city of arvada city council agenda€¦ · 14/1/2019 · bryan archer, director of finance ......

City of ArvadaCity Council Agenda

JANUARY 14, 2019WORKSHOPS

Councilmembers:Marc Williams, MayorJohn Marriott, Mayor ProTemBob Fifer, At largeNancy Ford, District 1David Jones, District 4Mark McGoff, District 2Dot Miller, At large

Staff Members Usually Present:Mark Deven, City ManagerLorie Gillis, Deputy City ManagerChris Daly, City AttorneyBurt Knight, Director of Public WorksJim Sullivan, Director of UtilitiesRyan Stachelski, Dir. of Community & Economic Development Bryan Archer, Director of FinanceRob Smetana, Manager of City Planning & DevelopmentKristen Rush, City Clerk

Info: 7208987550

THIRD FLOOR CONFERENCE ROOMEXECUTIVE SESSION

5:00 P.M.

Personnel Matter, Pursuant to C.R.S. 246402(4)(f)

CITY COUNCIL CHAMBERS6:00 PM

1. CALL TO ORDER/ROLL CALL OF COUNCILMEMBERS

2. WORKSHOPS

A. Whisper Village Sketch Plan Water Allocation Discussion, Generally Located at the Northeast Corner of W. 90th Avenue & Indiana Street

B. Annual Demographics Update Presented in Partnership with the Department of Local Affairs (DOLA)

C. Staff Updates

3. ADJOURNMENT

REPORT TO CITY COUNCILWORKSHOP

AGENDA ITEM2.A.

TO: THE HONORABLE CITY COUNCIL DATE: January 14, 2019

SUBJECT: Whisper Village Sketch Plan Water Allocation Discussion, Generally Located at the Northeast Corner of W. 90th Avenue & Indiana Street

Report in Brief

Provided that water is available through Council action, the developers of Whisper Village are proposing to move forward with a mixed use development application for the 26.67 acre property located at the northeast corner of W. 90th Avenue and Indiana Street. The development proposal is for commercial pad sites on the west half (15.21 acres) of the property, adjacent to Indiana Street. The eastern half (11.46 acres) of the property is proposed for attached residential townhome units.

Should water be made available for the residential portion of the project, a more thorough review of the overall development plan will be required.

Background

Although the property is zoned PUD-BPR (Planned Unit Development -Business Professional Office and Residential), it is shown on the existing Whisper Creek II Outline Development Plan (ODP) as solely commercial with no residential uses. Consistent with the existing zoning, the Developers would like to amend the ODP to allow for the residential units on the eastern half of the site. However, water availability is the primary issue to be addressed. This property is located within the Jefferson Center Metropolitan District (JCMD) which had approximately 570 acre feet of water remaining for future development.

In 2002 City Council passed a resolution (R02-104) allocating 75% of the JCMD water for commercial purposes and 25% for residential uses. At this point in time all of the residential allocation has been accounted for thereby leaving no water available for additional residential development. JCMD has approximately 570 acre feet of water left for commercial development.

In order to allow the proposed residential units, two options are available for consideration as follows:

1. The current JCMD water could be reallocated from commercial uses to residential uses. It is estimated that approximately36 acre feet of water will be needed to serve the proposed residential development in Whisper Village. The current 2002resolution (R02-104) that requires a 75% commercial to 25% residential JCMD allocation as well as the 2005 IGA (CB05-013/Ordinance 3943) that allocates water to JCMD would both need to be adjusted to accommodate the specific residentialallocation for this project. In this instance, the City's Reserve would remain unaffected; or

2. The City of Arvada has approximately 300 acre feet of water that is unallocated. The intent of this water is to be used toprovide service to areas of the City that do not currently have water allocated. If City Council chose not to make wateravailable through reallocation of JCMD's allocation as noted in option 1, City Council could chose to add water to JCMD fromthe City Reserve for the specific reason of allowing the residential portion of this project. If this is the desired option, the watercould be added to JCMD for the residential uses and the City's 300 acre reserve would then be reduced by approximately 36acre feet. Staff does not recommend this option. Staff believes that it serves the community better to retain control of the use of


PAGE: 2ITEM: 2.A.

the City's water reserve until such a time that there are not other viable options to allocate existing water supplies.

Should it be found that no water is available to support the proposed residential development, the development plans will need to comply with the current ODP showing only commercial and no residential uses.

Strategic Alignment

Dependent on Council feedback, this matter could align with the City Council Priority Area of Growth and Economic Development within the City Council Strategic Plan.

Next Steps

The primary purpose of this sketch plan application is to obtain direction from City Council with regard to water availability for the proposed residential uses on this site. Depending on the recommendation from City Council, several outcomes are possible.

1. Should City Council support reallocating the JCMD water to shift a portion of the commercial allocation to residential, thenthe development proposal can move forward in the process as desired. An Outline Development Plan (OPD) amendment andPreliminary Development Plan (PDP) would still need to be approved during a public hearing before City Council. CityCouncil would also need to take action to allow for JCMD to allocate the water for residential purposes.

2. Although not recommended by staff, should City Council not support a reallocation of the existing JCMD water, theproposed development could still proceed if City Council supported using a portion of the City water reserve to add water toJCMD. City Council could add approximately 36 acre feet of water to the JCMD water portfolio for the purpose of theresidential portion of this project. JCMD could allocate the balance of the needed water from the commercial uses from itsexisting water supply.

3. If neither of the above two options are acceptable, the development could move forward with commercial uses only asshown on the current ODP. In this case, no added residential units would be allowed.

Depending on City Council review of the sketch plan, the Developers will evaluate whether to proceed with their development application as currently proposed, revise the application, or not proceed at all.

Prepared by:Joan Brown, Administrative Supervisor

Reviewed by:Carolina Rodriguez, Legal Administrative Specialist 12/31/2018

Approved by:

Linda Hoover, Senior Planner 12/27/2018Robert Smetana, Manager of City Planning and Development 12/28/2018Brita Van Horne, Deputy Director of Community and Economic Development 12/28/2018


PAGE: 3ITEM: 2.A.

Ryan Stachelski, Director of Community and Economic Development 12/28/2018Jim Sullivan, Director of Utilities 12/28/2018Lori Graham, Senior Assistant City Attorney 01/03/2019Rachel Morris, Deputy City Attorney 01/03/2019Lorie Gillis, Deputy City Manager 01/04/2019Mark Deven, City Manager 01/04/2019

Enclosure, exhibits & attachments required to support the report

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DATE: December, 2018

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EXISTING PUBLIC ROAD

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PROPOSED PUBLIC ROADWAY

5690 WEBSTER STREETARVADA, CO 80002PH. (303) 423-6036 FAX (303) 467-9438

WHISPER VILLAGESKETCH PLAN

A PORTION OF THE SOUTHWEST QUARTER OF SECTION 19, TOWNSHIP 2 SOUTH, RANGE69 WEST 6TH P.M. CITY OF ARVADA, COUNTY OF JEFFERSON, STATE OF COLORADO

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REPORT TO CITY COUNCILWORKSHOP

AGENDA ITEM2.B.


SUBJECT: Annual Demographics Update Presented in Partnership with the Department of Local Affairs (DOLA)

Report in Brief

The presentation at this workshop will be in two parts. The first part will consist of a presentation by a representative from the Colorado State Demography Office on recent demographic trends in Colorado and the Denver metro region. During the second part, City staff will provide an update on demographic information for Arvada using the most recent U.S. Census Bureau data. This demographic information will build on the data in the “This is Arvada” report which was presented to City Council in 2017. The demographic update will provide current American Community Survey (ACS) data and identify the changes and trends for population, housing, transportation, and other indicators of interest. These community indicators can inform City Council of any changes in local and regional data and trends in advance of City Council’s retreat in 2019.

Background

The report "This is Arvada" was presented to City Council at the December 11, 2017 workshop. This is the baseline report that covered demographics and other data, including population characteristics, housing, employment, transportation, as well as a discussion of challenges and opportunities in Arvada.

Annual updates regarding the City's demographics will indicate trends from the 2017 point in time.

Strategic Alignment

Aligns to the Growth and Economic Development Priority Area.

Next Steps

The next update on demographic information for Arvada will be presented in January 2020.

Prepared by:Joan Brown, Administrative Supervisor

Approved by:

Loretta Daniel, Senior Planner 12/27/2018

SUBJECT: Annual Demographics Update Presented in Partnership with the Department of Local Affairs (DOLA)

PAGE: 2ITEM: 2.B.

Robert Smetana, Manager of City Planning and Development 01/02/2019Brita Van Horne, Deputy Director of Community and Economic Development 01/02/2019Ryan Stachelski, Director of Community and Economic Development 01/02/2019Lori Graham, Senior Assistant City Attorney 01/03/2019Rachel Morris, Deputy City Attorney 01/03/2019Lorie Gillis, Deputy City Manager 01/04/2019Mark Deven, City Manager 01/04/2019


THIS IS ARVADA

2 2018 Demographic Supplement │ THIS IS ARVADA

Introduction to the 2018 Demographic Supplement

This City of Arvada report is the 2018 Demographic Supplement to the

“This is Arvada” report which was prepared in November 2017 and

presented to City Council. The “This is Arvada” report can be

considered the baseline document that examined in detail the key

topic areas of People, Housing, Employment, Transportation and also

identified current challenges and opportunities.

This supplement report provides the most recent American Community

Survey (ACS) estimates that were released in December 2018 and the

2017 population estimates from the annual Population Estimates

Program. This supplement examines current trends from the major

topic areas of population, age, race, ethnicity, households and families,

income and employment, housing, and transportation. The 2013-2017

ACS data is summarized and comparisons are made with Arvada’s peer

cities, providing a snapshot of how the city is doing today. Certain

information has been selected for representation with charts and maps.

Where trends are identified as important, data for previous years or

decades is provided.

A note about the Data

Data in this report is from the U.S. Census Bureau, including the decennial

census, the American Community Survey (ACS), the Population Estimates

Program, Community Analyst (ESRI), and other data. The five-year data in

this report is from the 2013-2017 ACS. This estimate was used since it

provides data with less margin of error than the one-year ACS estimates.

The income data in this report is from the 2017 one-year ACS that is

reported in 2016 inflation-adjusted dollars.

Strong Growth

Arvada is the seventh largest city in Colorado and the fifth largest in

the metropolitan region, following Thornton but with a larger

population than Westminster and Centennial. Arvada’s population in

2017 was estimated at 118,807, representing an increasing of

approximately 12,374 residents since the 2010 Census. This translates

into an increase of 11.6 percent since the start of the decade. The

charts opposite illustrate the actual numbers and the percentage

increase for our peer cities so as to provide a more complete picture of

rates of growth. While the Denver Metro region has experienced

growth driven by an increase in employment and resultant migration

to the state, the region also continues to be a destination for families

and young adults who are attracted to the outdoor-oriented lifestyle

and the amenities that the mountains offer.

Since 2000, the cities that have experienced that highest rate of growth

are Thornton (66.3 percent), Aurora (32.6 percent) and Denver (27

percent). Arvada had a population increase of 16.3 percent for this

time period, slightly more than Boulder and Westminster, and

significantly more than Lakewood.

Arvada is a desired destination for families and an increasing number

of young professionals. Arvada has experienced strong growth in the

past, sometimes in dramatic growth spurts. In the 1960s, 30,642 new

residents moved to Arvada and in the following decade, 34,692 new

residents were added. This housing boom was followed by a period of

slow growth. Since then, growth has been variable, with the 1980s and

POPULATION INTRODUCTION

THIS IS ARVADA │ 2018 Demographic Supplement 3

POPULATION PERCENT POPULATION CHANGE BETWEEN 2000 AND 2017

POPULATION ADDED BETWEEN 2010 AND 2017

POPULATION FOR CITIES IN THE METRO REGION (2017 EST.)

PERCENT POPULATION CHANGE BETWEEN 2010 AND 2017

(Note: Highlands Ranch is considered a peer city for the purposes of this report, but the Census Bureau does not

include it in the Annual Population Estimate Program because it is a Census Designated Place and not a city.)

704,621

366,623

154,958

136,978

118,807

112,812

110,250

107,125

Denver

Aurora

Lakewood

Thornton

Arvada

Westminster

Centennial

Boulder

Population for Cities in the Metro Region 2017 (July est.)

7.5%

11.8%

13.2%

16.3%

27.0%

32.6%

66.3%

Lakewood

Westminster

Boulder

Arvada

Denver

Aurora

Thornton

% Population Change 2000-2017

104,463

41,545

18,206

12,374

11,978

9,873

9,740

6,698

Denver

Aurora

Thornton

Arvada

Lakewood

Centennial

Boulder

Westminster

People Added between 2010 and 2017

6.3%

8.4%

9.8%

10.0%

11.6%

12.8%

15.3%

17.4%

Westminster

Lakewood

Centennial

Boulder

Arvada

Aurora

Thornton

Denver

% Population Change 2010-2017


2000s adding fewer than 5,000 new residents for each decade. This

current period of growth is somewhat more moderate than previous

decades.

The map opposite illustrates the annual growth rate for the various

Census block groups in Arvada between 2010 and 2018. The

northwest area of Arvada has experienced growth in excess of 12.5

percent since 2010 while growth in the central and eastern parts of the

city has been quite low.

POPULATION

ARVADA POPULATION GROWTH AND POPULATION PROJECTION

106,433 111,529

121,031 128,848

136,027 141,187

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

Comprehensive Plan Population Projection 2000 and 2010 Census, and Annual Estimates from 2011 to 2017

POPULATION ADDED BY DECADE

30,64234,692

4,659

12,918

4,280

14,598 14,996

5,160

1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s 2020s 2030-2035

Arvada Population Increase for each Decade

2010s 2020s

The chart below shows the actual population growth from 2000 as well

as the population projections that were prepared as part of the 2014

Arvada Comprehensive Plan. It is projected that Arvada will have a

population of approximately 141,187 by 2035. This would be an

increase of approximately 19 percent from the current population.


ARVADA 2010-2018 POPULATION ANNUAL GROWTH RATE BY CENSUS BLOCK GROUPS (ESRI)


Arvada’s age profile

Arvada’s median age was higher than the median age of most of our

peer cities, Colorado and the nation. The median age was 40.1 years in

2013-2017, which has increased from 37.2 years in 2000. Only

Centennial had a higher median age (41.4 years).

The largest age group in Arvada is the 55 to 59 years olds, which make

up approximately eight percent of the population. In the chart “Arvada

Age Distribution” on the opposite page, the wave of Baby Boomers is

clearly shown over time. Thirty-seven percent of the population is 50

years and over, and this proportion will increase as the Baby Boomers

age.

On the other hand, there has been a decrease in the percent of the

total population of children 19 years of age and under. In 2013-2017,

23 percent of the population was 19 years or younger, which is a

reduction from 28.7 percent in 2000.

Senior residents

The number of senior residents 65 years of age and older in Arvada has

been increasing, from 10.7 percent of the population in 2000 to 16.1

percent in 2013-2017. Compared to our peer cities, Arvada now ranks

as the city with the largest proportion of senior residents.

AGE


AGE MEDIAN AGE POPULATION OVER 65 YEARS

ARVADA AGE DISTRIBUTION CHANGE IN ARVADA POPULATION OVER 65 YEARS OF AGE

CHANGE IN MEDIAN AGE, ARVADA, JEFFERSON COUNTY, COLORADO AND U.S

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

9%

10%

Und

er 5

5-9

10-

14

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75-7

9

80-8

4

85 a

nd o

ver

Arvada Age Distribution in Five-Year Increments

2000 Census 2010 Census 2017 ACS

2000

20102017

37.8

36.5

28.6

33.7

34.2

34.4

36.5

38.4

38.5

40.1

41.4

0 20 40 60

United States

Colorado

Boulder

Thornton

Aurora

Denver

Westminster

Highlands Ranch

Lakewood

Arvada

Centennial

Median Age for Cities

37.2 36.8

34.335.3

40.5 40.4

36.137.2

40.1 40.4

36.537.8

Arvada Jefferson County Colorado United States

Median Age (2000, 2010, 2013-2017

2000 2010 2013-2017 ACS

14.9%

13.0%

8.6%

9.7%

10.5%

10.5%

11.2%

12.0%

14.6%

15.9%

16.1%

United States

Colorado

Thornton

Highlands Ranch

Aurora

Boulder

Denver

Westminster

Centennial

Lakewood

Arvada

65+

10.7%

13.9%

16.1%

9.7%10.9%

13.0%

12.4%

13.0%

14.9%

2000 2010 2013-2017

Percent of Population 65+ Years

Arvada Colorado United States


Race

Arvada‘s racial composition has remained relatively unchanged since

the 2000 Census. Arvada has a relatively homogeneous population

with a predominantly White population. The city’s White population in

2000 was 91 percent and in the 2013-2017 ACS estimates, it was 91.8

percent. The proportions of Asian and people of other races also

remained relatively unchanged since 2000.

Arvada is the most homogeneous city in the region while Denver and

Aurora have more racial diversity.

Ethnicity

The proportion of the population that identifies as Hispanic or Latino

increased from 9.8 percent in 2000 to 14.5 percent in 2013-2017. This

number is much lower than for Colorado and the nation. Although

Arvada is becoming more diverse, as is also occurring in the peer cities,

the proportion of Hispanic or Latino residents is significantly less than

in the larger cities of Denver, Aurora and Lakewood.

RACE AND ETHNICITY

POPULATION BY RACE IN ARVADA, PEER CITIES, COLORADO AND THE U.S.

73.0%84.2%61.2%76.9%85.0%85.7%86.9%87.9%87.9%88.9%91.8%

12.7%

4.1%

15.7%

9.5%

2.6% 5.4%3.0%

6.0%

3.6%6.1%5.0%

4.9%5.3%6.6%3.0%4.8%4.1%

10.7%

5.5%2.4%3.1%

1.7%3.1%3.5%5.3%3.4%3.4%3.4%3.1%3.5%2.9%3.1%2.3%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

UnitedStates

ColoradoAuroraDenverWestminsterThorntonCentennialBoulderHighlandsRanch

LakewoodArvada

Race - 2013-2017

White Black/African American

American Indian/Alaska Native Asian

Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander Some other race

Place of birth

Arvada had the smallest number of foreign born residents compared

with the peer cities, with just 5.2 percent of the population. As a result,

English is the primary language spoken at home for approximately 92

percent of residents, followed by Spanish (4.2 percent), and other

European languages (2.6 percent). Approximately 62 percent of

Arvada’s foreign born residents are from Europe and Asia and about 24

percent are from Latin America.


RACE AND ETHNICITY PERCENTAGE OF DIFFERENT RACES IN ARVADA

LANGUAGES SPOKEN AT HOME BY ARVADA RESIDENTS

HISPANIC POPULATION FOREIGN BORN POPULATION

ARVADA’S HISPANIC POPULATION ARVADA’S FOREIGN BORN RESIDENTS

17.6%

21.3%

8.3%

8.2%

9.3%

14.5%

22.0%

23.0%

28.6%

30.5%

33.4%

United States

Colorado

Centennial

Highlands Ranch

Boulder

Arvada

Westminster

Lakewood

Aurora

Denver

Thornton

% Hispanic/Latino (2013-2017)

7.4% 9.8% 13.7% 14.5%

92.6% 90.2% 86.3% 85.5%

1990 2000 2010 2013-2017

a % Hispanic or Latino 2013-2017

Hispanic/Latino Not Hispanic

34%

28%

24%

7%6%

1%

Arvada Foreign Born 2013-2017

Europe

Asia

Latin America

Africa

North America

Oceania

13.4%

9.8%

5.2%

9.0%

9.1%

9.1%

10.1%

11.2%

12.8%

15.8%

19.8%

United States

Colorado

Arvada

Highlands Ranch

Lakewood

Centennial

Westminster

Boulder

Thornton

Denver

Aurora

Percent Foreign Born

91.7%

4.2%2.6%1.1% 0.3%

Languages spoken at home by Arvada residents

Speak only English

Spanish

Other European languages

Asian languages

Other languages

White

91.8%

Black/African American

1.0%

American Indian/Alaska

Native

1.0%

Asian

2.0%Other Race

1.7%Two or more

races

2.3%

Race 2013-2017 ACS


Households

In 2013-2017, Arvada’s average household had 2.5 members, just a bit

less than Colorado (2.55) and the U.S. (2.63). The average family size

was 3.02 members, amongst the lowest of the peer cities (only

Lakewood and Boulder had a smaller average family size). The average

family size of 3.02 members has remained fairly constant since 2000,

but there has been a slight decrease of about six percent in the

proportion of family households in Arvada since 2000. The chart

“Changes in Arvada Household Size Since 1970” illustrates that there

has been a trend for decreasing household size since 1980.

Families

While average household size has been decreasing, the more

significant change is the proportion of family to non-family

households. Since 2000, there has been a 17 percent increase in the

number of one-person households in Arvada.

Of all Arvada households:

66.6 percent were family households;

33.4 percent were non-family households;

26.5 percent has a householder living alone;

36.8 percent of all households had two persons; and

29.7 percent had school-aged children under 18 years of age.

HOUSEHOLDS AND FAMILIES

79.7%

75.4%

73.1%

66.6%

65.9%

65.8%

56.6%

48.6%

42.1%

20.3%

24.6%

26.9%

33.4%

34.1%

34.2%

43.4%

51.4%

57.9%

Highlands Ranch

Centennial

Thornton

Arvada

Westminster

Aurora

Lakewood

Denver

Boulder

Family and Non-Family Households (2013-2017)

Family Household Nonfamily Household

NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS

FAMILY AND NON-FAMILY HOUSEHOLDS IN THE REGION

37,079

39,505

42,679

43,105

44,226

45,967

64,734

127,134

287,262

Highlands Ranch

Centennial

Boulder

Westminster

Thornton

Arvada

Lakewood

Aurora

Denver

Number of Households (2013-2017)


HOUSEHOLDS AND FAMILIES AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD SIZE HOUSEHOLDS WITH RELATED CHILDREN UNDER 18 YEARS OF AGE

CHANGES IN ARVADA HOUSEHOLD SIZE SINCE 1970

AVERAGE FAMILY SIZE

2.772.98

2.71 2.6 2.48 2.50

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2013-2017

Arvada Average Household Size

2.63

2.55

2.25

2.31

2.30

2.50

2.59

2.70

2.79

2.84

2.98

0 1 2 3 4

United States

Colorado

Boulder

Denver

Lakewood

Arvada

Westminster

Centennial

Aurora

Highlands Ranch

Thornton

Average Household Size

18.7%

24.5%

27.8%

29.7%

31.9%

35.0%

36.3%

41.6%

45.6%

Boulder

Lakewood

Denver

Arvada

Westminster

Centennial

Aurora

Thornton

Highlands Ranch

HH with related children of

householder under 18

3.24

3.13

2.84

2.98

3.02

3.1

3.15

3.21

3.22

3.43

3.45

0 1 2 3 4

United States

Colorado

Boulder

Lakewood

Arvada

Centennial

Westminster

Highlands Ranch

Denver

Aurora

Thornton

Average Family size (2013-2017)

26.5%

36.8%

15.9%

20.8%

Household Size, 2013-2017

1-Person Household

2-Person Household

3-Person Household

4-Or-More-Person Household

ARVADA HOUSEHOLDS ACCORDING TO NUMBER OF PEOPLE


Most households in Arvada are small households of just one or two

people. These households now make up 63.3 percent of the total

households in the city.

The average household size by Census block groups is illustrated on

the map opposite. The areas that light brown and dark brown are

those with the average household size less than 2.5, which is the

average household size in Arvada. These areas are concentrated along

Wadsworth Boulevard and some central areas of the city. Larger

households are concentrated in east and northwest Arvada.

Seniors and Households

Arvada has the highest proportion of households with a senior resident

compared to the peer cities. Approximately 28.8 percent of all Arvada

households have one or more persons 65 years of age or older.

Many senior households are a one-person household and of these, 73

percent are comprised of a female householder living alone. The

apparent trend arising from this is the rise in numbers of the single-

person senior household, and the growing need for housing for this

group.

HOUSEHOLDS AND FAMILIES

27%

73%

Nonfamily Householder 65 years + living alone

Male

Female

HOUSEHOLDS WITH ONE OR MORE PERSONS 65 YEARS OF AGE OR OLDER

ARVADA NONFAMILY HOUSEHOLDER 65 YEARS OR OLDER LIVING ALONE

17.8%

18.7%

19.7%

19.8%

21.2%

22.2%

26.4%

26.9%

28.8%

Thornton

Boulder

Highlands Ranch

Denver

Aurora

Westminster

Lakewood

Centennial

Arvada

% of HH with one or more people 65+


ARVADA AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD SIZE BY CENSUS BLOCK GROUPS (2018 ESRI)


Income

Arvada’s median household income for the period 2013-2017 was

$81,787 (ranked third behind Highlands Ranch and Centennial) and

was significantly above the median household income for the state.

When considering just families, Arvada’s median family household

income of $99,434 for the same time period was substantially higher

than previous years, and ranked fourth behind Highlands Ranch,

Centennial and Boulder.

While Arvada’s ranking for median household and median family

income compared quite favorably to the peer cities, the median non-

family income of $47,889 places Arvada sixth compared to the peer

cities

Education

For Arvada residents, approximately 38.7 percent have a Bachelor’s,

graduate or professional degree. When education levels are compared

with the median annual earnings , there is the expected correlation

with higher levels of education and higher median earnings.

The median income for Arvada residents with a Bachelor’s degree was

$55,430 and for residents with a graduate or professional degree, the

median income was $67,650.

INCOME AND EMPLOYMENT


INCOME AND EMPLOYMENT BACHELOR’S DEGREE OR HIGHER

ARVADA MEDIAN INCOME BY EDUCATION

MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME

MEDIAN INCOME FOR ALL HOUSEHOLD TYPES

MEDIAN FAMILY INCOME MEDIAN NONFAMILY INCOME

$73,891

$84,918

$74,160

$81,354

$82,425

$82,575

$85,166

$99,434

$115,513

$124,645

$125,999

United States

Colorado

Aurora

Westminster

Thornton

Lakewood

Denver

Arvada

Boulder

Centennial

Highlands Ranch

Median Family HH Income

$60,336

$69,117

$63,055

$64,214

$65,224

$66,524

$67,255

$77,092

$81,787

$106,012

$115,195

$- $50,000 $100,000 $150,000

United States

Colorado

Aurora

Westminster

Denver

Boulder

Lakewood

Thornton

Arvada

Centennial

Highlands Ranch

Median Household Income

$35,980

$44,139

$42,286

$43,069

$47,866

$47,886

$48,006

$51,286

$51,754

$60,689

$62,629

United States

Colorado

Aurora

Boulder

Lakewood

Arvada

Westminster

Thornton

Denver

Centennial

Highlands Ranch

Median Nonfamily HH Income

27.4%

28.5%

36.4%

37.7%

38.7%

46.5%

56.9%

64.1%

73.8%

Thornton

Aurora

Westminster

Lakewood

Arvada

Denver

Centennial

Highlands Ranch

Boulder

% with Bachelor's degree or

higher, (persons age 25+)

$27,930$35,962

$41,379

$55,430

$67,650

Less than highschool graduate

High schoolgraduate/GED

Some college orAssociate's

degree

Bachelor's degree Graduate orprofessional

degree

Arvada Median Income by Education

$81,787

$99,434 $109,297

$47,886

All Households FamilyHouseholds

Married-coupleFamily

Households

NonfamilyHouseholds

Arvada Median Income for all Household

Types 2017


Income increasing

In the “This is Arvada” report, the rise of the high income earners was

described in some detail. The new 2013-2017 ACS estimates confirm

that incomes have risen significantly and in 2017, approximately 39.8 of

Arvada households have a median annual income greater than

$100,000. This is an increase from the 2016 median household income

where 34.8 percent of households had an income over $100,000.

The map opposite illustrates the distribution of median household

income by Census block group, with the dark green color representing

areas with median household incomes over $137,000.

Poverty

The proportion of the Arvada population below the poverty level was a

concern following the recession, but happily, the trends have reversed

and Arvada has one of the lowest proportions of families, people and

children below the poverty level compared to the peer cities.

Approximately 4.2 percent of families are below the poverty level, and

about 6.8 percent of children are below the poverty level.

ARVADA POVERTY LEVEL SINCE 2000

INCOME AND EMPLOYMENT ARVADA MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME SINCE 2000

16.0% 19.0%10.4% 12.0%

27.6% 22.6%

18.5% 16.0%

40.4%34.4%

36.3% 32.0%

11.9%15.5%

18.3%21.8%

4.1%

8.4%16.5% 18%

2000 2010 2016 2017

Arvada Med. HH Income- Rise of the High Earners (17)

$150,000+

$100,000 to $149,999

$50,000 to $99,999

$25,000 to $49,999

<$25,000

1.8%

2.9%

4.2%

6.2%

6.3%

6.7%

6.9%

8.4%

8.7%

Highlands Ranch

Centennial

Arvada

Thornton

Westminster

Boulder

Lakewood

Aurora

Denver

All Families below Poverty

levelALL FAMILIES BELOW POVERTY LEVEL

3.5%

6.5%

4.2%

7.6%6.8%

6.4%

9.6%

6.7%

2000 2010 2017

Arvada Percentage of Population below Poverty Level

Families

All people

Related children under 18 years


ARVADA MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME BY CENSUS BLOCK GROUPS (2018 ESRI)


Employment

Arvada residents continue to work in a variety of professions, but the

trend is apparent with an increasing proportion of the residents

working in management, business, science, and arts occupations.

Approximately 45 percent of Arvada residents work in this

management category.

As noted in the chart “Occupation Categories for Arvada Residents”,

there has been a decline in proportion of people working in sales and

office jobs between 2000 and 2013-2017 from 31 percent to 24

percent. The construction and maintenance, and the production and

transportation categories have also had a decrease in the proportion of

residents in these job categories.

Median annual earnings for residents in the management job category

were $60,507 and was the highest of the income categories identified

in the chart to the right.

The map on the following page shows the distribution of business by

Census block groups. The highest concentration of businesses is

clustered along the southern boundary of the city and the I-70

corridor. Other business clusters are centered along parts of

Wadsworth Boulevard and areas east and west of Indiana Street.

MEDIAN EARNINGS BY OCCUPATION FOR ARVADA RESIDENTS

INCOME AND EMPLOYMENT OCCUPATION CATEGORIES FOR ARVADA RESIDENTS

36%45%

12%

15%

31%24%

10%8%

11% 9%

2000 2013-2017

Occupation Categories for Arvada Residents

Production & Transportation

Construction & Maintenance

Sales & Office

Service Occupations

Management, Business, Science & Arts

$60,507

$21,265

$36,171

$42,998

$36,531

Management, business, science, and arts occupations

Service occupations

Sales and office occupations

Natural resources, construction, and maintenance…

Production, transportation, and material moving…

Median Earnings 2013-2017


TOTAL BUSINESSES (NAICS) BY CENSUS BLOCK GROUPS (2018 ESRI)


HOUSING

HOUSING TENURE BY PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL HOUSING UNITS

Housing Types

As stated in the “This is Arvada” report, the typical housing unit in

Arvada is an owner-occupied, single-family detached home. Of all the

housing units in Arvada, 70.3 percent is single-family detached

housing. Compared to the peer cities, Arvada continues to rank third

in the proportion of single-family homes, following Highlands Ranch

(77.6 percent) and Centennial (76.9 percent).

In contrast to the single-family detached housing, Arvada has one of

the lowest proportions of multifamily housing units compared to the

peer cities. Approximately 21 percent of all residential units are in

multifamily housing. The cities with large populations of young

professionals and students, Denver and Boulder, have the highest

proportion of renters and multifamily housing.

Housing Tenure

As shown in the Housing Tenure chart to the right, Arvada continues to

rank third highest with home ownership amongst the peer cities (73.4

percent). Only Centennial and Highlands Ranch have higher rates of

home ownership. It is interesting to continue to monitor the housing

tenure by age group. The “Tenure of Arvada Housing by Age Group”

chart shows that the 25 to 34 year old age group has the highest rate

of renters (28 percent), which has increased two percent from the data

in “This is Arvada”. Home ownership remains high for the residents 65

years and over (29 percent) but it is interesting to note that this group

has the second highest proportion of renters (19 percent).

81.9%

80.7%

73.4%

70.6%

65.5%

58.8%

57.6%

50.1%

48.2%

64.7%

63.8%

18.1%

19.3%

26.6%

29.4%

34.5%

41.2%

42.4%

49.9%

51.8%

35.3%

36.2%

Centennial

Highlands Ranch

Arvada

Thornton

Westminster

Lakewood

Aurora

Denver

Boulder

Colorado

United States

Housing Tenure by Percentage of total units by City (2013-2017)

Owner-occupied Renter-occupied

The household size of owner-occupied housing has decreased since

2000, declining from 2.7 to 2.56 persons in a housing unit. Conversely,

the average household size of a renter-occupied unit has remained

fairly constant, hovering around 2.3 to 2.33 persons for the same time

period.

The cost of housing is an important issue in Arvada and the region, and

the percentage of income spent on housing has increased, particularly

for renters. Approximately 62 percent of renters pay more than 30

percent of their income on housing. Compared to the 2016 data, this

is a substantial increase from the 53 percent identified in 2016. In

contrast, the proportion of income spent on housing by the owner

households remained basically the same.


HOUSING SINGLE-UNIT DETACHED ARVADA HOUSEHOLD SIZE BY OWNER AND RENTER-OCCUPIED UNIT

TENURE OF ARVADA HOUSING BY AGE GROUP PERCENTAGE OF ARVADA RESIDENTS’ INCOME SPENT ON HOUSING

76%

38%

24%

62%

Owner Households Renter Households

Arvada Residents Income Spent on Housing

Cost Burden <30% of Income Cost Burden >= 30% of Income

MULTIFAMLY UNITS

77.6%

76.9%

70.3%

63.8%

58.8%

50.9%

49.6%

46.0%

40.9%

Highlands Ranch

Centennial

Arvada

Thornton

Westminster

Aurora

Lakewood

Denver

Boulder

Single unit detached

13%

15%

21%

22%

29%

35%

37%

44%

45%

Centennial

Highlands Ranch

Arvada

Thornton

Westminster

Aurora

Lakewood

Denver

Boulder

Percent Multi-family units

0.3%

10%

16%

22% 23%

29%

9%

28%

18%

15%

11%

19%

< 25 years 25 to 34 years 35 to 44 years 45 to 54 years 55 to 64 years 65 years+

Tenure of Arvada housing, by age group

Owner occupied Renter occupied

2.70

2.54 2.56

2.30 2.33 2.32

2000 2010 2013-2017

Arvada HH Size of Owner- & Renter-Occupied Unit

Average Household Size of Owner-Occupied Unit

Average Household Size of Renter-Occupied Unit


Commuting to work

People living in Arvada depend mostly on their cars to move about,

especially for commuting to work. As identified in “This is Arvada”,

Arvada residents work at locations dispersed throughout the region,

with the result that public transit may not offer efficient or even

practical options. Alternatives to driving, such as bicycling, walking,

ridesharing and public transportation together make up about 11.3

percent of work trips, and working at home accounts for seven percent.

Most Arvada workers commute approximately 27 minutes each way to

work. Commute time has increased throughout the region.

In comparison to the peer cities, Arvada residents head up the list in

choosing to drive alone for their commute to work (81.6 percent). All

the other communities, except for Denver and Boulder, have about 75

percent of their residents commuting alone to work. This is primarily

due to the expansive nature of the region and the commuting

preferences and patterns since public transit may provide limited

opportunities.

Working from home

There has been a significant increase in all cities in the proportion of

residents who work from home.

For Arvada, this has increased from 6.4 percent to 7 percent of workers,

and virtually all the other cities in the region had similar increases in

the proportion of people working from home.

Transit

The commuting pattern for Arvada residents has not changed

significantly, and the use of transit is similar for what was reported

previously. However, some of the other cities have had an increase

their transit utilization, and the result is that Arvada now has the

smallest proportion of residents using transit to commute to work with

2.5 percent choosing this travel mode. Travel modes choices may

change once the G Line is open, given that approximately 25 percent of

Arvada workers commute to Denver for work.

TRANSPORTATION


TRANSPORTATION ARVADA RESIDENTS’ MEANS OF COMMUTING TO WORK

MEANS OF TRANSPORTATION TO WORK

DRIVING ALONE TO WORK

WORKING FROM HOME USING TRANSIT TO WORK

81.6%

76.3%

50.9%

78.2%

69.9%

77.1%

77.7%

80.1%

79.1%

75.2%

76.4%

6.8%

11.0%

5.6%

5.5%

8.1%

6.5%

8.4%

9.8%

8.9%

9.1%

9.2%

7.0%

4.7%

12.8%

10.7%

7.6%

11.4%

6.1%

5.5%

5.5%

7.4%

4.7%

5.4%

7.9%

6.8%

5.0%

5.1%

11.3%

4.4%

10.4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Arvada

Aurora

Boulder

Centennial

Denver

Highlands Ranch

Lakewood

Thornton

Westminster

Colorado

United States

Means of Transportation to Work 2013-2017

Drive Alone Carpool Worked at home Transit Walk Bicycle Other

Drive Alone, 81.6%

Carpool, 6.8%

Work at home, 7.0%

Transit, 2.5%

Walk, 1.1%Bicycle, 0.3%

Other, 0.6%

Arvada Means of Commuting to Work 2013-2017

76.4%

75.2%

50.9%

69.9%

76.3%

77.1%

77.7%

78.2%

79.1%

80.1%

81.6%

United States

Colorado

Boulder

Denver

Aurora

Highlands Ranch

Lakewood

Centennial

Westminster

Thornton

Arvada

% driving alone to work 13-17

4.7%

7.4%

4.7%

5.5%

5.5%

6.1%

7.0%

7.6%

10.7%

11.4%

12.8%

United States

Colorado

Aurora

Thornton

Westminster

Lakewood

Arvada

Denver

Centennial

Highlands Ranch

Boulder

Percent teleworking 13-17

5.1%

3.2%

2.5%

2.7%

3.0%

3.1%

4.3%

5.0%

5.4%

6.8%

7.9%

United States

Colorado

Arvada

Highlands Ranch

Centennial

Thornton

Westminster

Lakewood

Aurora

Denver

Boulder

Percent using transit 13-17


Vehicles and ownership

There are approximately 2.07 vehicles per household in Arvada, placing

Arvada in the upper third of the ranking compared to the peer cities,

with Thornton, Centennial and Highlands Ranch having a higher

number. The Census Bureau estimates that there were approximately

1.79 vehicles per U.S. household for the 2013-2017 period. Colorado

had slightly more with 1.95 vehicles per household.

As shown in the chart on this page, the number of vehicles per

household has remained essentially the same since 2000.

Approximately 27 percent of all households have one vehicle, 42

percent of households have two vehicles, and about 28 percent have

three or more vehicles.

However, it is interesting to see the variations based on housing

tenure. The first chart of interest illustrates the number of vehicles

available by tenure. Of the total vehicles in Arvada, approximately 21

percent are associated with renters, and 79 percent are utilized by

homeowners.

The three charts at the bottom of the opposite page illustrate the

allocation of vehicles by tenure. In Arvada, approximately 3.4 percent

of all households don’t have a vehicle, 26.6 percent have one vehicle

and 69.9 percent have two or more vehicles. For owner-occupied

households, one percent of households don’t have a vehicle, 21

percent have one vehicle and 78 percent have two or more vehicles.

This situation changes with the renter-occupied households which

typically have a smaller household size, or even a one person

household. In the case of the renter-occupied households, nine

percent don’t have a vehicle, 43 percent have one vehicle, and 48

percent have two or more vehicles.

TRANSPORTATION

5.3%

26.8%

43.0%

24.9%

3.4%

26.6%

42.0%

27.9%

No Vehicle One Vehicle Two Vehicles Three or More Vehicles

Number of cars per household in Arvada, 2000 and 2013-2017

2000 2013-2017

NUMBER OF CARS PER HOUSEHOLD IN ARVADA SINCE 2000


TRANSPORTATION VEHICLES PER HOUSEHOLD

ALL ARVADA HOUSEHOLDS WITH VEHICLES

NUMBER OF VEHICLES AVAILABLE BY TENURE IN ARVADA

OWNER-OCCUPIED HOUSEHOLDS WITH VEHICLES

1.79

1.95

1.57

1.64

1.81

1.83

1.94

2.07

2.07

2.11

2.11

United States

Colorado

Denver

Boulder

Lakewood

Aurora

Westminster

Arvada

Highlands Ranch

Centennial

Thornton

Vehicles/Household 2013-2017

2.63

2.55

2.25

2.31

2.30

2.50

2.59

2.70

2.79

2.84

2.98

0 1 2 3 4

United States

Colorado

Boulder

Denver

Lakewood

Arvada

Westminster

Centennial

Aurora

Highlands Ranch

Thornton

Average Household Size

79%

21%

Aggregate number of vehicles available by tenure

2013-2017

Percent of Vehicles in Owner-

Occupied Housing Unit

Percent of Vehicles in Renter-

Occupied Housing Unit

RENTER-OCCUPIED HOUSEHOLDS WITH VEHICLES

1%

21%

78%

Owner-Occupied HHs with Vehicles 13-17

No Vehicle

1 Vehicle Available

2+ Vehicles Available

9%

43%

48%

Renter-Occupied HHs with Vehicles 13-17

No Vehicle

1 Vehicle Available


3.4%%

26.6%

69.9%

Households with Vehicles 2013-2017

No Vehicle

1 Vehicle Available



CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES Challenges and opportunities

Since the recession, Arvada has been experiencing significant growth.

Recent population growth and building of new master planned

neighborhoods have resulted in an expanding population. At the same

time, the growth in Arvada and the region has increased housing sales

costs and put significant pressure on the cost and supply of rental

housing.

Growth within the region has affected the broader demographic shifts

in Arvada, and there has been an increase in the number of family

households in the city, particularly in the new neighborhoods in the

northwest. In contrast to cities such as Arvada, Thornton and Denver

which have opportunities for new master-planned communities,

Arvada no longer has a significant amount of land readily available for

large greenfield development. It is expected that as the city becomes

more of an infill and redevelopment city, the rate of population growth

will start to level off.

The good news that is shown through this updated ACS data is that the

median incomes across all categories in Arvada have been increasing.

The poverty levels, which were flagged as important indicators to

watch in previous iterations of this report, have decreased at this point

in time after the recession, and that reduces previous levels of concern

Several of the other demographic and economic indicators are fairly

constant, and our rankings relative to the peer cities has also remained

quite constant.

The proportion of seniors in Arvada is a factor of interest and with

time, the Baby Boomers may choose different housing options rather

than choosing to age in place. There may also be a need for more

transit options and support services for this growing segment of the

Arvada population.

Overall, Arvada’s demographic profile shows the city to have some

strong demographic indicators that show there is increasing household

vibrancy and economic wealth. This report paints a picture of where

the city has been in recent years and identifies some of the key

indicators to watch in the near-term and the future. While some trends

are outside our control, such as the population growth in the region

and housing costs in general, others, such as the needs of an

increasing senior population, can be addressed.

Community and Economic Development

8101 Ralston Road

Arvada, CO 80002

2018

Elizabeth Garner State Demography Office

Colorado Department of Local Affairs Demography.dola.colorado.gov

Growing Colorado Population and Economic Transitions for Colorado

Transitions to Watch • Disparity – growth, income, jobs, education.

• Migration – attracting and retaining the right fit.

• Aging – labor force, income, housing, jobs

• Increasing racial and ethnic diversity.

• Slowing income growth

• Population growth (but slowing) – planning for the people (and everything that comes with them)

Big Picture – 2016-2017 Pop Change • US – 325.7 million, + 2.3 million or .7%

• Colorado - 5,607,154

• Ranked 9th fastest 1.4% - ID, NV, UT, WA, FL

• 8th in total growth 77,049 – TX, FL, CA, WA, NC, GA, AZ

• Range in Colorado

• +12,000 to -470

• Adams + 5,956 to be 503,375

• 6th largest growth

Jefferson County

Adams County

Census ACS 2011-16

Jefferson County to County Migration, 2011-15In Out Net

Denver 9,547 Denver 9,705 El Paso 364Adams 5,708 Adams 6,177 Cook, IL 322Arapahoe 3,458 Arapahoe 4,026 Salt Lake, UT 270Douglas 1,347 Douglas 2,357 Yellowstone, MT 257Boulder 1,246 Boulder 1,691 Clark, NV 226El Paso 1,160 Larimer 1,610 Harris, TX 201Weld 879 Broomfield 1,156 Garfield 197Asia 754 Weld 1,093 Fulton, GA 168Broomfield 744 El Paso 796 San Bernardino, CA 165Larimer 597 Maricopa, AZ 655 Monroe, NY 156

Jobs Are People

And then there’s commuting… Work in Jeffco commute to Home Live in Jeffco commute to Work

Why? Preferences – where people shop and what they buy. Housing Income Service Demands Labor Force

AGE MATTERS

Aging Fast Because we are Young • 6th Youngest State, 3rd fastest growth in 65+ • 2015-30 increase 65+ 711,000 to 1,200,000 • Economic Driver ◦ Growing at 5% per year. ◦ Impact on occupational mix. Wages/Income

• Labor Force • Housing – primarily home owners, size • Income – Downward Pressure • Health/Disabilities • Transportation • Public Finance – Downward Pressure

Slower growth

Migration increases

Continued aging

State Demography Office

Labor Force • Boomers are 37% of the labor force (2010) ◦ Staying longer in workforce – want and need to ◦ Participation rates for ages 65+ increasing. ◦ Approx. 1,000,000 workers aging out the next 20 years.

• Increase demands ◦ Replacement and demands created by retiree needs ◦ Largest increase in leavers between 2020-2025

• Participation falling at the younger end. • Demands will vary by industry – ◦ Education, Health, Utilities, Mining, Govt. ◦ Current low numbers of Long Term Care Workers and

Gerontologist ◦ Doctors accepting Medicare ◦ Increase in demand for caregivers – informal sector

Ethnicity/Race increasing

DIVERSITY BY AGE

43% 38%

33%

23%

16%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

<18 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+

Hispanic, Black, Asian, and other minority share

2015 2050

58%

57%

52%

43%

32%

57% 58%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Hispanic

Asian, NH

White, NH

Black, NH

AmericanIndian, NH

Share of Net Increase in Working Age Population, 2015-2020

Source ACS 2014 1 yr PUMS

Income - Slowing

Household Income….its future is demographically challenged. • Age distributions – “End of “Demographic

Dividend”

• Occupational Mix – high and low service • More race/ethnicity diverse especially at

young end but achievement gap is growing as well.

• Household type and size – single and smaller.

• Youth un and under employment - Long term permanent impacts on earnings.


More Growth but Slowing

Popuilation Change 2018-2050Adams 345,308Arapahoe 200,602Boulder 102,054 Broomfield 23,889Denver 168,454Douglas 120,165Jefferson 81,797

El Paso 368,848Weld 395,591

Risks to the Forecast +/- • Housing – supply, price, 2nd worst change in affordability

• National Growth – Fertility, National Immigration Policy

• Water - climate

• Labor force – aging, prepared, participation, automation

• Infrastructure/Transportation

• State budget/policy

• Education – affordable, range of options, race/ethnicity

• Aging – will we retain them, labor force, services, cost

• Industry changes – downturn, automation

• Natural disasters – climate, nationally

Summary Trends • Continued growth but slowing. ◦ Slowing Births, increasing deaths.

• Migration – Can we continue to attract and retain the best worker for the right job?

• Aging – Market, labor force, jobs, income, housing, public finance

• Labor force – strategies to increase labor force participation

• Plan for changes - industries, climate, automation • Increase race/ethnic diversity – education, labor

force.

Thank you


Department of Local Affairs

Elizabeth Garner

[email protected]

303-864-7750

Demography.dola.colorado.gov

Big Picture: 2016-2017 Employment Change

• US – 146.6 million jobs (CES), + 2.3 million or 1.6%

• Colorado - 3,309,400, +77,600 or 2.4%

• 6th fastest growth rate in 2017 - ID, NV, UT, WA, AZ

• Growth from 2010 to 2017 of 521,985

• Ranked 3rd fastest 10-17 @ 2.6% - Behind Utah & Nevada

• 10-17 Growth Rates: 4.4% in Adams to -3.6% in Bent

• Growth 10-17: Denver +113K, Arapahoe +71K, Adams +66K

THIS IS ARVADA 2018 Demographic Update City Council Workshop January 14, 2019

2

THE 2018 DEMOGRAPHIC SUPPLEMENT

The 2018 Demographic Supplement provides: – New data from 2013-2017 American

Community Survey (ACS) and 2017 Population Estimates Program

– Builds on “baseline” information in “This is Arvada”

– Compares Arvada with 8 “peer cities” (i.e., benchmarking)

3

ARVADA IS The fifth largest city in the metro region (2017)

118,807

704,621

366,623

154,958

136,978

118,807

112,812

110,250

107,125

Denver

Aurora

Lakewood

Thornton

Arvada

Westminster

Centennial

Boulder

4

ARVADA’S POPULATION GROWTH

Rate of Population Change

16.3% Change in population

2000 - 2017


2010 - 2017


between 2016 and 2017

5

ARVADA’S POPULATION GROWTH & PROJECTION

106,433 111,529

121,031 128,848

136,027 141,187

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,00020

0020

0120

0220

0320

0420

0520

0620

0720

0820

0920

1020

1120

1220

1320

1420

1520

1620

1720

1820

1920

2020

2120

2220

2320

2420

2520

2620

2720

2820

2920

3020

3120

3220

3320

3420

35

Comprehensive Plan Population Projection 2000 and 2010 Census, and Annual Estimates from 2011 to 2017

30,64234,692

4,659

12,918

4,280

14,598 14,996

5,160

1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s 2020s 2030-2035

2010s 2020s

6

POPULATION GROWTH BY CENSUS BLOCK GROUP

7

AGE

Median Age (2013-2017)

Arvada’s Median Age 2000 37.2 years 2010 40.5 years 2011-2015 40.9 years 2013-2017 40.1 years Arvada is in same place in ranking as last year.

37.8

36.5

28.633.734.234.436.538.438.540.141.4

0 20 40 60

United StatesColorado

BoulderThornton

AuroraDenver

WestminsterHighlands Ranch

LakewoodArvada

Centennial

8

AGE

Median Age (2013-2017) Population 65 Years and Older (2013-2017)

37.836.5

28.633.734.234.436.538.438.540.141.4

0 20 40 60


BoulderThornton

AuroraDenver


LakewoodArvada

Centennial

14.9%13.0%

8.6%9.7%10.5%10.5%11.2%

12.0%14.6%

15.9%16.1%


ThorntonHighlands Ranch

AuroraBoulderDenver

WestminsterCentennialLakewood

Arvada

9

AGE 65 YEARS AND OLDER

Population 65 Years and Older (2013-2017)

Arvada’s Population 65 years + 2000 10.7% 2010 13.9% 2011-2015 15.2% 2013-2017 16.1% 50.5% increase in seniors since 2000 Arvada surpassed Lakewood in ranking

14.9%13.0%

8.6%9.7%10.5%10.5%11.2%

12.0%14.6%

15.9%16.1%


ThorntonHighlands Ranch

AuroraBoulderDenver

WestminsterCentennialLakewood

Arvada

10

ARVADA AGE DISTRIBUTION

0%1%2%3%4%5%6%7%8%9%

10%

Unde

r 5 5-9

10-

14

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75-7

9

80-8

4

85 a

nd o

ver

2000 Census 2010 Census 2017 ACS

20002010

2017

Largest age group is 55-59 years olds at 8.2% 23% of population is 19 years or younger (decline from 28.7% in 2000)

11

RACE

73.0%84.2%61.2%76.9%85.0%85.7%86.9%87.9%87.9%88.9%91.8%

12.7%

4.1%

15.7%

9.5%

2.6% 5.4%3.0%

6.0%

3.6%6.1%5.0%4.9%5.3%6.6%3.0% 4.8%4.1%10.7%

5.5%2.4%3.1%1.7% 3.1%3.5%5.3%3.4%3.4%3.4%3.1%3.5%2.9%3.1%2.3%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

UnitedStates

ColoradoAuroraDenverWestminsterThorntonCentennialBoulderHighlandsRanch

LakewoodArvada

White Black/African American

American Indian/Alaska Native Asian

Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander Some other race

Arvada: Most homogeneous of peer cities 91.8% White population

White91.8%

Black/African American1.0%

American Indian/Alaska

Native1.0%

Asian2.0%

Other Race1.7% Two or more

races2.3%

12

HISPANIC AND LATINO RESIDENTS

Hispanic and Latino Population (2013-2017)

Arvada Hispanic/Latino Population 1990 7.4% 2000 9.8% 2010 13.7% 2011-2015 14.4% 2013-2017 14.5%

17.6%

21.3%

8.3%8.2%9.3%

14.5%22.0%23.0%

28.6%30.5%

33.4%


CentennialHighlands Ranch

BoulderArvada

WestminsterLakewood

AuroraDenver

Thornton

13

FOREIGN BORN POPULATION

Foreign Born Population (2013-2017)

13.4%9.8%

5.2%9.0%9.1%9.1%10.1%

11.2%12.8%

15.8%19.8%


ArvadaHighlands Ranch

LakewoodCentennial

WestminsterBoulder

ThorntonDenverAurora

Place of Birth for Arvada’s Residents Languages Spoken at Home

34%

28%

24%

7%6%

1%

EuropeAsiaLatin AmericaAfricaNorth AmericaOceania

91.7%

4.2%2.6%1.1% 0.3%

Speak only English

Spanish

Other European languages

Asian languages

Other languages

14

HOUSEHOLDS

Number and Type of Households

79.7%

75.4%

73.1%

66.6%

65.9%

65.8%

56.6%

48.6%

42.1%

20.3%

24.6%

26.9%

33.4%

34.1%

34.2%

43.4%

51.4%

57.9%

Highlands Ranch

Centennial

Thornton

Arvada

Westminster

Aurora

Lakewood

Denver

Boulder

Family Household Nonfamily HouseholdArvada: 45,967 households, ranking fourth after Denver, Aurora and Lakewood Approx. 67% Family Households and 33% Nonfamily Households

15

HOUSEHOLDS

Average Household Size (2013-2017) Average Family Size (2013-2017)

No changes since last year Both declining slightly since 2000 2.63

2.55

2.252.312.30

2.502.592.702.792.84

2.98

0 1 2 3


BoulderDenver

LakewoodArvada

WestminsterCentennial

AuroraHighlands Ranch

Thornton

3.243.13

2.842.983.02

3.13.153.213.22

3.433.45

0 1 2 3


BoulderLakewood

ArvadaCentennial


DenverAurora

Thornton

16

HOUSEHOLDS

Number of People in Arvada Households Households with Children < 18 Years 63.3% of residents in 1- and 2-person households 29.7% of Arvada households have school-aged children

26.5%

36.8%

15.9%

20.8%

1-Person Household

2-Person Household

3-Person Household

4-Or-More-Person Household

18.7%

24.5%

27.8%

29.7%

31.9%

35.0%

36.3%

41.6%

45.6%

Boulder

Lakewood

Denver

Arvada

Westminster

Centennial

Aurora

Thornton

Highlands Ranch

17

SENIOR HOUSEHOLDS Households with One or More

Persons 65 Years or Older (2013-2017)

17.8%18.7%19.7%19.8%

21.2%22.2%

26.4%26.9%

28.8%

ThorntonBoulder

Highlands RanchDenverAurora

WestminsterLakewoodCentennial

Arvada

Arvada One-Person Households with Persons 65 Years or Older

(2013-2017)

27%

73%

Male

Female

Percentage of senior households increased from 27% in 2011-2015

18

ARVADA AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD SIZE BY CENSUS BLOCK GROUP

19

INCOME

$60,336 $69,117

$63,055 $64,214 $65,224 $66,524 $67,255

$77,092 $81,787

$106,012 $115,195


AuroraWestminster

DenverBoulder

LakewoodThornton

ArvadaCentennial

Highlands Ranch

$73,891$84,918

$74,160$81,354$82,425$82,575$85,166

$99,434$115,513

$124,645$125,999


AuroraWestminster

ThorntonLakewood

DenverArvada

BoulderCentennial

Highlands Ranch

Median Household Income (2017 ACS) Median Family Income (2017 ACS)

20

INCOME

Source : 2017 1-Year ACS

$60,336 $69,117

$63,055 $64,214 $65,224 $66,524 $67,255

$77,092 $81,787

$106,012 $115,195


AuroraWestminster

DenverBoulder

LakewoodThornton

ArvadaCentennial

Highlands Ranch

Arvada’s Median Household Income 2015 $69,596 (2014 adj. income) 2016 $75,082 (2015 adj. incomes) 2017 $81,787 (2016 adj. income)

Median Household Income (2017 ACS)

21

Arvada’s Households with Income over $100,000

2000 16.0% 2010 23.9% 2015 30% 2016 34.8% 2017 39.8%

ARVADA INCOME Household Income Distribution by Income Category

16.0% 19.0% 10.4% 12.0%

27.6% 22.6%18.5% 16.0%

40.4%34.4%

36.3% 32.0%

11.9%15.5%

18.3% 21.8%

4.1%

8.4% 16.5% 18%

2000 2010 2016 2017

$150,000+

$100,000 to $149,999

$50,000 to $99,999

$25,000 to $49,999

<$25,000

22

POVERTY

Families below Poverty Level (2017)

Arvada’s Families below Poverty Level 2015 6.1% 2016 4.3% 2017 4.2%

1.8%2.9%

4.2%6.2%6.3%6.7%6.9%

8.4%8.7%

Highlands RanchCentennial

ArvadaThornton

WestminsterBoulder

LakewoodAuroraDenver

3.5%

6.5%4.2%

7.6%6.8%6.4%

9.6%

6.7%

2000 2010 2017

Families All people Related children under 18 years

Arvada’s Poverty Level since 2000

23

ARVADA EDUCATION AND EMPLOYMENT Bachelor’s Degree or Higher (2013-2017) Occupation Categories for Residents (2013-2017)

Change in Residents Working in the Management, Business, Science & Arts Occupations

2000 36% 2011-2015 42% 2013-2017 45%

27.4%28.5%

36.4%37.7%38.7%

46.5%56.9%

64.1%73.8%

ThorntonAurora

WestminsterLakewood

ArvadaDenver


Boulder

36% 45%

12%15%

31%24%

10% 8%11% 9%

2000 2013-2017

Production & Transportation

Construction & Maintenance

Sales & Office

Service Occupations

Management, Business, Science & Arts

24

ARVADA INCOME BY CENSUS BLOCK GROUP

25

HOUSING TENURE

81.9%80.7%

73.4%70.6%

65.5%58.8%57.6%

50.1%48.2%

64.7%63.8%

18.1%19.3%

26.6%29.4%

34.5%41.2%42.4%

49.9%51.8%

35.3%36.2%


ArvadaThornton

WestminsterLakewood

AuroraDenverBoulder

ColoradoUnited States

Owner-occupied Renter-occupied

Arvada: 73.4% of housing is owner-occupied (detached, townhome, etc.) 26.6% of housing is renter-occupied (detached, townhome, multifamily, etc.)

26

HOUSING TYPES

Occupied Housing Units, by Building Type

13%

15%

21%

22%

29%

35%

37%

44%

45%

Centennial

Highlands Ranch

Arvada

Thornton

Westminster

Aurora

Lakewood

Denver

Boulder

77.6%

76.9%

70.3%

63.8%

58.8%

50.9%

49.6%

46.0%

40.9%

Highlands Ranch

Centennial

Arvada

Thornton

Westminster

Aurora

Lakewood

Denver

Boulder

Single-Unit Detached Multifamily Units Arvada Residents’ Income

Spent on Housing

76%

38%

24%

62%

Owner Households Renter Households

Cost Burden <30% of Income Cost Burden >= 30% of Income

Renters spending more than 30% of income increased from 53% in 2016 to 62% in 2017

27

TRANSPORTATION Commuting to Work

81.6%

76.3%

50.9%

78.2%

69.9%

77.1%

77.7%

80.1%

79.1%

75.2%

76.4%

6.8%

11.0%

5.6%

5.5%

8.1%

6.5%

8.4%

9.8%

8.9%

9.1%

9.2%

7.0%

4.7%

12.8%

10.7%

7.6%

11.4%

6.1%

5.5%

5.5%

7.4%

4.7%

5.4%

7.9%

6.8%

5.0%

5.1%

11.3%

4.4%

10.4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Arvada

Aurora

Boulder

Centennial

Denver

Highlands Ranch

Lakewood

Thornton

Westminster

Colorado

United States

Drive Alone Carpool Worked at home Transit Walk Bicycle Other

Drive Alone, 81.6%

Carpool, 6.8%

Work at home, 7.0%

Transit, 2.5%Walk, 1.1%

Bicycle, 0.3%Other, 0.6%

Arvada: 81.6% drive alone to work Working at home increased from 6.4% (2011-2015) to 7% (2013-2017)

28

VEHICLES AND HOUSEHOLDS

Vehicles per Household (2013-2017) Vehicles in Arvada Households

1.791.95

1.571.64

1.811.83

1.942.072.072.112.11


DenverBoulder

LakewoodAurora

WestminsterArvada

Highlands RanchCentennial

Thornton

3.4%%

26.6%

69.9%

No Vehicle

1 Vehicle Available


1%

21%

78%

No Vehicle

1 Vehicle Available


9%

43%

48%

No Vehicle

1 Vehicle Available


All Households

Owner-Occupied Households Renter-Occupied Households

29

SUMMARY OF TRENDS FOR ARVADA

• Some indicators have increased in a positive way, Arvada is continuing to do very well compared to peer cities

• Arvada has the highest proportion of seniors, with increasing needs for housing, transportation and services

• Increasing diversity with Hispanic/Latino population increasing • Median and Family Household Income is increasing, poverty decreasing • Increasing housing cost burden for renters • Several of the indicators are consistent with the previous year (e.g., housing

tenure, commuting patterns, travel time)

30

NEXT STEPS

• Next demographic update in January, 2020

QUESTIONS?

REPORT TO CITY COUNCIL AGENDA ITEM2.C.


SUBJECT: Staff Updates

Report in Brief

The purpose of this workshop is for staff to provide City Council with brief updates on projects and issues that do not require a full workshop.

Prepared by:Janet Newman, Administrative Specialist


city of arvada city council agenda€¦ · 14/1/2019 · bryan archer, director of finance ......

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