wow workforce development open house oct 21 st and 22nd labor market review betsy falk southeastern...

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WOW WOW Workforce Workforce Development Development Open House Open House Oct 21 st and 22nd Labor Market Review Betsy Falk Southeastern Wisconsin Labor Economist 262.638.6602 [email protected]

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WOW WOW Workforce Workforce

Development Development Open HouseOpen House

Oct 21st and 22nd

Labor Market Review

Betsy FalkSoutheastern Wisconsin Labor [email protected]

WOW WOW Workforce Workforce

Development Development Open HouseOpen House

Oct 21st and 22nd

Open House employment review with an overview of new employment studies

• Past and current unemployment data• Review of changes to employment• Demographic changes• Current and future employment needs• WIRED funded studies

– Job Openings (UWM)– Knowledge, Skills and Abilities (EMSI)

• Useful websites

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Unemployment Rates Explained*

Change in Labor Force Labor Force Employed Unemployed RateOriginal 100,000 95,000 5,000 5.0%New 110,000 95,000 15,000 13.6%

Change in number employedLabor force stays the same Labor Force Employed Unemployed RateOriginal 100,000 95,000 5,000 5.0%New 100,000 92,000 8,000 8.0%

Change in labor force and number employed, unemployed stays the same Labor Force Employed Unemployed RateOriginal 100,000 95,000 5,000 5.0%New 95,000 90,000 5,000 5.3%

* Numbers displayed do not represent any actual employment data. They are used for only as an example.

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Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept.

Civilian Work Force (1) 153,445.0 153,804.0 153,728.0 153,271.0 154,336.0 155,921.0 156,255.0 154,897.0 153,617.0

Unemployment 13,009.0 13,699.0 13,895.0 13,248.0 13,973.0 15,095.0 15,201.0 14,823.0 14,538.0

Percent of Work Force 8.5 8.9 9 8.6 9.1 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.5

Employment 140,436.0 140,105.0 139,833.0 140,586.0 140,363.0 140,826.0 141,055.0 140,074.0 139,079.0

Civilian Population 234,739.0 234,913.0 235,086.0 235,271.0 235,452.0 235,655.0 235,870.0 236,087.0 236,322.0

ITEM Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept.

Civilian Labor Force 3,065.5 3,134.6 3,075.3 3,093.6 3,092.9 3,134.6 3,154.3 3,162.4 3,127.2

Unemployment 230.0 277.3 284.9 262.6 252.8 279.8 252.8 272.8 236.8

Percent of Work Force 7.5 8.8 9.3 8.5 8.2 8.9 8 8.6 7.6

Employment 2,835.4 2,857.3 2,790.4 2,830.9 2,840.0 2,854.8 2,901.5 2,889.6 2,890.4

Civilian Population 4,407.1 4,409.4 4,411.6 4,414.0 4,416.5 4,419.3 4,422.5 4,425.2 4,428.4

(In Thousands)

NOT SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SERIES

DEPARTMENT OF WORKFORCE DEVELOPMENT

BUREAU OF WORKFORCE TRAINING

LABOR FORCE WISCONSIN-CPS 2009

DEPARTMENT OF WORKFORCE DEVELOPMENT

BUREAU OF WORKFORCE TRAINING

LABOR FORCE UNITED STATES 2009

(In Thousands)

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August County Unemployment Rank72 counties ranked highest to lowest unemployment rate

RANK COUNTY 09-Aug 09-Jul 08-Aug23 WASHINGTON 9.1% 9.4% 4.1%42 WAUKESHA 8.0% 8.0% 3.9%43 OZAUKEE 7.9% 8.0% 3.6%

RANK COUNTY 09-Aug 09-Jul 08-Aug1 MENOMINEE 17.8% 18.1% 14.0%2 ROCK 12.0% 12.8% 6.5%3 MARINETTE 11.4% 12.5% 5.6%4 LINCOLN 11.2% 11.5% 4.9%5 RUSK 11.1% 11.8% 5.6%6 IRON 10.5% 11.4% 6.2%7 OCONTO 10.5% 11.3% 5.8%8 KENOSHA 10.5% 10.6% 5.6%9 PRICE 10.3% 11.6% 4.5%

10 RACINE 10.2% 10.8% 5.5%

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August Cities Unemployment Rank31 cities ranked highest to lowest unemployment rate

RANK CITYAugust

2009 July 2009August

20083 WEST BEND CITY 13.4% 14.0% 5.9%

29 WAUWATOSA CITY 6.9% 6.9% 3.7%

RANK CITYAugust

2009 July 2009August

20081 BELOIT CITY 17.4% 17.7% 8.4%2 RACINE CITY 16.2% 17.1% 8.9%3 WEST BEND CITY 13.4% 14.0% 5.9%4 JANESVILLE CITY 13.0% 14.1% 7.5%5 MILWAUKEE CITY 11.9% 12.2% 7.2%6 GREEN BAY CITY 11.8% 12.4% 6.6%7 WAUSAU CITY 11.8% 12.0% 5.5%8 MANITOWOC CITY 11.7% 12.3% 5.1%9 SHEBOYGAN CITY 11.5% 12.1% 5.3%

10 KENOSHA CITY 11.4% 11.5% 6.1%

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WOW August Unemployment Rates

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

Ozaukee West Bend City of Waukesha Waukesha w /o City Washington w /o City

Ozaukee 2.6% 3.5% 4.4% 5.1% 3.5% 3.7% 3.6% 3.7% 3.6% 7.9%

West Bend 4.0% 4.8% 6.2% 7.4% 5.6% 5.3% 6.0% 5.4% 5.9% 13.4%

City of Waukesha 3.8% 5.1% 5.9% 6.3% 5.5% 4.8% 5.0% 5.1% 5.1% 11.0%

Waukesha w /o City 2.6% 3.5% 4.1% 4.5% 3.7% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.6% 7.3%

Washington w /o City 2.5% 3.3% 3.9% 4.4% 3.7% 3.4% 3.6% 3.6% 3.5% 7.8%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

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Milwaukee7 Fourth Quarter Employment and Wage ChangesRegional comparison of changes in the fourth quarter 2007 to 2008Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages

County 2007 2008 ChangeKenosha 55,440 55,300 (140) Milwaukee 502,029 496,573 (5,456) Ozaukee 39,271 38,343 (928) Racine 76,400 75,284 (1,116) Walworth 40,324 39,348 (976) Washington 52,853 52,113 (740) Waukesha 238,720 232,967 (5,753)

County 2007 2008 ChangeKenosha 518,649,449 530,198,415 11,548,966 Milwaukee 5,873,245,353 5,961,342,670 88,097,317 Ozaukee 413,632,876 408,269,582 (5,363,294) Racine 877,499,580 860,572,530 (16,927,050) Walworth 333,071,032 337,330,168 4,259,136 Washington 499,808,924 519,379,043 19,570,119 Waukesha 2,769,215,124 2,784,843,555 15,628,431

Data taken from:Wisconsin Department of Workforce DevelopmentBureau of Workforce Training - Labor Market Informationhttp://WORKnet.Wisconsin.gov

Fourth Quarter Average Employees

Fourth Quarter Total Wages

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Job Center of Wisconsin

WOW CountiesNumber of Jobs by occupations from Job CenterJanuary - September

2008 2009 Grand TotalProduction 6,318 1,507 7,825 Office and Administrative Support 2,577 970 3,547 Transportation and Material Moving 1,711 895 2,606 Architecture and Engineering 1,217 333 1,550 Sales and Related 886 655 1,541 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair 1,112 380 1,492 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance 910 340 1,250 Management 859 251 1,110 Healthcare Support 635 356 991 Construction and Extraction 753 137 890 Business and Financial Operations 614 239 853 Computer and Mathematical 602 209 811 Personal Care and Service 428 347 775 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical 326 428 754 Food Preparation and Serving Related 442 119 561 Community and Social Services 195 194 389 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media 214 155 369 Education, Training, and Library 163 83 246 Life, Physical, and Social Science 116 53 169 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry 31 23 54 Protective Service 43 4 47 Legal 11 6 17

Grand Total 20,163 7,684 27,847

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Occupation by Age 2006 American Community SurveyWOW Counties

Broad Occ 16-34 35-54 55+ TotalOffice & admin. support 14,230 22,080 12,798 49,108 Sales & related 15,486 19,212 9,909 44,607 Management 6,678 21,062 7,124 34,864 Production 10,354 16,485 4,550 31,389 Healthcare practitioner & tech. 4,463 10,135 4,380 18,978 Food preparation & serving 11,064 5,544 2,113 18,721 Business & financial operations 3,452 9,574 5,050 18,076 Transp. & material moving 6,761 8,233 2,937 17,931 Education, training & library 3,759 8,395 3,676 15,830 Construction & extraction 5,414 7,268 3,032 15,714 Architecture & engineering 2,710 6,448 1,747 10,905 Personal care & service 4,928 4,948 930 10,806 Building/grounds & maintenance 3,332 6,052 1,375 10,759 Computer & mathematical 3,890 5,253 449 9,592 Healthcare support 2,527 2,271 331 5,129 Install, maintenance & repair 1,289 487 1,324 3,100

Total: 100,337 153,447 61,725 315,509

Note: Occupation groups are in descending order based on the number of workers in each group.Source: 2006 U.S. Census, ACS PUMS & WI DWD, OEA

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WOW Counties LFPRLabor Force Participation by Age

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

16-19LFPR

20-24LFPR

25-29LFPR

35-44LFPR

45-54LFPR

55-59LFPR

60-64LFPR

65-69LFPR

70-74LFPR

75+ LFPR

Ozaukee Washington Waukesha WOW

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WOW Counties Population Change2000 Census, 2005 and 2008 American Community Survey

Age

2000 Percent of Total

2005 Percent of Total

2008 Percent of Total

2000 - 2008

ChangeUnder 5 years 6.5% 5.7% 5.7% -0.7%5 to 9 years 7.4% 6.6% 6.3% -1.1%10 to 14 years 7.8% 6.8% 6.7% -1.2%15 to 17 years 4.7% 4.6% 4.2% -0.5%18 and 19 years 2.3% 2.5% 2.7% 0.4%20 years 1.0% 0.9% 1.3% 0.3%21 years 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 0.3%22 to 24 years 2.7% 3.7% 3.7% 0.9%25 to 29 years 5.1% 5.1% 5.8% 0.7%30 to 34 years 6.6% 5.3% 4.7% -1.9%35 to 39 years 9.0% 7.2% 5.9% -3.1%40 to 44 years 9.2% 8.7% 7.5% -1.7%45 to 49 years 8.3% 9.1% 8.9% 0.6%50 to 54 years 7.1% 8.2% 8.4% 1.3%55 to 59 years 5.4% 6.5% 7.7% 2.3%60 and 61 years 1.6% 1.9% 2.4% 0.7%62 to 64 years 2.3% 3.7% 3.1% 0.8%65 and 66 years 1.4% 1.7% 1.9% 0.5%67 to 69 years 2.0% 2.0% 2.5% 0.5%70 to 74 years 3.2% 3.0% 3.1% -0.1%75 to 79 years 2.5% 2.1% 2.6% 0.1%80 to 84 years 1.5% 1.9% 2.0% 0.5%85 years and over 1.5% 1.5% 1.7% 0.2%

TOTAL: 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0%

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Region InfoRegion: WaukeshaOzaukeeWashington

Description 2006 Jobs 2016 Jobs Change % Change 2009 EPWAgriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 3,237 3,451 214 6.6% $23,738.46Mining 504 277 (227) (45.0%) $96,635.38Utilities 1,043 1,197 154 14.8% $129,702.82Construction 27,231 22,241 (4,990) (18.3%) $58,456.32Manufacturing 73,760 65,159 (8,601) (11.7%) $67,325.53Wholesale trade 25,543 25,393 (150) (0.6%) $71,868.91Retail trade 45,202 46,111 909 2.0% $26,170.25Transportation and warehousing 11,498 12,018 520 4.5% $48,135.18Information 6,587 7,392 805 12.2% $65,879.28Finance and insurance 22,047 24,765 2,718 12.3% $74,833.70Real estate and rental and leasing 14,364 17,270 2,906 20.2% $24,713.01Professional and technical services 24,762 25,846 1,084 4.4% $56,269.37Management of companies and enterprises 5,981 8,088 2,107 35.2% $82,054.40Administrative and waste services 20,133 18,757 (1,376) (6.8%) $34,533.02Educational services 6,498 7,396 898 13.8% $23,448.35Health care and social assistance 35,441 44,884 9,443 26.6% $46,147.68Arts, entertainment, and recreation 7,570 8,611 1,041 13.8% $14,465.95Accommodation and food services 25,970 27,700 1,730 6.7% $14,152.59Other services, except public administration 20,028 21,778 1,750 8.7% $23,960.28Government 27,494 28,912 1,418 5.2% $53,161.10

404,892 417,246 12,354 3.0% $48,408

WOW Counties Jobs by Industry

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Waukesha, Ozaukee and Washington countiesJob Projection Annual Average Openings2009 to 2014

Description2009 Jobs

2014 Jobs

New & Rep. Jobs

Current Avg

Hourly Earnings Education Level

Retail salespersons 11,261 12,367 2,840 $11.74 Short OJTWaiters and waitresses 5,358 6,162 2,259 $7.74 Short OJTCashiers, except gaming 7,867 8,118 2,254 $8.15 Short OJT

Combined food preparation and serving workers, including fast food 7,133 8,297 1,840 $7.58 Short OJTCustomer service representatives 6,072 6,913 1,686 $16.34 Moderate OJTLaborers and freight, stock, and material movers, hand 5,826 6,002 1,108 $13.60 Short OJTOffice clerks, general 5,657 6,167 1,029 $12.98 Short OJTRegistered nurses 4,538 5,173 1,010 $29.79 Associate's degreeSales representatives, wholesale and manufacturing, except technical and scientific products 6,823 7,071 1,001 $31.30 Moderate OJT

Janitors and cleaners, except maids and housekeeping cleaners 4,531 4,993 896 $11.38 Short OJTStock clerks and order fillers 4,641 4,622 710 $10.52 Short OJTBookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks 4,121 4,494 695 $15.41 Moderate OJTChild care workers 2,531 2,858 690 $11.46 Short OJTHome health aides 2,045 2,629 675 $10.58 Short OJTAccountants and auditors 2,883 3,276 647 $29.87 Bachelor's degreeReceptionists and information clerks 2,609 2,908 618 $12.09 Short OJTBartenders 1,823 2,085 594 $8.69 Short OJTTellers 1,744 1,956 593 $10.93 Short OJTLandscaping and groundskeeping workers 2,630 3,022 566 $12.02 Short OJTExecutive secretaries and administrative assistants 2,977 3,257 517 $18.83 Moderate OJTComputer software engineers, applications 1,762 2,150 516 $34.85 Bachelor's degreeSales representatives, services, all other 1,971 2,253 514 $26.17 Moderate OJTCooks, restaurant 1,729 2,001 506 $9.48 Long OJTCounter attendants, cafeteria, food concession, and coffee shop 1,085 1,197 489 $8.06 Short OJTGeneral and operations managers 3,272 3,349 471 $53.65 Degree plus work experience

Source: EMSI Covered Employment - 2nd Quarter 2009 v. 2

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Waukesha, Ozaukee and Washington countiesJob Projection Annual Average Openings2014 Average Annual Openings

Education Level

New & Rep. Jobs

Short-term on-the-job training Total 25,462Moderate-term on-the-job training Total 12,369Bachelor's degree Total 6,858Long-term on-the-job training Total 4,486Work experience in a related field Total 3,210Postsecondary vocational award Total 2,912Associate's degree Total 2,283Degree plus work experience Total 1,902First professional degree Total 812Master's degree Total 607Doctoral degree Total 410N/A Total 166

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Regional Workforce Alliance

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Regional Workforce Alliance

• 7 Counties• 2007 WIRED Grant $5.1 million• $2.5 million Workforce Innovation Fund• Proof of Concept – Quick Hit

– Deloitte Study– 2 Industries– 5 Occupations

• EMSI Study– Ability, Skill, Knowledge

• UW Milwaukee Study– Job Openings

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Assumptions:

• ONET – National standards– Over 150 attributes per occupation– Ability – born with– Skill - develop– Knowledge – specific course curriculum

• Limit the number to cross-check at 5 abilities, 5 skills and 5 knowledge areas

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•Pharmaceutical

•Plastics

•Industrial Machinery

•Electronic Systems

•Finance

•Business Services

•Consumer Services (Building and Landscape)

•Consumer Services (Social and Health Care)

STUDY RESULTS FOR INDUSTRIES

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Service Occupations

21

3634

3941

3331

47

31

47

213

23

6

34

616159

6464

78

70

76

83

78

62

7071

8582

58

4750 45

39

6560 63 55

5856 56

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Level Knowledge Skills Abilities

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Service Occupation – Group 1

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Service Occupation – Group 2

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Service Occupation – Group 3

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Code Title Total abilities skills knowledge

11- 3011.00 Administrative Services Managers 15 5 5 5

43- 6013.00 Medical Secretaries 15 5 5 5

43- 4041.01 Credit Authorizers 15 5 5 5

43- 3071.00 Tellers 15 5 5 5

43- 3041.00 Gaming Cage Workers 15 5 5 5

29- 1121.00 Audiologists 15 5 5 5

13- 1072.00Compensation, Benefits, and Job Analysis Specialists 15 5 5 5

43- 4031.03 License Clerks 15 5 5 5

29- 1124.00 Radiation Therapists 15 5 5 5

13- 2061.00 Financial Examiners 14 5 4 5

Code Title Total abilities skills knowledge

11- 3011.00 Administrative Services Managers 15 5 5 5

43- 6013.00 Medical Secretaries 15 5 5 5

43- 4041.01 Credit Authorizers 15 5 5 5

43- 3071.00 Tellers 15 5 5 5

43- 3041.00 Gaming Cage Workers 15 5 5 5

29- 1121.00 Audiologists 15 5 5 5

13- 1072.00Compensation, Benefits, and Job Analysis Specialists 15 5 5 5

43- 4031.03 License Clerks 15 5 5 5

29- 1124.00 Radiation Therapists 15 5 5 5

13- 2061.00 Financial Examiners 14 5 4 5

STUDY RESULTS (Other Compatible Occupations)

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Handy Websites• Check on job titles, skills and related

occupations: Onet– http://online.onetcenter.org/

• Definition of “green” jobs and industry: EMSI– http://www.economicmodeling.com/

• Wage comparison for counties and length of service: Wisconsin WorkNET– http://worknet.wisconsin.gov/worknet/wageco

mparison.aspx?menuselection=ce• Wisconsin Department of Workforce

Development Office of Economic Advisors– http://www.dwd.state.wi.us/oea/

• Regional Workforce Alliance– http://www.milwaukee7-rwa.org/wiki

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Questions????