ulla rosenström chief senior specialist -...
TRANSCRIPT
Finlands government´s work & report on the future
Ulla Rosenström Chief Senior Specialist
Finnish government looks into the future…
1. Description of the Finnish policy-making
environment for the ministries future reviews
2. The ministries’ future reviews
3. Finnish Government Future Report
4. New: National Foresight Approach
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National Foresight Approach
Finnish government work on future
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GOVERNMENT PROGRAMME
The ministries’ future reviews
Description of the Finnish policy-making environment for the ministries future reviews
ELECTIONS
Finnish Government Future Report
GOVERNMENT Submits to Parliament
Influence
Influence
Leads to
Description of the Finnish policy-making environment for the ministries future reviews
• Joint effort of all ministries, coordinated by the Prime Minister’s Office
• Crowd sourcing in April 2014 • Published June 2014 as HTML5 with active
promotion and communication
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Contents of the 2014 descpription of the Finnish policy making environment
1. Global situation, where is the world going
2. Economy
3. Environment and natural resources
4. Education, learning and innovations
5. People and well-being
6. Enabling state
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Ministries’ future reviews
• Produced regurly before elections since 2003 • Each ministry makes them independently • PMO coordinates: common structure, visual
style and promotion • Publication in September 2014 • Further analysis of the common themes for
2015
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Finnish Government Future Reports
• Once during each electoral period, the Government submits to Parliament a report on Finland’s future challenges and prospects.
• Parliament Committee for the Future responds to the Government Future Reports.
• Finland has had this tradition for past 20 years. • Previous Government Report on Future was completed in
2009: ”Government Foresight Report on Long-term Climate and Energy Policy: Towards a Low-carbon Finland”
• The preparation of “Government Report on the Future: well-being through sustainable growth” started in 2011, the dialogue is going on right now.
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Future report process
•Research and evalutions •Foresight themes from experts •Regional hearings •2030-website
Experimentation
Foresight themes
Foresight Future report Implementation
Foresight phase Strategy phase
2012 2013
Analysis: •Questionnaires •Workshops •Online discussions
•Other national strategies and programmes
Interactive web-report in Finnish, Swedish, and English
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Since its publication by June 2013, around 6,500 people have looked at the report, some 1,000 of whom have visited the report website over five times.
tulevaisuus.2030.fi
Different products from the process
• The foresight report www.2030.fi • The future report • International research group (Prof Himanen et co) • The future we want through working towards it together
• The ministries’ future reviews • Civil society, NGOs, regions • Companies, global networks
• Next government and its programme • National Foresight Approach
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New perspectives to promote well-being through sustainable growth 2030
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Present situation Challenges
Future development as a set of trends Breaking points, uncertainty
Stable social development Ability to renew
Success for all enterprises Global growth enterprises of the digital age
Coping at work, on-the-job learning
Stages of life interwoven between learning, working and relearning
High level of knowledge Education
Sense of community Mosaic of life styles and partnerships
Stability of government, certainty of the rule of law
Agility, openness to new ideas
Guidelines and project work Experimenting approach in shaping future models
Building blocks and customers of the national foresight approach
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POLITICAL DECISION-
MAKING
ACTORS PARTICIPATING IN
THE FORESIGHT APPROACH
SOCIETY The Tulevaisuuskartasto.fi
future atlas
Education
Foresight reviews
Forums
Picture of international situation commissioned
from experts
1. Foresight Group
• The Government appoints a Foresight Group comprising permanent and non-permanent members. The Government Foresight Group is tasked with coordination and innovation relating to Finnish foresight activities. A General Secretary assigned to the Prime Minister’s Office performs preparatory work for and supports the group’s decision-making. The results are regularly reported to permanent secretaries.
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2. National foresight network
• National foresight network will be extensive in scope and have a concrete mandate. Network members will form networks of their own according to need. Such networks can be either organisation- or theme-based and include representatives of various parties.
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TEKES
THE ACADEMY OF FINLAND SITRA
MINISTRIES
FUTURE WATCH
Businesses
PARLIAMENT OF FINLAND
FORESIGHT NETWORK
Ministry of x
XXX
GOVERNMENT FORESIGHT GROUP CHAIRPERSON
Permanent and non-permanent members
Regions
SECRETARIAT General Secretary +
X
Theme Theme
Theme
Theme
Meeting of the
Permanent Secretaries
TEA working group
Ministry of y
MEDIA
UNIVERSITIES
RESEARCH INSTITUTIONS
WE WANT EVERYBODY IN!
3. Regular foresight forums
• Foresight actors will be invited to convene at regular foresight forums in order to share and discuss topical, future-related themes and create new perspectives. Forum results will be widely communicated and foresight actors will form a tight, actively communicating network.
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4. Include the global views and research results
• In addition to national level foresight, an international foresight report will be regularly produced by commissioning Finnish or foreign research. Such research may be based on a pre-defined theme, or explore new phenomena.
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5. Share training
• National foresight expertise will be supported by training organised and provided on an extensive basis. The foresight secretariat of the Prime Minister’s Office will be responsible for organising this training.
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6. Foresight reviews for political actors
• The primary target audience of the understanding and perspectives generated by the new foresight approach will be the political actors regularly provided with foresight reviews. These foresight reviews will not aim to generate an understanding between actors, but to provide an overall picture of future possibilities and risks.
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7. Share knowledge > portal?
• The possibility will be explored of creating an online portal known as Tulevaisuuskartasto.fi (“the future atlas”), for the distribution of foresight data, analysis and discussion. This portal may be built on the basis of an existing portal.
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8. Regular evaluation of the approach
• The effectiveness, topicality, objectivity and quality of the foresight approach must be regularly monitored and assessed.
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Take home messages
• Consider the user needs: what, how, when?
• Communication
• No need to re-invent the wheel!
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Thank you for your attention!