united states department of agriculture national agricultural … · 2019-06-11 · 12:00 p.m....
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12:00 P.M.
United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service
June Crop ProductionExecutive Summary
Lance Honig, Chief
Crops Branch
June 11, 2019
USDA-NASS
6-11-19
Contents
Field Crops Fruit & Nuts Specialty Crops
Winter Wheat Citrus Maple Syrup
Prunes
Sweet Cherries
Tart Cherries
USDA-NASS
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Ag Yield Objective Yield
Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement
Crops Included Winter and Durum Wheat Winter Wheat
States 26 10
Sample Size 3,430 825
Collection Period May 30 - June 6 May 25 - June 1
Survey Overview
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
PercentU.S. Winter Wheat Condition
Percent Rated Good to Excellent
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019USDA-NASS
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0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019USDA-NASS
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U.S. Winter Wheat ProgressPercent HeadedPercent
USDA-NASS
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June 2019 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit June Previous Previous
2019 Forecast Season
Wheat, Winter
Harvested Mil Ac 25.2 NC +1.9
Yield Bu/Ac 50.5 +0.4 +5.4
Production Bil Bu 1.27 +0.5 +7.6
Production by Class
Hard Red Mil Bu 794 +1.8 +20.0
Soft Red Mil Bu 258 -2.4 -9.5
White Mil Bu 222 -0.8 -6.1
50.5
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
55.0
60.0
1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
Bushels per AcreWinter Wheat Yield
United States
Yield Linear (Yield)
USDA-NASS
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USDA-NASS
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2004
20052006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014 2015
2016
2017
2018
Jun - 19
0.530
0.540
0.550
0.560
0.570
0.580
0.590
0.600
0.610
0.620
0.630
0.640
0.650
0.660
0.670
0.680
0.690
0.700
38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
Grams/Head
Heads Per Square Foot
Wheat Objective Yield RegionHeads Per Square Foot vs. Implied Head Weight
Implied Head Weight = Published Yield / (Heads*1.6006) USDA-NASS
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USDA-NASS
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LowOf Expectations
AverageOf Expectations
HighOf Expectations
1.20
1.25
1.30
1.35
1.40
1.45
May June July August Final
Billion Bushels
2019 United States Winter Wheat ProductionIndustry Expectations vs NASS
NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS
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June 2019 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit June Previous Previous
2019 Forecast Season
Production
Oranges Mil Tons 5.25 -0.8 +33.8
Grapefruit Thou Tons 604 -0.5 +16.8
Tangerines
& MandarinsThou Tons 927 -0.1 +15.3
USDA-NASS
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June 2019 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit June Previous Previous
2019 Forecast Season
Production
Maple Syrup Mil Gal 4.24 NA +1.0
Prunes, dried Thou Tons 110 NA +37.5
Sweet Cherries Thou Tons 362 NA +13.2
Tart Cherries Mil Lbs 290 NA -17.7
USDA-NASS
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Release Date Report Title
June 13 Potato Stocks
June 18 Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts – Ann.
June 21 Cattle on Feed
June 27Agricultural Prices
Hogs and Pigs
June 28
Acreage
Grain Stocks
Rice Stocks
July 1 CAIR: Cotton System, Fats & Oils, and Grain Crushings
July 11 Crop Production
Upcoming Reports
USDA-NASS
6-11-19
United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service
All Reports Available Atwww.nass.usda.gov
For Questions202-720-2127
800-727-9540