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  • 8/13/2019 Singapore Property Weekly Issue 140

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    Issue 140Copyright 2011-2013 www.Propwise.sg. All Rights Reserved.

    http://www.propwise.sg/http://www.propwise.sg/
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    ContributeDo you have articles and insights and articles that youd like to share

    with thousands of readers interested in the Singapore property

    market? Send them to us at [email protected] , and if theyre good

    enough, well publish them here, on our blog and even on Yahoo!

    News.

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    CONTENTS

    p2 5 Facts You Probably Didnt Know About

    the Singapore Property Market

    p6 Singapore Property News This Week

    p13 Resale Property Transactions

    (January 8 January 14)

    Welcome to the 140th edition of the

    Singapore Property Weekly.

    Hope you like it!

    Mr. Propwise

    FROM THE

    EDITOR

    mailto:[email protected]://www.propwise.sg/advertise/http://www.propwise.sg/advertise/mailto:[email protected]
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    SINGAPORE PROPERTY WEEKLY Issue 140

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    By Marcus Sim (guest contributor) Fact #1

    Singapore Has a Higher

    Population Density than Hong Kong

    Many people regard Hong Kong as one of the

    countries with the highest population density

    in the world. To a large extent, this is true.

    Based on their population of 7,182,724 (July2013 estimate) and their land size of 1,054

    square kilometers (sqkm), the population

    density works out to be 6,815 Residents per

    sqkm!

    However, did you know that Singapore has a

    much higher population density?

    Our 5,460,302 strong population is packed

    into a mere 687 sqkm land size which means

    that for every square kilometer,

    5 Facts You Probably Didnt Know About the Singapore Property Market

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    there are 7,948 people! Based on worldwide

    statistics, Singapore is currently ranked as

    the 3rd most densely populated country in the

    world, followed by Hong Kong at a close 4th.

    The top spot for population density goes toMacau with 20,069 residents for every square

    kilometer.

    It is no wonder that the Singapore

    Government has ongoing plans to increase

    land size via reclamation to refrain from

    claiming the crown from Macau. Land scarcity

    is a very real problem for Singapore which

    explains the ever-increasing land costs and

    property prices which are driven by pent up

    demand.

    Fact #2

    If Singapore Reaches theTargeted 6.9 Million Population by 2030,

    the Population Density Will Rise Above

    10,000 Residents per SQKM

    At the projected 6,900,000 population by year

    2030, Singapore will hit an approximate

    10,044 residents for each square kilometer.

    That is a huge number of people!

    Fact #3

    ECs Have the Highest VacancyRate

    Strangely enough, even with the high

    population in Singapore today, there are still

    unoccupied houses in Singapore!

    Vacant units affect the property rental marketdirectly. Generally the higher the vacancy

    rates, the weaker the rental market.

    It is also interesting to note that Executive

    Condominiums (ECs) have the highest

    vacancy rates (10.38%) among the different

    private property categories.

    Perhaps, there is a disparity between the

    rental expectations of EC owners and their

    prospective tenants.

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    Fact #4 The Average Household Size in

    Singapore is Just 3.53

    Did you also know that the average

    household size of families in Singapore is amere 3.53? (In 1990 it used to be 4.25)

    Shrinking household sizes affect the property

    markets in a couple of ways.

    Developer new launches are offering a

    greater number of smaller units to cater to

    this trend.

    Developers are aware of this trend and will

    likely continue to offer more shoe-box and

    smaller sized units in their new launches

    which are more affordable to the average

    buyer in Singapore.

    Demand for larger sized units will

    decrease

    Developers are less likely to build

    condominium units with a larger square

    footage as it will be too high in terms of price

    quantum and generally not well received by

    buyers.

    Fact #5 Over 600 Thousand New

    Residential Units Will Be Needed to House

    a 6.9 Million Population

    Currently, there are about 1,342,155

    completed residential units in Singapore.

    Based on the average household size of 3.53,these completed units cater to approximately

    4,737,808 residents.

    However this number is not entirely accurate

    yet as we have to discount the number of

    Work Permit Holders (Foreign Domestic

    Worker and Construction) who have their own

    accommodation. They add up to a combined

    total of 517,500.

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    As stated earlier, the current population of

    Singapore at Jul 2013 is 5,460,302. This

    suggests that in the current market, there is

    still a strong demand of approximately

    204,994 residents in search for properties to

    rent or buy.

    By 2030, a projected 6.9 million people will

    reside in Singapore and assuming that the

    average household size remains the same,

    1,954,675 residential units will be needed tocater to the housing needs of the population.

    By Marcus Sim ofSG Property Reviews.

    http://sgpropertyreviews.com/http://propertymarketinsights.com/http://sgpropertyreviews.com/http://sgpropertyreviews.com/http://sgpropertyreviews.com/http://sgpropertyreviews.com/http://sgpropertyreviews.com/
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    Singapore Property This Week

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    Residential

    H al f o f Panoramas un its s old in f i rs t

    release

    In its first release on Jan 19, half of the 120

    units released for sale at The Panorama

    condominium were booked. Prices of theunits were from $650,000 for the one

    bedroom units to nearly $2.4 million for the

    five bedroom units. Most of the units sold

    were two and three bedroom types from 678

    sq ft to 1,130 sq ft in size. The Panorama,

    developed by Wheelock Properties, is locatedat Ang Mo Kio Avenue 2, and is Wheelock's

    first 99-year suburban condo project here in

    two decades. Most buyers were reported to

    be owner-occupiers with young families aged

    from thirties to fifties.

    (Source: Business Times)

    C o o l i n g m e as u r e s n o t l i k e l y t o b e r e la x ed :

    p o l l

    Although home sales and home prices have

    dropped, a poll by the Business Times for

    CEOs and industry-group leaders revealed

    that cooling measures for the property sector

    are unlikely to be rolled back. Data showed

    that home sales dropped to the lowest since

    Jan 2009, and URA's overall private housing

    price index decreased 0.8 percent in Q4

    2013. Yet it would be premature to say the

    property market is stabilizing because more

    time is needed to assess if the cooling

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    measures have sustained their objective of

    managing property speculation. Market

    watchers also applaud the Total Debt

    Servicing Ratio (TDSR) which has effectively

    shown that low-cost financing has been acatalyst for property purchases.

    (Source: Business Times)

    Ch in es e b uy in g o f Si ng ap o re p ri vat e

    h o m e s s t i l l h o l d s u p

    Despite a 35 percent drop in private home

    purchases by non-Singaporeans in 2013,

    mainland Chinese buyers had the smallest

    drop among the top four nationalities. DTZ

    analysis showed that the Indians buying

    dropped 54.5 percent from 2012, but the

    mainland Chinese only bought 16.9 percent

    fewer than that of 2012. The Malaysians

    buying was also down 36 percent. DTZ

    revealed that 65 percent of the 1,479 homes

    bought by the mainland Chinese were priced

    below $1.5 million, 62 percent were bought

    from developers, and more than 80 percent

    were outside the traditional prime districts of

    9, 10 and 11.

    (Source: Business Times)

    Geylang si t e draw s $146m t op bid

    A plot at Geylang East Avenue 1 has drawn

    16 developersbids, with the highest bid at $

    145.9 million, or $775.96 psf ppr from

    Sustained Land's SL (Serangoon). Nicholas

    Mak, executive director at SLP International

    said that this is the second highest number of

    bids that a government land sales (GLS)

    tender has attracted until now in the GLS

    programme for 2013. The top position is the

    condominium site at Faber Walk in Clementi,

    which drew 18 bids. The high number of bids

    is because many developers are now more

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    selective of the development sites they would

    acquire, and they prefer well-located sites

    that are relatively small.

    (Source: Business Times)

    H D B resale f lat pr ices hi t record low

    Housing & Development Board (HDB) resale

    flat prices hit a record low in Q4 2013, the

    first annual price decline in eight years.

    Transaction volumes of 2013 reached thelowest level since HDB started compiling the

    data in 1997, and sales continued to weaken

    in the last three months of the year. Property

    consultants are expecting an even wider fall

    in prices in 2014.

    (Source: Business Times)

    P r i v at e h o m e a n d i n d u s t r i a l s p a c e m a r k e t s

    s an d w ic h ed b et w een r is in g s u p pl y an d

    c o o l i n g d e m a n d

    Nearly all indicators in the UrbanRedevelopment Authority's (URA) Q4 2013

    figures for the private housing market point

    towards weakening. Official statistics show

    that the private residential property and

    factory space markets have been affected by

    both the weight of supply and the propertycooling measures including the total debt

    servicing ratio (TDSR) framework. However,

    the office market is appearing to witness a

    gradual rent recovery.

    (Source: Business Times)

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    3,139 BTO f lat s u p f o r s ale

    Some 3,139 new flats have been launched in

    the HDBs first build-to-order (BTO) exercise

    of 2014. These new flats are in six projects in

    the non-mature estates of Bukit Batok,

    Jurong West, Punggol and Woodlands and

    the mature estate of Serangoon, and are

    expected to be fairly well received, especially

    from cost-sensitive applicants, young couples

    who can afford to wait, and buyers

    constrained by the cap on their mortgage

    servicing ratio (MSR) from purchasing more

    expensive resale flats.

    (Source: Business Times)

    Secondary-market deals low est s ince 2004

    According to a caveats analysis by DTZ, the

    number of resale private homes in the

    secondary market dropped from 15,678 units

    in 2012 to 7,695 units in 2013, the lowest

    volume in 2004. This drop is much larger than

    the 31.3 percent decrease in the number of

    private homes sold by developers in the

    primary market to 13,372 units in 2013. DTZ

    said that the drop might be due to the factthat those who own multiple properties are

    not in a hurry to sell their properties, as their

    replacement cost is now higher, with the

    higher additional buyer's stamp duty (ABSD)

    and the total debt servicing ratio (TDSR)

    framework in implementation. Individual

    owners are also less able to offer incentives

    or discounts to entice buyers.

    (Source: Business Times)

    Commercial

    R ec o rd b i d f or f or m er J o o Ch iat p o li ce

    s t a t io n s i t e

    A new record bid for Government Land Sales

    (GLS) hotel site has been established for a

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    99-year leasehold site along East Coast Road

    housing the former Joo Chiat police station.

    Out of 8 bidders, a consortium comprising

    Master Contract Services and Keong Hong

    Construction had the highest bid of $352.8million, or $1,326.11 psf ppr. This record has

    eclipsed the previous price of $1,303.24 psf

    ppr for a plum site at Havelock Road last

    November by an unnamed developer. Ong

    Kah Seng, director at R'ST Research said

    that this shows the implementation of theTDSR caused the private residential

    sentiment to cool and investors are shifting

    interest to hotel development.

    (Source: Business Times)

    Japans Par c o t o v ac at e M il len ia W al k a f te r l o s i n g m i l l i o n s

    Japanese mall and department store operator

    Parco is reported to quit its 83,000-square

    foot premises at Millenia Walk in Feb,

    following its losses of millions there since it

    moved to the mall in 2010. In 2011, it made a

    loss of $8.7 million and in 2012, made

    another loss of $3.4 million. Parcos lease

    would end in March, and it is looking tocontinue its operations in another mall with

    smaller scale of about 10,000 sq ft of space

    to accommodate its food, cafe and restaurant

    operationsthe only part that Parco is doing

    well. Pontiac Land Group, which owns and

    manages Millenia Walk, is working out plansfor the space that Parco will leave behind to

    focus on a renovation and enhancement

    exercise.

    (Source: Business Times)

    R af fl es M ed i c al b u y s R af fl es Hospitalsadjacent s i t e

    Integrated private healthcare provider Raffles

    Medical Group is reported to be acquiring

    from the Singapore Land Authority

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    a 1,978.1 sq ft site adjacent to Raffles

    Hospital for $105.2 million by internal

    resources and bank borrowings. The site has

    a plot ratio of 5.6 and would yield a GFA of

    11,077.36 sq m. The total development cost

    of the project, including the purchase of the

    site, construction costs and improvement

    works, is estimated to be about $310 million.

    (Source: Business Times)

    In du st r ial s pac e p ric es an d r en tals

    mo derat e in Q4 2013

    Prices and rentals of industrial space were

    reported to have moderated in Q4 2013, and

    are expected to carry on for the next few

    years, especially that JTC Corporation plansto double the yearly average supply of

    industrial space to two million sq m between

    2014 and 2016. JTC Corp has also released

    the latest quarterly report on the industrial

    property market the first time since it took

    charge of collecting and disseminating

    industrial property data from the Urban

    Redevelopment Authority (URA) last October.

    (Source: Business Times)

    All 52 st rat a of f ice unit s at AR C 380 sold

    All 52 strata office units for sale at the 16-

    storey freehold ARC 380 project in Lavender

    Street/Jalan Besar were sold, but only nine

    out of 19 retail units were sold. Two office

    floors were sold during a VIP preview before

    that, one at $22.6 million and the other at

    $23.1 million, or $2,410 psf and $2,464 psf

    respectively. The ARC 380 project isundertaken by two companies associated to

    Tong Eng Group, and will come up on the

    current Eminent Plaza and next-door

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    Lavender Food Square site, near the

    upcoming Bendemeer MRT Station on the

    Downtown Line.

    (Source: Business Times)

    T h e A r c a d e u p f o r s a l e b y t e n d e r

    The 20-storey commercial development in

    Collyer Quay, the Arcade, is now up for sale

    through marketing agent Colliers International

    by its owners including property developer

    City Developments. The Arcade is a 999-year

    leasehold development with a maximum

    allowable gross floor area of 303,657 sq ft,

    and the total existing strata area of 157,325

    sq ft. The site is said to have huge

    redevelopment potential as the existing plot

    ratio has not been fully maximized. Under the

    2008 Master Plan, the 21,909 sq ft site on

    which the Arcade now sits is zoned for

    commercial use with its allowable plot ratio

    being 13.86, which allows a building up to 50

    storeys high.

    (Source: Business Times)

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    http://www.moneymatters.sg/
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    Non-Landed Residential Resale Property Transactions for the Week of Jan 8 Jan 14

    NOTE: This data only covers non-landed residential resale propertytransactions with caveats lodged with the Singapore LandAuthority. Typically, caveats are lodged at least 2-3 weeks after apurchaser signs an OTP, hence the lagged nature of the data.

    Postal

    District

    Project NameArea

    (sqft)

    Transacted

    Price ($)

    Price

    ($ psf)

    Tenure

    1 ONE SHENTON 1,894 4,000,000 2,111 99

    1 ONE SHENTON 1,507 2,720,000 1,805 99

    3 YONG SIAK COURT 1,442 1,400,000 971 FH

    5 CARABELLE 2,077 2,380,000 1,146 956

    10 THE FORD @ HOLLAND 560 1,100,000 1,965 FH

    10 STUDIO 3 549 1,060,000 1,931 FH

    10 NATHAN PLACE 1,464 2,415,600 1,650 FH

    11 SOLEIL @ SINARAN 1,722 3,525,000 2,047 99

    11 THE ARCADIA 3,735 4,088,000 1,094 99

    12 SUNVILLE 1,141 1,200,000 1,052 FH

    13 ONE LEICESTER 1,066 1,400,000 1,314 FH

    14 THE WATERINA 721 925,000 1,283 FH

    15 ARTHUR 118 893 1,380,000 1,545 FH

    15 ONE AMBER 1,378 2,000,000 1,452 FH

    15 COTE D'AZUR 1,389 1,865,000 1,343 99

    15 THE MAKENA 1,582 2,008,888 1,270 FH

    15 SUNSHINE RESIDENCE 1,087 1,035,000 952 FH

    16 CASA FLORA 1,561 1,358,000 870 FH

    18 NV RESIDENCES 743 903,000 1,216 99

    19 SUNGLADE 1,152 1,320,000 1,146 99

    20 FAR HORIZON GARDENS 1,335 955,000 715 99

    21 THE NEXUS 1,055 1,665,000 1,578 FH

    Postal

    District

    Project NameArea

    (sqft)

    Transacted

    Price ($)

    Price

    ($ psf)

    Tenure

    21 HUME PARK I 904 928,000 1,026 FH

    21 HUME PARK I 1,356 1,200,000 885 FH

    22 PARC VISTA 1,270 1,320,000 1,039 99

    23 GLENDALE PARK 1,507 1,600,000 1,062 FH

    23 REGENT HEIGHTS 1,023 930,000 909 99

    25 CASABLANCA 1,184 1,065,000 899 99

    27 THE ESTUARY 1,442 1,268,888 880 99