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12:00 P.M. United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service August Crop Production Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch August 12, 2016

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Page 1: United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural … · 2018-05-21 · 12:00 P.M. United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service August

12:00 P.M.

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

August Crop ProductionExecutive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

August 12, 2016

Page 2: United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural … · 2018-05-21 · 12:00 P.M. United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service August

USDA-NASS

8-12-16

Field Crops Fruit and Nuts Specialty Crops

Corn Peaches Dry Beans

Soybeans Apples Tobacco

Cotton Pears Sugarbeets

Wheat Grapes Sugarcane

Oats Hops

Barley Summer Potatoes

Sorghum

Alfalfa & Other Hay

Rice

Peanuts

Contents

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USDA-NASS

8-12-16

Ag Yield Objective Yield

Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement

Crops Included Field CropsCorn, Soybeans, Cotton,

and Winter Wheat

Sample Size 22,144 4,544

Collection Period July 29 – Aug 8 July 25 – Aug 1

Survey Overview

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USDA-NASS

8-12-16

August 2016 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2016 Estimate Season

Corn

Planted Mil Ac 94.1 NC +7.0

Harvested Mil Ac 86.6 NC +7.2

Yield Bu/Ac 175.1 NA +4.0

Production Bil Bu 15.2 NA +11.4

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9.23 9.21

9.769.43

9.929.50

8.97

10.09

11.8

11.1

10.5

13.0

12.0

13.1

12.4 12.3

10.8

13.814.2

13.6

15.2

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Billion BushelsCorn for Grain Production

United States

USDA-NASS

8-12-16

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175.1

80.0

90.0

100.0

110.0

120.0

130.0

140.0

150.0

160.0

170.0

180.0

1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Bushels per AcreCorn for Grain Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

8-12-16

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USDA-NASS

8-12-16

Page 8: United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural … · 2018-05-21 · 12:00 P.M. United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service August

2004

20052006 2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

20142015

Aug-16

0.260

0.270

0.280

0.290

0.300

0.310

0.320

0.330

0.340

0.350

0.360

0.370

25,000 25,500 26,000 26,500 27,000 27,500 28,000 28,500 29,000 29,500

Lbs/Ear

Ears Per Acre

Corn Objective Yield RegionEars Per Acre vs. Implied Ear Weight

Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears USDA-NASS

8-12-16

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USDA-NASS

8-12-16

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2016 Estimate Season

Soybeans

Planted Mil Ac 83.7 NC +1.3

Harvested Mil Ac 83.0 NC +1.5

Yield Bu/Ac 48.9 NA +1.9

Production Bil Bu 4.06 NA +3.3

August 2016 Crop Production

Page 10: United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural … · 2018-05-21 · 12:00 P.M. United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service August

2.38

2.69 2.742.65

2.76

2.89

2.76

2.45

3.123.07

3.20

2.68

2.97

3.36 3.33

3.10 3.04

3.36

3.93 3.93

4.06

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Billion BushelsSoybean Production

United States

USDA-NASS

8-12-16

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48.9

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Bushels per AcreSoybean Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

8-12-16

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USDA-NASS

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% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2016 Estimate Season

All Cotton

Planted Mil Ac 10.0 NC +16.8

Harvested Mil Ac 9.53 NA +18.0

Yield Lb/Ac 800 NA +4.4

Production Mil Bls 15.9 NA +23.2

August 2016 Crop Production

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10.0

9.53

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Million AcresAll Cotton Acres

United States

Planted Harvested

USDA-NASS

8-12-16

Page 15: United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural … · 2018-05-21 · 12:00 P.M. United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service August

18.9 18.8

13.9

17.0 17.2

20.3

17.2

18.3

23.323.9

21.6

19.2

12.812.2

18.1

15.6

17.3

12.9

16.3

12.9

15.9

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Million BalesAll Cotton Production

United States

USDA-NASS

8-12-16

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800

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

850

900

1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Pounds per AcreAll Cotton Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)

USDA-NASS

8-12-16

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August 2016 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2016 Forecast Season

Winter Wheat

Harvested Mil Ac 30.2 NC -6.5

Yield Bu/Ac 54.9 +1.9 +29.2

Production Bil Bu 1.66 +1.8 +21.0

Spring Wheat

Harvested Mil Ac 11.8 NC -8.5

Yield Bu/Ac 48.3 +3.9 +4.3

Production Mil Bu 571 +3.8 -4.6

Durum Wheat

Harvested Mil Ac 2.08 NC +9.8

Yield Bu/Ac 44.1 +10.8 +1.4

Production Mil Bu 91.7 +10.8 +11.2

All Wheat

Production Bil Bu 2.32 +2.6 +13.1

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2004

20052006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014 2015

Jun-16

Jul-16

Aug-16

0.530

0.540

0.550

0.560

0.570

0.580

0.590

0.600

0.610

0.620

0.630

0.640

0.650

0.660

0.670

0.680

0.690

38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49

Grams/Head

Heads Per Square Foot

Wheat Objective Yield RegionHeads Per Square Foot vs. Implied Head Weight

Implied Head Weight = Published Yield / (Heads*1.6006)USDA-NASS

8-12-16

NASSEstimate

AverageOf Expectations

HighOf Expectations

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August 2016 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2016 Forecast Season

Oats Mil Bu 76.9 +0.3 -14.2

Barley Mil Bu 190 +3.8 -11.5

Sorghum Mil Bu 475 NA -20.5

Alfalfa Hay Mil Tons 61.5 NA +4.3

Other Hay Mil Tons 79.0 NA +4.7

Rice Mil Cwt 244 NA +27.0

Peanuts Bil Lbs 6.11 NA -1.6

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% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2016 Forecast Season

All Tobacco Mil Lbs 697 NA -2.7

Dry Beans Mil Cwt 29.5 NA -2.0

Sugarbeets Mil Tons 36.0 NA +1.8

Sugarcane Mil Tons 33.2 NA +2.8

Summer Potatoes Mil Cwt 19.2 NA +22.1

USDA-NASS

8-12-16

August 2016 Crop Production

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August 2016 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

Crop Unit August Previous Previous

2016 Forecast Season

Peaches Thou Tons 807 NA -4.8

Apples Bil Lbs 10.4 NA +4.1

Pears Thou Tons 782 NA -4.7

Grapes Mil Tons 7.82 NA +1.9

Hops Mil Lbs 91.8 NA +16.4

Page 25: United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural … · 2018-05-21 · 12:00 P.M. United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service August

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Release Date Report Title

August 19 Cattle on Feed

August 26 Rice Stocks

August 31 Agricultural Prices

September 1

CAIR: Cotton

CAIR: Fats & Oils

CAIR: Grain Crushings

September 12 Crop Production

Upcoming Reports

Page 26: United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural … · 2018-05-21 · 12:00 P.M. United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service August

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

All Reports Available Atwww.nass.usda.gov

For Questions202-720-2127

800-727-9540

[email protected]