the occupational crystal ball: what are the jobs of the future?

March 1, 2013March 1, 2013

Lorraine FauldsLorraine Faulds

Workforce Intelligence Workforce Intelligence CoordinatorCoordinator

SC Department of SC Department of

Employment & WorkforceEmployment & Workforce

The Occupational Crystal Ball:The Occupational Crystal Ball:What are the jobs of the future?What are the jobs of the future?

?

Expose counselors to information they can share Expose counselors to information they can share with students so better education and career with students so better education and career

choices can be made.choices can be made.

Goal for this workshop:Goal for this workshop:

20 million Americans (17%) change jobs each year. 20 million Americans (17%) change jobs each year.

41% of adults said they had a career plan.41% of adults said they had a career plan.

69% said if they were starting over, they would try 69% said if they were starting over, they would try to get more career information.to get more career information.

Educational “false starts” cost in tuition, possible Educational “false starts” cost in tuition, possible occupational mismatches, employee turnover, and occupational mismatches, employee turnover, and

unemployment.unemployment.

Source: The Importance of Career Planning, Montana Department of Labor & Industry

Why is career planning important?Why is career planning important?

Information such as:Information such as:

Occupational Projections (Hot Jobs)Occupational Projections (Hot Jobs)Educational RequirementsEducational Requirements

PopulationPopulationLabor forceLabor force

Educational dataEducational dataWagesWages

Soft SkillsSoft Skills

So we need information to make So we need information to make intelligent decisions…intelligent decisions…

About the jobs…About the jobs…

•Job openingsJob openings

•Which industries have jobs?Which industries have jobs?

•What occupations?What occupations?

•Which companies are hiring?Which companies are hiring?

When it comes to jobs, When it comes to jobs, people should be looking at…people should be looking at…

Where Are The Jobs?Where Are The Jobs?

Health Care and Social Assistance 12.9Retail Trade 12.4Manufacturing 12.1Accommodation and Food Services 10.8Educational Services 9.2Administrative and Waste Services 7.8Public Administration 5.9Professional and Technical Services 4.5Construction 4.3Wholesale Trade 3.6Finance and Insurance 3.6Transportation and Warehousing 3.1Other Services, Ex. Public Admin 2.7Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 1.7Information 1.5Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 1.5Utilities 0.9Management of Companies and Enterprises 0.9Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting 0.6Mining 0.1

SC Employment by Industry, Apr.-Jun. 2012

Source: SC Dept. of Employment & Workforce, Labor Market Information, www.scWorkforceInfo.com

Industry Avg. EmploymentHealth Care and Social Assistance 234,712 Hospitals 88,908 General Medical and Surgical Hospitals 85,006

The JobsThe JobsTop 20 jobs with the most openings in SC (2010-2020)

Retail SalespersonsRegistered NursesOffice Clerks, GeneralCombined Food Prep./Serving Workers, Inc. Fast FoodCashiersCustomer Service RepresentativesNursing Aides, Orderlies, and AttendantsPersonal Care AidesLaborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, HandLandscaping and Groundskeeping WorkersHeavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck DriversReceptionists and Information ClerksWaiters and WaitressesChildcare WorkersElementary School Teachers, Except Special EducationJanitors & Cleaners, Except Maids & Housekeeping CleanersBookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing ClerksFirst-Line Supervisors of Office & Admin. Support WorkersSecurity GuardsMaintenance and Repair Workers, General

Top 50 Jobs with the Most Openings Top 50 Jobs with the Most Openings in SCin SC

See handout for complete list.

Occ. Code Occupation Title

2010-2020 # Change

2011 Wage Career Cluster Education Required

Experience Required On-The-Job Training (OJT) Required

000000 All Occupations 271,366 18.54

41-2031 Retail Salespersons 11,067 11.64 Marketing, Sales and Service Less than high school None Short-term on-the-job training29-1111 Registered Nurses 10,851 29.50 Health Science Associate's degree None None43-9061 Office Clerks, General 6,583 12.60 Business, Management and Administration High school diploma or equivalent None Short-term on-the-job training35-3021 Combined Food Prep./Serving Workers, Inc. Fast Food 6,394 8.68 Hospitality and Tourism Less than high school None Short-term on-the-job training41-2011 Cashiers 6,019 8.81 Marketing, Sales and Service Less than high school None Short-term on-the-job training43-4051 Customer Service Representatives 5,133 14.53 Business, Management and Administration High school diploma or equivalent None Short-term on-the-job training31-1012 Nursing Aides, Orderlies, and Attendants 5,081 10.45 Health Science Postsecondary non-degree award None None39-9021 Personal Care Aides 4,999 9.40 Human Service Less than high school None Short-term on-the-job training53-7062 Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand 4,946 12.01 Transportation, Distribution, and Logistics Less than high school None Short-term on-the-job training37-3011 Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers 4,774 10.72 Agriculture, Food and Natural Resource Less than high school None Short-term on-the-job training53-3032 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 4,342 17.71 Transportation, Distribution, and Logistics High school diploma or equivalent 1 to 5 years Short-term on-the-job training43-4171 Receptionists and Information Clerks 3,964 12.10 Business, Management and Administration High school diploma or equivalent None Short-term on-the-job training

Top 50 Occupations in South Carolina, 2010-2020

Declining OccupationsDeclining OccupationsBy numerical change

Top 20 Declining Jobs in SC (2010-2020)

Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse

Door-to-Door Sales Workers, News and Street Vendors, and Related Workers

Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine Operators

Sewing Machine Operators

Textile Knitting and Weaving Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders

Switchboard Operators, Including Answering Service

Textile Winding, Twisting, and Drawing Out Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders

Postal Service Clerks

Chemical Plant and System Operators

Farmworkers, Farm, Ranch, and Aquacultural Animals

Agricultural Equipment Operators

Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders

Food Service Managers

Loan Interviewers and Clerks

Textile Bleaching and Dyeing Machine Operators and Tenders

First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers

Floral Designers

Photographic Process Workers and Processing Machine Operators

Chemical Equipment Operators and Tenders

Postmasters and Mail Superintendents

Educational Requirements for Educational Requirements for the Top 50 Jobs in SCthe Top 50 Jobs in SC

40 out of 50 do not require

classroom training beyond

high school!

EDUCATION # of Occs.High school diploma or equivalent 27Less than high school 13Bachelor's degree 5Postsecondary non-degree award 3Associate's degree 2

But remember, many of these occupations do not pay well because they do not require much education.

Jobs that require OJTJobs that require OJT(from the top 50 occupations)

Medical Assistants ($14.11)Medical Assistants ($14.11)

Truck Drivers, Heavy Duty ($17.71)Truck Drivers, Heavy Duty ($17.71)

Customer Services Reps ($14.53)Customer Services Reps ($14.53)

Retail Salespersons ($11.64)Retail Salespersons ($11.64)

Security Guards ($11.56)Security Guards ($11.56)

OJT jobs OJT jobs where a certificate will where a certificate will

help…help…Pharmacy Technicians ($13.14)Pharmacy Technicians ($13.14)

Truck Drivers, Heavy/Tractor Trailer ($17.71)Truck Drivers, Heavy/Tractor Trailer ($17.71)

Bookkeeping, Accounting and Auditing Clerks ($16.13)Bookkeeping, Accounting and Auditing Clerks ($16.13)

BUT…BUT…The more you learn, the more you earn!!The more you learn, the more you earn!!

$-

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000

Less than highschool

High schoolgraduate/GED

Somecollege/Associate's

Degree

Bachelor's Degree Master's Degree orhigher

$17,645 $24,579

$30,343

$40,976

$54,100

Wages by Educational Attainment in SC, 2011

Jobs that require Jobs that require Postsecondary/Career Training or Postsecondary/Career Training or

an Associate’s Degreean Associate’s Degree

Registered Nurses ($29.50)Registered Nurses ($29.50)

Nursing Aides/Orderlies/Attendants ($10.45)Nursing Aides/Orderlies/Attendants ($10.45)

HVAC Mechanics/Installers ($18.33)HVAC Mechanics/Installers ($18.33)

Licensed Practical Nurses (LPN) ($18.73)Licensed Practical Nurses (LPN) ($18.73)

Elementary School Teachers ($23.26)Elementary School Teachers ($23.26)

Management Analysts ($34.04)Management Analysts ($34.04)

Accountants & Auditors ($28.36)Accountants & Auditors ($28.36)

Medical/Health Services Managers ($40.16)Medical/Health Services Managers ($40.16)

Jobs that require Jobs that require a Bachelor’s Degree or higher a Bachelor’s Degree or higher

Registered NursesFirst-Line Supervisors/Managers of Food Preparation and Serving WorkersTruck Drivers, Heavy and Tractor-TrailerFirst-Line Supervisors/Managers of Retail Sales WorkersRetail SalespersonsCustomer Service RepresentativesIndustrial EngineersSales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific ProductsPhysical TherapistsInsurance Sales AgentsComputer Support SpecialistsMaintenance and Repair Workers, GeneralOccupational TherapistsNetwork and Computer Systems AdministratorsCombined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast FoodExecutive Secretaries and Administrative AssistantsFirst-Line Supervisors/Managers of Production and Operating WorkersSales Representatives, Services, All OtherComputer Systems AnalystsWeb Developers

Current Online Job Openings Current Online Job Openings Top jobs in online ads in SC, January 2013

Who is hiring?Who is hiring?Companies with the most online ads in SC, January 2013

Pizza HutLowe'sArmy National GuardSupplemental Health CareAerotekTrustaffTenet Healthsystem Medical Inc.Wells FargoImagine One TechnologyVeterans Affairs, Veterans Health AdministrationAT&TMedical Staffing Source of AmericaCommunity Health SystemsPalmetto Health RichlandAlleg is GroupHCAAppleonePiedmont Medical CenterInterim HealthcareCyberCodersGreat Clips

Certificates for Online JobsCertificates for Online Jobs

15 of the top 20 requested

certificates are healthcare-

related

Certified Registered Nurse (RN)Commercial Driver's License (CDL)Basic Life Support (BLS)Certification in Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation (CPR)Top Secret Sensitive Compartmented Information Clearance (TS SCI)Physical Therapist CertificationAdvanced Cardiac Life Support (ACLS)Certified in Nursing Administration (CNA)Licensed Practical Nurse (LPN)Certified Practical Nurse, Long-term care (CPNL, LTC)Occupational Safety & Health Administration Certification (OSHA)Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA)Board Certified (BC)Certified in Long Term Care (CLTC)Certified Occupational Therapy Assistant (OTA)Occupational Therapy: Feeding, Eating, and SwallowingCertified Nursing Assistant (CNA)Speech and Language Pathologist (SLP)Computer Aided Design (CAD)State Insurance License

Top Skills for Online JobsTop Skills for Online JobsOral and written communication skillsDetail orientedCustomer service orientedMicrosoft OfficeProblem solvingSelf-starting / Self-motivatedOrganizational skillsCash handlingSales experienceCash registersTroubleshootingWork independentlyStrong LeadershipWork ethicsBusiness developmentStrong interpersonal skillsProject ManagementTime managementDependabilitySales and operations planning

A look at the local area… A look at the local area… (population & labor force)(population & labor force)

PopulationPopulation

SC Greenville Richland Charleston

2011 Total Population 4,679,230 461,299 389,116 357,704

Under 5 years old (2011) 6.5% 7.1% 6.3% 6.6%Under 18 years old (2011) 23.1% 24.2% 22.6% 20.7%65 years old and over (2011) 14.1% 13.0% 10.0% 13.0%

White (2011) 68.4% 77.2% 48.9% 66.8%African American/Black (2011) 28.1% 18.4% 46.3% 29.7%Other (2011) 3.5% 4.4% 4.8% 3.5%

Median household income (2010) $43,939 $46,830 $47,922 $48,433Persons below poverty level (2010) 16.4% 14.1% 14.5% 16.5%

High school graduates, age 25+ (2010) 83.0% 84.0% 88.4% 87.4%Bachelor's degree or higher, age 25+ (2010) 24.0% 30.0% 36.5% 37.5%

Language other than English spoken at home Age 5+ (2010) 6.6% 11.3% 7.9% 7.2%

Source: US Census Bureau, American Fact Finder

Population Characteristics for SC and Selected Counties

First, a few definitions…

Employed: Persons 16 years old or older who worked for pay any time during the week that included the 12th of the month.

Unemployed: Persons 16 years old or older who are not working but want a job, and are able and willing to work.

Labor Force: Employed plus unemployed.

Unemployment Rate: Unemployment divided by labor force.

Labor Force InformationLabor Force Information

Source: SC DEW, Labor Market Information, Local Area Unemployment Statistics program

Employment in SC, Last 12 MonthsEmployment in SC, Last 12 Months

Unemployment in SC, Last 12 MonthsUnemployment in SC, Last 12 Months


Unemployment Rate, Last 12 MonthsUnemployment Rate, Last 12 MonthsSC & USSC & US


SC Unemployment Rate with RecessionSC Unemployment Rate with Recession

RECESSION


A look at educational A look at educational data…data…

South Carolina Educational Attainment 2011South Carolina Educational Attainment 2011

SC population 25 years old and older

No school, 1.2%

K-12, no diploma,

14.9%

HS/GED, 30.5%Some

college, 20.7%

Associate's, 8.5%

Bachelor's, 15.7%

Master's +, 8.6%

Effects of DropoutsEffects of Dropouts

According to a report by the Alliance for Excellent Education, if 1,000 more students graduated:

They would earn a combined $11 million in added earnings in a year

They would spend an additional $1.1 million each year

By the midpoint of their careers, they would buy homes worth $23 million more than they would have without a diploma

They would support 60 new jobs, increasing state revenue by almost $1 million a year

About the money…About the money…

Highest/Lowest WagesHighest/Lowest Wages

Entry Average Experienced

All Occupations 8.26 18.54 33.41

Highest 46.62 55.18 88.79(Pharmacist) (Pharmacist) (Podiatrist)

Lowest 7.54 8.32 9.29(Gaming & Sports Book

Writers & Runners)(Gaming & Sports Book

Writers & Runners)(Food Prep./Serving

Workers)

BenefitsBenefits• Employer-paid benefits equaled 19.7% of worker compensation in 2011

(up from 16.6% in 2000 and less than 10% in the 1960s).

• Benefits have grown at 2.5 times the rate of wages in the past decade.

• The three largest benefits are roughly equal in size: Health insurance Retirement benefits, and Employer contributions to Social Security and Medicare.

• Benefits have risen 4.1% annually for government workers during the past decade vs. a 1.9% annual rate for private-sector employees.

Reality CheckReality Check

www.jumpstart.org/realitycheck/www.jumpstart.org/realitycheck/

An example from Reality An example from Reality Check…Check…

•ShelterShelter: Share apartment with roommate: Share apartment with roommate

•TransportationTransportation: Used car (includes insurance, maintenance, car : Used car (includes insurance, maintenance, car payment)payment)

•FoodFood: Eat out: Eat out

•UtilitiesUtilities: Electric, gas & water, cell phone: Electric, gas & water, cell phone

•ExpensesExpenses: Minimum clothing, company health insurance, : Minimum clothing, company health insurance, Internet accessInternet access

•EntertainmentEntertainment: Basic cable, 4 movie rentals, 2 CDs, and 2 game : Basic cable, 4 movie rentals, 2 CDs, and 2 game rentals each monthrentals each month

•PersonalPersonal: Basic haircut, makeup, do laundry at parents house, : Basic haircut, makeup, do laundry at parents house, car wash, personal hygiene itemscar wash, personal hygiene items

Take home pay would need to be Take home pay would need to be

$10/hour!!$10/hour!!

Hourly, weekly, monthly & annual Hourly, weekly, monthly & annual wageswages

Cheat Sheet!Cheat Sheet!

$10/hour = $10/hour =

$400/week = $400/week =

$1,733/month =$1,733/month =

$20,800/year$20,800/year

Soft SkillsSoft Skills

What employers are looking for…

Professionalism/work ethic: Demonstrate integrity and ethical behavior; act responsibly with the interests of the larger community in mind. Dress right and show up for work!

Verbal and written communication: Articulate thoughts, ideas clearly and effectively; have public speaking skills; write memos, letters and complex technical reports clearly and effectively. Speak and write clearly!

Teamwork/collaboration: Build collaborative relationships with colleagues and customers; be able to work with diverse teams, negotiate and manage conflicts. “Can’t we all just get along?”

Critical thinking/problem solving: Exercise sound reasoning and analytical thinking; use knowledge, facts, and data to solve workplace problems; apply math and science concepts to problem solving. Figure it out!

Where can we find more Where can we find more information?information?

SC Department of Employment and Workforce, Labor Market Information (LMI): www.scWorkforceInfo.com

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: www.bls.gov

US Census Bureau: www.census.gov

O*Net: www.onetonline.org

Community ProfilesCommunity Profiles

Community Profiles (con’t.)Community Profiles (con’t.)

A profile of your area is A profile of your area is only only

three clicks away!three clicks away!1. Click on “Community Profile Report.”2. Select your geographic area.3. Click on “View Report.”

Comprehensive 20+page report contains: Economic Data Demographic Data Industry Data Occupational Projections Data Educational Data

www.bls.govwww.bls.gov

www.bls.govwww.bls.gov

•Use “Subject Area” tab to see a list of all topics on the website

•Some great publications:

Monthly Labor Review (great feature articles)

Occupational Outlook Quarterly & Occupational Outlook Handbook

Spotlight on Statistics (might be good for a math class!)

Career Guides

www.census.govwww.census.gov

www.census.govwww.census.gov

Interesting sections include:

•Facts for Features (in Newsroom section)

Example: # of florists in the US=17,124 (for Valentine’s Day)

•The Statistical Abstract (at bottom for front page under Special Topics)

Per capita consumption of beverages by type

Number of Federal drug arrests and seizures by drug type

www.onetonline.orgwww.onetonline.org

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Hands-on Tools: BrochuresHands-on Tools: Brochures

All brochures and posters are free for download or printing from the LMI website.

BEING UPDATED!

BEING UPDATED!

Job JourneysJob Journeys

Job Journeys show the progression of a career (also called a career ladder) from jobs you can get “Now,” “Next,” and “Later.”

They also include the most recent average hourly wage and the projected growth rate through 2020.

These one-page flyers are organized by general industry categories:•Business, Administration, and Legal•Information Technology•Construction•Installation, Maintenance, and Repair•Engineering•Manufacturing•Healthcare•Transportation, Distribution, and Warehousing

Feel free to download and/or print from our website at www.scWorkforceInfo.com.

Get me out of the office!Get me out of the office!

•Presentations/Workshops

for teachers

for students

for parents

•Job Fairs

•Career Days

The mission of the South Carolina Department of Employment and Workforce (DEW) is to provide quality, customer-driven workforce services that promote financial stability and economic growth.

The DEW is responsible for:•Paying unemployment insurance benefits•Collecting unemployment taxes•Finding jobs for people•Finding employees for companies•Collecting and disseminating state/federal employment statistics

DEW is an Equal Employment Opportunity employer.

DEW’s Mission StatementDEW’s Mission Statement

Want to search over 1,200 websites from one place?

Go to https://jobs.scworks.org/.

Want to look for a job?Want to look for a job?

Being out of work doesn’t feel good, but it’s not hopeless.

How do job-training services, job opportunities, and free back-to-work services sound?

•We provide testing, counseling, and job referrals, connect you with employers and alert you to upcoming job fairs.

•Veterans will find resources, services, and opportunities here, and our Job Seekers Resources support all.

•Our Rural Manpower Service helps seasonal, agricultural, and nonagricultural workers find work.

•Special Applicant Groups, Claimants, and people with disabilities will find useful resources here.

•Learn how Employer Services employment opportunities benefit you.

Workforce Centers, and more—it’s all here to help you get to work.

Let’s get to work!Let’s get to work!

QUESTIONS?QUESTIONS?

Please Please complete complete

your your evaluation!evaluation!

South Carolina Dept. of Employment & Workforce

Labor Market Information Department

(803) 737-2660 or 1-800-205-9290

www.scworkforceinfo.com

Lorraine Faulds: [email protected]