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Module 3 Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation One UN Training Service Platform on Climate Change: UN CC:Learn

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Page 1: Module 3 power point presentation 20140520

Module 3

Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation

One UN Training Service Platform

on Climate Change: UN CC:Learn

Page 2: Module 3 power point presentation 20140520

One UN Training Service Platform

on Climate Change: UN CC:Learn

Learning Objectives

1. Explain the importance of adaptation in preparing for and

coping with climate change

2. Outline key elements of a vulnerability assessment

4. Analyse linkages between climate change adaptation and

development planning 3. Identify adaptation options

By the end of the module

participants will be able to:

Module 3: Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation

2

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on Climate Change: UN CC:Learn

Overview

Overview

Section 1

Introduction to Climate Change

Adaptation

Section 2

Conducting a Vulnerability Assessment

Section 3

Identifying and Selecting

Adaptation Options

Section 4

Linking Adaptation and Development

Planning

Section 5

International Initiatives to

Support Climate Change

Adaptation

Module 3: Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation

3

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Introduction to Climate

Change Adaptation

Section 1

Module 3: Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation

4

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What is Climate Change Adaptation?

“Adaptation to climate change refers to adjustments in human and natural systems in response to actual or

expected climatic variation, with a view to moderating harm or exploiting

beneficial opportunities.”

(Source: Based on IPCC 2001)

Source: UNDP & UNEP-PEI 2001

Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation

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Types of Adaptation

Type Action

Anticipatory adaptation Taking action in preparation of

climate change

Reactive adaptation Taking action when climate

change effects are

experiencedSource: IPCC

Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation

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Definitions of Related Concepts

Vulnerability to Climate Change

“The degree to which a system is susceptible to, and unable to cope with, adverse effects of

climate change, including climate variability and extremes. Vulnerability is a function of the character, magnitude, and rate of climate variation to which a system is exposed, its

sensitivity, and its adaptive capacity.”

(IPCC 2007)

Adaptive Capacity

“The whole of capabilities, resources and institutions of a country or region to implement

effective adaptation measures.”

(IPCC 2007)

Climate Risk

“The combination of the likelihood (probability of occurrence) and the consequences of an

adverse event (e.g. tropical cyclone, drought, flood).”

(UNDP 2011)

Resilience

“The ability of a social or ecological system to absorb disturbances while retaining the same basic structure and ways of functioning, the

capacity for self-organisation, and the capacity to adapt to

stress and change.”

(IPCC 2007)

Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation

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Key Sectors Affected by Climate Change

Key Sectors

Disaster Risk

Reduction Education

Energy

Fisheries

Food And Agricultur

e

Forestry

HealthInfra-

structure

Nature & Ecosystem

Conser-vation

Spatial Planning

Tourism

Transport

Waste

Water

Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation

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Examples of How Temperature Rise Effects Different Sectors (I)

*Significant is defined here as more than

40%

Source: IPCC 2007 as used in UNDP 2009

p17

Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation

9

Global mean temperature change relative to 1980-1999 °C

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Examples of How Temperature Rise Effects Different Sectors (II)

** Based on average rate of sea level rise of 4.2mm/year from 2000 to

2008 Source: IPCC 2007 as used in UNDP 2009

p17

Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation

10

Global mean temperature change relative to 1980-1999 °C

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Estimates of Annual Adaptation Costs in Developing Countries, 2010-2015

Source: Reproduced from IFAD

Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation

11

SourceUSD billion

per annum

World Bank (2006) 9 – 41

Stern (2006) 4 – 37

UNDP (2007) 86 – 109

UNFCCC (2007) 27 – 67

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Key Elements of an Adaptation Process

Observation

Assessment of climate

impacts and vulnerability

Select adaptation

options

Implementation of adaptation

measures

Monitoring & evaluation of adaptation

actions

Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation

12

Source: Based on UNFCCC

2011

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Data Requirements for Effective Adaptation

Climate Data

• National and local weather data

• Seasonal forecasts

• Future projections from climate models

• …

Other Environmental Data

Forest cover

Water resources

Biodiversity

Socio-Economic Data

• Population dynamics

• Urbanization trends

• Economic development forecasts

• Gender and age

• …

Planning Information

• National development plans

• Sub-national and municipal development plans

• …

Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation

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Importance of Stakeholder Engagement

14

Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation

Source: IPA Netzwerk

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Case Study: Community-Based Adaptation Initiatives in Samoa

Adaptation to flooding and

sea-level rise

Protection and

conservation of

mangroves, eco-systems,

and coral reefs

Community awareness

programmes inform local

stakeholders about

the connection between

ecosystems, their

livelihoods, and climate

change

Source: UNDP Adaptation Learning

Mechanism

15

Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation

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Challenges of Adaptation

URL: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LEyh0U81ErU

Video: Achim Steiner, Executive Director of the UN Environment Programme (UNEP) talks about the challenges of adaptation

One UN Training Service Platform

on Climate Change: UN CC:LearnSection 1: Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation

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Conducting a Vulnerability

Assessment

Section 2

Module 3: Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation

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The Components of Vulnerability

Exposure

Sensitivity

Adaptive

Capacity

Potential

Impact

Vulnerabilit

y

Source: Reproduced from Midgley, Davies & Chesterman 2011 p3

Section 2: Conducting a Vulnerability Assessment

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Why Conduct a Vulnerability Assessment?

Vulnerability

assessments help to

identify who is most

vulnerable, where they

are located, and what

risks they face. They

are an important input

to planning for

adaptation.

Source: WeAdapt

19

Section 2: Conducting a Vulnerability Assessment

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Variety of Assessment Tools and Methods

Various methods and tools available

Summarized in UNFCCC

compendium on methods and tools

to evaluate impacts of, and vulnerability and

adaptation to, climate change

Select tools/methods in accordance with

national circumstances

20

Section 2: Conducting a Vulnerability Assessment

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First Generation of Assessments

Climate scenarios

Biophysical impacts

Socio-economic impacts

Adaptations to impacts

Residual or net impacts

Source: UNFCCC 2006 p103

21

Section 2: Conducting a Vulnerability Assessment

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Climate

Science

Social

Science

Current

Vulnerability

Future Exposure

Future Adaptive

Capacity

Future

Vulnerability

Second Generation of Assessments

Source: UNFCCC 2006 p103

Current Exposure

Current Adaptive

Capacity

22

Section 2: Conducting a Vulnerability Assessment

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Vulnerability ― Example 1: Changing Rainfall Patterns in Kitui, Kenya

• The arid area of Kitui likely to receive less water in the future

• Rains are no longer reliable and droughts may last longer

Potential Impact

(Exposure)

• Reduced crop productivity due to lack of irrigation systems and drought resistant crops

• Loss of income and increased poverty

Potential Impact

(Sensitivity)

• Travelling large distances to collect fresh water not viable

• Moving of population to other areas not possible

• Effective irrigation technology not available

Adaptive Capacity

23

Section 2: Conducting a Vulnerability Assessment

Further info: IPCC

website

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Vulnerability ― Example 1: Changing Rainfall Patterns in Kitui, Kenya

Case Kitui,

Kenya

Exposure High

Sensitivity High

Adaptive

Capacity

Low

Vulnerability HighSource: guide2kenya

24

Section 2: Conducting a Vulnerability Assessment

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Vulnerability ― Example 2: Coastal Zone Management in the Netherlands

• The Netherlands are already below sea level

• Increased sea level creates risks of coastal inundation & erosion

Potential Impact

(Exposure)

• Existing dykes may no longer be effective against higher sea levels

• A breach of dykes would result in loss of land, and damage to crops and habitats

Potential Impact

(Sensitivity)

• Funds available to implement adaptation measures (e.g. increase height of dams)

• Skills and equipment available

Adaptive Capacity

25

Section 2: Conducting a Vulnerability Assessment

Further info: WMO

website

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Vulnerability ― Example 2: Coastal Zone Management in the Netherlands

Case Netherland

s

Exposure High

Sensitivity High

Adaptive

Capacity

High

Vulnerability LowSource: Wikipedia/Rens Jacobs

26

Section 2: Conducting a Vulnerability Assessment

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Vulnerability ― Example 3: The Case of Tropical Storms in Jamaica

• The Caribbean already exposed to tropical storms

• Storms projected to increase in intensity and frequency

Potential Impact

(Exposure)

• Increase of intensive storms may result in additional damage to the population and the natural and built environment

• Areas with poorly constructed buildings particularly sensitive

PotentialImpact

(Sensitivity)

• Limited technology to prevent damage

• Availability of labour and some financial resources

Adaptive Capacity

27

Section 2: Conducting a Vulnerability Assessment

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Case Jamaica

Exposure High

Sensitivity Medium

Adaptive

Capacity

Medium

Vulnerability Medium

Vulnerability ― Example 3: The Case of Tropical Storms in Jamaica

28

Section 2: Conducting a Vulnerability Assessment

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Gender Vulnerability to Climate Change

Source: UnWomen Watch. Further info: UNFCCC

Website

29

Section 2: Conducting a Vulnerability Assessment

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Identifying and Selecting

Adaptation Options

Section 3

Module 3: Introduction To Climate Change Adaptation

30

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Range of Adaptation Options: From Vulnerability to Impact Focus

Addressing the drivers of

vulnerability

• Activities seek to reduce poverty and other non-climatic stressors that make people vulnerable

Building response capacity

• Activities seek to build robust systems for problem-solving

Managing climate risks

• Activities seek to incorporate climate information into decision-making

Confronting climate change

• Activities seek to address impacts associated exclusively with climate change

Vulnerability Focus Impacts Focus

Traditional Development Funding New & Additional Adaptation

FundingSource: Reproduced from Mcgray et al 2007

Section 3: Identifying and Selecting Adaptation

Options

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Examples of Adaptation Actions with Different Foci

Source: Reproduced from Mcgray et al 2007

Section 3: Identifying and Selecting Adaptation

Options

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Different Methods for Selecting Adaptation Options

Analysis Context Advantages/ Strengths Disadvantages/

Weaknesses

Cost-benefit Costs and benefits can

be quantified in

monetary terms when

the necessary data are

available

Monetizing allows

quantitative comparison

between diverse costs

and benefits

Non-market costs and

benefits (e.g. Ecological

and cultural values) as

well as distributional

aspects are difficult to

include

Cost-effectiveness Objectives of adaptation

measures have been

identified, and the lowest

cost option is sought

It allows an analysis to

be carried out on non-

monetary costs and

benefits such as health

and ecosystem services

It cannot evaluate

whether a measure is

justified

Multi-criteria Data are not fully

available, factors are not

easily quantified and

monetary benefits may

be only one of many

criteria used

Criteria can be optimized

to national and local

priorities; allows for

stakeholder engagement

Lack of monetary terms

may weaken economic

case for the justification

of measures

Source: Reproduced from UNFCCC 2011 p31

Section 3: Identifying and Selecting Adaptation

Options

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Range of Criteria for Selecting Adaptation Options

Sustainability

Mitigation Co-benefits

Environmental Impacts

Equity

Implementation Costs

Effectiveness

Robustness

Reliability

Risk and Uncertainty

Urgency

Degree of Risk or Impacts

Precautionary

Opportunity

Ancillary Benefits

No-regret Option

Window of Opportunity

Implemen-tation

Public Acceptability

Funding Sources

Individual and Institutional

Capacity

Source: Reproduced from IISD, UNITAR & UNEP 2009 p37

Section 3: Identifying and Selecting Adaptation

Options

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Example of Selecting Adaptation Options

Source: Ranger & Garbett-Shiels 2011 p15

Section 3: Identifying and Selecting Adaptation

Options

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Section 3: Identifying and Selecting Adaptation

Options

Sector Focus ― Agriculture: Examples of Possible Adaptation Measures

Development of tolerant/resistant

crops (to drought, salt, insect/pests)

Diversification of crops

Changes in fertilizer use and

application

Changes in planting and harvesting

times

Soil-water management

Erosion control

Development of early warning

systems

Related policy measures, such as

subsidies, and training and outreach

programmes

36

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In Focus: FAO Online LearningPackage on Climate-Smart Agriculture

Section 3: Identifying and Selecting Adaptation

Options

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Sector Focus ― Water: Examples of Possible Adaptation Interventions

Interventions

Institutional

/

Policy

• Providing drinking water to coastal communities to combat enhanced salinity due to sea

level rise (Bangladesh)

• Mobilisation and integrated water resource management project (Cape Verde, Vanuatu)

• Implementation and management of water management associations (Madagascar)

• Contribution to better knowledge of surface water regimes (Mauritania)

• Institutional strengthening of water resources sector (Sierra Leone)

Technical • Rainwater harvesting (Bhutan, Burundi, Mali, Sierra Leone)

• Groundwater recharge for irrigation wells (Eritrea, Mauritania)

• Use of spate, drip irrigation and range land development (Eritrea, Mauritania)

• Stabilisation of river dynamics and water courses (Burundi, Mauritania, Mozambique)

• Coastal protection infrastructure (maldives)

• Increased water supply (Cambodia, Comoros, Djibouti, Burkina Faso, Gambia, Guinea

Bissau, Kiribati, Maldives, Mauritania, Niger, Samoa, São Tomé&Príncipe, Sierra

Leone, Tanzania, Tuvalu)

• Development and improvement of small-scale and community irrigation systems

(Cambodia, Ethiopia, Guinea Bissau, Rwanda)

Market • Water resource adaptation project (Kiribati)

Source: Overseas Development Institute

2009Section 3: Identifying and Selecting Adaptation

Options

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Section 3: Identifying and Selecting Adaptation

Options

Sector Focus ― Health: Examples of Possible Adaptation Measures

Establishment of climate

change and environment and

health information systems

Strengthening of disease and

weather early warning

Cost-effective technology for

water treatment for hospitals

Education and training of

environment and health

professionals

39

Further info: WHO

website

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WHO Documentary on Climate Change & Health

Section 3: Identifying and Selecting Adaptation

Options

Video: WHO documentary about climate change adaptation to protect human health in the European and Central Asian regions

URL: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z5gtjhwj-3m

40

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Section 3: Identifying and Selecting Adaptation

Options

Sector Focus ― Education: Examples of Possible Adaptation Measures

Review of curricula to integrate

climate change issues

Development of relevant

quality learning materials

Training on climate change for

teachers and curriculum

developers

Protection of learning facilities

to meet the worst impacts of

climate change and disasters

41

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Linking Adaptation and

Development PlanningSection 4

Module 3: Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation

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Climate Change ― A Development Challenge

Section 4: Linking Adaptation and Development

Planning

43

Source: UNDP & UNEP 2011

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Potential Impact of Climate Change on the Millennium Development Goals (I)

Source: Adapted from OECD 2009 p 29

44

Goal Potential Impact of Climate Change on Achievement of Goal

Eradicate

extreme

poverty and

hunger

• Climate change is projected to reduce the assets and livelihoods

of many poor people, for example health, access to water,

homes, and infrastructure.

• Climate change is projected to alter regional food security. In

particular in Africa, food security is expected to worsen.

Promote

gender

equality

• In the developing world in particular, women are

disproportionately involved in natural resource-dependent

activities, such as agriculture, which are particularly vulnerable to

climate change.

Section 4: Linking Adaptation and Development

Planning

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Potential Impact of Climate Change on the Millennium Development Goals (II)

Source: Adapted from OECD 2009 p 29

45

Goal Potential Impact of Climate Change on Achievment of Goal

Combat

major

diseases

• Direct effects of climate change include increases in heat-related

mortality and illnesses associated with heat waves

• Climate change may increase the prevalence of some vector-

borne diseases (for example malaria and dengue fever), and

vulnerability to water, food, or contagious diseases (for example

cholera and dysentery).

Ensure

environ.

sustainabili

ty

• Climate change is likely to alter the quality and productivity of

natural resources and ecosystems, some of which may be

irreversibly damaged, and these changes may also decrease

biological diversity and compound existing environmental

degradation

Section 4: Linking Adaptation and Development

Planning

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Importance of Integrating Adaptation within Development Planning

46

Close relationship between climate change

adaptation and development issues

To be effective, climate change adaptation needs

to be mainstreamed in existing development

policies and processes

Adaptation considerations can also improve

quality of development policies and projects and

make them more sustainable in the long term

Section 4: Linking Adaptation and Development

Planning

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Entry Points for Integrating Adaptation within Development Planning

Source: Reproduced from UNDP & UNEP 2011 p 18

47

Planning Level Entry Points

National

government and

cross-sector

ministries

• Poverty reduction strategy paper

• National development plan

• MDG-based national development strategy

• National budget allocation process or review (e.g. medium-

term

• expenditure framework, public expenditure review)

Sector

ministries

• Sector strategies, plans and policies (e.g. agricultural

sector plan)

• Preparation of sector budgets

• Public expenditure reviews

Subnational

authorities

• Decentralization policies

• District plans

• Preparation of subnational budgets

Section 4: Linking Adaptation and Development

Planning

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Climate Change Adaptation and Disaster Risk Reduction Strategies

Source: Oxfam 2009 p 5

48

Section 4: Linking Adaptation and Development

Planning

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Meeting the Implementation Challenge

49

Budgeting and financing climate change

adaptation measures

Ensuring overall coordination by a central body

Strengthening multi-sector coordination

Building capacities of institutions and individuals

at the national, sector and sub-national level

Integrating adaptation in national monitoring

system

Section 4: Linking Adaptation and Development

Planning

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International Initiatives to Support

Climate Change AdaptationSection 5

Module 3: Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation

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Adaptation Support: Brief Overview

Nairobi Work Programme

National Adaptation Programmes of Action

(NAPAs)

National Adaptation Plans (NAPs)

Programme on Loss & Damage

Cancun Adaptation Framework (CAF)

Section 5 : International Initiatives to Support Climate

Change Adaptation

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Nairobi Work Programme

Expected Outcomes

• Enhanced capacity at international, regional, national, sectoral and local level

• Improved information and advice to the Conference of the Parties (COP) of the Climate Change Convention

• Enhanced dissemination and use of knowledge from practical adaptation activities

• Enhanced cooperation among parties, relevant organizations, business, civil society and decision makers

• Enhanced contribution of adaptation action to sustainable development

Section 5 : International Initiatives to Support Climate

Change Adaptation

52

The Nairobi work

programme disseminates

knowledge and

information on adaptation

as widely as possible

through a variety of

knowledge products and

publications.

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National Adaptation Programmesof Action (NAPAs)

Section 5 : International Initiatives to Support Climate

Change Adaptation

53

NAPAs are country-driven processes to identify

activities that respond to urgent and immediate

needs of Least Developed Countries

(LDCs) in order to reduce their vulnerability

Steps include:

• Information synthesis

• Assessment of vulnerability and potential risk areas

• Identification of key priority adaptation measures

Further info: UNFCCC website. GEF

website

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National Adaptation Plans (NAPs)

Objectives of the NAP process:

(a) To reduce vulnerability to the impacts of climate change, by building adaptive capacity

and resilience

(b) To facilitate the integration of climate change adaptation into relevant new and existing

policies, programmes and activities, in particular development planning

processes and strategies, within all relevant sectors and

at different levels.

Section 5 : International Initiatives to Support Climate

Change Adaptation

54

Further info: UNFCCC

website

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Comparing the NAPA and the NAP Processes

Source: GSP 2012

Section 5 : International Initiatives to Support Climate

Change Adaptation

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Work Programme on Loss and Damage

Section 5 : International Initiatives to Support Climate

Change Adaptation

56

Relatively new work

programme established in

2010

Objective: consider

approaches to address loss

and damage associated with

climate change in vulnerable

developing countries

Challenge: lack of empirical

evidence of scope and

significance of loss and

damage associated with

climate changeFurther info: UNFCCC

website

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Loss and Damage in The Gambia

Section 5 : International Initiatives to Support Climate

Change Adaptation

57

URL: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KeCCWGnykAU

Video: Interview with Dr. Sidat Yaffa about the findings of a case study on loss and damage in The Gambia

View the

other

interviews

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Cancun Adaptation Framework (CAF)

Section 5 : International Initiatives to Support Climate

Change Adaptation

58

Objective of the CAF:

Enhance action on adaptation, including through international

cooperation and coherent consideration of matters

relating to adaptation under the Convention.

Five CAF Clusters:

• Implementation

• Support

• Institutions

• Principles

• Stakeholder engagement

Further info: UNFCCC

website

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Annex Additional Resources

Module 3: Introduction to Climate Change Adaptation

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Module Summary

Additional Resources

60

Adaptation is any action taken to reduce the impacts or even

benefit from the effects of climate change.

Assessing the vulnerability of a locality is the first step to plan and

undertake adaptation action. Components of vulnerability include

exposure, sensitivity and adaptative capacity.

Adaptation actions need to be designed to suit the circumstances

and needs of different sectors and countries/regions.

There is a strong link between adaptation and development

planning. Integrating adaptation and development planning can

bring additional benefits beyond reduced vulnerability to climate

change.

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Useful Links

CDKN WeAdaptAdaptation Learning

Mechanism

PreventionWeb

CGIAR Research

Programme

Africa Adaptation Knowledge

Network

World Bank Climate Risk

and Adaptation Country Profiles

UNISDR National

Platforms for Disaster Risk

Reduction

FAO e-Tool Community-

Based Adaptation

IFAD e-Learning on Smallholder

Agriculture and Climate Change

NAPAs Received by the

UNFCCC Secretariat

UN CC:Learn

Additional Resources

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on Climate Change: UN CC:Learn

Recommended Readings

Additional Resources

IPCC (2007). 4th Assessment Report, Working Group II: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability

OECD (2009): Guidance on Integrating Climate Change Adaptation into Development Co-operation

PROVIA (2012). Guidance on Assessing Vulnerability, Impacts and Adaptation (VIA)

UNDP (2010). Designing Climate Change Adaptation Initiatives: A UNDP Toolkit for Practitioners

UNDP (2012). Africa Adaptation Programme: Handbook on Capitalisation of Experiences

UNEP & UNDP (2011). Mainstreaming Climate Change Adaptation into Development Planning: A Guide for Practitioners

USAID (2012). Climate Change Adaptation Manual

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One UN Training Service Platform

on Climate Change: UN CC:Learn

Main References

Additional Resources

OECD (2009): Guidance on Integrating Climate Change Adaptation into Development Co-operation

IISD, UNITAR & UNEP (2009). IEA Training Material:Vulnerability and Climate Change Impact Assessment for Adaptation

UNEP & UNDP (2011). Mainstreaming Climate Change Adaptation into Development Planning: A Guide for Practitioners

UNFCCC (2008). Compendium on Methods and Tools to Evaluate Impacts of, and Vulnerability and Adaptation to, Climate Change

UNFCCC. CGE Training Materials: Vulnerability and Adaptation Assessment, Chapter Two

UNFCCC. Official Website

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