIEW REGENCY 1,119 1,120,000 1,000 99
23 REGENT HEIGHTS 1,023 935,000 914 99
23 REGENT GROVE 1,173 900,000 767 99
26 CASTLE GREEN 1,173 1,030,000 878 99
27 ORCHID PARK CONDOMINIUM 1,206 950,000 788 99
27 YISHUN SAPPHIRE 1,378 1,020,000 740 99