2007 apple & pear harvest forecast outside eu-27 pierre nicolas pérès president wapa

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2007 Apple & Pear Harvest Forecast Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA www.wapa-association.org

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2007 Apple & Pear Harvest Forecast Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA www .wapa-association.org. 2007 Apple and Pear harvest forecast outside EU-27 China North America Canada Mexico USA South Hemisphere Argentina Australia Brazil Chile New Zealand South Africa. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

2007Apple & Pear

Harvest Forecast Outside EU-27

Pierre Nicolas PérèsPresident WAPA

www.wapa-association.org

Page 2: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

1.2007 Apple and Pear harvest forecast outside EU-27– China – North America

• Canada• Mexico• USA

– South Hemisphere• Argentina• Australia• Brazil• Chile• New Zealand• South Africa

Page 3: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

– Russia– Southern republics (CIS)

• Ukraine• Uzbekistan• Moldova• Azerbaijan• Belarus• Kazakhstan• Kyrgyzstan• Tajikistan• Turkmenistan

1.Renewing of orchards (cultivar choice, etc.)2.Apple export/import perspectives3.World market of concentrated apple juice

Page 4: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

APPLES

Page 5: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

WORLD APPLE VARIETIES %

Gala's 13%

Fuji's 7%

Braeburn 3%

Red's 19%

Golden Delicious 19%

Jonagold/ Red 3%

Granny Smith 6%

Others 31%

Source: Belrose.

Page 6: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

20 First Apples Producing Countries (FAO – 2005)

1. China2. USA3. Turkey4. Iran5. Italy6. France 7. Poland8. Russia9. Germany10. India

11.Chile12.Argentina13.Japan14.Brazil15.Spain16.South Africa17.Hungary18.Ukraine19.Korea20.Egypt

1. China

Page 7: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

CHINA

Page 8: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

CHINA

0

5.000.000

10.000.000

15.000.000

20.000.000

25.000.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p 2007/08 f

APPLES PRODUCTION (t)

Source: Belrose, ZMP, USDA, FAO

Page 9: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

CHINA

1.700.000

1.750.000

1.800.000

1.850.000

1.900.000

1.950.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p 2007/08 f

APPLES AREA (ha)

Source: Belrose, ZMP, USDA, FAO

Page 10: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

CHINA

Gala's 3%

Fuji's 60%Red's 10%

Golden Delicious 3%

Others 24%

APPLES VARIETIES ( %)

Source: Belrose, USDA, FAO

Page 11: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

CHINA

600.000

650.000

700.000

750.000

800.000

850.000

900.000

950.000

1.000.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p 2007/08 f

APPLES EXPORTS

Source: Belrose, USDA, FAO

Page 12: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

Russia & CIS 19%

Southeast Asia 50%

Netherlands 5%

Others 26%

CHINA

Source: Belrose, USDA, FAO

APPLE EXPORT DESTINATIONS

Page 13: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

CHINA

25.000

27.000

29.000

31.000

33.000

35.000

37.000

39.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p 2007/08 f

APPLES IMPORTS

Source: Belrose, USDA

Page 14: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

USA

0

500.000

1.000.0001.500.000

2.000.000

2.500.000

3.000.000

3.500.000

4.000.0004.500.000

5.000.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p 2007/08 f

APPLES PRODUCTION (t)

Source: US Apple, Belrose, USDA.

Page 15: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

USA

Gala's 10%

Fuji's 9%

Red's 27%

Golden Delicious 13%

Granny Smith 9%

Others 32%

APPLES VARIETIES ( %)

Source: Belrose, USDA, FAO

Page 16: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

USA

450.000

500.000

550.000

600.000

650.000

700.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p 2007/08 f

APPLES EXPORTS

Source: Belrose, USDA, FAO

Page 17: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

USA

60.000

80.000

100.000

120.000

140.000

160.000

180.000

200.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES IMPORTS

Source: Belrose, USDA

Page 18: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

OTHERS NORTH AMERICA

0

100.000

200.000

300.000

400.000

500.000

600.000

700.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

  Mexico M Proc.   Canada C Proc.

APPLES PRODUCTION (t)

Source: Agriculture Canada, SAGARPA, FAO

Page 19: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

Mexico Gala's 5%

Red's 30%

Golden Delicious

65%

Canada

Others 29%

Red's 11%

Golden Delicious

4%

Spartan 6%

Gala's 7%

Mac Intosh 35%

Empire 8%

APPLES VARIETIES ( %) OTHERS NORTH AMERICA

Source: Agriculture Canada, USDA

Page 20: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

10.000

20.000

30.000

40.000

50.000

60.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

APPLES EXPORTS

OTHERS NORTH AMERICA

Source: Agriculture Canada, USDA

Page 21: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

60.000

80.000

100.000

120.000

140.000

160.000

180.000

200.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

  Mexico   Canada

APPLES IMPORTS

Source: Agriculture Canada, USDA

OTHERS NORTH AMERICA

Page 22: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

500.000

1.000.000

1.500.000

2.000.000

2.500.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p 2007/08 f

APPLES PRODUCTION (t)

RUSSIA

Source: FAO, USDA.

Page 23: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

100.000

150.000

200.000

250.000

300.000

350.000

400.000

450.000

500.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

APPLES AREA (ha)

RUSSIA

Source: FAO, USDA.

Page 24: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0500

1.000

1.5002.000

2.5003.000

3.5004.0004.500

5.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

APPLES EXPORTS

RUSSIA

Source: FAO, USDA.

Page 25: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

100.000

200.000

300.000

400.000

500.000

600.000

700.000

800.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

APPLES IMPORTS

RUSSIA

Source: FAO, USDA.

Page 26: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

• Ukraine• Uzbekistan• Moldova• Azerbaijan• Belarus• Kazakhstan• Kyrgyzstan• Tajikistan• Turkmenistan

–SOUTHERN REPUBLICS (CIS)

Page 27: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

200.000

400.000

600.000

800.000

1.000.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

  Ukraine   Uzbekistan  Moldova, Republic of   Azerbaijan, Republic of  Belarus   Kazakhstan  Kyrgyzstan   Tajikistan  Turkmenistan

APPLES PRODUCTION (t)

–SOUTHERN REPUBLICS (CIS)

Source: FAO, USDA.

Page 28: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

50.000

100.000

150.000

200.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

  Ukraine   Uzbekistan  Moldova, Republic of   Azerbaijan, Republic of  Belarus   Kazakhstan  Kyrgyzstan   Turkmenistan

APPLES AREA (ha)

–SOUTHERN REPUBLICS (CIS)

Source: FAO, USDA.

Page 29: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

020.00040.00060.00080.000

100.000120.000140.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

  Ukraine   Uzbekistan  Moldova, Republic of   Azerbaijan, Republic of  Belarus   Kazakhstan  Kyrgyzstan   Tajikistan  Turkmenistan

APPLES EXPORTS

–SOUTHERN REPUBLICS (CIS)

Source: FAO, USDA.

Page 30: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

20.000

40.000

60.000

80.000

100.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06

  Ukraine   Uzbekistan   Moldova, Republic of  Azerbaijan, Republic of   Belarus   Kazakhstan  Kyrgyzstan   Tajikistan   Turkmenistan

APPLES IMPORTS

–SOUTHERN REPUBLICS (CIS)

Source: FAO, USDA.

Page 31: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE

Page 32: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE

3.800.0003.900.0004.000.0004.100.0004.200.0004.300.0004.400.0004.500.0004.600.0004.700.0004.800.0004.900.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES PRODUCTION (t)

Source: FAO, DECOFRUT

Page 33: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

SOUTHERN HEMISPHEREAPPLES VARIETIES (%)

Gala's 30%

Fuji's 11%

Cripps Pink 5%

Red's 23%

Golden Delicious 4%

Granny Smith 15%

Others 6%

Braeburn 6%

Source: WAPA

Page 34: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

200.000

400.000

600.000

800.000

1.000.000

1.200.000

1.400.000

1.600.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES PRODUCTION (t)

Source: FAO, DECOFRUT

CHILE

Page 35: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

30.00031.000

32.000

33.000

34.00035.000

36.000

37.000

38.000

39.00040.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES AREA (ha)

Source: WAPA, DECOFRUT

CHILE

Page 36: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

Gala's 35%

Fuji's 9%

Red's 29%

Granny Smith 17%

Others 1%

Cripps Pink 5%Braeburn 4%

APPLES VARIETIES ( %)

Source: Decofrut, WAPA

CHILE

Page 37: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

550.000

600.000

650.000

700.000

750.000

800.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES EXPORTS

Source: WAPA, Exportdata, DECOFRUT

CHILE

Page 38: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

CHILE

Europe 35%

Latin America 32%

Asia 9%

Middle East 11% Others 1%

USA 12%

APPLES EXPORTS

Source: WAPA, DECOFRUT

Page 39: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

1 USD versus Peso Cl

Page 40: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

10

2030

40

50

60

70

8090

100

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p 2007/08 f

APPLES IMPORTS

Source: WAPA, DECOFRUT

CHILE

Page 41: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

200.000

400.000

600.000

800.000

1.000.000

1.200.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES PRODUCTION (t)

Source: WAPA, USDA.

ARGENTINA

Page 42: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

10.00015.000

20.000

25.000

30.00035.000

40.000

45.000

50.000

55.00060.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES AREA (ha)

Source: USDA, FAO

ARGENTINA

Page 43: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

Gala's 10%

Red's 61%

Others 3%Granny Smith

26%

APPLES VARIETIES ( %)

Source:

ARGENTINA

Page 44: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

100.000120.000

140.000

160.000

180.000200.000

220.000

240.000

260.000

280.000300.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES EXPORTS

Source: WAPA, FAO

ARGENTINA

Page 45: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

Europe 42%

Brazil 25%

Others 11%

Russia 22%

APPLES EXPORTS ( %)

Source:

ARGENTINA

Page 46: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES IMPORTS

Source: FAO, USDA

ARGENTINA

Page 47: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

BRAZIL

Page 48: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

100.000

200.000300.000

400.000

500.000

600.000700.000

800.000

900.0001.000.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES PRODUCTION (t)

Source: ABPM, AGAPOMI, EPAGRI, DEROL

BRAZIL

Page 49: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

20.00022.000

24.000

26.000

28.00030.000

32.000

34.000

36.000

38.00040.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES AREA (ha)

BRAZIL

Source: ABPM, AGAPOMI, EPAGRI, DEROL

Page 50: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

Fuji's 35%

Gala's 60%

Others 5%

APPLES VARIETIES ( %)

Source: ABPM, AGAPOMI

BRAZIL

Page 51: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

020.000

40.000

60.000

80.000100.000

120.000

140.000

160.000

180.000200.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES EXPORTS

Source: ABPM, SECEX

BRAZIL

Page 52: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

1 USD versus Real

Page 53: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

BRAZIL

Netherlands 30%

UK 14%Germany 7%

Portugal 6%

Sweeden 5%

Bangladesh 2%

Others 26%

France 9%

APPLES EXPORTS

Page 54: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

20.000

30.000

40.000

50.000

60.000

70.000

80.000

90.000

100.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES IMPORTS

Source: SECEX

BRAZIL

Page 55: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

Argentina 75%

Chile 16%

Spain 1%Italy 2%

Uruguay 2%

Others 1%France 2%

APPLES IMPORTS ( %)

Source: ABPM, AGAPOMI

BRAZIL

Page 56: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA
Page 57: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

100.000

200.000

300.000

400.000

500.000

600.000

700.000

800.000

900.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES PRODUCTION (t)

Source: WAPA, DFPT, USDA.

SOUTH AFRICA

Page 58: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

5.000

10.000

15.000

20.000

25.000

30.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES AREA (ha)

SOUTH AFRICA

Source: WAPA, DFPT, USDA.

Page 59: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

Apple Orchard Age Distribution

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

0-3 4-10 11-15 16-25 25+

years

Source: DFPT.

Page 60: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

Gala's 12%

Fuji's 4%

Red's 14%

Golden Delicious 22%

Others 20%

Granny Smith 25%

Braeburn 3%

APPLES VARIETIES ( %)

Source: DFPT, WAPA

SOUTH AFRICA

Page 61: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

100.000

150.000

200.000

250.000

300.000

350.000

400.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES EXPORTS

SOUTH AFRICA

Source: WAPA, DFPT.

Page 62: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

Eastern Africa1.15%

Central Africa0.73%

Far East5.79%

Indian Ocean Island3.27%

Middle East4.45%

United Kingdom43.93%

United States0.16%

Western Africa7.54%

Asia10.85%

Russia1.62%

Southern Africa0.01%

Southern Europe0.64%

North America (Canada)0.92%

Northern Europe18.94%

Source: DFPT.

Page 63: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

10

2030

40

50

60

70

8090

100

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p 2007/08 f

APPLES IMPORTS

Source: USDA, FAO.

SOUTH AFRICA

Page 64: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

NEW ZEALAND

Waikato 220 ha

Gisborne 160ha

Hawkes Bay 5.800ha

Central Otago 350 ha

Nelson / Tasman region 2.500ha

Page 65: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

100.000

200.000

300.000

400.000

500.000

600.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES PRODUCTION (t)

Source: WAPA, PIPFRUIT NEW ZEALAND, AGFIRST, USDA, FAO.

NEW ZEALAND

Page 66: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

2.000

4.000

6.000

8.000

10.000

12.000

14.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p 2007/08 f

APPLES AREA (ha)

NEW ZEALAND

Source: WAPA, PIPFRUIT NEW ZEALAND, AGFIRST, USDA, FAO.

Page 67: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

Fuji's 10%

Jazz 6%

Pacific Rose 6%

Granny Smith 3%

Others 14% Gala's 33%

Braeburn 28%

APPLES VARIETIES ( %)

Source: WAPA, PIPFRUIT NEW ZEALAND, AGFIRST, USDA, FAO.

NEW ZEALAND

Page 68: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

100.000

150.000

200.000

250.000

300.000

350.000

400.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07p

APPLES EXPORTS

NEW ZEALAND

Source: WAPA, AGFIRST.

Page 69: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0200

400

600

8001.000

1.200

1.400

1.600

1.8002.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES IMPORTS

NEW ZEALAND

Source: USDA, FAO.

Page 70: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

50.000

100.000

150.000

200.000

250.000

300.000

350.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES PRODUCTION (t)

Source: WAPA, USDA.

AUSTRALIA

Page 71: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

5.000

10.000

15.000

20.000

25.000

30.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES AREA (ha)

AUSTRALIA

Source: WAPA, USDA.

Page 72: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

Gala's 14%

Fuji's 8%

Red's 16%

Golden Delicious 6%

Granny Smith 21%

Others 8%

Cripps Pink 20%

Cripps Red 7%

APPLES VARIETIES ( %)

Source: WAPA

AUSTRALIA

Page 73: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

02.000

4.000

6.000

8.00010.000

12.000

14.000

16.000

18.00020.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

APPLES EXPORTS

Source: USDA, FAO

AUSTRALIA

Page 74: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

10

2030

40

50

60

70

8090

100

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p 2007/08 f

APPLES IMPORTS

Source: FAO, USDA

AUSTRALIA

Page 75: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

PEARS

Page 76: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

20 First Pears Producing Countries (FAO – 2005)

1. China2. Italy3. USA4. Spain5. Argentina6. Germany7. Japan8. Korea9. South Africa10. Turkey

11. France12. Belgium13. Chile14. Netherlands15. India16. Iran17. North Korea18. Portugal19. Australia20. Ukraine

Page 77: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

CHINA

0

2.000.000

4.000.000

6.000.000

8.000.000

10.000.000

12.000.000

14.000.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p 2007/08 f

PEARS PRODUCTION (t)

Source: Belrose, USDA, FAO

Page 78: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

CHINA

800.000

850.000

900.000

950.000

1.000.000

1.050.000

1.100.000

1.150.000

1.200.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p 2007/08 f

PEARS AREA (ha)

Source: Belrose, USDA, FAO

Page 79: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

CHINA

300.000

400.000

500.000

600.000

700.000

800.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p 2007/08 f

PEARS EXPORTS

Source: Belrose, USDA, FAO

Page 80: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

CHINA

25.000

30.000

35.000

40.000

45.000

50.000

55.000

60.000

65.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

PEARS IMPORTS

Source: Belrose, USDA

Page 81: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

USA

300.000

400.000

500.000

600.000

700.000

800.000

900.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p 2007/08 f

  United States of America Total NW & CA Fresh NW & CA

PEARS PRODUCTION (t)

Source: USA Pears, FAO, USDA.

Page 82: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

USA

Anjou 29%

Red Anjou 2%

Bosc 9%

Others 3%Bartletts 20%

Comice 1%

Processed-William/Bartlett

36%

PEARS VARIETIES 2007 ( %)

Source: USA Pears, USDA, FAO

Page 83: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

USA

200.000210.000

220.000

230.000

240.000250.000

260.000

270.000

280.000

290.000300.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

PEARS EXPORTS

Source: USA Pears, USDA, FAO

Page 84: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

USA

0

20.000

40.000

60.000

80.000

100.000

120.000

140.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

PEARS IMPORTS

Source: USA Pears, USDA, FAO

Page 85: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

OTHERS NORTH AMERICA

0

5.000

10.000

15.000

20.000

25.000

30.000

35.000

40.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

  Mexico   Canada

PEARS PRODUCTION (t)

Source: Agriculture Canada, FAO

Page 86: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

1.000

2.000

3.000

4.000

5.000

6.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

  Mexico   Canada

PEARS EXPORTS

Source: Agriculture Canada, USDA

OTHERS NORTH AMERICA

Page 87: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

20.000

40.000

60.000

80.000

100.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

  Mexico   Canada

PEARS IMPORTS

Source: Agriculture Canada, USDA

OTHERS NORTH AMERICA

Page 88: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE

Page 89: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

ARGENTINA

0

100.000

200.000

300.000

400.000

500.000

600.000

700.000

800.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

PEARS PRODUCTION (t)

Source: WAPA, USDA, FAO

Page 90: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

5.000

10.000

15.000

20.000

25.000

30.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

PEARS AREA (ha)

Source: WAPA, USDA, FAO

ARGENTINA

Page 91: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

Packam's 40%

Williams 45%

Bosc 12%Others 3%

PEARS VARIETIES ( %)

Source: WAPA

ARGENTINA

Page 92: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

200.000

250.000

300.000

350.000

400.000

450.000

500.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

PEARS EXPORTS

Source: WAPA, USDA, FAO

ARGENTINA

Page 93: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

Europe 37%

Brazil 26%

Russia 19%

USA 11%

Others 7%

PEARS EXPORTS ( %)

Source: USDA

ARGENTINA

Page 94: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0200

400

600

8001.000

1.200

1.400

1.600

1.8002.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

PEARS IMPORTS

Source: WAPA, USDA, FAO

ARGENTINA

Page 95: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

CHILE

0

50.000

100.000

150.000

200.000

250.000

300.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

PEARS PRODUCTION (t)

Source: WAPA, USDA

Page 96: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

01.000

2.000

3.000

4.0005.000

6.000

7.000

8.000

9.00010.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

PEARS AREA (ha)

Source: WAPA, Decofrut

CHILE

Page 97: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

Packam's 56%

Bosc 17%

Abate Fetel 8%

Bartlet's 10%

Others 9%

PEARS VARIETIES ( %)

Source: WAPA, Decofrut

CHILE

Page 98: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

50.000

60.000

70.000

80.000

90.000

100.000

110.000

120.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

PEARS EXPORTS

Source: WAPA, USDA, FAO

CHILE

Page 99: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

Europa 45%

Latin America 32%

USA 18%

Middle East 4% Others 1%

PEARS EXPORTS ( %)

Source: WAPA, Decofrut

CHILE

Page 100: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

05

10

15

2025

30

35

40

4550

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

PEARS IMPORTS

Source: WAPA, USDA, FAO

CHILE

Page 101: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

SOUTH AFRICA

0

50.000

100.000

150.000

200.000

250.000

300.000

350.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

PEARS PRODUCTION (t)

Source: WAPA, DFPT

Page 102: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

10.00010.500

11.000

11.500

12.00012.500

13.000

13.500

14.000

14.50015.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

PEARS AREA (ha)

Source: WAPA, DFPT

SOUTH AFRICA

Page 103: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

Pear Orchard Age Distribution

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

0-3 4-10 11-15 16-25 25+

years

Source: DFPT

Page 104: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

Packam's 29%

Bon Chrétien 20%

Forelle 22%

Early Bon Chrétien 9%

Others 20%

PEARS VARIETIES ( %)

Source: DFPT

SOUTH AFRICA

Page 105: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

50.000

70.000

90.000

110.000

130.000

150.000

170.000

190.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

PEARS EXPORTS (t)

Source: DFPT, WAPA

SOUTH AFRICA

Page 106: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

Asia4.49%

Far East4.74%

Indian Ocean Island1.70%

Central Africa0.07%

Middle East1.94%

North America (Canada)1.96%

Eastern Africa0.07%

Northern Europe50.26%

Southern Africa0.08%

Russia5.16%

Southern Europe3.86%

United Kingdom23.77%

Western Africa1.24%

United States0.68%

Source: DFPT, WAPA

Page 107: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

010

20

30

4050

60

70

80

90100

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

PEARS IMPORTS

Source: DFPT, FAO

SOUTH AFRICA

Page 108: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

AUSTRALIA

0

20.000

40.000

60.000

80.000

100.000

120.000

140.000

160.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

PEARS PRODUCTION (t)

Source: WAPA, USDA, FAO

Page 109: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

200

400

600

800

1.000

1.200

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

PEARS AREA (ha)

Source: WAPA, USDA, FAO

AUSTRALIA

Page 110: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

Bosc 6%Others 7%

Williams 60%

Packam's 27%

PEARS VARIETIES ( %)

Source: WAPA

AUSTRALIA

Page 111: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

02.000

4.000

6.000

8.00010.000

12.000

14.000

16.000

18.00020.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

PEARS EXPORTS

Source: WAPA, USDA, FAO

AUSTRALIA

Page 112: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0500

1.000

1.500

2.0002.500

3.000

3.500

4.000

4.5005.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p

PEARS IMPORTS

Source: USDA

AUSTRALIA

Page 113: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

0

20.000

40.000

60.000

80.000

100.000

120.000

140.000

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 p 2007/08 f

PEARS IMPORTS

Source: SECEX

BRAZIL

Page 114: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

CAJ

Page 115: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

CONSUMPTION, EXPORT AND IMPORT OF CAJ - 2006

0

100.000

200.000

300.000

400.000

500.000

600.000

700.000

800.000

Argentina Australia Chile New Zealand South Africa Brazil China USA

Page 116: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

SPECIAL THANKSAnton Rabe, Stefan Conradie & Jacques Du Preez - DFPT - South Africa

Desmond O' Rourke - Belrose - USA

Dr. Wilhelm Ellinger - ZMP - Germany

Frédéric Rosseneu - WAPA - Belgium

Ian Palmer & Gary Jones - Pipfruit NZ - NZ

Karen Jones - Decofrut - Chile

Kevin Moffitt - USA Pears - USA

Marcelo Loyarte - CAFI - Argentina

Mark Bowen - US Apple Association - USA

Mark Powers - Northwest Horticulture Council - USA

Paulo Momo - ABPM - Brazil

Anuario Estadístico de la Producción Agrícola de Mexico

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada

Australian Bureau of Statistics

FAO

National Bureau of Statistics of China

Statistics Department of Agriculture Japan

Statistics South Africa

USDA

Page 117: 2007 Apple  &  Pear Harvest Forecast  Outside EU-27 Pierre Nicolas Pérès President WAPA

PROGNOSFRUIT

2007

LITHUANIA

THANK YOU....