january 2016 monthly update - ujd.gov.rs update for investors/2016/republic of... · january 2016...
TRANSCRIPT
January 2016
Monthly Update
Politics Serbian Prime Minister Aleksandar Vucic gave firm assurances to the delegates he met at the World Economic Forum's Annual
Meeting in Davos that Serbia would stay the reform course, regardless of early general elections.
Austrian Foreign and Integration Minister Sebastian Kurz will visit Serbia in the second week of February.
Serbian Prime Minister Aleksandar Vucic will take part in an international conference on the Syria crisis in London.
Serbia’s Minister without portfolio for EU integration, Ms. Jadranka Joksimovic, said that Serbia can expect to open rule of law
chapters 23 and 24 in the first half of 2016. She also said that Chapter 5, dealing with public procurement, and Chapter 20, on
enterprise and industrial policy, could be opened by the end of 2016.
Serbia has made substantial progress in judicial reform and in improving its justice system, Council of Europe (CoE) Director General
of Human Rights and Rule of Law Philippe Boillat said.
Fiscal Sector
In December 2015, public debt of the Republic of Serbia changed from RSD 2,994.1bn (EUR 24.7bn) at the end of November 2015,
to RSD 3,017.5bn (EUR 24.8bn) at the end of December 2015. Central Government public debt to GDP (ESA 2010 methodology)
ratio was at the level of 75.5% at the end of December 2015. The major share of public debt is still in foreign currency out of which in
EUR is 39.8%, USD 32.9%, RSD 22.2%, SDR 3.9%, CHF 0.6% and other 0.6% (GBP, JPY, DKK, SEC, NOK). Up to the end of
December 2015, Public Debt Administration of the Republic of Serbia managed to meet its obligations which amounted to RSD
626.0bn (EUR 5.1bn), out of which principal payments amounted to RSD 501.3bn (EUR 4.2bn), while interest and other costs were
RSD 125.0bn (EUR 1.0bn). Vast majority of items repaid up to the end of December 2015, belong to government securities issued on
domestic market RSD 427,3bn (EUR 3.5bn) out of which principal payments were RSD 364.9bn1 (EUR 3.0bn) and interest payments
were RSD 62.5bn2 (EUR 514mln). Obligations in respect of foreign creditors were repaid in amount of RSD 96.6bn (EUR 794mln),
out of which principal RSD 42.2bn (EUR 347mln). Payments in respect of guarantees issued by the Government were RSD 45.9bn
(EUR 377mln) out of which principal RSD 38.8bn (EUR 319mln), while interest were RSD 7.1bn (EUR 59mln). In 2015, PDA
received RSD 492.3bn (EUR 4.05bn) from domestic market out of which government securities issued in domestic currency
amounted to RSD 362.0bn (EUR 2.98bn) while receiving from EUR denominated government securities was RSD 130.2bn (EUR
1.07bn). Total receiving in 2015, amounted to RSD 514.3bn (EUR 4.23bn).
Serbia posted a general government deficit of RSD 148.6 billion (3.7% of GDP) in 2015. The outcome is below RSD 162.1 billion
(4.1% of GDP), agreed with the IMF after successful completion of 3rd review. Main factors that influenced budget deficit were better
macro framework, fight against shadow economy and tax evasion.
In January 2016, the budget surplus amounted to RSD 33.0 billion. The revenues that amounted RSD 72.9 billion, came from VAT
collection (RSD 36.6 billion) and excise tax (RSD 27.7 billion). Excise duties on tobacco were major driver of better collection of
excise taxes. The Government also collected RSD 12.7 billion from issuing license for 4G network.
Economy
Serbian Prime Minister Aleksandar Vucic attended a ceremony marking the completion of the first stage of the construction of the
future Belgrade Center main railway station at Prokop.
Japanese multinational electronics, electrical equipment and IT Corporation Toshiba and Serbian state postal company Posta Srbije
signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) to develop joint projects on third markets, mainly targeting Russia and Iraq.
The European Investment Fund, part of the European Investment Bank group, and Germany’s ProCredit group, including ProCredit
Bank in Serbia, have signed an agreement to increase lending to innovative small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) as well as
small mid-caps under InnovFin – EU finance for innovators, an initiative supported by the European Commission.
Serbia and South Korea have signed an agreement to remove double income taxation of the two countries’ resident individuals and
businesses.
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development’s (EBRD) representatives said that the lender is satisfied with its
cooperation with the Serbian government, and that it is ready to take an active role in and support the development of Belgrade’s
international airport.
Foreign Direct Investments
Italian footwear manufacturer Geox opened a factory in the south Serbian town of Vranje. The plant was opened under an investment
of EUR 15.8 million and intends to hire some 1,200 people at the factory.
Swedish company Ikea should open its first stores in Belgrade by the end of the year, Serbian Prime Minister Aleksandar Vucic said
after meeting with his Swedish counterpart Stefan Lofven in Davos on Thursday.
IGB Automotive Comp signed agreements to buy a piece of land in the Vojvodina town of Indjija, adjacent to its existing plant there,
in order to build a new facility under a EUR 4.5 million investment and create 500 jobs.
1 Repayments based on Frozen Foreign Currency Bonds are not included in this amount
2 The difference between nominal value and discounted value is included in this amount
January 2016
Source: Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia; National Bank of Serbia; Bloomberg; Ministry of Finance and Economy * Estimated value; **According to NBS methodology Foreign Debt consist of Public and Private sector debt; *** According to methodological concept of IMF and EU “BPM6” applicable from April
2014; Ɨ General Government;
Macroeconomic Data Real GDP growth %
Industrial
production
Dec15/ Dec14
in %
CPI Current acc.
Balance***
Government bonds on international
market YTM as of 31st December
Currency
units/USD
Currency
units/EUR
2013 2014 2015* Dec'15/
Nov’15
in %
Dec’15/
Dec’14
in %
Nov last12
months
mlnEUR
% of
GDP
Serbia
2017
Serbia
2018
Serbia
2020
Serbia
2021
31 Dec
2015
31 Dec
2014
31 Dec
2015
31 Dec
2014
2.6 -1.8 0.8 11.0 -0.2 1.5 -1,622.9 -4.9 3.164% 3.879% 4.169% 4.547% 111.2468 99.4641 121.6261 120.9583
* Estimated value
• According to the Serbian Statistical Office data, consumer prices fell by 0.2% in December, owing primarily to
the decline in prices of petroleum products, fresh fruit and meat. Working in the opposite direction was primarily
the rise in cigarette prices. At 1.5% in December, y -o-y inflation was below the lower bound of the target
tolerance band (4±1.5%). Low annual inflation came primarily as a result of the 2015 drop in prices of petroleum
products and unprocessed food. The 5.5% rise in administered prices was the main contributor to y -o-y inflation
(contribution to headline inflation: 1.06 pp). Y -o-y core inflation (CPI excluding food, energy, alcohol and
cigarettes) slowed down to 1.6% in December, reflecting disinflationary pressures f rom low aggregate demand and
imported inflation. Under the NBS central projection, y -o-y inflation will return within the target band in the
second half of 2016.
• The overall external trade in the Republic of Serbia for the period January - December 2015 amounted to:
- USD 31581.4 million - which was a decrease of 10.9% compared to the same period 2014;
- EUR 28421.2 million - which was an increase of 6.6% compared to the same period 2014.
The value of exports amounted to USD 13365.2 million, which was 10.0% decrease when compared to the same period last year,
while the value of imports amounted to USD 18216.2 million, which was 11.6% decrease relative to the same period last year. Decrease
of exports and imports, as well as of the overall external trade, expressed in USD, has been caused by USD currency strengthening
relative to RSD and also to EUR. Expressed in Euros, the value of exports amounted to EUR 12028.4 million, which was the increase of
7.8%, compared to the same period last year. The value of imports amounted to EUR 16392.8 million, which was 5.8% increase when
compared to the same period last year. The deficit amounted to USD 4851.0 million, which was a decrease of 15.8% in relation to the
same period last year. The deficit expressed in Euros amounted to 4364.4 million, which was an increase of 0.6% compared to the same
period last year. The export - import ratio equaled 73.4% and was higher if compared to the same period last year when it was 72.0%.
Expressed in EUR, the value of exports amounted to EUR 986.9 million, which was an increase of 3.0%, compared to the same month
last year. The value of imports amounted to EUR 1484.6 million, which was 4.9% increase when compared to the same month last year.
Source: Belgrade Stock Exchange
-1.8%
1.7%
-6.6%
17.3%
77.3%
Real GDP growth for 2014 (%)
YoY inflation rate December (%)
Ɨ Budget deficit (% GDP)
Unemployment rate Q4 2014
**Foreign Debt as of December…
2014
0.8%
1.5%
-3.7%
16.7%
79.4%
*Real GDP growth for 2015 (%)
YoY inflation rate December (%)
*Ɨ Budget deficit (% GDP)
Unemployment rate Q3 2015
**Foreign Debt as of September
2015 (% GDP)
2015
2.03.04.05.06.07.08.09.0
10.0% Belgrade OverNight Index Average
250.0
750.0
1,250.0
1,750.0 Belgrade Stock Exchange Indices
Belex 15 index Belex line index
January 2016
Currency, Interest Rates and FDI
Key Policy Rates of National Bank of Serbia Current value Last change Date of last meeting Next board meeting
Key policy rate - 2w repo 4.50%
0.00% 12.01.2015 11.02.2016 Deposit facility interest rate 2.50%
Lending facility interest rate 6.50%
Source: National bank of Serbia
Source: National bank of Serbia
• According to preliminary data, at end -December NBS FX reserves amounted to EUR 10,376.5 mln, covering
251% of money supply (M1) and around seven months’ worth of imports of goods and services. This is down by
EUR 369.5 million m-o-m, or up by EUR 469.3 mln y-o-y. Major inflows came from the disbursement of loans
(EUR 86.1 mln), allocation of FX required reserves (EUR 82.5 mln net), grants (EUR 41.3 mln) – most of which
from the IPA fund (EUR 22.9 mln) and the sale of euro -denominated government securities in the domestic
financial market (EUR 33.7 mln). Other inflows amounted to EUR 50.5 mln. Significant outflows were recorded in
respect of NBS interventions in the interbank FX market and the settlement of the Republic of Serbia’s liabilities
to foreign creditors (EUR 420.0 mln). Outflows were also caused by the redemption of maturing euro -denominated
government securities and frozen FX savings bonds, and the repayment of drawings under the 2009 stand -by
arrangement with the IMF (EUR 63.2 mln). Other outflows equalled EUR 13.9 mln net. At end-December, net FX
reserves, defined as FX reserves less banks’ FX required reserves and drawings under the arrangement with the
IMF concluded in 2009, came at EUR 8,420.0 mln. Trading volumes in the IFEM reached EUR 1,000.5 mln, up by
EUR 454.7 mln from the month before. As at 31 December 2015, interbank trading volumes totalled EUR 8,077.5
mln. The dinar depreciated against the euro by 0.3% in nominal terms in December. The NBS intervened in the
IFEM by buying EUR 30 mln and sellin g EUR 300 mln in order to ease excessive daily volatility of the exchange
rate.
• The industrial production in the Republic of Serbia in December 2015, when compared to December 2014, increased by 11.0% and in
relation to 2014 average, it increased by 18.3%. Industrial production in 2015 increased by 8.2% relative to 2014.
23456789
101112
% National Bank of Serbia Interest Rates
Key policy rate - 2w repo Deposit facility interest rate
Lending facility interest rate
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
In RSD Exchange Rates
EUR/RSD USD/RSD
January 2016
In EUR million
Source: National bank of Serbia; *FDI value has been presented in compliance with the Sixth Edition of the Balance of Payments and International
Investment Position Manual, International Monetary Fund, 2009 (BPM6) from the end of 2013. Public Debt Report
Public Debt Stock and Structure as of 31st December 2015*:
EUR USD RSD GDP%
Direct Liabilities (A)
Internal Debt 9,050,939,623 9,895,390,138 1,100,830,487,650 27.6%
External Debt 13,361,891,564 14,608,552,872 1,625,154,759,588 40.7%
Direct Liabilities in Total 22,412,831,187 24,503,943,010 2,725,985,247,238 68.2%
Indirect Liabilities (B)
Internal Debt 607,557,932 664,242,943 73,894,901,783 1.8%
External Debt 1,789,602,612 1,956,572,111 217,662,386,296 5.4%
Indirect Liabilities in Total 2,397,160,544 2,620,815,053 291,557,288,079 7.3%
Non-Guaranteed Local Government Debt (C)
Internal Debt 294,326,740 321,787,355 35,797,813,504 0.9%
External Debt 135,459,969 148,098,352 16,475,467,706 0.4%
Non-Guaranteed Local Government Debt in Total 429,786,709 469,885,706 52,273,281,210 1.3%
Central Government Public Debt (A+B) 24,809,991,731 27,124,758,063 3,017,542,535,317 75.5%
General Government Public Debt (A+B+C) 25,239,778,440 27,594,643,770 3,069,815,816,528 76.8%
In EUR million
Date Internal Debt External Debt Monthly Change of
Public Debt Direct Liabilities Indirect Liabilities Direct Liabilities Indirect Liabilities
31/01/2015 -116.0 0.9 557.8 14.3 457.1
28/02/2015 450.5 -18.8 80.6 6.5 518.8
31/03/2015 176.0 -1.7 275.6 5.4 455.3
30/04/2015 -26.2 -9.0 -125.6 -1.9 -162.8
31/05/2015 -121.4 -0.5 169.0 13.4 60.5
30/06/2015 -173.4 23.2 -148.6 -16.3 -315.1
31/07/2015 50.7 -12.5 225.9 -12.6 251.4
31/08/2015 -26.9 -13.9 -139.6 -9.0 -189.4
30/09/2015 248.1 -15.5 -1.1 -5.6 225.9
31/10/2015 125.6 -12.9 192.2 -42.0 262.9
30/11/2015 125.6 -12.9 194.1 -42.0 264.8
31/12/2015 318.1 -30.1 -155.9 -16.7 115.5
*Preliminary Data
2,486 2,068 1,133 3,320
753
1,298 1,236
1,571
7.4% 6.7%
3.8%
9.9%
2.4%
3.8% 3.7% 4.7%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013* 2014* Jan-Nov
2015
Foreign Direct Investment in Serbia in period 2008 - November 2015
FDI (net), EUR million FDI (net), %GDP
DYNAMICS OF PUBLIC DEBT
January 2016
In EUR million
Source: Public Debt Administration
INTERNAL DEBT ANALYSIS EXTERNAL DEBT ANALYSIS
Source: Public Debt Administration
Source: Public Debt Administration
22,000
22,500
23,000
23,500
24,000
24,500
25,000
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
24,000
26,000In
EU
R m
illi
on
Public Debt Stock and Structure
Internal debt - direct liabilities Internal debt - indirect liabilitiesExternal debt - direct liabilities External debt - indirect liabilitiesCentral Government Public Debt (right axis)
38.9%
37.5%
38.0%
38.5%
39.0%
39.5%
Internal public debt/total public debt ratio
61.1%
59.0%
59.5%
60.0%
60.5%
61.0%
61.5%
62.0%
62.5%External public debt/total public debt ratio
9,051
608
540
560
580
600
620
640
660
680
700
720
7,600
7,800
8,000
8,200
8,400
8,600
8,800
9,000
9,200
In E
UR
mil
lio
n
Internal Public Debt Structure
Direct liabilities Indirect liabilities
13,362
1,790 1,775
1,800
1,825
1,850
1,875
1,900
10,500
11,000
11,500
12,000
12,500
13,000
13,500
14,000
14,500
In E
UR
mil
liio
n
External Public Debt Structure
Direct liabilities Indirect liabilities
January 2016
Source: Public Debt Administration
Government Securities DOMESTIC MARKET OVERVIEW
Source: Public Debt Administration
EUROBOND OVERVIEW
56.9%
41.3%
1.7%
Internal Debt Currency Structure as
of 31 December, 2015
RSD EUR USD
38.9%
52.8%
1.1%
6.4% 0.9%
External public debt currency structure as
of 31 December, 2015
EUR USD CHF SDR Other
2.94% 3.25%
4.09%
4.95%
6.59%
6.50%
10.75%
12.99%
2.5%
4.5%
6.5%
8.5%
10.5%
12.5%
14.5%
3M 6M 53W 2Y 3Y 5Y 7Y 10Y
Last Primary Auction Accepted Rate
2.97%
4.27% 6.07%
8.12%
9.90% 10.60% 12.03%
12.99%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
3M 6M 53W 2Y 3Y 5Y 7Y 10Y
Average Accepted Rates at Primary Auction
Republic of Serbia Eurobond 2021 - Price/Yield
Date Closing price
YTM Monthly price change %
Monthly yield change %
31/12/15 113.49 4.547 -0.9% 3.3%
30/11/15 114.48 4.402 -0.2% 0.0%
31/10/15 114.67 4.400 2.0% -9.0%
30/09/15 112.44 4.834 -0.5% 1.6%
31/08/15 113.00 4.758 0.1% -1.1%
31/07/15 112.84 4.811 0.4% -2.2%
30/06/15 112.38 4.919 -2.5% 10.3%
31/05/15 115.22 4.460 -0.2% 0.1%
30/04/15 115.41 4.455 -0.1% -0.3%
31/03/15 115.53 4.467 -1.5% 6.3%
28/02/15 117.34 4.201 2.2% -9.5%
31/01/15 114.77 4.643 2.1% -8.0%
Republic of Serbia Eurobond 2021 - Tap
Issuer: Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Serbia
Ratings: BB- (S&P); BB- (Fitch)
Maturity: 28.09.2021
Coupon: 7.25% semi-annual
*Size: USD 2.0bn
**Re-offer yield: 6.625%
Re-offer price: 104.179
Spread to US Treasury Benchmark: 497.0 bps
Announcement date: 27.09.2012
Listing: London Stock Exchange
*Primary auction USD 1,0bn 21.09.2011.; Tap Issuance 27.09.2012. USD
1,0bn. **Tap Issuance re-offer yield.
January 2016
Republic of Serbia Eurobond 2017
Issuer: Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Serbia
Ratings: BB- (S&P); BB- (Fitch)
Maturity: 21.11.2017
Coupon: 5.250% semi-annual
Size: USD 750.0mln
Re-offer yield: 5.450%
Re-offer price: 99.135
Spread to US Treasury Benchmark: 482.5 bps
Announcement date: 14.11.2012
Listing: London Stock Exchange
Source: Bloomberg
4.00
4.40
4.80
5.20
5.60
6.00
6.40
6.80
7.20
7.60
8.00
96 $
98 $
100 $
102 $
104 $
106 $
108 $
110 $
112 $
114 $
116 $
118 $
120 $
In %
Price/YTM Graph - Serbia Eurobond 2021
Closing price YTM
170 bps
200 bps
230 bps
260 bps
290 bps
320 bps
350 bps
380 bps
410 bps
440 bps
470 bps
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
In %
YTM US Dollar Interest Rate Swap - 6Y
Spread to benchmark Spread to US Dollar Interest swap rate
Republic of Serbia Eurobond 2017 - Price/Yield
Date Closing price
YTM Monthly price change %
Monthly yield change %
31/12/15 103.77 3.164 -0.4% 4.8%
30/11/15 104.23 3.019 -0.2% 1.5%
31/10/15 104.49 2.973 0.7% -12.8%
30/09/15 103.76 3.408 -0.2% 0.3%
31/08/15 103.92 3.397 0.1% -3.4%
31/07/15 103.79 3.515 0.1% -3.2%
30/06/15 103.66 3.631 -0.3% 2.0%
31/05/15 103.96 3.561 0.3% -5.1%
30/04/15 103.60 3.753 -0.4% 3.2%
31/03/15 104.02 3.637 -0.9% 9.4%
28/02/15 104.96 3.325 1.2% -13.3%
31/01/15 103.72 3.834 1.0% -10.0%
January 2016
Source: Bloomberg
Republic of Serbia Eurobond 2020 - Price/Yield
Date Closing
price
YTM Monthly price
change %
Monthly yield
change %
31/12/15 102.65 4.169 -0.6% 3.6%
30/11/15 103.27 4.026 -0.2% 0.8%
31/10/15 103.46 3.993 2.0% -11.5%
30/09/15 101.42 4.513 0.0% -0.1%
31/08/15 101.43 4.518 0.1% -0.6%
31/07/15 101.34 4.545 0.0% -0.3%
30/06/15 101.30 4.560 -1.7% 9.8%
31/05/15 103.07 4.153 0.1% -1.0%
30/04/15 102.92 4.196 -0.1% 0.1%
31/03/15 102.99 4.192 -1.5% 8.4%
28/02/15 104.52 3.867 1.9% -10.3%
31/01/15 102.54 4.311 2.3% -10.8%
2.80
3.10
3.40
3.70
4.00
4.30
4.60
4.90
5.20
5.50
5.80
6.10
6.40
95.0 $
96.0 $
97.0 $
98.0 $
99.0 $
100.0 $
101.0 $
102.0 $
103.0 $
104.0 $
105.0 $
106.0 $
107.0 $
108.0 $
In %
Price/YTM Graph - Serbia Eurobond 2017
Closing price YTM
200 bps
220 bps
240 bps
260 bps
280 bps
300 bps
320 bps
340 bps
360 bps
380 bps
400 bps
420 bps
440 bps
460 bps
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
In %
YTM US Dollar Interest Rate Swap - 2Y
Spread to benchmark Spread to US Dollar Interest swap rate
Republic of Serbia Eurobond 2020
Issuer: Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Serbia
Ratings: BB- (S&P); BB- (Fitch)
Maturity: 25.02.2020
Coupon: 4.875% semi-annual
Size: USD 1.5bn
Re-offer yield: 5.150%
Re-offer price: 98.401
Spread to US Treasury Benchmark: 378.4 bps
Announcement date: 14.02.2013
Listing: London Stock Exchange
January 2016
Source: Bloomberg
Republic of Serbia Eurobond 2018 - Price/Yield
Date Closing price
YTM Monthly price change %
Monthly yield change %
31/12/15 105.44 3.879 -0.8% 6.0%
30/11/15 106.25 3.660 -0.1% -0.4%
31/10/15 106.35 3.675 1.2% -11.1%
30/09/15 105.11 4.135 -0.5% 3.1%
31/08/15 105.62 4.012 0.1% -2.1%
31/07/15 105.48 4.096 -0.1% -0.6%
30/06/15 105.54 4.120 -0.7% 4.7%
31/05/15 106.30 3.934 0.3% -3.2%
30/04/15 105.98 4.063 -0.2% 0.6%
31/03/15 106.20 4.039 -1.7% 13.2%
28/02/15 108.03 3.568 1.9% -14.2%
31/01/15 106.02 4.157 1.4% -9.1%
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
5.50
6.00
6.50
89.0 $
91.0 $
93.0 $
95.0 $
97.0 $
99.0 $
101.0 $
103.0 $
105.0 $
107.0 $
In %
Price/YTM Graph - Serbia Eurobond 2020
Closing price YTM
200 bps
220 bps
240 bps
260 bps
280 bps
300 bps
320 bps
340 bps
360 bps
380 bps
400 bps
420 bps
440 bps
460 bps
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5In
%
YTM US Dollar Interest Rate Swap - 5Y
Spread to benchmark Spread to US Dollar Interest swap rate
Republic of Serbia Eurobond 2018
Issuer: Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Serbia
Ratings: BB- (S&P); BB- (Fitch); B1(Moody’s)
Maturity: 03.12.2018
Coupon: 5.875 % semi-annual
Size: USD 1.0bn
Re-offer yield: 6.125%
Re-offer price: 98.937
Spread to US Treasury Benchmark: 476.5 bps
Announcement date: 21.11.2013
Listing: London Stock Exchange
January 2016
Spread to Benchmark Spread to US Dollar Swap Interest rate
Source: Bloomberg
Amortizing bond - London Club 2024
Date Closing price YTM Monthly price change % Monthly yield change %
10/1/2004 11/1/2024 1,080,000,000 972,000,190 6.75%
Closing price and YTM
Date Closing price YTM Monthly price change % Monthly yield change %
30/11/15 102.23 6.414 -0.2% 0.3%
30/11/15 102.39 6.394 0.2% -0.4%
31/10/15 102.21 6.422 0.1% -0.4%
30/09/15 102.06 6.446 0.3% -0.7%
31/08/15 101.75 6.492 0.0% 0.0%
31/07/15 101.78 6.489 -0.2% 0.5%
30/06/15 102.01 6.459 -0.2% 0.5%
31/05/15 102.22 6.430 0.1% -0.3%
30/04/15 102.12 6.448 -0.1% 0.3%
31/03/15 102.25 6.431 -0.2% 0.5%
28/02/15 102.49 6.398 0.6% -1.4%
31/01/15 101.85 6.488 0.7% -1.5%
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
96.0 $
98.0 $
100.0 $
102.0 $
104.0 $
106.0 $
108.0 $
110.0 $
In %
Price/YTM Graph - Serbia Eurobond 2018
Closing price YTM
180 bps
200 bps
220 bps
240 bps
260 bps
280 bps
300 bps
320 bps
340 bps
360 bps
380 bps
400 bps
420 bps
440 bps
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
In %
YTM US Dollar Interest Rate Swap - 3Y
January 2016
Spread to benchmark Spread to US Dollar Interest swap rate
Source: Bloomberg
6.30
6.40
6.50
6.60
6.70
6.80
6.90
7.00
7.10
7.20
7.30
7.40
7.50
94.0 $
95.0 $
96.0 $
97.0 $
98.0 $
99.0 $
100.0 $
101.0 $
102.0 $
103.0 $
In %
Price/YTM Graph Amortizing Bond - Serbia London Club 2024
Closing price YTM
375 bps
400 bps
425 bps
450 bps
475 bps
500 bps
525 bps
550 bps
575 bps
600 bps
625 bps
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
In %
YTM US Dollar Interest Rate Swap - 9Y