sdq added value score
DESCRIPTION
SDQ added value score. Why do we need it, where it came from and what it can and cannot do. Why do we need it?. The chronic and fluctuating nature of childhood psychiatric symptoms Attenuation Regression to the mean. 3 year follow-up of 1999 survey. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
SDQ added value score
Why do we need it, where it came from and what it can and cannot
do
Why do we need it?
• The chronic and fluctuating nature of childhood psychiatric symptoms
• Attenuation
• Regression to the mean
Change in psychopathology
0
5
10
15
20
25
Baseline six months
SD
Q t
ota
l dif
fic
ult
ies
sc
ore
No disorder
Emotional
Conduct
HKD
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
Baseline Six months
No disorder
Emotional
Conduct
HKD
3 year follow-up of 1999 survey
a) Symptoms are persistent at a group level
ASD HK Cond Emot None
19992002 Follow-up
Totalsymptoms(SDQ)
3 year follow-up of 1999 survey
b) Impact is persistent at a group level
ASD HK Cond Emot None
19992002 Follow-up
Totalimpact(SDQ)
% reporting in the first interview
% reporting
in the second
interview
Agreed contacts between
two interviews
as % of total
contacts from both interviews
Kappa(standard
error)
Assessment only 40 28 70 0.74 (0.14)
CBT 56 52 80 0.76 (0.13)
Medication 40 36 73 0.75 (0.14)
-2
-1
0
1
2L
aten
t S
DQ
to
tal
(z-s
core
)
Time 1 Time 2
Where did it come from?
Children in the DoH British child and adolescent mental health survey 2004 and its six-month follow up who:-
• Were rated as having a psychiatric disorder• Or children with parents who had approached
primary health care or teachers in relation to this child’s mental health within the previous year.
• (n=604)
How did we calculate it?
• Calculated empirically using linear regression after exploring the factors that were known or suspected to increase the persistence of psychopathology.
• Added value (in SDQ points) = 2.3 + 0.8*baseline total difficulties score + 0.2*baseline impact score – 0.3* baseline emotional difficulties subscale score – follow up total difficulties score.
y= a+bx
y
x a = y intercept
b = slope
y= a+b1x1+b2x2+b3x3….
• Added value (in SDQ points) = 2.3 + 0.8*baseline total difficulties score + 0.2*baseline impact score – 0.3* baseline emotional difficulties subscale score – follow up total difficulties score.
• y = added value score• a = 2.3• b1 = 0.8 and x1= baseline total difficulties score• b2 = 0.2 and x2 = baseline impact score• b3 = 0.3 and x3 = baseline emotional difficulties subscale
score
Added value score = expected score– observed score
Added value (in SDQ points) = 2.3 + 0.8*baseline total difficulties score + 0.2*baseline impact score – 0.3* baseline emotional difficulties subscale score – follow up total difficulties score.
Where
Expected score given baseline parameters
Observed score
• Expected > observed: added value = positive; follow up score lower than expected; better than expected change
• Expected < observed; added value = negative; follow up score higher than expected; worse than expected change.
• Expected – observed; added value =0 => same change as in the community
-15.00 -10.00 -5.00 0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00
vatot
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Fre
qu
en
cy
Mean = 0.0527Std. Dev. = 4.85165N = 455
Complexity factors
We looked at:-• Type or severity of
diagnosis• Age and gender• Poor physical health• Maternal educational level• Maternal anxiety and
depression• Family (type, function and
size)• Housing tenure• Neighbourhood
characteristics
Using stepwise linear regression, these factors explained:-
• 0.6% of variance of the added value score
• 35.9% of baseline SDQ scores• 24.2% of follow up SDQ
scores
• Ie. Very small influence of these factors on the SDQ added value score
Lot worse Bit worse same Bit better Lot better
Parent says how they were at T2 compared with T1
-3.00
-2.00
-1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
Me
an
va
tot
-10 -5 0 5 10 15
vatot
0
5
10
15
20
25
Fre
qu
ency
Mean = -0.13Std. Dev. = 4.577N = 148
Added value score applied to children with psychiatric disorder from 1999 survey
-20.00 -10.00 0.00 10.00
vatot
0
2
4
6
8
10
Fre
qu
ency
Mean = 2.6949Std. Dev. = 6.72243N = 39
Added value score applied to 39 clinic cases; mean =2.7
Effect size =0.56
95% confidence interval 0.12-0.99
Does it work?
• Tested with data from a community based trial of the IY parenting program that had used to the SDQ at two time points 4-8 months apart, including the impact scale and detected a difference.
• If the SDQ value added scale worked it should accurately predict the change measured by the trial for the intervention group and while the control group should show no change
• We tested the added value score against simple change scores
(T1 total difficulties score – T2 total difficulties)
Effect size in standard deviation units
Expected value
Added value score
Change score
Control group
0 -0.03 0.35 *
Intervention group
0.37 0.36 0.65 **
The SDQ added value score can:-
• Accurately estimate change among groups of children with significant levels of impairing psychopathology, such as high risk groups or those attending services.
• We estimate that teams should be able to produce effect sizes of 0.1 or greater, but this needs testing with clinical data
• The test trial was on a Sure Start intervention in a community setting using sure start staff
Caveats The added value score is only calibrated for use with therapeutic or
targeted interventions and will overestimate change in groups with low levels of psychopathology, so it should not be applied to universal interventions.
• The added value score is a tool for evaluating the impact of interventions on groups of children, but the confidence intervals around the scores of individual children will be too wide to interpret in most instances.
The added value score requires follow up to occur between 4 and 8 months after the initial measure. Follow up after a fixed interval is preferable to administration at discharge because of the risk that discharge may follow soon after a spontaneous improvement, and thereby capitalize on chance remission.
Lee et al (2005)
Caveats The added value score is based on the SDQ, which is a “wide
angle” measure. Clinicians may want supplement the SDQ with more specific outcome measures relating to each child’s individual problems.
The use of multiple measures (clinician, parent, child, process, satisfaction) will provide services with richer data for improving services.
Services need to aim for high response rates from parents in order to obtain representative data. This requires resources.
• The added value score cannot provide all the answers to outcome monitoring; it is one of an array of tools
• There is a need for further replication with clinical and research data