united states department of agriculture national agricultural … · 2019-05-10 · harvested mil...
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United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service
May Crop ProductionExecutive Summary
Lance Honig, Chief
Crops Branch
May 10, 2019
USDA-NASS
5-10-19
Field Crops Fruit & Nuts
Winter Wheat Citrus
Hay Stocks Peaches (CA)
Cotton Almonds (CA)
Contents
USDA-NASS
5-10-19
Ag Yield Objective Yield
Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement
Crops Included Winter and Durum Wheat
Hay Stocks
Winter Wheat
States All except AK and HI KS, OK, TX
Sample Size 10,493 244
Collection Period Apr 29 - May 7 Apr 24 - May 1
Survey Overview
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
PercentU.S. Winter Wheat Condition
Percent Rated Good to Excellent
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
USDA-NASS
5-10-19
USDA-NASS
5-10-19
May 2019 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit May Previous Previous
2019 Forecast Season
Wheat, Winter
Harvested Mil Ac 25.2 NA +1.9
Yield Bu/Ac 50.3 NA +5.0
Production Bil Bu 1.27 NA +7.1
31.5
25.2
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
Million AcresWinter Wheat Acres
United States
Planted Harvested
USDA-NASS
5-10-19
USDA-NASS
5-10-19
50.3
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
55.0
60.0
1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
Bushels per AcreWinter Wheat Yield
United States
Yield Linear (Yield)
USDA-NASS
5-10-19
USDA-NASS
5-10-19
1.69
1.56
1.35
1.14
1.72
1.50 1.50
1.29
1.50
1.89
1.52
1.45
1.49
1.631.54
1.381.37
1.67
1.27
1.18
1.27
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
2.00
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
Billion BushelsWinter Wheat Production
United States
USDA-NASS
5-10-19
USDA-NASS
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LowOf Expectations
AverageOf Expectations
HighOf Expectations
1.20
1.25
1.30
1.35
1.40
1.45
May June July August Final
Billion Bushels
2019 United States Winter Wheat ProductionIndustry Expectations vs NASS
NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS
5-10-19
May 2019 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit May Previous Previous
2019 Forecast Season
All Hay
Stocks Mil Tons 14.9 NA -2.9
USDA-NASS
5-10-19
USDA-NASS
5-10-19
Survey Overview
Objective
MeasurementRow Count
Processor’s
Inquiry
Survey Type Field
Measurement
Field
Observation
Mailed
Survey
Crops Included Oranges Oranges,
Grapefruit, Late
Tangerines and
Tangelos
Valencia
Oranges,
Grapefruit
Sample Size 623 Groves 59,482 Rows 6 Processors
Collection Period April 22-26 April 29-30 April 12-30
USDA-NASS
5-10-19
May 2019 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit May Previous Previous
2019 Forecast Season
Production
Oranges Mil Tons 5.30 -3.4 +35.0
Grapefruit Thou Tons 607 -2.1 +17.4
Tangerines
& MandarinsThou Tons 928 +0.3 +15.4
USDA-NASS
5-10-19
May 2019 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit May Previous Previous
2019 Forecast Season
Production
Almonds (CA) Bil Lbs 2.50 NA +9.6
Peaches (CA) Thou Tons 480 NA -5.9
USDA-NASS
5-10-19
May 2019 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit Final Previous Previous
2018 Estimate Season
All Cotton
Planted Mil Ac 14.1 +<0.1 +10.9
Harvested Mil Ac 10.2 -3.1 -8.1
Yield Lb/Ac 864 +3.1 -4.5
Production Mil Bls 18.4 -0.1 -12.2
Cottonseed
Production Mil Tons 5.63 -2.8 -12.3
USDA-NASS
5-10-19
USDA-NASS
5-10-19
Release Date Report Title
May 10 Cotton County Estimates
May 24 Cattle on Feed
May 31 Agricultural Prices
June 3 CAIR: Cotton System, Fats & Oil, and Grain Crushings
June 11 Crop Production
June 21 Cattle on Feed
June 26 Census: Congressional District Rankings
June 27Agricultural Prices
Hogs and Pigs
June 28 Acreage, Grain Stocks, Rice Stocks
Upcoming Reports
USDA-NASS
5-10-19
United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service
All Reports Available Atwww.nass.usda.gov
For Questions202-720-2127
800-727-9540