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What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities John Horvick, Vice President & Political Director Prepared for NWPPA Conference May 17, 2016

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Page 1: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

What’s Happening Out There?:Power and Utilities

John Horvick, Vice President & Political DirectorPrepared for NWPPA Conference

May 17, 2016

Page 2: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

About DHMIndependent

Non-Partisan

Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest

Page 3: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

About DHMRecent Energy & Utility Clients

Association of Clean Water AgenciesAssociation of Washington BusinessesAvistaCentral Electric CooperativeClark Public UtilitiesClean Water ServicesDrive OregonEWEB

Energy Trust of OregonHillsboro WaterNorthwest RiverPartnersOak Lodge Water/Sanitary DistrictsPacificPowerPortland General ElectricOak Lodge Water/Sanitary DistrictsSalem Water & Sewer

Page 4: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

Mood

Page 5: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

All things considered, is [state]headed in the right direction,

or are things off on the wrong track?

Page 6: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

Right Direction: Western States

28%

41%

47%

47%

50%

51%

53%

63%

United States (May)

Arizona (April)

Idaho (November)

Oregon (April)

California (January)

Washington (May)

Nevada (May)

Utah (April)

Page 7: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

Go Go 90s

62%

Post 9/11

34%

Housing Boom

48%

Financial Crisis

34%

Today

47%

Page 8: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

Economy

Page 9: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

MedianHousehold Income

$52,000 (2014)

MedianHousehold Wealth

All: $81,000 White: $142,000Hispanic: $14,000AA: $11,000

Unemployment 5.0%

College Attainment 33% <High school 11%Grad Degree: 12%

United States Economic Numbers

Page 10: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

How worried are you about your personal financial situation?

Page 11: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

February 2016

51%

March 2011

71%

Page 12: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

How difficult would it be to pay an unexpected bill of $1000?

Page 13: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

Difficultly paying an unexpected bill of $1000

41%

32%

26%

Not at all difficult Somewhat difficult Very difficult

Marketplace Anxiety Index

Page 14: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

Power & Utilities

Page 15: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

Electric Utility Provider

44% 41% 9% 5%

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don't know

Satisfaction with electric utility provider

22% 57% 12% 5% 5%

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don't know

Value of electricity service

Page 16: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

Most Practical Source of Energy

9%

1%

1%

4%

5%

9%

9%

17%

45%

Don’t know

None of the above

Coal plants

Natural gas fired plants

Nuclear power plants

Solar power

Energy efficiency

Wind power

Hydropower from dams

Most Practical Source of Electrical Energy for the Pacific Northwest

Page 17: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

Hydropower 36%

Natural gas 16%

Energy efficiency 10%

Wind 9%Coal 8%Solar 7%

Nuclear / Geothermal 4%Biomass 3%

Tidal 1%

Hydropower 26%

Solar / Wind 17%

Energy efficiency 13%

Natural gas 8%

Nuclear / Geothermal 4%Tidal / Biomass 3%Coal 2%

Current Energy Estimate Desired 10-Year Target

Page 18: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

Customer Research

Page 19: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

• Benchmark customer satisfaction

• Identify changing attitudes and expectations

• Stay ahead and shape emerging policy issues

• Adjust messaging and message delivery

• Understand how customers balance cost, reliability, and the environment

Major Topics of Customer Research

Page 20: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

• Declining response rates: 1:100 vs 1:30

• Online surveys are getting better and better – especially for large populations

• Don’t forget about qualitative research!!!

Major Topics of Customer Research

Page 21: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

Don’t forget about qualitative research!

Page 22: What’s Happening Out There?: Power and Utilities · About DHM Independent Non-Partisan Four decades of public opinion research in Oregon and the Pacific Northwest . ... March 2011

Thank YouJohn Horvick

jhorvick@dhmresearch@DHMResearch